Luke PelzerOF
Quad Cities River Bandits
Age 23
L/L
5'10" / 190 lbs
A+
HR -5%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.8 · 2029
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .284 / .332
PA91
HR2
SB7
K%28
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.3M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $5M | $13M | +$8M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 83 | 71 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 3 | .366 | .451 | .479 | .930 | .113 | .448 | 17 | 11 | .417 | 177 | +7 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | 0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 44 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 0 | .250 | .302 | .300 | .602 | .050 | .417 | 36 | 7 | .256 | 54 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | KC | 47 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .227 | .277 | .341 | .618 | .114 | .302 | 28 | 6 | .279 | 72 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | KC | 91 | 84 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 7 | 0 | .238 | .289 | .321 | .610 | .083 | .352 | 32 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | KC | 178 | 160 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 43 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .237 | .307 | .369 | .676 | .131 | .294 | 24 | 8 | .297 | 86 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | KC | 274 | 246 | 59 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 66 | 3 | 8 | 1 | .240 | .312 | .382 | .695 | .142 | .295 | 24 | 8 | .305 | 92 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 43% | KC | 341 | 306 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 82 | 3 | 10 | 1 | .242 | .314 | .386 | .699 | .144 | .296 | 24 | 9 | .310 | 95 | -2 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | KC | 376 | 337 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 32 | 91 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .237 | .311 | .380 | .691 | .142 | .296 | 24 | 9 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +2 | +0 | -2 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | KC | 397 | 356 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 96 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .236 | .310 | .374 | .683 | .138 | .296 | 24 | 9 | .309 | 95 | -2 | +2 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | KC | 402 | 360 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 99 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .236 | .311 | .372 | .683 | .136 | .295 | 25 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +2 | -1 | -2 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | KC | 402 | 360 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 100 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .233 | .308 | .369 | .678 | .136 | .294 | 25 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +2 | -2 | -2 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | KC | 394 | 353 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 100 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .229 | .304 | .357 | .661 | .127 | .292 | 25 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +2 | -3 | -2 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | KC | 379 | 340 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 98 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .229 | .303 | .362 | .665 | .132 | .291 | 26 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | KC | 351 | 315 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 93 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .225 | .299 | .352 | .651 | .127 | .289 | 26 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -8 | +1 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | KC | 309 | 277 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 85 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .217 | .291 | .325 | .616 | .108 | .288 | 28 | 8 | .284 | 75 | -9 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +9 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3933 | 3525 | 830 | 149 | 20 | 93 | 337 | 980 | 39 | 94 | 10 | .235 | .309 | .368 | .677 | .133 | .298 | 25 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -42 | +15 | -20 | -24 | +111 | 4.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 583 | 137 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 162 | 6 | 16 | 2 | .235 | .309 | .365 | .674 | .130 | .298 | 25 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -7 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +18 | 0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 83 | 65 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 3 | .446 | .561 | .585 | 1.146 | .138 | .518 | 12 | 18 | .501 | 242 | +13 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 1.6 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luke Pelzer (OGILVIE) | 23 | — | — | — | — | .217/.284/.332 | .114 | .292 | 2 | 2 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A |
23 | 41→46 | 42→50 | 51→40 | 45 | .201/.269/.304 | .103 | .264 | 9 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.280/.362 | .140 | .293 | 16 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .226/.286/.378 | .152 | .294 | 19 | 3 | 29% | 6% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
●JJ Bleday 2021 · A |
23 | 44→50 | 43→55 | 48→45 | 42 | .218/.269/.329 | .110 | .289 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .191/.278/.336 | .145 | .249 | 16 | 6 | 29% | 10% | 71 | -0.3 | .233/.319/.423 | .190 | .271 | 22 | 4 | 22% | 11% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
✕Jarrett Parker 2012 · A |
23 | 45→50 | 44→55 | 51→50 | 46 | .214/.295/.330 | .116 | .320 | 11 | 13 | 34% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .210/.288/.351 | .141 | .346 | 15 | 15 | 40% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.305/.409 | .179 | .334 | 22 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 97 | +1.2 |
|
✕DJ Stewart 2017 · A |
23 | 44→48 | 43→60 | 51→50 | 47 | .213/.288/.324 | .111 | .289 | 10 | 16 | 28% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .228/.300/.377 | .149 | .280 | 17 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .228/.303/.393 | .165 | .269 | 20 | 12 | 23% | 8% | 94 | +1.1 |
|
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A |
23 | 39→47 | 48→55 | 46→45 | 43 | .204/.269/.341 | .137 | .271 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .226/.282/.376 | .150 | .297 | 15 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .233/.301/.393 | .161 | .284 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Richie Palacios 2021 · A |
24 | 48→53 | 45→50 | 53→55 | 44 | .238/.287/.362 | .124 | .295 | 13 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .243/.318/.373 | .130 | .299 | 10 | 18 | 21% | 9% | 97 | +1.5 | .241/.321/.375 | .134 | .285 | 11 | 17 | 18% | 9% | 95 | +1.0 |
|
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A |
23 | 43→52 | 44→50 | 50 | 43 | .215/.276/.330 | .115 | .277 | 12 | 14 | 26% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .235/.289/.369 | .134 | .309 | 14 | 13 | 27% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | .237/.290/.360 | .124 | .314 | 13 | 13 | 28% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A |
23 | 40 | 45→55 | 47→45 | 45 | .204/.281/.326 | .122 | .262 | 13 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.278/.391 | .172 | .284 | 22 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .215/.266/.411 | .196 | .270 | 28 | 0 | 32% | 5% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A |
23 | 46 | 40→45 | 52→55 | 46 | .219/.288/.317 | .098 | .289 | 6 | 14 | 25% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .209/.262/.298 | .089 | .296 | 6 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .174/.209/.223 | .049 | .263 | 0 | 15 | 32% | 4% | 8 | -0.8 |
|
✕David Olmedo-Barrera 2017 · A |
23 | 50→42 | 43→50 | 51→50 | 41 | .241/.287/.360 | .119 | .292 | 10 | 11 | 21% | 4% | 79 | +0.3 | .215/.255/.310 | .095 | .285 | 7 | 12 | 26% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .197/.234/.280 | .084 | .268 | 6 | 13 | 28% | 4% | 34 | -1.5 |
|
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A |
23 | 46→43 | 44→60 | 50→45 | 45 | .228/.287/.347 | .119 | .291 | 11 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .203/.262/.335 | .132 | .276 | 13 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .216/.278/.416 | .200 | .247 | 26 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A |
23 | 42→49 | 43→50 | 47→50 | 40 | .210/.271/.317 | .108 | .275 | 12 | 13 | 28% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .224/.282/.365 | .141 | .307 | 14 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 80 | +0.4 | .221/.281/.375 | .154 | .306 | 15 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A |
23 | 47 | 47→55 | 54→40 | 46 | .233/.294/.373 | .139 | .289 | 13 | 5 | 24% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .207/.269/.295 | .088 | .284 | 6 | 5 | 27% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .167/.232/.203 | .036 | .241 | 0 | 2 | 28% | 7% | 14 | -1.3 |
|
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A |
23 | 43→44 | 44→55 | 46→45 | 47 | .209/.291/.330 | .121 | .305 | 12 | 8 | 33% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .210/.290/.374 | .164 | .332 | 20 | 4 | 39% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .200/.288/.364 | .164 | .316 | 21 | 2 | 40% | 10% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A |
24 | 46→49 | 44→55 | 52→50 | 47 | .223/.285/.344 | .120 | .280 | 10 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .231/.294/.389 | .158 | .297 | 16 | 11 | 27% | 7% | 91 | +1.1 | .218/.291/.382 | .164 | .284 | 18 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 85 | +0.5 |
|
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A |
23 | 40→39 | 43→60 | 53→50 | 47 | .198/.263/.312 | .114 | .259 | 9 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .192/.274/.305 | .113 | .267 | 10 | 14 | 30% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .210/.274/.401 | .191 | .276 | 23 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A |
24 | 48→51 | 42→50 | 53→50 | 46 | .229/.299/.338 | .109 | .312 | 8 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .241/.306/.373 | .132 | .315 | 12 | 15 | 26% | 8% | 91 | +1.1 | .246/.311/.388 | .142 | .315 | 14 | 17 | 25% | 8% | 94 | +0.9 |
|
●Brock Stassi 2013 · A |
23 | 44→54 | 42→45 | 51→45 | 46 | .216/.271/.324 | .109 | .266 | 9 | 10 | 22% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .235/.285/.334 | .099 | .277 | 8 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .238/.309/.368 | .130 | .277 | 14 | 1 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
✕Spencer Packard 2022 · A |
24 | 45→51 | 45 | 51→40 | 46 | .224/.287/.344 | .120 | .266 | 12 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .234/.306/.367 | .133 | .278 | 14 | 5 | 21% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .238/.319/.355 | .117 | .280 | 12 | 1 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +0.9 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2021 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 55 | 44 | .198/.268/.314 | .116 | .295 | 9 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .234/.308/.374 | .140 | .313 | 14 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |