Carlos Cauro

C Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 184 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	AHOU	32	.231/.375/.615	3	0	79	—	.179/.281/.429
2026	21	AHOU	271	.255/.380/.386	7	4	76	—	.216/.316/.323
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBHOU	381	.212/.296/.337	9	6	80	0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	23	MLBHOU	133	.218/.301/.348	3	2	83	0.3
2029PROJ58% MLB	24	MLBHOU	225	.221/.303/.355	6	4	86	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Z-Con%77

Whiff%74

wRC+66

Chase%66

wOBA62

BB%62

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 8, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%

CompsDarrien Miller (age 22) · Miguel Amaya (age 22) · Alexander Campos (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 260 proj PA

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .293 / .334

PA260

HR6

K%27

BB%9

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$35M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	68	13	2	0	0	11	21	2	0	1	191	321	221	542	29	271	26	13	264	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	144	45	12	0	6	29	43	6	1	0	312	447	521	968	208	406	24	16	428	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	125	110	28	4	0	4	12	30	2	2	2	255	339	400	739	145	312	24	10	331	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	26	6	1	0	3	6	12	0	0	1	231	375	615	990	385	273	38	19	423	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	220	56	8	0	7	37	63	8	4	4	255	380	386	766	132	316	23	14	346	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	71	9	1	0	0	8	26	2	0	1	127	235	141	375	14	182	32	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	152	28	7	0	3	21	52	6	1	0	184	307	289	597	105	240	29	12	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	125	115	22	3	0	3	7	43	2	2	2	191	250	296	546	104	257	34	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	28	5	1	0	2	4	16	0	0	1	179	281	429	710	250	239	50	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	232	50	7	0	6	26	86	8	4	4	216	316	323	639	108	287	32	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	71	9	1	0	0	8	26	2	0	1	127	235	141	375	14	196	32	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	68	13	2	0	0	11	21	2	0	1	191	321	221	542	29	271	26	13	264	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	152	28	7	0	3	21	52	6	1	0	184	307	289	597	105	255	29	12	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	144	45	12	0	6	29	43	6	1	0	312	447	521	968	208	406	24	16	428	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	125	115	22	3	0	3	7	43	2	2	2	191	250	296	546	104	271	34	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	125	110	28	4	0	4	12	30	2	2	2	255	339	400	739	145	312	24	10	331	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	28	5	1	0	2	4	16	0	0	1	179	281	429	710	250	300	50	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	26	6	1	0	3	6	12	0	0	1	231	375	615	990	385	273	38	19	423	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	232	50	7	0	6	26	86	8	4	4	216	316	323	639	108	303	32	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	220	56	8	0	7	37	63	8	4	4	255	380	386	766	132	316	23	14	346	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	82	72	9	1	0	0	8	26	2	0	1	125	235	139	373	14	182	32	10	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	180	151	28	7	0	3	21	52	6	1	0	185	307	291	599	106	240	29	12	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	125	115	22	3	0	3	7	43	2	2	2	191	250	296	546	104	257	34	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	28	5	1	0	2	4	16	0	0	1	179	281	429	710	250	239	50	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	235	50	7	0	6	26	86	8	4	4	213	316	319	635	106	287	32	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	125	115	22	3	0	3	7	43	2	2	2	191	250	296	546	104	257	34	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	32	28	5	1	0	2	4	16	0	0	1	179	281	429	710	250	239	50	12	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	271	235	50	7	0	6	26	86	8	4	4	213	316	319	635	106	287	32	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	381	338	72	12	2	9	34	102	6	6	2	212	296	337	632	124	274	27	9	287	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	43%	309	274	59	10	1	8	28	82	4	5	2	216	299	346	645	130	276	27	9	291	83	-6	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	58%	388	345	76	13	2	10	35	101	5	7	3	219	301	352	654	134	277	26	9	295	86	-7	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	432	384	85	15	2	11	39	112	6	8	3	220	303	356	659	136	278	26	9	297	87	-7	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	68%	459	408	90	16	2	12	42	118	6	8	3	222	303	359	662	137	279	26	9	298	88	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	68%	470	418	92	16	2	12	43	121	6	9	3	222	303	358	662	137	279	26	9	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	68%	472	420	92	16	2	12	43	122	6	8	3	220	301	354	655	134	278	26	9	295	86	-8	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	66%	467	416	90	16	2	11	42	122	6	7	4	217	298	347	645	130	276	26	9	292	83	-9	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2035	30	MLB MLE	HOU	66%	459	409	88	15	2	11	41	122	6	6	4	214	295	339	634	125	274	27	9	287	80	-11	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.5
2036	31	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	433	387	81	14	1	10	38	116	5	5	5	210	290	329	619	119	271	27	9	281	76	-12	-1	-3	+8	+9	0.1
2037	32	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	403	360	73	13	1	8	35	110	5	4	9	205	284	316	600	112	267	27	9	273	71	-14	-3	-4	+7	+9	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	43%	133	118	26	5	1	3	12	35	2	2	1	218	301	348	649	130	280	26	9	293	83	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	58%	225	200	45	8	1	6	20	59	3	4	1	221	303	355	658	134	282	26	9	297	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	280	249	55	10	1	7	25	72	4	5	2	223	305	359	663	136	282	26	9	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	68%	312	277	61	11	1	8	28	80	4	6	2	224	306	361	666	137	283	26	9	300	88	-4	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	68%	320	284	63	12	1	8	29	82	4	6	2	224	305	361	666	137	283	26	9	300	88	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	68%	321	285	63	12	1	8	29	83	4	5	2	222	303	356	659	134	282	26	9	297	86	-5	+0	-0	+6	+7	0.7
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	66%	310	275	60	11	1	7	28	81	4	5	2	220	300	349	650	130	280	26	9	293	83	-6	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	HOU	66%	301	267	58	11	1	7	27	80	4	4	2	216	297	341	638	125	278	27	9	289	80	-7	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	282	252	54	10	1	6	25	76	3	3	3	212	292	331	623	119	275	27	9	283	76	-8	-1	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2037	32	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	261	233	48	9	1	5	23	71	3	2	6	207	285	319	604	112	270	27	9	275	71	-9	-2	-2	+5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2745	2440	533	99	10	65	246	719	35	42	23	218	299	347	646	129	280	26	9	293	80	-55	-1	-7	+49	+59	4.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	125	23	2	15	58	170	8	10	5	216	297	341	637	125	277	26	9	293	80	-13	-0	-2	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5242	4650	988	171	18	125	475	1419	77	78	49	212	296	338	634	125	275	27	9	286	80	-93	-2	-10	+81	+99	7.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	122	21	2	15	59	176	10	10	6	211	296	333	629	121	274	27	9	286	80	-13	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#5John Bateman'63-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,585 PA	5.4	3,585	81	10	229*	274*	381*	+64	+0	8.2	8.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	3,004	73	47	217	295	347	+54	+28	7.4	6.7
/162	664	16	10	+11.9	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 6
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Cauro (OGILVIE)	22	31→36	42→47	46→51	60	210/293/334	123	274	6	4	27%	9%	80	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	40→42	47→45	50→45	49	202/313/334	132	268	16	7	29%	10%	88	+0.5	192/300/291	99	262	9	5	28%	10%	74	-0.5	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	43	46→50	48→40	47	217/290/349	133	270	14	4	25%	8%	82	-0.0	222/315/352	130	303	13	6	29%	9%	92	+0.7	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	42→40	46→45	49	206/292/311	105	279	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	222/303/310	88	316	7	6	29%	9%	78	-0.3	239/331/311	72	336	7	6	28%	11%	86	+0.1
✕Zack Short 2018 · A	23	42→39	45→50	48→45	53	209/300/336	128	267	12	11	25%	10%	82	+0.0	201/292/339	138	285	13	8	31%	10%	80	-0.1	178/280/321	143	246	16	6	32%	11%	70	-0.6
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→47	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	206/282/335	129	268	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Christian Cerda 2024 · A	21	41→40	43→45	48→40	57	200/308/313	113	265	11	4	27%	13%	81	-0.1	199/288/303	104	259	11	4	26%	11%	71	-0.8	188/274/285	97	238	11	2	25%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→60	47→45	42	205/269/329	123	282	11	10	30%	7%	69	-0.9	200/273/347	147	275	17	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Adam Zebrowski 2023 · A	22	41→33	44→50	50→40	48	201/285/321	120	282	12	5	31%	10%	74	-0.6	185/246/302	117	279	14	3	37%	7%	54	-2.0	186/237/319	133	265	18	2	36%	5%	52	-1.3
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	43→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	117	278	10	9	21%	6%	81	-0.1	219/292/328	109	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Tucker Mitchell 2024 · A	23	43	47→50	50→45	40	210/286/337	127	310	15	9	35%	7%	78	-0.3	198/250/292	94	278	10	7	31%	5%	53	-2.1	162/205/229	67	228	8	5	32%	4%	18	-1.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	45→47	48→50	45→50	42	226/295/372	146	296	15	5	28%	6%	89	+0.5	222/280/363	141	284	16	8	27%	6%	81	-0.1	215/271/359	144	269	17	9	26%	5%	74	-0.4
✕Ian Rice 2017 · A	23	43→40	47→50	43→30	48	215/294/352	137	286	15	4	29%	9%	84	+0.1	204/288/337	133	276	16	3	30%	10%	78	-0.3	186/275/307	121	251	15	0	30%	10%	65	-0.7
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Freuddy Batista 2022 · A	22	38	50	46→40	41	202/264/358	156	275	19	7	33%	7%	74	-0.5	203/263/329	126	302	12	6	35%	6%	67	-1.1	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	41	45	47→30	51	207/289/328	121	249	13	6	22%	9%	77	-0.3	213/274/318	105	250	9	3	18%	7%	68	-1.0	210/270/316	106	240	9	1	16%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A	21	42	47→50	53→40	46	206/290/344	138	303	13	8	34%	10%	80	-0.1	197/258/319	122	274	14	4	32%	7%	63	-1.4	188/246/296	108	254	13	1	31%	6%	51	-0.9
✕Graysen Tarlow 2024 · A	23	45	43→30	49→40	50	217/307/331	113	283	10	8	25%	9%	84	+0.1	211/291/285	74	299	6	6	29%	8%	68	-1.0	224/307/292	68	313	6	7	28%	8%	76	-0.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2018 · A	22	37→42	46→55	44→50	48	186/273/317	131	265	13	8	33%	10%	68	-1.0	200/284/350	150	294	15	9	35%	9%	80	-0.2	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A	23	42→39	43→50	45→30	45	206/281/318	112	290	11	4	31%	9%	71	-0.8	222/298/364	142	296	16	3	29%	9%	88	+0.4	223/303/379	156	290	18	1	28%	9%	91	+0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1

Carlos Cauro

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps