David Bracho
P
Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 160 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%22.9%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 9 | 8 | 21 | 103 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 89% | 2.4 | 11.9% | 19.4% | -7.5% | 4.7% | 8.86 | 7.13 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 9 | 8 | 21 | 103 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 89% | 2.4 | 17.5% | 15.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 8.86 | 5.49 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 12 | 12 | 37 | 160 | 28 | 21 | 0 | 100% | 3.1 | 11.9% | 16.4% | -4.5% | 0.0% | 3.68 | 4.17 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 12 | 12 | 37 | 160 | 28 | 21 | 0 | 100% | 3.1 | 17.5% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 3.68 | 3.29 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 9 | 3 | 20 | 87 | 14 | 15 | 1 | 33% | 2.2 | 10.9% | 21.6% | -10.6% | 1.8% | 5.49 | 5.92 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 9 | 3 | 20 | 87 | 14 | 15 | 1 | 33% | 2.2 | 16.1% | 17.2% | -1.1% | 1.1% | 5.49 | 4.63 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2.7 | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 1.69 | 3.10 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2.7 | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 1.69 | 3.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 18 | 10 | 58 | 273 | 64 | 43 | 6 | 56% | 3.2 | 17.3% | 18.6% | -1.2% | 2.9% | 6.52 | 5.56 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.1 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.40 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 72 | 333 | 78 | 49 | 8 | — | — | 23.3% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 6.10 | 5.33 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CHC | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.83 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.83 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 33 | 141 | 646 | 91 | 118 | 14 | 66% | 2.8 | 14.1% | 18.2% | -4.1% | 2.2% | 5.81 | 5.43 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 47 | 200 | 916 | 129 | 167 | 20 | 66% | 2.8 | 14.1% | 18.2% | -4.1% | 2.2% | 5.81 | 5.43 | -0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| David Bracho (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.21 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 20 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 84 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 84 |
| Carson Rudd R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 83 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 83 |
| Casey Legumina R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 81 |
| Jeronimo Castro R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.37 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 3.84 | 20.1% | 7.9% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.19 | 158 | 81 |
| Chad Donato R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 80 |
| Colin Fields R 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 79 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 79 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 79 |
| Michael Knorr R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 78 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 78 |
| Ray Gaither R 2029 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 78 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2024 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 78 |
| Grant Holman R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 78 |
| Miguelangel Boadas R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.44 | 20.6% | 11.0% | 1.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 129 | 77 |
| Miguel Rodriguez R 2025 · 3.30 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.0% | .329 | 5.83 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 108 | +2.53 | 2.55 | 272 | 77 |
| Robert Colina R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.17 | 20.5% | 10.8% | 2.6% | .366 | 3.31 | 22.3% | 15.2% | 61 | -0.86 | 3.25 | 266 | 77 |
| Rico Garcia R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 77 |
| Ryan Fernandez R 2025 · 4.44 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.44 | 19.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .357 | 3.52 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 53 | -0.92 | 2.97 | 335 | 77 |