Richard Fernandez

P ACL Athletics

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	ROKOAK	1	1	1	0.00	1.10	33.3%	0.0%	—	K 33.3% · BB 0.0% · FIP 0.29
2025	22	MIX2 levels	29	1	37	5.79	3.66	24.4%	15.3%	—	K 16.9% · BB 18.7% · FIP 4.99
2026	23	MIX2 levels	27	0	36	6.56	4.64	24.6%	17.0%	—	K 17.1% · BB 20.6% · FIP 5.99
2027PROJ	24	MLBOAK	21	0	22	5.85	5.85	18.6%	18.3%	-0.3
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBOAK	14	0	15	5.53	5.41	19.8%	15.7%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYordy Cabrera (age 25) · Hudson Leach (age 22) · Jordan Brink (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.85

FIP5.85

K%18.6%

BB%18.3%

K-BB%0.3%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	7	6	17	81	18	6	2	86%	2.4	15.1%	9.3%	5.9%	3.8%	7.41	5.10	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	7	6	17	81	18	6	2	86%	2.4	22.2%	7.4%	14.8%	2.5%	7.41	3.57	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	5	47	197	47	24	0	45%	4.3	16.2%	15.2%	1.0%	0.0%	2.09	3.66	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	11	5	47	197	47	24	0	45%	4.3	23.9%	12.2%	11.7%	0.0%	2.09	2.64	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	100%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	100%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	100%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	1	37	176	43	27	2	3%	1.3	16.9%	18.7%	-1.9%	1.7%	5.79	4.99	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	1	37	176	43	27	2	3%	1.3	16.9%	18.7%	-1.9%	1.7%	5.79	4.99	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	1	37	176	43	27	2	3%	1.3	24.4%	15.3%	9.1%	1.1%	5.79	3.66	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	36	171	42	29	4	0%	1.3	17.1%	20.6%	-3.5%	3.2%	6.56	5.99	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	36	171	42	29	4	0%	1.3	17.1%	20.6%	-3.5%	3.2%	6.56	5.99	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	36	171	42	29	4	0%	1.3	24.6%	17.0%	7.6%	2.3%	6.56	4.64	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	OAK	21	0	22	93	17	17	3	0%	1.0	18.6%	18.3%	0.3%	3.0%	5.85	5.85	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	32	0	34	144	28	22	4	0%	1.1	19.8%	15.7%	4.2%	3.0%	5.53	5.41	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	14	0	15	63	13	10	2	0%	1.1	19.8%	15.7%	4.2%	3.0%	5.53	5.41	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	61	12	10	2	0%	1.0	19.8%	15.6%	4.2%	3.0%	5.53	5.03	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	138	28	0%	1.1	19.8%	15.6%	4.2%	3.0%	5.53	5.03	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		75	13	138	628	104	106	12	17%	1.8	16.6%	16.8%	-0.2%	1.8%	4.88	4.84	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	19	200	908	151	153	17	17%	1.8	16.6%	16.8%	-0.2%	1.8%	4.88	4.84	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Richard Fernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.85	18.6%	18.3%	3.0%	—	5.41	19.8%	4.2%	34	-0.44	—	—	—
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	85
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	85
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	84
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	84
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	84
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	83
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	83
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	83
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	82
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	81
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	81
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	81
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	81
Yoel Espinal R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	21.4%	23.1%	2.1%	.255	4.24	22.9%	10.0%	99	-1.13	3.86	231	81
Kelvin Vasquez R 2017 · 6.26 FIP	24	SU	6.26	15.0%	23.2%	2.7%	.247	5.06	14.5%	-0.2%	48	-1.20	5.01	180	81
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	81
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	81
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	80
Alec Hansen R 2019 · 5.74 FIP	24	SU	5.74	18.8%	19.8%	3.1%	.349	4.98	29.5%	-5.0%	22	-0.76	3.34	288	80
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	19.3%	16.7%	1.14	5.65
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*