Jose Guedez
P
Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 193 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143134vR 125
ERA5.53
FIP5.53
K%15.5%
BB%15.5%
K-BB%0.1%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 105 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 7 | 2 | 26 | 101 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 29% | 3.7 | 24.2% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 0.69 | 2.31 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 7 | 2 | 26 | 101 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 29% | 3.7 | 35.6% | 7.9% | 27.7% | 0.0% | 0.69 | 1.25 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 8 | 40 | 184 | 52 | 35 | 0 | 57% | 2.9 | 20.1% | 21.1% | -1.0% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 4.08 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 8 | 40 | 184 | 52 | 35 | 0 | 57% | 2.9 | 28.3% | 19.0% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 4.50 | 3.12 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 16 | 12 | 67 | 286 | 77 | 37 | 4 | 75% | 4.2 | 20.7% | 14.9% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 3.24 | 4.07 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 16 | 12 | 67 | 286 | 77 | 37 | 4 | 75% | 4.2 | 26.9% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 1.4% | 3.24 | 3.23 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 20 | 11 | 83 | 369 | 74 | 43 | 8 | 55% | 4.1 | 15.4% | 13.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.68 | 4.43 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 20 | 11 | 83 | 369 | 74 | 43 | 8 | 55% | 4.1 | 20.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 4.68 | 4.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 25 | 0 | 38 | 173 | 33 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.2% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.97 | 5.94 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 44 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.1% | 2.6% | 5.53 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.1% | 2.6% | 5.53 | 5.53 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 105 | 457 | 77 | 61 | 14 | — | — | 16.9% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.69 | 5.68 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.1% | 2.6% | 5.53 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 49 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.31 | 5.24 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 51 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 13.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.18 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 51 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.13 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 22 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.0% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.31 | 5.24 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 34 | 26 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 13.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.18 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 40 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.13 | 5.13 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 0 | 129 | 543 | 96 | 74 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.19 | 4.78 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 115 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.19 | 4.78 | +1.4 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 33 | 253 | 1113 | 204 | 160 | 19 | 40% | 3.1 | 18.3% | 14.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 4.06 | 4.32 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 26 | 200 | 880 | 161 | 126 | 15 | 40% | 3.1 | 18.3% | 14.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 4.06 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Guedez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.53 | 15.5% | 15.5% | 2.6% | — | 5.17 | 17.6% | 3.9% | 203 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.13 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 2.4% | .309 | 7.73 | 17.8% | 2.4% | 17 | +2.60 | 4.17 | 152 | 89 |
| Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 84 |
| Engert Garcia R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.35 | 15.9% | 16.8% | 0.9% | .311 | 5.88 | 12.9% | -14.3% | 26 | +1.53 | 3.06 | 125 | 84 |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 83 |
| Ted Stuka R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 83 |
| Cullen Kafka R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 14.2% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .330 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 148 | 82 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.38 | 15.6% | 19.4% | 2.1% | .242 | 5.71 | 15.3% | 1.9% | 80 | +0.33 | 5.38 | 232 | 80 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 80 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 80 |
| Paul Clemens R 2029 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 78 |
| Kyle Miller R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 12.1% | 12.0% | 2.1% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 164 | 78 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2028 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 78 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.55 | 14.3% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.02 | 23.6% | 13.6% | 126 | -0.53 | 3.16 | 377 | 77 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2025 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 77 |
| Josh Hansell R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.18 | 17.6% | 16.1% | 2.8% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 169 | 77 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 77 |
| Grant Black R 2029 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 77 |
| Zach Willeman R 2025 · 5.55 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.55 | 10.8% | 15.0% | 2.6% | .296 | 5.10 | 21.3% | 7.8% | 108 | -0.45 | 4.15 | 264 | 77 |
| Braxton Hyde R 2026 · 5.67 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.67 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 4.0% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 198 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 1.01 | 5.29 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |