Griff O'Ferrall — OGILVIE

Griff O'FerrallSS Chesapeake Baysox

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION477 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP258

ISO67

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	21	20	6	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	1	300	333	300	633		353	14	5	292	84	-0	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	69	56	13	2	0	0	9	10	2	1	3	232	358	268	626	36	271	14	13	294	85	-1	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	22	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	42	36	9	2	1	0	6	6	0	2	1	250	357	361	718	111	300	14	14	329	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	474	411	93	14	2	4	53	71	4	42	7	226	321	299	620	73	263	15	11	286	80	-11	+6	—	—	+10	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	21	20	5	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	1	250	286	250	536		310	19	5	234	45	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	69	59	12	1	0	0	6	14	2	1	3	203	299	220	519	17	240	20	9	242	50	-4	-1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	42	38	9	2	1	0	4	7	0	2	1	237	310	342	652	105	290	17	10	289	82	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	474	427	81	11	2	3	37	94	4	42	7	190	261	246	507	56	228	20	8	226	39	-34	+6	—	—	+10	-1.9
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	90	80	17	1	0	0	6	18	2	2	4	212	284	225	509	13	266	20	7	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	90	76	19	2	0	0	10	13	2	2	4	250	352	276	629	26	292	14	11	293	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	465	90	13	3	3	41	101	4	44	8	194	265	254	518	60	239	20	8	231	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	516	447	102	16	3	4	59	77	4	44	8	228	324	304	628	76	266	15	11	289	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	90	82	17	1	0	0	6	18	2	2	4	207	284	220	504	12	256	20	7	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	466	90	13	3	3	41	101	4	44	8	193	265	253	518	60	233	20	8	231	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	90	82	17	1	0	0	6	18	2	2	4	207	284	220	504	12	256	20	7	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	466	90	13	3	3	41	101	4	44	8	193	265	253	518	60	233	20	8	231	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	BAL	—	477	424	82	14	0	6	34	124	5	32	5	193	261	269	530	75	252	26	7	233	44	-32	+4	+0	+5	+10	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	BAL	—	477	409	90	16	0	7	49	102	5	32	5	220	311	311	622	90	269	21	10	280	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	BAL	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		254	22	11	243	51	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	BAL	—	486	432	83	14	0	6	35	126	5	32	5	192	261	266	527	74	250	26	7	233	44	-32	+4	-0	+5	+11	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	23%	479	436	89	15	1	7	36	117	4	19	3	204	271	291	562	87	259	24	8	256	60	-23	+3	-0	+5	+10	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	506	457	96	16	1	9	39	122	5	18	3	210	279	309	588	98	261	24	8	266	66	-21	+2	-0	+5	+11	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	42%	521	470	100	17	1	10	41	125	5	17	3	213	283	317	600	104	263	24	8	270	69	-19	+2	-0	+6	+11	-0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	45%	526	474	100	17	1	10	42	126	5	16	3	211	282	314	596	103	264	24	8	272	70	-19	+2	-0	+6	+11	0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	47%	525	473	100	17	1	10	42	127	5	14	2	211	283	315	598	104	263	24	8	271	70	-19	+2	-1	+6	+11	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	BAL	46%	517	465	97	16	1	10	42	126	5	13	2	209	281	312	593	103	263	24	8	269	68	-19	+2	-2	+6	+11	-0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	BAL	46%	507	456	95	16	1	9	41	125	5	11	2	208	281	307	588	99	262	25	8	267	67	-20	+1	-2	+5	+11	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	23%	110	100	21	4	0	2	8	27	1	4	1	210	275	310	585	100	263	25	7	254	60	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	178	160	34	6	0	3	14	43	2	6	1	212	284	306	590	94	265	24	8	263	66	-7	+1	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	42%	219	198	42	7	1	4	17	52	2	7	1	212	281	318	599	106	267	24	8	268	69	-8	+1	-0	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	45%	236	213	47	8	1	5	19	57	2	7	1	221	291	338	629	117	268	24	8	269	70	-8	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	47%	244	220	48	8	1	5	20	59	2	7	1	218	289	332	621	114	267	24	8	269	70	-9	+1	-0	+3	+5	-0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	BAL	46%	240	216	46	8	0	5	20	58	2	6	1	213	286	319	605	106	267	24	8	267	68	-9	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	BAL	46%	235	212	44	8	0	4	19	58	2	5	1	208	279	302	581	94	266	25	8	264	67	-9	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1462	1319	282	49	3	28	117	354	13	42	7	214	284	319	604	105	269	24	8	266	64	-56	+6	-2	+16	+32	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	125	22	1	12	52	157	6	19	3	213	284	316	600	102	269	24	8	266	64	-25	+2	-1	+7	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4196	3784	785	128	10	68	331	989	40	154	30	207	278	300	579	93	261	24	8	262	64	-141	+14	-6	+38	+78	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	123	20	2	11	51	153	6	24	5	210	280	307	587	97	263	24	8	262	64	-25	+3	-1	+7	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.2	1,468	27	43	210	278	311	+16	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	12	20	+7.1	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Griff O'Ferrall (OGILVIE)	23	40	32	55	53	194/260/263	69	254	3	18	25%	7%	51	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Sinay 2017 · A	23	45	36→30	56→60	49	205/317/266	61	285	3	23	26%	9%	75	-0.5	206/321/265	59	291	3	20	28%	8%	77	-0.3	182/323/214	31	272	2	26	28%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Kenny Wilson 2013 · A	23	42→51	37→40	58→60	43	199/273/270	71	283	4	29	29%	7%	57	-1.8	222/279/307	85	307	5	27	27%	6%	67	-1.1	200/268/290	91	305	7	22	34%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Gabriel Mejia 2018 · A	23	48	35→30	52→70	44	226/273/282	56	287	2	22	21%	6%	58	-1.7	210/261/270	60	292	3	13	27%	6%	51	-2.3	209/265/254	44	270	0	10	21%	6%	47	-0.5
✕Matt Lipka 2015 · AA	23	42→52	38→45	54→60	39	203/247/281	78	267	5	23	25%	4%	49	-2.4	206/247/286	80	266	5	18	23%	4%	49	-2.4	226/278/328	102	302	8	31	26%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Juan Montes 2018 · A	23	41	36→30	52→55	44	193/280/256	63	253	4	19	24%	6%	57	-1.8	212/285/291	79	294	6	12	28%	6%	67	-1.1	214/282/293	79	299	8	5	29%	4%	63	-0.2
✕Kurtis Muller 2012 · A	23	46	36→40	55	45	216/288/285	69	272	3	19	20%	6%	66	-1.1	229/291/334	105	276	8	20	19%	6%	78	-0.3	247/304/376	129	283	10	28	16%	5%	89	+0.3
✕Tyreace House 2011 · A	23	46	34→30	52→55	56	213/314/264	51	283	2	20	23%	12%	72	-0.7	196/269/246	50	276	2	18	27%	8%	49	-2.4	167/230/184	17	242	0	22	29%	7%	17	-3.2
✕Jacob Young 2022 · A	23	43→53	38→40	57→60	44	204/256/283	80	261	5	21	23%	6%	53	-2.1	242/303/317	75	307	4	31	21%	6%	78	-0.3	242/306/332	90	291	7	29	18%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Gabriel Maciel 2022 · A	23	44→52	37→30	54→55	45	208/267/278	70	274	4	19	25%	7%	55	-1.9	220/279/301	81	282	5	13	22%	7%	65	-1.2	232/292/307	76	288	2	11	19%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Deven Marrero 2014 · AA	23	46→48	36→45	55→50	46	216/272/279	62	281	3	20	23%	7%	57	-1.8	219/266/293	74	292	5	15	25%	6%	58	-1.7	189/249/290	101	261	12	10	31%	7%	49	-1.1
✕Wes Rogers 2017 · A	23	46→51	39→40	61→65	45	219/280/306	86	287	5	31	25%	7%	67	-1.1	215/268/302	87	297	6	32	28%	6%	61	-1.5	206/258/288	83	291	6	34	30%	6%	53	-1.4
✕Joel Booker 2017 · A	23	48→50	37→40	59→55	43	226/289/297	71	298	4	26	24%	6%	68	-1.0	227/278/300	73	316	5	19	28%	5%	65	-1.2	224/275/295	71	314	5	19	29%	4%	59	-1.3
✕DJ Jenkins 2017 · A	23	45	34→30	50→55	43	214/263/264	51	276	2	17	23%	6%	50	-2.3	213/262/257	44	302	2	14	28%	6%	48	-2.5	209/257/239	30	298	1	15	29%	5%	39	-1.5
✕Tyler Hill 2019 · A	23	46→48	36→40	53→55	47	215/276/278	64	262	4	21	19%	6%	59	-1.6	228/283/322	94	278	9	14	21%	6%	72	-0.7	220/269/321	101	271	14	20	24%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	45	36→30	51→55	44	211/278/271	60	288	4	14	27%	7%	59	-1.7	230/280/302	72	291	4	18	21%	6%	65	-1.2	243/288/302	60	299	2	27	18%	5%	66	-0.6
✕D.J. Burt 2019 · A	23	47→51	36→40	55→65	44	219/278/290	71	312	3	24	29%	7%	62	-1.4	216/275/295	79	306	5	28	29%	7%	62	-1.4	221/287/291	70	300	5	46	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Tyler Tolbert 2021 · A	23	42→49	35→45	58→65	42	194/270/251	58	300	3	21	34%	8%	52	-2.2	192/263/286	94	294	6	38	34%	8%	57	-1.8	227/289/306	79	310	6	60	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Jecksson Flores 2017 · A	23	42→52	38→40	54→55	43	200/245/277	77	236	5	19	18%	4%	47	-2.5	228/270/313	85	284	6	16	21%	4%	64	-1.3	230/282/313	83	279	6	17	19%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Wilson Soriano 2015 · A	23	50	36→30	54→55	46	235/279/297	62	262	3	23	12%	4%	63	-1.3	228/255/274	46	274	2	22	17%	3%	49	-2.4	238/258/276	38	284	0	29	16%	2%	47	-1.0
✕Chris Hopkins 2011 · A	23	45	37→30	51→60	48	213/277/284	71	266	5	21	21%	8%	61	-1.5	209/285/289	80	288	4	18	26%	9%	65	-1.2	177/278/238	61	259	0	26	28%	10%	49	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps