Griff O'Ferrall — OGILVIE

Griff O'FerrallSS Chesapeake Baysox

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION312 act + 208 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .267 / .273

PA208

HR2

SB9

K%25

BB%8

BABIP252

ISO80

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	90	80	17	1	0	0	6	17	2	2	4	212	284	225	509	13	262	19	7	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	90	76	19	2	0	0	10	13	2	2	4	250	352	276	629	26	292	14	11	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	516	462	90	13	3	2	44	100	4	44	8	195	271	249	520	54	242	19	9	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	516	447	102	16	3	4	59	77	4	44	8	228	324	304	628	76	266	15	11	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	BAL	—	312	272	48	10	0	5	25	83	3	16	4	176	253	268	522	92	225	27	8	230	34	-23	+2	+0	+3	+9	-1.0
YTD	23	AA	BAL	—	312	261	53	12	0	5	36	64	3	16	4	203	307	307	613	103	241	21	12	275	68	-11	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.3
ROS	23	AA	BAL	2%	208	187	36	7	1	2	17	51	2	9	2	193	267	273	540	80	245	25	8	243	44	-13	+1	-0	+2	+6	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	BAL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		248	25	0	240	42	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	BAL	—	316	276	49	10	0	5	25	84	3	16	4	178	253	268	521	91	227	27	8	230	34	-23	+2	-0	+3	+9	-1.0
TOT	23	AA	BAL	—	520	459	84	17	1	7	42	134	5	25	6	183	259	270	529	87	236	26	8	235	38	-36	+3	-0	+6	+15	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	BAL	23%	479	432	85	16	1	7	40	115	4	16	4	197	271	287	558	90	251	24	8	257	55	-24	+2	-0	+5	+14	-0.4
2028	25	MLB	BAL	35%	506	454	93	17	2	9	43	120	4	15	4	205	279	311	590	106	254	24	8	266	62	-22	+1	-0	+5	+14	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	BAL	42%	521	468	98	18	2	10	44	123	4	15	3	209	283	321	603	111	256	24	8	271	65	-20	+2	-0	+6	+15	0.2
2027	24	MLB	BAL	23%	110	99	20	4	0	2	9	26	1	4	1	202	275	303	578	101	254	24	8	255	53	-6	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	BAL	35%	178	160	33	6	1	3	15	42	1	5	1	206	278	312	591	106	258	24	8	264	60	-8	+1	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	BAL	42%	219	196	42	8	1	4	19	52	2	6	1	214	290	327	617	112	260	24	9	269	64	-9	+1	-0	+2	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	511	459	96	18	2	9	43	121	4	15	3	209	283	316	599	107	262	24	8	264	60	-23	+2	-0	+5	+14	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	122	23	3	11	55	154	5	19	4	209	283	315	598	106	262	24	8	264	60	-29	+2	-0	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2320	2083	419	72	9	30	194	526	20	101	25	201	276	288	563	86	252	23	8	255	53	-122	+10	-1	+25	+66	-2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	117	20	3	8	54	147	6	28	7	200	275	286	561	86	252	23	8	255	53	-34	+3	-0	+7	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	21	20	6	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	1	300	333	300	633		353	14	5	292	81	-0	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	69	56	13	2	0	0	9	10	2	1	3	232	358	268	626	36	271	14	13	294	83	-1	-1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	22	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	42	36	9	2	1	0	6	6	0	2	1	250	357	361	718	111	300	14	14	329	110	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	474	411	93	14	2	4	53	71	4	42	7	226	321	299	620	73	263	15	11	286	77	-12	+6	—	—	+13	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	513	9	16	205	276	307	+6	+0	-0.0	0.0
	/162	664	12	20	205	276	307	+7.1	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Griff O'Ferrall (OGILVIE)	23	40	32	55	55	183/259/270	87	236	7	25	26%	8%	38	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyreace House 2011 · A	23	45→43	34→30	53→55	56	205/308/258	53	274	2	20	23%	12%	64	-0.8	195/266/246	51	279	3	18	28%	8%	42	-2.3	171/228/189	18	253	0	22	30%	6%	7	-3.1
✕DJ Jenkins 2017 · A	23	45	34→30	50→55	43	214/263/264	51	276	2	17	23%	6%	43	-2.2	217/268/262	45	307	2	14	28%	6%	45	-2.1	216/267/246	31	307	1	15	28%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Nick Sinay 2017 · A	23	45	36→30	56→60	49	205/317/266	61	285	3	23	26%	9%	72	-0.2	205/319/264	59	293	3	20	29%	7%	72	-0.2	181/319/211	31	274	2	26	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Juan Montes 2018 · A	23	41	36→30	52→55	44	193/280/256	63	253	4	19	24%	6%	52	-1.6	212/285/291	79	294	6	12	28%	6%	63	-0.9	214/282/293	79	299	8	5	29%	4%	59	-0.2
✕Deven Marrero 2014 · AA	23	45→48	36→45	55→50	45	212/267/274	62	276	3	20	24%	7%	48	-1.9	220/266/299	79	296	6	15	26%	6%	54	-1.4	194/251/298	105	272	13	10	33%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Yerwin Trejo 2019 · A	22	48	34→30	53→55	48	222/288/275	54	274	2	21	19%	7%	58	-1.2	210/257/269	59	302	3	21	29%	6%	43	-2.2	190/225/228	38	284	3	34	33%	4%	15	-1.7
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	42	38→40	52→55	48	201/266/278	77	257	5	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	211/289/288	77	274	5	10	23%	9%	63	-0.9	204/298/261	57	263	3	4	21%	11%	58	-0.5
✕Guillermo Granadillo 2019 · A	22	49	35→30	51→55	46	231/290/286	55	294	3	20	22%	6%	62	-0.9	206/254/273	67	281	3	10	26%	5%	42	-2.3	150/164/209	59	202	0	0	25%	1%	-15	-1.2
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2023 · A	24	44	39→30	54→50	45	212/266/293	81	256	6	17	20%	6%	53	-1.5	211/270/285	74	267	5	14	22%	6%	53	-1.5	206/268/255	49	259	3	15	20%	6%	43	-1.1
✕Tyler Hill 2019 · A	23	44→48	35→40	53→55	47	207/271/266	59	255	3	21	19%	6%	49	-1.8	227/282/326	99	275	10	14	21%	6%	69	-0.4	222/270/334	112	271	16	20	24%	5%	64	-0.3
✕Armand Gaerlan 2006 · A	23	46	38→30	54→55	44	218/278/299	81	295	5	16	27%	7%	59	-1.1	204/257/316	112	265	10	11	26%	6%	56	-1.3	125/167/273	148	136	14	3	22%	4%	5	-0.8
✕Pablo Olivares 2021 · A	23	45→41	38→40	46→50	45	213/287/289	76	269	5	14	22%	6%	63	-0.9	207/281/293	86	273	5	12	24%	8%	61	-1.0	192/271/278	86	259	4	12	25%	8%	50	-0.6
✕C.J. McElroy 2016 · A	23	46→51	34→30	52→55	43	214/278/264	50	283	2	24	24%	6%	51	-1.7	220/279/286	66	296	5	24	26%	6%	57	-1.2	222/267/283	61	290	5	30	24%	4%	47	-0.7
✕Auston Bousfield 2016 · AA	23	45→44	37→40	51→50	48	211/285/281	70	283	5	15	26%	8%	59	-1.1	187/255/265	78	254	6	13	27%	7%	43	-2.2	170/241/246	76	229	6	12	27%	7%	30	-2.0
✕Alfredo Lopez 2013 · AA	23	51	36→30	49→50	49	237/307/299	63	296	3	17	20%	8%	72	-0.2	224/287/287	63	282	2	13	20%	7%	61	-1.0	242/288/290	48	295	1	20	17%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Emmanuel Garcia 2009 · AA	23	47→49	36→30	51→55	44	223/276/284	61	300	4	19	26%	7%	55	-1.4	214/259/279	65	300	4	19	28%	5%	46	-2.0	208/251/263	55	294	3	21	29%	5%	35	-1.7
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	42	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/250	55	290	2	14	32%	6%	35	-2.8	219/281/290	71	320	3	12	30%	7%	59	-1.1	227/294/286	60	334	2	11	30%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Chris Hopkins 2011 · A	23	44	37→30	51→60	48	209/273/279	70	261	5	21	21%	7%	53	-1.5	207/283/287	80	286	4	18	27%	9%	59	-1.1	175/276/235	60	257	0	26	28%	10%	41	-0.6
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2017 · A	23	42→52	36→30	55→45	42	200/265/269	69	274	3	14	27%	6%	47	-1.9	218/259/272	54	282	3	10	22%	4%	43	-2.2	230/268/284	54	294	2	9	22%	4%	48	-1.2