Benny Thompson
P
Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 223 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 90 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%29.9%
BB%16.7%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 129 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 13 | 51 | 21 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 41.2% | 25.5% | 15.7% | 2.0% | 5.54 | 3.93 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 0 | 13 | 51 | 21 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 41.2% | 25.5% | 15.7% | 2.0% | 5.54 | 3.87 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 20 | 95 | 30 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.1% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 2.4% | 4.87 | 4.11 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 20 | 95 | 30 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.6% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 2.1% | 4.87 | 3.79 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 44 | 0 | 61 | 256 | 100 | 42 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.9% | 19.4% | 9.5% | 0.5% | 1.91 | 3.37 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 44 | 0 | 61 | 256 | 100 | 42 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 39.1% | 16.4% | 22.7% | 0.4% | 1.91 | 2.11 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 27 | 0 | 39 | 185 | 47 | 35 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.6% | 21.8% | -2.2% | 2.0% | 4.58 | 5.32 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | 86 | 0 | 90 | 380 | 114 | 63 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.52 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 129 | 565 | 161 | 98 | 13 | — | — | 28.4% | 17.4% | 11.0% | 2.3% | 4.54 | 4.76 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 29.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 4.52 | 4.14 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 113 | 55 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.5% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 2.7% | 4.35 | 4.25 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 87 | 0 | 91 | 385 | 112 | 52 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.1% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 2.7% | 4.27 | 4.22 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 85 | 0 | 90 | 379 | 109 | 51 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.8% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.26 | +1.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 83 | 0 | 87 | 367 | 105 | 49 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.5% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.35 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 49 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.5% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 2.7% | 4.35 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 58 | 0 | 61 | 258 | 75 | 35 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.1% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 2.7% | 4.27 | 4.22 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 84 | 39 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.8% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.26 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 70 | 0 | 73 | 308 | 88 | 41 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.5% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.32 | 4.35 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 231 | 0 | 243 | 1025 | 296 | 139 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 3.90 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 244 | 115 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | 4.30 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 0 | 134 | 587 | 156 | 117 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.6% | 19.9% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 3.49 | 4.15 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 142 | 0 | 200 | 876 | 233 | 175 | 12 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.6% | 19.9% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 3.49 | 4.15 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Benny Thompson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 29.9% | 16.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.24 | 29.1% | 15.4% | 272 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.54 | 30.5% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .292 | 4.99 | 21.9% | 7.3% | 60 | +1.45 | 3.54 | 117 | 87 |
| Eduard Santos R 2027 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 28.1% | 15.2% | 1.5% | .265 | 3.62 | 24.0% | 10.0% | 79 | +0.13 | 2.04 | 138 | 84 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.90 | 26.4% | 16.3% | 3.6% | .278 | 5.86 | 20.3% | 5.0% | 58 | +0.96 | 4.90 | 103 | 81 |
| Christopher Troye R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 31.4% | 18.2% | 2.0% | .287 | 5.45 | 22.2% | 2.8% | 75 | +1.61 | 3.42 | 158 | 81 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.43 | 30.1% | 16.5% | 1.4% | .250 | 5.39 | 24.3% | 3.1% | 52 | +1.96 | 3.43 | 129 | 80 |
| Eduardo Herrera R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.32 | 25.5% | 15.7% | 2.5% | .284 | 4.44 | 16.7% | -5.0% | 31 | +0.12 | 4.32 | 127 | 79 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 26.9% | 17.3% | 1.1% | .278 | 6.08 | 19.6% | 3.0% | 76 | +2.46 | 3.62 | 183 | 79 |
| Justin Yeager R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.74 | 29.6% | 15.8% | 3.9% | .230 | 3.35 | 19.6% | 8.8% | 108 | -1.39 | 3.21 | 239 | 79 |
| Peter Tago R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.73 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.7% | .303 | 3.43 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 39 | -0.30 | 3.24 | 207 | 79 |
| Peyton Gray R 2028 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 78 |
| Johnathan Lavallee R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.66 | 26.2% | 14.9% | 1.6% | .245 | 4.29 | 22.8% | 10.6% | 66 | +0.63 | 3.26 | 181 | 78 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.58 | 26.2% | 12.8% | 3.8% | .282 | 4.62 | 22.3% | 11.4% | 86 | +0.04 | 4.36 | 152 | 78 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.00 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .284 | 2.56 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.44 | 1.52 | 452 | 77 |
| Shane Broyles R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.95 | 24.3% | 15.3% | 1.8% | .328 | 3.42 | 26.4% | 17.1% | 108 | -0.53 | 3.10 | 218 | 77 |
| Wyatt Olds R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 2.8% | .284 | 4.92 | 24.4% | 9.4% | 110 | +0.33 | 2.39 | 372 | 77 |
| Andre Granillo R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 24.9% | 15.4% | 2.5% | .228 | 4.07 | 22.6% | 12.7% | 104 | -0.27 | 3.18 | 306 | 77 |
| Eric Cerantola R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.74 | 25.8% | 17.0% | 3.1% | .245 | 3.95 | 26.8% | 13.8% | 111 | -0.79 | 3.53 | 281 | 77 |
| Alfredo Zarraga R 2025 · 3.82 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.82 | 25.1% | 13.9% | 2.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 138 | 77 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 76 |
| Gabriel Ponce R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 161 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 90 | 29.2% | 14.3% | 1.05 | 4.35 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Dinelson Lamet ('23) | 6 | 61 | 30.0% | 10.7% | 1.29 | 4.66 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |