Benny Thompson — OGILVIE

Benny Thompson P Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 223 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%29.9%

BB%18.7%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL2020

CMD5555

K†6565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	0	13	51	21	13	1	0%	1.4	41.2%	25.5%	15.7%	2.0%	5.54	3.93	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	0	13	51	21	13	1	0%	1.4	41.2%	25.5%	15.7%	2.0%	5.54	3.93	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	0	13	51	21	13	1	0%	1.4	41.2%	25.5%	15.7%	2.0%	5.54	3.87	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	20	95	30	16	2	0%	1.4	26.1%	15.0%	11.1%	2.1%	4.87	3.93	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	20	95	30	16	2	0%	1.4	26.1%	15.0%	11.1%	2.1%	4.87	3.93	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	20	95	30	16	2	0%	1.4	31.6%	16.8%	14.7%	2.1%	4.87	3.79	—
2025	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	44	0	61	256	100	42	1	0%	1.4	28.9%	19.4%	9.5%	0.5%	1.91	3.38	—
2025	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	44	0	61	256	100	42	1	0%	1.4	28.9%	19.4%	9.5%	0.5%	1.91	3.38	—
2025	23	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	44	0	61	256	100	42	1	0%	1.4	39.1%	16.4%	22.7%	0.4%	1.91	2.11	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	40	0	58	283	78	55	8	0%	1.4	21.2%	22.3%	-1.1%	3.5%	6.05	6.08	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	40	0	58	283	78	55	8	0%	1.4	21.2%	22.3%	-1.1%	3.5%	6.05	6.08	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	LAA	40	0	58	283	78	55	8	0%	1.4	27.6%	19.4%	8.1%	2.8%	6.05	4.79	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	LAA	6	0	6	27	8	5	1	0%	1.1	29.9%	18.7%	11.2%	2.6%	4.78	4.78	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	64	310	86	60	9	—	—	27.8%	19.4%	8.4%	2.8%	5.93	5.95	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAA	87	0	91	385	113	60	10	0%	1.0	29.5%	15.7%	13.8%	2.7%	4.55	4.44	+0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	87	0	91	385	112	58	10	0%	1.0	29.1%	15.0%	14.1%	2.7%	4.45	4.40	+0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAA	85	0	90	379	109	56	10	0%	1.1	28.8%	14.8%	14.0%	2.8%	4.44	4.43	+0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAA	83	0	87	367	105	54	11	0%	1.0	28.5%	14.7%	13.8%	2.9%	4.48	4.51	+0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAA	79	0	83	351	99	52	11	0%	1.1	28.2%	14.9%	13.3%	3.0%	4.58	4.64	-0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	LAA	74	0	78	330	99	48	11	0%	1.1	29.9%	14.4%	15.4%	3.2%	4.56	4.55	0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAA	37	0	39	165	49	26	4	0%	1.1	29.5%	15.7%	13.8%	2.7%	4.55	4.44	+0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	58	0	61	258	75	39	7	0%	1.1	29.1%	15.0%	14.1%	2.7%	4.45	4.40	+0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAA	66	0	69	291	84	43	8	0%	1.0	28.8%	14.8%	14.0%	2.8%	4.44	4.43	+0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAA	70	0	73	308	88	45	9	0%	1.0	28.5%	14.7%	13.8%	2.9%	4.48	4.51	+0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAA	70	0	73	308	87	46	9	0%	1.0	28.2%	14.9%	13.3%	3.0%	4.58	4.64	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	LAA	67	0	70	296	88	43	9	0%	1.0	29.9%	14.4%	15.4%	3.2%	4.56	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		367	0	385	1626	471	242	47	0%	1.0	29.0%	14.9%	14.1%	2.9%	4.51	4.12	+1.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	245	126	24	0%	1.1	29.0%	14.9%	14.1%	2.9%	4.51	4.12	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		108	0	153	685	180	140	14	0%	1.4	26.3%	20.4%	5.8%	2.1%	4.19	4.61	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	0	200	897	236	183	19	0%	1.4	26.3%	20.4%	5.8%	2.1%	4.19	4.61	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Benny Thompson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	29.9%	18.7%	2.6%	—	4.42	29.1%	14.0%	272	-0.36	—	—	—
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	81
Christopher Troye R 2023 · 3.76 FIP	24	SU	3.76	31.4%	18.2%	1.8%	.287	5.52	22.2%	2.8%	75	+1.76	3.42	158	81
Justin Yeager R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	29.6%	15.8%	3.6%	.230	3.39	19.5%	9.1%	108	-1.19	3.32	262	78
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	78
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	77
Shane Broyles R 2016 · 4.03 FIP	24	SU	4.03	24.3%	15.3%	1.9%	.328	3.62	26.4%	17.1%	108	-0.41	3.34	218	77
Tommy Kahnle R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	23.8%	14.8%	2.1%	.284	2.58	30.9%	21.0%	165	-1.55	1.53	458	77
Peter Tago R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	24.4%	14.0%	1.5%	.303	3.44	23.6%	8.3%	39	-0.21	3.26	207	77
Jonathan Sprinkle R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	24	SU	4.18	24.8%	16.3%	2.0%	.331	6.20	17.4%	-5.5%	26	+2.02	3.81	109	76
Tyler Thornton R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	29.0%	17.1%	2.9%	.188	4.89	22.2%	4.8%	63	+0.47	3.73	148	76
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	76
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	75
Matt Keating R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	22	SU	4.34	23.3%	14.8%	2.4%	.346	4.63	23.2%	9.1%	157	+0.29	3.38	222	75
Riley Ferrell R 2018 · 4.38 FIP	24	SU	4.38	24.1%	15.6%	2.5%	.333	4.21	23.1%	7.4%	55	-0.17	2.85	175	75
Carlos Contreras R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	22.2%	15.6%	2.0%	.271	4.46	11.9%	2.4%	40	+0.17	4.29	107	75
Tyler Vogel R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	22	SU	4.93	23.4%	14.3%	3.6%	.305	4.48	19.1%	6.1%	135	-0.45	3.84	200	75
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	23.9%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	75
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	75
Evan Johnson R 2021 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	28.6%	16.3%	3.1%	.308	4.64	23.6%	6.0%	38	+0.20	4.42	103	75
Dakota Mekkes R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	24	SU	4.58	23.1%	15.4%	2.7%	.290	4.85	16.7%	1.8%	70	+0.27	2.94	246	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	87	29.1%	15.5%	1.09	4.55
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
Dinelson Lamet ('23)	1.8	61	30.0%	10.7%	1.29	4.66
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22