Tyler Thornton
P
Akron RubberDucks
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.87
FIP4.87
K%23.0%
BB%13.0%
K-BB%10.1%
ROS IP21
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 30 | 0 | 35 | 143 | 58 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.0% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 3.63 | 4.59 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 30 | 0 | 35 | 143 | 58 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 40.6% | 14.0% | 26.6% | 2.8% | 3.63 | 2.98 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 51 | 212 | 79 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.0% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 2.66 | 4.44 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 51 | 212 | 79 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 37.3% | 15.1% | 22.2% | 2.4% | 2.66 | 3.16 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 24 | 0 | 27 | 126 | 37 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 16.6% | 7.2% | 1.0% | 4.72 | 3.75 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 24 | 0 | 27 | 126 | 37 | 19 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.4% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 0.8% | 4.72 | 2.95 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 40 | 185 | 55 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.1% | 18.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.46 | 5.94 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 40 | 185 | 55 | 30 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.7% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 4.46 | 4.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 20 | 0 | 21 | 87 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 4.87 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.85 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.47 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 105 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 4.84 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 127 | 0 | 152 | 666 | 173 | 114 | 21 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.0% | 17.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 3.72 | 4.76 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 167 | 0 | 200 | 874 | 228 | 150 | 27 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.0% | 17.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 3.72 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Thornton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 23.0% | 13.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.85 | 23.1% | 10.4% | 20 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 90 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 88 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 87 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 84 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 83 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 83 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 82 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.53 | 233 | 82 |
| Nick Ernst R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 82 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .306 | 3.61 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 54 | -0.24 | 2.88 | 157 | 82 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 82 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 81 |
| Morris Austin R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 14.8% | 3.6% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 164 | 81 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 81 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 81 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.67 | 24.1% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 172 | 81 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 81 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 81 |
| Kyle Hill R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.6% | 12.2% | 2.3% | .319 | 6.01 | 23.3% | 10.2% | 35 | +2.10 | 3.62 | 156 | 81 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 80 |