John West — OGILVIE

John West P Hillsboro Hops

Age 24 RHP 6'8" / 265 lbs A+ peak 0.7 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.38

FIP5.38

K%16.3%

BB%11.9%

K-BB%4.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	20	19	99	432	96	41	13	95%	5.0	17.1%	10.9%	6.2%	3.9%	5.89	5.17	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	20	19	99	432	96	41	13	95%	5.0	17.1%	10.9%	6.2%	3.9%	5.89	5.17	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	20	19	99	432	96	41	13	95%	5.0	22.2%	9.5%	12.7%	3.0%	5.89	4.11	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	26	10	97	449	75	56	12	38%	3.7	12.9%	14.2%	-1.3%	3.3%	4.90	5.63	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	26	10	97	449	75	56	12	38%	3.7	12.9%	14.2%	-1.3%	3.3%	4.90	5.63	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	ARI	23	8	87	396	66	47	10	35%	3.8	16.7%	11.9%	4.8%	2.5%	4.67	4.58	—
2026	24	AA RAW	ARI	3	2	11	53	9	9	2	67%	3.6	17.0%	17.0%	0.0%	3.8%	6.75	5.89	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	ARI	6	0	6	25	4	3	1	0%	1.0	16.3%	11.9%	4.4%	3.2%	5.38	5.38	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	103	474	79	59	13	—	—	16.7%	12.4%	4.2%	2.7%	4.93	5.62	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	13	13	96	407	71	45	13	100%	7.4	17.5%	11.1%	6.4%	3.2%	5.21	5.16	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	ARI	13	13	96	407	74	44	13	100%	7.4	18.0%	10.8%	7.3%	3.2%	5.10	5.07	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	ARI	13	13	95	402	73	43	13	100%	7.3	18.2%	10.7%	7.5%	3.2%	5.07	5.07	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	ARI	13	13	92	389	71	42	13	100%	7.1	18.2%	10.8%	7.4%	3.3%	5.10	5.13	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	ARI	12	12	88	372	67	41	13	100%	7.3	18.0%	11.0%	7.0%	3.5%	5.20	5.26	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	ARI	12	12	83	350	62	40	13	100%	6.9	17.6%	11.3%	6.3%	3.7%	5.34	5.44	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	ARI	6	6	42	177	31	20	6	100%	7.0	17.5%	11.1%	6.4%	3.2%	5.21	5.16	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	ARI	9	9	64	270	49	29	9	100%	7.1	18.0%	10.8%	7.3%	3.2%	5.10	5.07	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	ARI	10	10	74	312	57	33	10	100%	7.4	18.2%	10.7%	7.5%	3.2%	5.07	5.07	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	ARI	11	11	78	329	60	36	11	100%	7.1	18.2%	10.8%	7.4%	3.3%	5.10	5.13	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	ARI	11	11	77	325	58	36	11	100%	7.0	18.0%	11.0%	7.0%	3.5%	5.20	5.26	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	ARI	10	10	74	312	55	35	11	100%	7.4	17.6%	11.3%	6.3%	3.7%	5.34	5.44	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		57	57	408	1724	309	189	58	100%	7.2	18.0%	10.9%	7.0%	3.4%	5.17	4.82	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		28	28	200	844	151	93	28	100%	7.2	18.0%	10.9%	7.0%	3.4%	5.17	4.82	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		46	29	197	881	132	111	32	63%	4.3	15.0%	12.6%	2.4%	3.6%	5.40	5.41	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		47	29	200	896	134	113	32	63%	4.3	15.0%	12.6%	2.4%	3.6%	5.40	5.41	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
John West (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.38	16.3%	11.9%	3.2%	—	5.10	17.9%	7.1%	288	-0.28	—	—	—
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	91
Stolmy Pimentel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.0%	10.5%	2.5%	.338	3.87	13.6%	3.1%	72	-0.60	3.87	143	86
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	85
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.1%	6.3%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	84
Matt Ruppenthal R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	23	SP-	4.50	19.1%	14.3%	2.2%	.290	4.32	21.4%	6.5%	143	-0.18	3.74	283	83
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	83
Nick Belzer R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SP-	4.23	14.5%	9.1%	2.2%	.291	4.51	12.8%	4.2%	63	+0.28	4.23	112	83
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	83
Nick Hull R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	17.2%	12.1%	2.0%	.251	4.84	17.7%	6.3%	200	+0.58	4.26	292	83
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	82
Joey Mancini R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	23	SP-	4.22	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.40	16.6%	6.3%	296	+0.18	3.64	391	82
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.76	16.6%	4.4%	294	-0.28	4.43	388	82
Matt Solter R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	24	SP-	4.48	16.0%	11.0%	2.5%	.309	3.82	16.9%	4.3%	66	-0.66	3.82	224	82
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	82
Felipe Gonzalez R 2016 · 5.47 FIP	24	SP-	5.47	14.7%	10.6%	4.1%	.330	4.12	19.9%	10.4%	139	-1.35	3.27	339	82
Justin Dillon R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP-	5.26	11.8%	8.8%	3.7%	.265	4.34	15.6%	9.1%	124	-0.92	3.65	239	81
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	81
Paxton Schultz R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	24	SP-	5.27	17.5%	12.2%	3.8%	.293	4.36	21.3%	11.3%	274	-0.91	3.90	538	80
Trenton Toplikar R 2019 · 4.32 FIP	23	SP-	4.32	14.8%	10.1%	2.2%	.248	5.39	16.5%	6.4%	123	+1.07	4.32	232	80
Jake Dunning R 2015 · 5.60 FIP	26	SP-	5.60	13.4%	9.6%	4.4%	.354	4.29	14.1%	2.8%	74	-1.31	4.19	120	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	89	17.7%	11.0%	1.29	5.19
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09