Ryan Johnson — OGILVIE

Ryan Johnson2B Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .272 / .323

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP295

ISO129

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	137	120	23	5	1	4	12	48	4	2	1	192	287	350	637	158	275	35	9	288	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	412	362	73	10	0	14	41	170	7	9	2	202	295	345	640	144	328	41	10	291	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	98	92	23	9	0	2	4	40	2	1	1	250	296	413	709	163	420	41	4	315	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	20	16	6	3	0	0	2	4	2	3	0	375	500	562	1.062	188	500	20	10	472	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	137	124	17	3	1	3	8	64	4	2	1	137	213	250	463	113	233	47	6	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	412	378	49	6	0	9	25	225	7	9	2	130	198	217	414	87	261	55	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	98	93	18	7	0	1	3	47	2	1	1	194	235	301	536	108	383	48	3	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	20	17	5	2	0	0	1	5	2	3	0	294	400	412	812	118	422	25	5	358	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	137	124	17	3	1	3	8	64	4	2	1	137	213	250	463	113	241	47	6	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	137	120	23	5	1	4	12	48	4	2	1	192	287	350	637	158	275	35	9	288	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	412	378	49	6	0	9	25	225	7	9	2	130	198	217	414	87	274	55	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	412	362	73	10	0	14	41	170	7	9	2	202	295	345	640	144	328	41	10	291	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	118	110	24	10	0	1	4	53	4	4	1	218	271	336	608	118	411	45	3	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	118	108	29	12	0	2	6	44	4	4	1	269	331	435	766	167	435	37	5	341	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	137	124	17	3	1	3	8	64	4	2	1	137	213	250	463	113	233	47	6	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	412	377	49	6	0	9	25	225	7	9	2	130	198	218	415	88	261	55	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	118	109	24	10	0	1	4	53	4	4	1	220	271	339	611	119	390	45	3	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	412	377	49	6	0	9	25	225	7	9	2	130	198	218	415	88	261	55	6	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	118	109	24	10	0	1	4	53	4	4	1	220	271	339	611	119	390	45	3	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	HOU	2%	200	182	38	8	1	4	13	65	3	4	1	204	269	319	589	115	290	32	6	266	66	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	HOU	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	207	272	323	595	116	295	33	0	268	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	27%	209	190	39	8	1	4	14	67	3	4	1	205	271	321	592	116	290	32	7	267	67	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	27%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	208	273	325	598	117	295	32	7	270	67	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	18	1	1	0	196	268	294	562	98	281	32	7	270	38	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	116	23	0	12	46	209	12	12	0	196	268	296	563	100	280	32	7	270	38	-26	+2	+0	+2	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	1012	926	155	32	3	20	60	453	20	21	6	167	234	273	507	106	295	45	6	224	38	-14	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	100	21	2	13	39	291	13	13	4	168	235	276	511	108	296	45	6	224	38	-26	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Johnson (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	203/267/317	114	290	3	2	32%	7%	66	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	34→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/243/305	121	244	14	10	31%	6%	54	-2.0	209/255/340	131	279	14	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA	26	38	47→45	52→50	42	196/260/323	127	273	15	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	197/275/307	110	300	10	14	35%	9%	66	-1.1	186/271/290	104	286	8	12	35%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Quincy McAfee 2024 · AA	26	38	46→45	46→45	46	196/281/327	130	253	13	9	27%	8%	74	-0.5	203/272/330	127	250	14	11	24%	6%	71	-0.8	170/237/280	109	197	14	12	22%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Andrés Alvarez 2024 · AA	27	37→32	45	51→50	42	191/256/309	118	267	13	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	214/278/326	112	303	11	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	220/290/326	106	314	9	12	31%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2024 · MLB	26	40→30	45	46→50	48	204/282/322	118	264	14	13	28%	9%	73	-0.6	200/274/299	99	273	9	11	28%	9%	64	-1.3	159/229/234	75	220	6	10	29%	7%	30	-1.6
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	45→50	40	188/260/301	113	281	9	10	35%	7%	60	-1.6	193/272/299	106	298	8	13	35%	8%	64	-1.3	165/257/264	99	259	6	16	35%	9%	51	-1.0
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	47→30	45	201/266/307	106	274	11	4	30%	8%	62	-1.4	217/284/338	121	301	14	4	30%	8%	76	-0.4	209/280/326	117	287	14	1	31%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Brandon Martorano 2024 · AA	26	39	45	48→50	42	189/271/309	121	302	13	9	39%	9%	65	-1.2	203/274/314	111	317	12	8	37%	8%	68	-1.0	170/241/256	86	263	11	0	37%	8%	41	-0.8
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	40	42→45	44→45	46	198/280/299	102	270	11	5	30%	8%	67	-1.1	225/320/359	134	292	13	10	25%	11%	95	+1.0	219/322/357	138	284	14	11	26%	12%	93	+0.4
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	41	189/264/294	105	291	11	14	37%	8%	59	-1.6	201/274/303	102	294	9	14	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/290/284	94	249	9	24	25%	10%	64	-0.3
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	41→33	43→40	46→50	37	200/262/305	105	305	11	11	36%	6%	61	-1.5	208/281/292	84	329	6	15	36%	8%	65	-1.2	205/287/273	68	334	4	17	36%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Jason Delay 2021 · AA	26	42	44→45	49→40	38	210/261/325	115	286	13	6	31%	5%	65	-1.2	205/253/298	93	291	7	5	30%	5%	55	-2.0	225/284/299	74	296	3	2	23%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	36→38	44→45	47→40	37	188/242/300	112	260	12	4	32%	5%	53	-2.1	215/273/311	96	313	9	8	32%	5%	66	-1.1	242/302/318	76	364	6	5	33%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	39→40	47→50	50	40	202/254/338	136	263	15	11	30%	6%	65	-1.2	213/256/350	137	247	17	10	22%	5%	69	-0.9	206/240/347	141	216	21	8	17%	4%	59	-1.1
✕Duke Sardinha 2007 · A	26	37→33	45→50	45	37	191/240/309	119	274	13	8	35%	6%	53	-2.1	205/253/328	123	277	13	6	30%	5%	62	-1.4	214/263/365	151	259	19	2	25%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Jakson Reetz 2022 · AAA	26	37→33	43→55	45	40	186/266/297	111	275	11	5	34%	7%	62	-1.4	204/280/379	175	264	21	5	31%	6%	86	+0.3	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Bennett Hostetler 2024 · AA	26	40→38	46→45	49→45	41	204/273/333	129	270	15	7	30%	6%	72	-0.7	198/259/308	110	300	10	13	36%	6%	61	-1.5	174/231/238	64	301	2	19	40%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	40→38	42→50	47→30	40	197/265/297	100	289	10	5	34%	7%	60	-1.6	200/259/291	91	299	9	7	34%	7%	56	-1.9	160/219/212	52	241	7	0	35%	7%	21	-1.4