Jacob Zibin P Hill City Howlers
Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 218 lbs A peak 0.8 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 154145vR 136
ERA6.03
FIP6.03
K%11.6%
BB%15.7%
K-BB%-4.2%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 105 IP
K: -0.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -5.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: -12.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-13CONTACTSTAM: +14.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: -0.48 (105 IP)-0.5WAR
0.00.10.20.20.30.30.30.22628303233
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3030
CTRL3535
CMD2525
K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202520ALynchburg Hillcats19196026344314100%3.112.4%13.9%-1.5%1.4%3.624.61—
202520ALynchburg Hillcats19196026344314100%3.116.7%11.8%4.9%1.5%3.624.06—
▸ 2026 Season
202621A+Lake County Captains161663282803011100%3.921.2%12.4%8.8%5.0%5.315.64-0.8
ROS21MLBCLE884217720285100%5.211.6%15.7%-4.2%2.8%6.036.03-0.7
ROS21MLBCLE——0——————11.6%15.7%-4.2%2.8%6.036.03—
2026 TOT21MLBCLE——1054591005816——21.9%12.6%9.3%3.5%5.605.79-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBCLE884418627265100%5.514.6%14.1%0.4%2.8%5.685.55-0.5
202823MLBCLE884619332265100%5.716.5%13.2%3.3%2.7%5.395.26-0.4
202924MLBCLE884719835255100%5.917.6%12.6%4.9%2.7%5.195.09-0.3
203025MLBCLE884820136255100%5.918.1%12.4%5.8%2.7%5.075.00-0.3
203126MLBCLE884820137255100%5.918.3%12.3%6.0%2.7%5.014.98-0.2
203227MLBCLE884719836255100%5.818.3%12.4%5.9%2.8%5.015.02-0.3
203328MLBCLE884519235245100%5.718.2%12.6%5.6%2.9%5.065.10-0.3
202722MLBCLE44229314133100%5.514.6%14.1%0.4%2.8%5.685.55-0.3
202823MLBCLE663313923184100%5.516.5%13.2%3.3%2.7%5.395.26-0.3
202924MLBCLE773916529214100%5.617.6%12.6%4.9%2.7%5.195.09-0.2
203025MLBCLE774217732225100%6.018.1%12.4%5.8%2.7%5.075.00-0.2
203126MLBCLE774318233225100%6.118.3%12.3%6.0%2.7%5.014.98-0.2
203227MLBCLE774318233235100%6.118.3%12.4%5.9%2.8%5.015.02-0.2
203328MLBCLE774217732225100%6.018.2%12.6%5.6%2.9%5.065.10-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career—4646265111919714231100%5.817.6%12.7%4.9%2.7%5.164.73+2.1
/ 200 IP—353520084414910723100%5.717.6%12.7%4.9%2.7%5.164.73+1.6
Career—3535122545927218100%3.517.0%13.2%3.8%3.3%4.495.14+0.4
/ 200 IP—575720089115111729100%3.517.0%13.2%3.8%3.3%4.495.14+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jacob Zibin (OGILVIE) —— 6.03 11.6%15.7%2.8%— 5.30 16.2%2.9%137 -0.73 ———
Donal Montas R 2026 · 5.96 FIP 21 SP 5.96 8.4%13.3%3.4%.268 4.86 10.3%-3.6%71 -1.10 4.10 149 89
Tom Robson R 2027 · 4.88 FIP 22 SP 4.88 12.6%13.4%2.1%.337 4.91 12.5%-1.3%105 +0.03 3.17 132 85
Matt Ager R 2027 · 5.81 FIP 22 SP 5.81 10.4%15.5%2.9%.281 5.00 17.1%8.5%70 -0.81 5.00 146 85
Jefry Rodriguez R 2027 · 5.22 FIP 22 SP 5.22 9.9%14.6%2.0%.286 4.04 16.6%5.2%333 -1.18 3.21 578 84
Danny Flatt R 2026 · 5.67 FIP 21 SP 5.67 12.0%15.6%2.9%.281 5.31 12.9%0.6%38 -0.36 5.31 112 83
Bryce Warrecker R 2027 · 5.43 FIP 22 SP 5.43 11.3%11.7%3.3%.271 3.28 21.7%13.4%72 -2.15 2.48 135 83
Ofreidy Gómez R 2026 · 5.17 FIP 21 SP 5.17 12.8%14.5%2.4%.266 5.16 14.4%4.0%401 -0.01 3.58 649 83
Jordany Chirinos R 2024 · 5.19 FIP 19 SP 5.19 12.2%17.6%1.6%.292 — ——— — 3.34 126 82
Steven Brooks R 2027 · 5.61 FIP 22 SP 5.61 16.6%17.9%3.0%.268 4.80 25.0%9.8%40 -0.81 4.80 103 82
Andrew Landry R 2027 · 5.72 FIP 22 SP 5.72 9.8%20.7%1.5%.290 4.36 16.7%4.1%141 -1.36 3.25 160 81
Jake Madden R 2026 · 5.22 FIP 21 SP 5.22 15.9%15.2%2.8%.299 4.57 14.1%-1.1%44 -0.65 4.57 123 81
Henry Williams R 2026 · 5.43 FIP 21 SP 5.43 16.5%14.2%3.5%.271 4.77 16.7%6.5%293 -0.66 4.06 360 81
David Sanchez R 2024 · 5.57 FIP 19 SP 5.57 11.0%13.3%3.1%.323 — ——— — 5.33 110 80
Oliver Garcia R 2025 · 6.31 FIP 20 SP 6.31 10.4%15.7%3.8%.315 5.49 16.5%1.8%53 -0.82 3.05 233 80
Edinxon Arias R 2024 · 7.03 FIP 19 SP 7.03 7.6%19.9%3.7%.318 — ——— — 4.61 127 80
Ryan Degges R 2027 · 5.50 FIP 22 SP- 5.50 15.1%16.7%2.8%.296 6.74 21.2%5.9%21 +1.24 5.50 102 80
Ryan Harvey R 2027 · 4.98 FIP 22 SP 4.98 16.7%13.1%3.0%.294 3.81 16.9%3.9%66 -1.17 3.56 112 79
Victor Mederos R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 21 SP 5.03 15.6%14.0%2.7%.286 5.29 16.5%5.4%301 +0.26 4.19 360 79
Jeter Martinez R 2025 · 4.89 FIP 20 SP 4.89 15.7%15.9%2.0%.307 — ——— — 3.51 209 79
Yoscar Pimentel R 2026 · 5.94 FIP 21 SP 5.94 14.4%15.3%3.9%.300 — ——— — 4.05 136 79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION84616.7%13.1%1.065.29
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77
Buck Farmer ('24)105021.6%10.5%1.234.59
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Wily Peralta ('22)77116.1%9.8%1.224.66
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58