Brady Kirtner
P
Hudson Valley Renegades
Age 24
RHP
5'10" / 180 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION26 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 114
ERA5.03
FIP5.03
K%19.9%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%7.1%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 47 | 196 | 52 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.8% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 2.70 | 4.32 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 47 | 196 | 52 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.5% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 1.0% | 2.70 | 2.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 24 | 0 | 26 | 127 | 34 | 19 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.13 | 5.16 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 48 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 5.03 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 83 | 368 | 82 | 50 | 10 | — | — | 22.3% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 5.06 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 50 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 51 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.88 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.80 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 61 | 0 | 64 | 268 | 56 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.41 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 98 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.41 | +2.3 | ||
| Career | — | 59 | 0 | 73 | 323 | 65 | 48 | 8 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.1% | 14.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 3.58 | 4.65 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 162 | 0 | 200 | 885 | 178 | 132 | 22 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.1% | 14.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 3.58 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brady Kirtner (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.03 | 19.9% | 12.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.80 | 20.8% | 9.2% | 116 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 95 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 92 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 22.4% | 13.6% | 2.4% | .331 | 4.29 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 105 | +0.06 | 3.44 | 213 | 91 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 90 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 90 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.8% | .237 | 5.05 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 56 | +0.46 | 4.59 | 120 | 90 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 90 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 89 |
| Reid Schaller R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 20.2% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .298 | 3.84 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 90 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 186 | 89 |
| Hunter Dula R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.79 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 3.4% | .301 | 4.05 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 37 | -0.74 | 3.85 | 132 | 89 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 89 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.63 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 124 | 89 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 89 |
| Jack Sinclair R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 3.0% | .258 | 3.96 | 20.5% | 8.1% | 161 | -0.76 | 2.82 | 285 | 89 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 20.9% | 14.5% | 2.1% | .270 | 4.39 | 16.4% | 2.8% | 110 | +0.05 | 4.11 | 172 | 88 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 88 |
| Billy Seidl R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.87 | 18.3% | 14.2% | 2.8% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 102 | 88 |
| Jay Driver R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 88 |
| Bryce McGowan R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.30 | 19.8% | 14.3% | 3.8% | .304 | 3.59 | 18.8% | 6.7% | 55 | -1.71 | 3.59 | 178 | 87 |
| Morgan McSweeney R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.18 | 18.0% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .278 | 4.55 | 17.0% | 5.3% | 107 | -0.63 | 3.94 | 189 | 87 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 20.5% | 12.1% | 1.13 | 4.90 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |