Matt Halbach

3B South Bend Cubs
Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421INTLCanberra Cava…125.250/.328/.37520102—
202522ACHC436.244/.353/.3799261—.199/.281/.302
202623A+CHC482.251/.335/.37110761—.213/.280/.307
2027PROJMLE24MLBCHC1.210/.278/.3100067-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBCHC79.213/.281/.3191170-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBCHC135.215/.284/.3232172-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
K%72
Whiff%63
Chase%49
Speed40
wOBA37
Z-Con%37
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsAbrahan Gutierrez (age 24) · Aaron McKeithan (age 24) · Michael Paez (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .278 / .310
PA1
HR0
K%26
BB%7
BABIP272
ISO89
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.227283031
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.6M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 INTLCanberra Cavalry — 125112 28612 8215 00 250328375703 125292 176 319 102 — — — — — —
202522 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 436369 902309 479015 22 244353379732 136295 2111 332 61 — — — — — —
202623 A+South Bend Cubs — 482423 10621010 46968 71 251335371706 121299 2010 319 61 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202522 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 436387 771907 2912815 22 199281302583 103261 297 258 61 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 482437 931708 331228 71 213280307587 94268 257 259 61 — — — — — —
202421 INTL MLECanberra Cavalry — 125112 28612 8215 00 250328375703 125292 176 — — — — — — — —
202421 INTL RAWCanberra Cavalry — 125112 28612 8215 00 250328375703 125292 176 319 102 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 436387 771907 2912815 22 199281302583 103272 297 258 61 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 436369 902309 479015 22 244353379732 136295 2111 332 61 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 482437 931708 331228 71 213280307587 94273 257 259 61 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAWSouth Bend Cubs — 482423 10621010 46968 71 251335371706 121299 2010 319 61 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 436389 771907 2912815 22 198281301582 103261 297 258 61 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 482438 931708 331228 71 212280306586 94268 257 259 61 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 436389 771907 2912815 22 198281301582 103261 297 258 61 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 482438 931708 331228 71 212280306586 94268 257 259 61 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLECHC 0% 380344 721506 26987 41 209277309586 100270 267 267 67 -15 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXCHC 0% 11 0000 000 00 210278310588 100272 00 267 67 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLECHC 30% 260236 501005 18664 31 212280318598 106271 257 272 70 -9 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.3
202926 MLB MLECHC 44% 305276 591206 21775 31 214283323606 109272 257 274 72 -10 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.2
203027 MLB MLECHC 49% 321290 611206 23815 41 214283324608 111272 257 275 73 -10 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.2
203128 MLB MLECHC 52% 328296 631306 24835 31 214283324607 110272 257 275 72 -11 +0 -1 +1 +7 -0.3
202825 MLB CTXCHC 30% 7973 15301 5201 10 213281319600 106273 256 272 70 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202926 MLB CTXCHC 44% 135123 25502 9342 10 215284323607 109274 257 275 72 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
203027 MLB CTXCHC 49% 157142 30603 11403 21 215284325609 110275 257 276 73 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
203128 MLB CTXCHC 52% 169152 33703 12433 21 215284324608 110274 257 276 72 -6 +0 -0 +1 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 540490 1032109 371379 62 210278308586 98271 257 275 58 -18 +0 -0 +2 +12 -0.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 12425011 4516511 72 210279308588 98270 257 275 58 -22 +0 -0 +2 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 24672224 47097143 17063251 248 211283314596 103273 267 254 58 -49 +1 -1 +5 +31 -1.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650586 12426011 4516713 62 212282312594 101274 267 254 58 -22 +0 -0 +2 +14 -0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+South Bend Cubs · 482 PAwOBA .313 → .259 (−54)K% 19.9% → 25.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.92%÷1.000×1.270——25.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.54%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9986.76%
HBP% /PA1.66%—×0.790—×0.9981.31%
Singles /BIP22.94%÷1.000×0.920×1.009×0.99821.26%
Doubles /BIP6.42%÷1.000×0.810×1.009×0.9985.24%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.009×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP3.06%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9982.44%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .313 → .259; ISO .121 → .095; BABIP .299 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 436 PAwOBA .326 → .258 (−69)K% 20.6% → 29.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.64%÷0.956×1.360——29.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.55%÷1.106×0.690——6.58%
HBP% /PA3.44%—×0.780——2.68%
Singles /BIP20.79%÷0.990×0.920×0.979—18.92%
Doubles /BIP8.24%÷0.968×0.830×0.979—6.92%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×0.979—0.00%
Home runs /BIP3.23%÷0.925×0.800——2.79%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 91, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .326 → .258; ISO .136 → .111; BABIP .295 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .