Matt Halbach — OGILVIE

Matt Halbach3B South Bend Cubs

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 215 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION319 act + 212 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .275 / .320

PA212

HR4

K%28

BB%6

BABIP281

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	125	112	28	6	1	2	8	21	5	0	0	250	328	375	703	125	292	17	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	125	112	28	6	1	2	8	21	5	0	0	250	328	375	703	125	292	17	6	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	436	392	79	19	0	9	24	140	15	2	2	202	274	319	593	117	282	32	6	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	436	369	90	23	0	9	47	90	15	2	2	244	353	379	732	136	295	21	11	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	CHC	—	319	291	64	14	0	5	21	86	5	3	0	220	284	320	603	100	292	27	7	266	62	-14	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
YTD	23	A+	CHC	—	319	283	75	18	0	6	29	64	5	3	0	265	344	392	736	127	321	20	9	331	112	+4	+1	+0	+1	+9	1.5
ROS	23	A+	CHC	0%	212	193	41	9	0	4	13	59	4	2	0	212	275	320	595	108	283	28	6	271	66	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	CHC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						285	0	0	258	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	CHC	—	320	292	64	14	0	5	21	86	5	3	0	219	283	318	602	99	291	27	7	266	62	-14	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
TOT	23	A+	CHC	—	531	484	105	23	0	9	34	145	9	5	0	217	280	320	600	103	288	27	6	268	63	-22	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CHC	30%	495	451	99	22	1	10	32	134	9	5	1	220	285	339	624	120	285	27	6	279	72	-16	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.1
2028	25	MLB	CHC	44%	523	474	105	23	1	11	35	139	9	6	1	222	288	344	632	122	286	27	7	285	76	-14	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.3
2029	26	MLB	CHC	51%	538	487	108	23	1	12	37	142	9	6	1	222	289	347	636	125	286	26	7	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.5
2030	27	MLB	CHC	52%	543	491	110	24	1	12	38	143	9	7	2	224	292	350	642	126	286	26	7	288	79	-13	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.5
2027	24	MLB	CHC	30%	150	136	30	7	0	3	10	40	3	1	0	221	289	338	627	118	287	27	7	267	63	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	CHC	44%	231	209	46	10	0	5	16	61	4	2	1	220	288	340	628	120	288	26	7	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	CHC	51%	273	247	55	12	0	6	19	72	5	3	1	223	292	344	636	121	288	26	7	276	69	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	CHC	52%	285	258	57	13	0	6	20	75	5	3	1	221	290	341	631	120	288	26	7	277	70	-10	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	940	851	188	42	0	20	65	248	17	9	3	221	289	341	630	120	286	26	7	274	68	-34	+1	+0	+3	+27	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	130	29	0	14	45	171	12	6	2	221	290	342	632	121	286	26	7	274	68	-23	+0	+0	+2	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	2872	2600	570	126	5	60	187	778	60	28	7	219	287	341	628	122	287	27	7	268	63	-120	+3	+0	+10	+81	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	130	29	1	14	42	176	14	6	2	221	289	345	634	124	289	27	6	268	63	-27	+0	+0	+2	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	125	112	28	6	1	2	8	21	5	0	0	250	328	375	703	125	292	17	6	319	103	+0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	436	369	90	23	0	9	47	90	15	2	2	244	353	379	732	136	295	21	11	332	112	+6	-0	—	—	+12	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	941	20	10	223	287	347	+3	+1	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	14	7	223	287	347	+2.4	+0.7	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Halbach (OGILVIE)	23	40	35	40	40	217/280/320	103	288	9	5	27%	6%	63	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Vizcaino Jr. 2017 · A	23	45→41	43→45	41→45	42	220/280/333	113	296	10	6	28%	6%	70	-0.3	208/258/301	93	317	8	8	35%	5%	52	-1.6	194/239/273	79	307	7	8	37%	4%	34	-2.1
✕Jeremy Farrell 2010 · A	23	45→36	41→45	43→45	40	215/275/310	95	303	8	4	30%	6%	62	-0.9	221/285/329	108	308	9	6	29%	6%	72	-0.2	211/280/310	99	298	8	5	30%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Billy Rojo 2006 · A	23	44	42→30	42→50	41	215/270/319	104	283	9	6	26%	5%	63	-0.9	213/261/286	73	280	4	9	24%	5%	49	-1.8	209/255/270	61	274	2	10	23%	5%	39	-0.9
✕Alika Williams 2022 · A	23	48→45	40→45	42→45	39	229/267/321	91	296	7	8	25%	4%	60	-1.0	218/275/319	101	283	9	7	25%	7%	64	-0.8	242/291/349	107	304	9	4	22%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jimmy Herron 2019 · A	23	45	45	41→55	46	225/288/339	115	274	13	6	23%	7%	76	+0.0	190/266/280	90	255	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2023 · A	23	45	41→40	45→40	44	215/291/309	94	292	8	4	28%	7%	69	-0.4	213/291/294	81	270	8	4	23%	7%	66	-0.6	205/291/269	63	262	7	0	23%	8%	57	-0.3
✕Kevin Ahrens 2012 · A	23	39→46	43→45	38→40	44	198/259/310	111	257	11	2	27%	7%	56	-1.3	199/263/299	100	263	9	2	26%	8%	54	-1.4	214/270/332	118	266	11	3	23%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2021 · A	23	44→43	44→45	43→50	44	215/283/335	119	288	10	7	28%	7%	72	-0.2	192/266/285	93	277	8	10	31%	8%	53	-1.5	183/261/270	88	257	8	12	30%	8%	44	-1.2
✕Cam Balego 2018 · A	23	45→42	39→45	41→30	45	215/281/311	97	293	5	6	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/280/308	95	280	9	3	26%	6%	64	-0.8	207/282/306	99	266	11	1	25%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Kai Gronauer 2010 · A	23	44	41→40	42→40	39	218/260/309	91	273	10	4	24%	4%	55	-1.4	225/275/313	88	288	8	5	24%	5%	63	-0.9	222/274/301	78	285	7	4	23%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Brian Serven 2019 · A	24	40	40→45	41→30	40	197/248/295	98	262	7	4	27%	5%	46	-2.0	185/239/301	116	243	13	4	29%	5%	45	-2.1	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Tyler Saladino 2012 · A	23	42→47	46→45	44→55	42	209/274/345	136	286	12	7	30%	7%	71	-0.3	217/286/316	99	287	8	20	25%	8%	68	-0.5	256/300/368	112	305	11	25	19%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Michael Paez 2018 · A	23	43→42	43→45	41→40	47	210/291/327	118	275	10	7	26%	8%	74	-0.1	207/277/306	99	264	8	4	24%	7%	63	-0.9	198/268/287	89	249	8	2	22%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Joe Leonard 2012 · A	23	44	41→40	42→40	40	214/256/315	101	283	8	3	27%	5%	54	-1.4	212/254/307	95	280	7	4	26%	5%	52	-1.6	208/249/295	87	273	6	3	26%	5%	43	-1.5
✕Paul Franko 2007 · A	23	42	41→50	44→30	42	205/277/303	98	285	9	3	30%	7%	62	-0.9	214/285/308	94	315	7	4	32%	7%	66	-0.6	231/318/360	129	326	13	0	30%	10%	95	+0.3
✕Alex De Goti 2018 · A	23	41→47	40→45	44→50	44	198/272/290	92	289	8	7	33%	8%	56	-1.3	225/277/344	119	285	12	7	24%	6%	72	-0.2	215/285/328	114	279	10	6	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Pedro Pagés 2022 · A	23	44	42→50	42→40	42	213/280/315	102	304	10	4	32%	7%	66	-0.6	212/275/335	123	294	14	4	31%	7%	69	-0.4	225/284/360	135	285	17	2	26%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Rayder Ascanio 2019 · A	23	42→46	41→40	40→45	44	206/259/299	93	259	9	7	24%	6%	53	-1.5	212/263/310	98	271	10	6	25%	6%	57	-1.2	205/255/302	97	260	12	4	25%	6%	48	-0.9
✕Robert Pehl 2016 · A	23	44	41→40	43→40	41	218/274/312	94	283	9	5	26%	5%	63	-0.9	219/284/313	94	305	6	5	28%	7%	66	-0.6	222/292/316	95	314	2	3	28%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Anderson Gomes 2008 · A	23	47→40	43→45	43→50	43	231/282/342	110	302	10	6	26%	6%	72	-0.2	217/271/331	114	303	11	8	30%	7%	66	-0.6	160/218/266	106	229	13	10	35%	6%	24	-0.9