Nic KentSS Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION210 act + 140 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .266 / .328
PA140
HR3
K%31
BB%6
BABIP277
ISO125
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202121 ROKACL Rockies 6457 9100 2163 32 158226175401 18220 253 184 -1
202121 ROKACL Rockies 6455 12200 4113 32 218306255561 36273 176 260 57
202222 A+Spokane Indians 188174 24500 7712 94 138180167347 29226 384 156 -22
202222 A+Spokane Indians 188170 35701 11482 94 206262265527 59274 266 237 40
202323 A+Spokane Indians 456412 871728 221009 95 211266320587 109252 225 254 53
202323 A+Spokane Indians 456393 10924211 41699 95 277359433791 155304 159 345 122
202424 AAHartford Yard Goats 364335 67902 141107 100 200247245492 45290 304 217 24
202424 AAHartford Yard Goats 364326 811302 23837 100 248312307619 58326 236 280 72
202525 AAHartford Yard Goats 384344 651012 26989 61 189264241505 52255 267 232 36
202525 AAHartford Yard Goats 384336 741024 33809 61 220306298604 77275 219 277 70
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD26 AAACOL 210192 401028 16711 42 208273406679 198281 348 288 79 -5 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.3
YTD26 AAACOL 210185 4913211 23551 42 265349535884 270317 2611 383 151 +12 +0 +0 +2 +6 2.1
ROS26 AAACOL 10% 140128 26513 9432 21 203266328594 125275 316 260 57 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
ROS26 MLBCOL 10% 1413 3100 140 00 231286308593 77297 297 270 65 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL26 AAACOL 224205 431128 17751 42 210274400674 190285 338 287 78 -6 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.3
TOT26 AAACOL 350320 6615311 251143 63 206270375645 169279 337 277 70 -12 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBCOL 31% 336306 621227 231014 52 203267324591 121274 307 264 61 -15 +0 +0 +4 +10 -0.2
202828 MLBCOL 42% 364332 691428 251084 52 208271334606 127275 307 268 63 -15 +0 -1 +4 +10 -0.1
202727 MLBCOL 31% 10495 20412 7311 21 211272337609 126295 307 274 68 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202828 MLBCOL 42% 153139 31614 11452 21 223289367656 144296 297 278 71 -5 +0 -0 +2 +4 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 271247 541126 19803 42 219283352635 134294 307 276 70 -9 +0 -0 +3 +8 0.1
/ 162G 650592 12926514 461927 105 218282350632 132294 307 276 70 -22 +0 -1 +7 +18 0.3
Career 22962088 40973830 12864740 4917 196256282537 86265 286 239 41 -154 +3 -1 +25 +65 -6.3
/ 162G 650591 1152128 3618311 145 195254277531 83264 286 239 41 -43 +1 -0 +7 +18 -1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202121 ROKACL Rockies 6455 12200 4113 32 218306255561 36273 176 260 57 -3 -0 +2 -0.2
202222 A+Spokane Indians 188170 35701 11482 94 206262265527 59274 266 237 40 -13 +0 +5 -0.7
202323 A+Spokane Indians 456393 10924211 41699 95 277359433791 155304 159 345 122 +11 -0 +13 2.5
202424 AAHartford Yard Goats 364326 811302 23837 100 248312307619 58326 236 280 72 -11 +2 +10 0.1
202525 AAHartford Yard Goats 384336 741024 33809 61 220306298604 77275 219 277 70 -13 +1 +11 -0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
128264204266320+3+3-0.1-0.1
/1626641310+7.1+7.1-0.3pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nic Kent (OGILVIE) 26 40 30 45 40 206/270/375 169279 116 33% 7% 70 +0.2
Erick Castillo
2019 · AA
26 41 38→30 46→30 41 201/247/275 74255 64 24% 5% 40 -2.4 207/263/283 76264 65 23% 5% 50 -1.8 199/267/230312532020%5%36-0.7
Connor Justus
2021 · AA
26 35→37 37→40 43→45 42 172/248/244 72250 58 31% 7% 35 -2.8 192/256/268 76294 67 34% 7% 43 -2.2 166/232/217512613335%7%17-2.1
Stephen McGee
2017 · AAA
26 40 38→40 44→30 45 193/269/273 80275 64 30% 8% 50 -1.7 204/290/316 112313 114 35% 10% 71 -0.3 189/289/30311329312036%12%63-0.3
Alfredo González
2018 · AA
26 45 38→40 44→45 46 216/277/293 77279 67 24% 7% 58 -1.2 206/269/285 79288 66 29% 7% 53 -1.5 194/260/253592804230%8%38-1.0
Nick Meyer
2022 · AAA
25 42 38→40 47→50 43 204/265/279 75266 712 25% 6% 50 -1.7 216/287/315 99282 1115 26% 8% 69 -0.4 204/282/29591265121826%9%58-0.5
Malquin Canelo
2021 · AAA
26 44→49 38→40 46→50 37 211/255/292 81305 613 32% 5% 48 -1.9 214/260/326 112327 1111 36% 5% 59 -1.1 183/221/2829929310740%5%27-0.7
Tim Smalling
2014 · AA
26 45→42 38→40 42→45 44 214/267/295 81282 56 25% 6% 54 -1.4 207/253/283 76268 68 24% 5% 45 -2.1 198/241/262642515823%4%31-1.6
Rylan Sandoval
2014 · AAA
26 41 40 45 37 201/253/290 89292 77 32% 5% 47 -1.9 218/269/306 88322 79 32% 6% 58 -1.2 226/265/276503554436%5%43-0.4
Jio Mier
2017 · AAA
26 42→43 40 44→50 44 204/261/293 89265 78 25% 7% 52 -1.6 204/249/297 93277 88 28% 5% 47 -1.9 182/218/256732555330%3%21-1.6
Alfredo Lopez
2016 · AA
26 46 36→30 48→50 47 218/278/286 68274 314 21% 7% 56 -1.3 245/288/316 71293 416 17% 5% 68 -0.5 272/308/3214931721914%5%72-0.1
Errol Robinson
2021 · AAA
26 44→47 40 46→55 41 214/265/299 85290 813 28% 6% 54 -1.4 203/274/275 72321 517 35% 8% 53 -1.5 204/277/2555131732633%8%45-0.7
Josh Bissonette
2023 · AAA
26 41 36→30 44→30 45 197/256/265 68265 35 26% 7% 42 -2.3 207/267/288 81275 67 25% 7% 53 -1.5 190/254/236462522024%8%30-1.0
Ryan Dent
2015 · AAA
26 43→42 39→40 48→50 41 205/260/292 87283 614 28% 6% 51 -1.7 205/259/297 92293 78 31% 6% 52 -1.6 207/252/299922988332%5%48-1.0
Gioskar Amaya
2019 · AA
26 42→48 41→40 48→50 40 202/263/301 98301 89 34% 7% 54 -1.4 201/246/287 86296 56 32% 4% 43 -2.2 180/219/252722703233%3%20-1.9
Angelo Castellano
2021 · AA
26 38→47 41→45 47→50 40 190/243/283 93253 812 28% 6% 41 -2.3 200/261/306 106256 1212 26% 7% 56 -1.3 205/273/329124247151423%8%63-0.4
Rick Hague
2015 · AA
26 42→46 40→45 47→50 39 204/246/294 90275 710 28% 5% 45 -2.1 209/248/292 83284 59 27% 5% 44 -2.1 204/235/274702771626%3%31-1.9
Pat Cantwell
2016 · AAA
26 42 38→30 42→40 40 199/261/275 75257 54 24% 5% 47 -1.9 213/274/293 80294 78 28% 6% 57 -1.2 238/305/315773317828%7%73-0.0
Devin Lohman
2015 · AA
26 44→46 40 46→50 43 216/270/307 91268 813 22% 5% 59 -1.1 208/262/292 84283 710 28% 5% 52 -1.6 167/224/207402452830%5%11-1.5
Ronnie Freeman
2017 · AAA
26 44 37→40 45→30 42 212/254/283 72271 53 24% 5% 45 -2.1 216/260/299 83294 73 28% 5% 52 -1.6 217/264/32410628114027%6%57-0.3
Carlos Martínez
2021 · AA
26 42 39→30 50→45 43 202/253/284 82242 78 20% 5% 46 -2.0 220/260/332 112290 118 27% 4% 61 -1.0 218/235/32310628510027%0%45-0.5