Nic Kent
SS Albuquerque Isotopes| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AACOL | 364 | .248/.312/.307 | 2 | 10 | 46 | — | .222/.270/.269 |
| 2025 | 25 | AACOL | 384 | .220/.306/.298 | 4 | 6 | 45 | — | .194/.266/.249 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAACOL | 371 | .278/.364/.509 | 15 | 6 | 91 | — | .232/.299/.408 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 27 | MLBCOL | 16 | .220/.284/.343 | 0 | 0 | 67 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 28 | MLBCOL | 69 | .220/.284/.343 | 1 | 1 | 67 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 64 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 306 | 255 | 561 | 36 | 273 | 17 | 6 | 260 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 188 | 170 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 48 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 206 | 262 | 265 | 527 | 59 | 274 | 26 | 6 | 237 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 456 | 393 | 109 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 69 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 277 | 359 | 433 | 791 | 155 | 304 | 15 | 9 | 345 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 364 | 326 | 81 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 83 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 248 | 312 | 307 | 619 | 58 | 326 | 23 | 6 | 280 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 384 | 336 | 74 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 80 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 220 | 306 | 298 | 604 | 77 | 275 | 21 | 9 | 277 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 371 | 324 | 90 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 40 | 95 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 278 | 364 | 509 | 873 | 231 | 346 | 26 | 11 | 380 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 64 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 158 | 226 | 175 | 401 | 18 | 216 | 25 | 3 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 188 | 173 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 67 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 156 | 202 | 202 | 404 | 46 | 230 | 36 | 4 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 456 | 407 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 95 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 229 | 291 | 351 | 643 | 123 | 257 | 21 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 364 | 334 | 74 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 103 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 222 | 270 | 269 | 539 | 48 | 302 | 28 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 384 | 345 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 95 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 194 | 266 | 249 | 516 | 55 | 254 | 25 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 371 | 336 | 78 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 114 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 232 | 299 | 408 | 707 | 176 | 306 | 31 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 64 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 158 | 226 | 175 | 401 | 18 | 220 | 25 | 3 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL Rockies | — | 64 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 306 | 255 | 561 | 36 | 273 | 17 | 6 | 260 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 188 | 173 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 67 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 156 | 202 | 202 | 404 | 46 | 241 | 36 | 4 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | Spokane Indians | — | 188 | 170 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 48 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 206 | 262 | 265 | 527 | 59 | 274 | 26 | 6 | 237 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 456 | 407 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 95 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 229 | 291 | 351 | 643 | 123 | 269 | 21 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | Spokane Indians | — | 456 | 393 | 109 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 69 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 277 | 359 | 433 | 791 | 155 | 304 | 15 | 9 | 345 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 364 | 334 | 74 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 103 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 222 | 270 | 269 | 539 | 48 | 313 | 28 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 364 | 326 | 81 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 83 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 248 | 312 | 307 | 619 | 58 | 326 | 23 | 6 | 280 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 384 | 345 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 95 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 194 | 266 | 249 | 516 | 55 | 259 | 25 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 384 | 336 | 74 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 80 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 220 | 306 | 298 | 604 | 77 | 275 | 21 | 9 | 277 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 371 | 336 | 78 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 114 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 232 | 299 | 408 | 707 | 176 | 313 | 31 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 371 | 324 | 90 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 40 | 95 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 278 | 364 | 509 | 873 | 231 | 346 | 26 | 11 | 380 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 64 | 59 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 153 | 226 | 169 | 395 | 17 | 216 | 25 | 3 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 188 | 176 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 67 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 153 | 202 | 199 | 401 | 45 | 230 | 36 | 4 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 456 | 417 | 93 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 95 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 223 | 291 | 343 | 634 | 120 | 257 | 21 | 6 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 364 | 339 | 74 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 103 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 218 | 270 | 265 | 535 | 47 | 302 | 28 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 384 | 347 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 95 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 193 | 266 | 248 | 514 | 55 | 254 | 25 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 371 | 336 | 78 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 114 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 232 | 299 | 408 | 707 | 176 | 306 | 31 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 364 | 339 | 74 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 103 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 218 | 270 | 265 | 535 | 47 | 302 | 28 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 384 | 347 | 67 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 95 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 193 | 266 | 248 | 514 | 55 | 254 | 25 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 371 | 336 | 78 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 114 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 232 | 299 | 408 | 707 | 176 | 306 | 31 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 10% | 380 | 347 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 111 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 209 | 273 | 318 | 591 | 109 | 283 | 29 | 7 | 267 | 67 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 284 | 343 | 627 | 123 | 298 | 31 | 6 | 281 | 67 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 31% | 222 | 202 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 64 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 209 | 274 | 318 | 592 | 109 | 283 | 29 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 31% | 69 | 63 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 284 | 343 | 628 | 123 | 297 | 29 | 7 | 282 | 67 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 69 | 63 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 290 | 349 | 639 | 127 | 310 | 29 | 7 | 282 | 58 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 131 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 188 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 221 | 288 | 344 | 632 | 123 | 308 | 29 | 7 | 282 | 58 | -25 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2204 | 1996 | 420 | 76 | 10 | 32 | 130 | 599 | 39 | 48 | 18 | 210 | 272 | 307 | 579 | 96 | 280 | 27 | 6 | 254 | 58 | -15 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +8 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 123 | 22 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 177 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 209 | 271 | 302 | 573 | 93 | 279 | 27 | 6 | 254 | 58 | -25 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 371 PAwOBA .373 → .302 (−71)K% 25.6% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.61% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×1.018 | 19.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×1.018 | 7.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×1.018 | 1.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.67% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .373 → .302; ISO .231 → .176; BABIP .346 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAHartford Yard Goats · 384 PAwOBA .273 → .234 (−38)K% 20.8% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.59% | ÷0.940 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.34% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.66% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 21.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.91% | ÷0.913 | ×0.860 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 3.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | ×0.998 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.56% | ÷1.255 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .273 → .234; ISO .077 → .059; BABIP .275 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAHartford Yard Goats · 364 PAwOBA .273 → .236 (−37)K% 22.8% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.80% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.32% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.16% | ÷1.041 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 25.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.35% | ÷1.102 | ×0.860 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.82% | ÷0.916 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.71% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 108, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .273 → .236; ISO .058 → .047; BABIP .326 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Spokane Indians · 456 PAwOBA .343 → .277 (−66)K% 15.1% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.13% | ÷0.983 | ×1.350 | — | — | 20.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.99% | ÷1.075 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.97% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 19.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 5.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.936 | ×0.820 | ×0.978 | ×0.998 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.40% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 2.69% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 87, K 97, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .343 → .277; ISO .155 → .125; BABIP .304 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Spokane Indians · 188 PAwOBA .235 → .177 (−58)K% 25.5% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.53% | ÷0.975 | ×1.350 | — | — | 35.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.85% | ÷1.022 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.13% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 18.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.74% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 4.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.316 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 0.52% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 108, 2B 96, 3B 91, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .235 → .177; ISO .059 → .041; BABIP .274 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Rockies · 64 PAwOBA .253 → .187 (−67)K% 17.2% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.19% | ÷0.997 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.061 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 3.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.69% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 3.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.033 | ×0.820 | ×1.029 | ×0.985 | 18.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.009 | ×0.720 | ×1.029 | ×0.985 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.029 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.029 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .253 → .187; ISO .036 → .026; BABIP .273 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).