Maykel MinosoC FCL Blue Jays
Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 124 proj PA
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .287 / .308
PA124
HR1
K%24
BB%8
ISO87
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.01.02.00.40.81.11.41.51.51.41.21.00.70.4+$83M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT61
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED52
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$8M+$7M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$7M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.2$5M+$5M
2035Arb-1$2M+1.0$4M+$3M
2036Arb-2$2M+0.7$1M+$0.6M
2037Arb-3$1M+0.4$0.7M+$0.2M
Totals $8M $25M +$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Blue Jays 3934 4000 5180 00 118231118348 250 4613 162 -18
202217 ROKDSL Blue Jays 3931 5000 8130 00 161333161495 278 3321 259 57
202318 ROKDSL Blue Jays 190170 35400 14223 11 206278229507 24232 127 230 34
202318 ROKDSL Blue Jays 190162 45600 22163 11 278374315689 37302 812 319 102
202419 ROK2 teams 152140 19311 9321 61 136193193386 57165 216 171 -11
202419 ROK2 teams 152134 24411 15231 61 179267246513 67205 1510 239 41
202520 ROKFCL Blue Jays 128113 13300 13261 01 115213142354 27148 2010 171 -11
202520 ROKFCL Blue Jays 128105 17400 21181 01 162307200507 38193 1416 252 51
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBTOR 124113 26511 9301 21 230293319611 88290 247 273 67 -5 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBTOR 34% 218197 45813 17522 31 228296325621 96291 248 283 75 -6 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.4
202823 MLBTOR 48% 327295 691325 26763 41 234302342645 108292 238 290 80 -7 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.8
202924 MLBTOR 53% 402363 851627 32934 52 234303347650 113293 238 294 83 -8 +0 +0 +7 +11 1.1
203025 MLBTOR 55% 445403 941738 351034 62 233301350651 117293 238 296 85 -8 +0 +0 +8 +13 1.4
203126 MLBTOR 56% 470424 1001839 381095 62 236306356662 120293 238 297 85 -8 +0 +0 +8 +13 1.5
203227 MLBTOR 55% 481434 1021939 391115 62 235305355660 120293 238 297 85 -8 +0 +0 +9 +14 1.5
203328 MLBTOR 55% 483435 1031939 401135 62 237308356665 120292 238 296 85 -8 +0 -1 +9 +14 1.4
203429 MLBTOR 53% 478431 1011839 391125 62 234305353658 118292 238 294 83 -9 +0 -1 +9 +14 1.2
203530 MLBTOR 53% 470424 971828 391124 52 229300337637 108291 248 291 81 -10 +0 -2 +8 +13 1.0
203631 MLBTOR 52% 443399 911628 371074 41 228300338638 110288 248 287 78 -11 +0 -3 +8 +13 0.7
203732 MLBTOR 52% 414373 841527 341014 31 225297332629 107285 248 282 74 -12 +0 -4 +7 +12 0.4
203833 MLBTOR 52% 374337 751326 31933 21 223294326620 104282 258 275 69 -13 +0 -4 +7 +11 -0.0
203934 MLBTOR 47% 323291 611014 26833 10 210281292573 82276 268 267 62 -14 +0 -5 +6 +9 -0.4
202722 MLBTOR 34% 7568 15301 6181 10 221293309602 88293 248 277 70 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202823 MLBTOR 48% 158144 34613 12371 21 236299354654 118294 238 284 75 -4 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
202924 MLBTOR 53% 212191 45814 17492 31 236305351656 115294 238 288 79 -5 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.5
203025 MLBTOR 55% 244221 52915 19562 31 235302353655 118295 238 290 80 -5 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.6
203126 MLBTOR 56% 262236 561025 21613 41 237308360668 123294 238 291 81 -6 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.7
203227 MLBTOR 55% 265239 571025 21613 41 238308360668 121294 238 291 81 -6 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.7
203328 MLBTOR 55% 264237 561025 22623 31 236309359668 122294 238 290 80 -6 +0 -0 +5 +7 0.6
203429 MLBTOR 53% 255230 541015 21602 31 235304352657 117293 248 288 79 -6 +0 -1 +5 +7 0.5
203530 MLBTOR 53% 247223 51914 20592 31 229298332630 103292 248 285 77 -7 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.4
203631 MLBTOR 52% 231208 47814 19562 21 226297332629 106290 248 281 73 -7 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.2
203732 MLBTOR 52% 215193 43813 18532 21 223296321617 98287 258 276 69 -7 +0 -2 +4 +6 0.1
203833 MLBTOR 52% 193173 38613 16482 10 220293318611 98283 258 270 65 -8 +0 -2 +3 +5 -0.1
203934 MLBTOR 47% 152138 30512 12391 10 217285312596 94278 268 262 58 -7 +0 -2 +3 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 27732501 5781021549 22465926 3210 231301343644 112293 248 284 75 -77 +2 -10 +50 +79 4.4
/ 162G 650586 13624411 531546 82 232302343645 111295 248 284 75 -18 +1 -2 +12 +18 1.1
Career 59615376 12042153194 483139357 6623 224295328623 104283 238 281 73 -182 +4 -20 +106 +169 8.0
/ 162G 650586 13023310 531526 73 222293323615 101281 238 281 73 -20 +0 -2 +12 +18 0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Blue Jays 3931 5000 8130 00 161333161495 278 3321 259 57 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202318 ROKDSL Blue Jays 190162 45600 22163 11 278374315689 37302 812 319 102 +0 -0 +5 0.6
202419 ADunedin Blue Jays 3533 4100 280 01 121171152323 30160 236 154 -24 -5 -0 +1 -0.4
202419 ROKFCL Blue Jays 117101 20311 13151 60 198296277573 79218 1311 264 60 -5 +1 +3 -0.1
202520 ROKFCL Blue Jays 128105 17400 21181 01 162307200507 38193 1416 252 51 -7 -0 +4 -0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
82,8965033231297342+52+326.55.8
/162664117+11.9+7.31.5pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Maykel Minoso (OGILVIE) 21 56→61 31→36 47→52 55 221/287/308 86290 12 24% 8% 67 -0.1
Iván De Jesús Jr.
2008 · A
21 53→63 36→40 47→50 49 248/306/312 65306 39 20% 7% 75 -0.0 261/318/344 83321 610 19% 7% 88 +0.9 263/314/359973505425%6%88+0.6
Jose Cordova
2021 · A
21 49 37→40 50 42 230/287/303 73298 413 23% 5% 65 -0.7 211/265/280 69308 39 31% 5% 50 -1.8 227/290/3128530541225%7%65-0.3
Jesus Rodriguez
2023 · A
21 50→55 41→45 50 49 236/301/346 110285 612 19% 7% 82 +0.5 249/307/362 113307 914 21% 7% 89 +0.9 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
Lou Marson
2007 · A
21 45→54 39→40 53→50 45 216/280/308 93293 65 27% 8% 63 -0.8 250/320/346 96332 74 24% 9% 90 +1.0 263/336/352903446423%9%96+1.1
Emerson Landoni
2010 · A
21 46→56 37→40 45 46 216/281/289 72281 47 24% 7% 59 -1.1 232/276/309 77293 58 22% 5% 61 -1.0 263/307/339753144416%5%78+0.1
Ali Castillo
2010 · A
21 51→61 38→40 52→55 51 235/291/328 94266 310 13% 7% 72 -0.2 247/304/342 95283 413 13% 6% 82 +0.5 266/300/3215630822114%4%70-0.2
Jose Duarte
2006 · A
21 48→56 40 50→55 47 229/285/330 101294 711 24% 7% 70 -0.3 235/283/309 74308 319 23% 6% 64 -0.8 236/303/3279129561421%9%75-0.0
Osleivis Basabe
2022 · A
21 53→61 38→45 55→50 44 249/292/335 86307 515 20% 5% 74 -0.1 258/303/359 101313 515 18% 5% 85 +0.7 259/305/36010031251518%5%83+0.4
Ryan Adams
2008 · A
21 45→55 39→45 46→45 43 212/276/301 89300 66 30% 7% 60 -1.0 249/293/359 110343 96 28% 5% 82 +0.5 257/301/37411635010428%5%85+0.5
Luis Perez
2012 · A
21 48 39→30 49→50 50 225/294/319 94263 69 16% 7% 72 -0.2 222/266/337 115286 98 25% 5% 65 -0.7 223/256/36213929010726%4%63-0.2
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2016 · A
21 52→56 34→40 47→55 43 240/287/287 47297 110 19% 4% 59 -1.1 245/298/305 60294 310 16% 5% 69 -0.4 264/312/3417729962114%5%81+0.3
Ozzie Martínez
2009 · A
21 51→59 40 45→50 41 245/277/337 92291 87 19% 4% 69 -0.4 247/293/330 83292 411 16% 5% 73 -0.1 248/297/3267829331216%5%70-0.3
Miguel Villarroel
2023 · A
21 52→51 38→40 47→55 47 248/303/326 78297 511 18% 6% 77 +0.1 224/262/298 74315 521 29% 4% 52 -1.6 223/266/2957334452835%5%49-1.0
Brallan Perez
2017 · A
21 50 36→30 46→50 50 231/292/295 63268 311 15% 7% 65 -0.7 241/293/297 56298 38 19% 6% 66 -0.6 236/292/279432982720%6%56-0.7
David Hernandez
2008 · A
21 50 38→40 42→55 45 236/288/313 76287 56 19% 6% 67 -0.5 215/281/287 72273 313 21% 7% 59 -1.1 190/270/2445324102219%8%40-1.0
Josh Morgan
2017 · A
21 53→56 36→45 45→40 47 250/309/315 65302 45 18% 6% 77 +0.1 227/274/312 85276 64 19% 5% 61 -1.0 206/264/33312625716226%6%61-0.5
José Caballero
2018 · A
21 47→45 39→45 54→70 39 224/275/317 93301 67 27% 5% 63 -0.8 223/291/334 111281 1019 23% 7% 76 +0.0 225/318/339114299106326%9%86+0.5
Andy Paz
2014 · A
21 45 38→40 42→45 47 212/273/289 77273 55 23% 7% 56 -1.3 200/258/270 70282 55 29% 7% 44 -2.1 202/252/250482713625%6%33-0.9
Gavin Cecchini
2015 · A
21 44→54 41→45 48→45 45 211/263/317 106263 77 22% 6% 59 -1.1 242/291/336 94288 75 17% 6% 75 -0.0 246/296/330842906416%6%70-0.3
Jake Elmore
2009 · A
22 45→55 40 45→55 45 217/280/320 103285 610 25% 7% 66 -0.6 234/305/309 75287 314 18% 9% 74 -0.1 261/334/3347231522316%9%91+0.9