Maykel Minoso — OGILVIE

Maykel MinosoC FCL Blue Jays

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 124 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .288 / .306

PA10

HR0

K%24

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT61

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	39	31	5	0	0	0	8	13	0	0	0	161	333	161	495		278	33	21	259	62	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	190	162	45	6	0	0	22	16	3	1	1	278	374	315	689	37	302	8	12	319	102	+0	-0	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	35	33	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	1	121	171	152	323	30	160	23	6	154	-10	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	117	101	20	3	1	1	13	15	1	6	0	198	296	277	573	79	218	13	11	264	65	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	20	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	128	105	17	4	0	0	21	18	1	0	1	162	307	200	507	38	193	14	16	252	57	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	39	34	4	0	0	0	5	19	0	0	0	118	231	118	348		225	49	13	164	-3	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	190	170	35	4	0	0	14	23	3	1	1	206	278	229	507	24	227	12	7	233	44	-13	-0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2024	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	35	33	4	1	0	0	2	11	0	0	1	121	171	152	323	30	153	31	6	127	-28	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	117	106	16	2	1	1	8	21	1	6	0	151	217	217	434	66	162	18	7	186	12	-12	+1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	128	113	13	3	0	0	13	26	1	0	1	115	213	142	354	27	144	20	10	173	3	-15	-0	—	—	+3	-1.3
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	39	34	4	0	0	0	5	19	0	0	0	118	231	118	348		267	49	13	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	39	31	5	0	0	0	8	13	0	0	0	161	333	161	495		278	33	21	259	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	190	170	35	4	0	0	14	23	3	1	1	206	278	229	507	24	233	12	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	190	162	45	6	0	0	22	16	3	1	1	278	374	315	689	37	302	8	12	319	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	152	140	19	3	1	1	9	32	1	6	1	136	193	193	386	57	165	21	6	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	152	134	24	4	1	1	15	23	1	6	1	179	267	246	513	67	205	15	10	239	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	128	113	13	3	0	0	13	26	1	0	1	115	213	142	354	27	148	20	10	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	128	105	17	4	0	0	21	18	1	0	1	162	307	200	507	38	193	14	16	252	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	39	34	4	0	0	0	5	19	0	0	0	118	231	118	348		225	49	13	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	190	171	35	4	0	0	14	23	3	1	1	205	278	228	506	23	227	12	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	152	141	19	3	1	1	9	32	1	6	1	135	193	191	385	57	160	21	6	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	128	113	13	3	0	0	13	26	1	0	1	115	213	142	354	27	144	20	10	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	190	171	35	4	0	0	14	23	3	1	1	205	278	228	506	23	227	12	7	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	152	141	19	3	1	1	9	32	1	6	1	135	193	191	385	57	160	21	6	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	128	113	13	3	0	0	13	26	1	0	1	115	213	142	354	27	144	20	10	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	222	300	222	522		290	20	10	273	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	218	197	45	8	1	3	17	51	2	3	1	228	296	325	621	96	291	23	8	283	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	327	295	69	13	2	5	26	75	3	4	1	234	302	342	645	108	292	23	8	290	83	-7	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	402	363	85	16	2	7	32	92	4	5	2	234	303	347	650	113	293	23	8	295	86	-7	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	445	402	94	17	3	8	36	101	4	6	2	234	303	351	654	117	293	23	8	297	87	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	470	424	100	18	3	9	38	107	5	6	2	236	306	356	662	120	293	23	8	297	87	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	481	434	103	19	3	9	39	110	5	6	2	237	308	357	665	120	292	23	8	298	87	-7	+0	+0	+9	+10	1.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	483	435	103	19	3	9	40	111	5	6	2	237	308	356	665	120	292	23	8	297	87	-8	+0	-1	+9	+10	1.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	478	430	101	18	3	9	40	111	5	6	2	235	307	353	661	119	291	23	8	295	86	-8	+0	-1	+9	+10	1.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	470	424	97	18	2	8	39	110	4	5	2	229	300	337	637	108	290	23	8	292	84	-9	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.8
2036	31	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	443	399	90	16	2	7	37	105	4	4	1	226	298	328	626	103	288	24	8	288	81	-10	+0	-3	+8	+10	0.5
2037	32	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	414	373	84	15	2	7	34	100	4	3	1	225	297	332	629	107	285	24	8	282	77	-11	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.2
2038	33	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	374	337	75	13	2	6	31	92	3	2	1	223	294	326	620	104	281	25	8	276	73	-12	+0	-4	+7	+8	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	75	68	15	3	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	221	293	309	602	88	292	23	8	278	78	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	158	143	34	6	1	3	13	36	1	2	1	238	306	357	662	119	293	23	8	284	83	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	212	191	45	8	1	4	17	49	2	3	1	236	305	351	656	115	294	23	8	289	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	244	220	52	9	1	5	20	56	2	3	1	236	306	355	660	118	294	23	8	291	87	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	262	236	56	10	2	5	21	60	3	4	1	237	308	360	668	123	294	23	8	291	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	265	238	57	10	2	5	22	61	3	4	1	239	312	361	673	122	294	23	8	291	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2033	28	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	264	237	56	10	2	5	22	61	3	3	1	236	309	359	668	122	294	23	8	290	87	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	255	230	54	10	1	5	21	59	2	3	1	235	304	352	657	117	293	23	8	289	86	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2035	30	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	247	222	51	9	1	4	21	58	2	3	1	230	302	333	635	104	292	23	9	286	84	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	231	208	47	8	1	4	19	55	2	2	1	226	297	332	629	106	290	24	8	282	81	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2037	32	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	215	193	43	8	1	3	18	52	2	2	1	223	296	321	617	98	287	24	8	277	77	-6	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2038	33	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	193	173	38	6	1	3	16	48	2	1	0	220	293	318	611	98	283	25	8	270	73	-6	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2621	2359	548	97	14	47	216	612	25	31	10	232	303	345	649	113	293	23	8	286	77	-51	+2	-8	+47	+57	4.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	136	24	3	12	54	152	6	8	2	232	304	345	649	113	292	23	8	286	77	-13	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5524	4979	1119	200	29	88	451	1267	53	63	22	225	296	330	626	105	282	23	8	283	77	-99	+4	-15	+90	+109	9.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	131	24	3	10	53	149	6	7	3	224	294	326	620	102	281	23	8	283	77	-13	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.1	2,744	47	32	232	299	344	+49	+28	7.1	6.2
/162	664	11	8	+11.9	+6.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Maykel Minoso (OGILVIE)	21	56→61	30→35	47→52	56	222/288/306	85	290	1	2	24%	8%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Iván De Jesús Jr. 2008 · A	21	53→63	36→40	47→50	49	248/306/312	65	306	3	9	20%	7%	78	-0.3	265/321/347	82	324	6	10	18%	7%	91	+0.7	263/320/354	91	340	5	4	23%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/348	112	284	7	12	19%	7%	84	+0.2	250/311/362	112	306	9	14	20%	7%	91	+0.7	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Lou Marson 2007 · A	21	45→54	39→40	53→50	45	216/280/308	93	293	6	5	27%	8%	68	-1.0	251/320/345	94	333	6	4	24%	9%	91	+0.7	264/337/351	87	344	5	4	23%	9%	96	+0.8
✕Miguel Villarroel 2023 · A	21	53	38→40	48→55	47	249/304/328	79	298	5	11	18%	6%	80	-0.1	225/263/300	75	315	5	21	29%	4%	59	-1.7	227/267/300	72	342	4	28	33%	4%	56	-1.0
✕Jose Cordova 2021 · A	21	49	37→40	50	42	230/287/303	73	298	4	13	23%	5%	69	-0.9	212/267/282	70	308	3	9	30%	5%	57	-1.8	229/290/316	87	306	5	11	25%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Cam Maron 2012 · A	21	51→57	39→40	47→40	50	243/312/324	82	301	6	5	21%	8%	83	+0.1	240/311/319	79	314	4	3	23%	9%	82	-0.0	248/318/312	64	318	4	2	21%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Ali Castillo 2010 · A	21	51→61	38→40	52→55	51	235/291/328	94	266	3	10	13%	7%	76	-0.4	246/303/342	96	281	4	13	13%	6%	83	+0.1	238/293/315	77	282	5	13	16%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Luis Perez 2012 · A	21	48	39→30	49→50	50	225/294/319	94	263	6	9	16%	7%	76	-0.4	222/266/337	115	287	9	8	25%	5%	69	-0.9	221/254/357	136	290	11	7	27%	4%	66	-0.3
✕Ozzie Martínez 2010 · A	22	51→60	37→40	50	46	239/284/315	76	282	4	10	17%	5%	70	-0.9	237/283/312	75	283	4	11	17%	5%	69	-0.9	231/275/297	67	276	3	10	17%	5%	59	-1.3
✕Tucker Barnhart 2012 · A	21	49→55	37→45	47→40	46	228/284/310	82	297	4	5	23%	7%	70	-0.9	222/280/302	80	278	5	3	20%	7%	66	-1.1	243/328/368	125	289	12	2	19%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	240/299/322	81	301	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	213/285/277	64	287	2	5	25%	7%	63	-1.4	195/277/269	74	247	5	8	22%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Emerson Landoni 2010 · A	21	46→56	37→40	45	46	216/281/289	72	281	4	7	24%	7%	63	-1.3	229/272/303	74	292	5	8	22%	5%	63	-1.4	264/307/333	70	313	3	4	16%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Jose Duarte 2006 · A	21	48→56	40	50→55	47	229/285/330	101	294	7	11	24%	7%	74	-0.6	235/284/308	73	308	3	19	23%	6%	68	-1.0	232/300/319	87	290	6	14	20%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Steve Lombardozzi Jr. 2010 · A	21	53→58	37→45	50	48	247/304/323	76	309	3	9	20%	7%	79	-0.2	261/308/358	97	310	5	14	16%	6%	88	+0.5	269/314/368	99	313	5	16	15%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2016 · A	21	52→56	34→40	47→55	43	243/290/290	47	299	1	10	19%	5%	66	-1.1	248/301/309	61	295	3	10	16%	6%	75	-0.5	262/305/349	88	305	7	19	16%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Josh Morgan 2017 · A	21	54→55	37→45	45→40	48	254/312/323	69	301	5	5	17%	6%	83	+0.1	229/275/312	83	275	6	4	18%	5%	66	-1.1	204/264/309	105	254	12	2	24%	6%	61	-0.8
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A	21	51→61	38→45	56→50	44	244/287/329	85	299	5	15	20%	6%	74	-0.5	259/304/360	101	314	5	15	18%	5%	88	+0.4	261/307/362	101	315	5	15	18%	5%	86	+0.2
●Rafael Lantigua 2019 · A	21	48→56	36→45	45→55	49	221/291/289	68	287	2	9	22%	8%	67	-1.1	215/270/311	96	284	7	12	25%	6%	64	-1.3	248/324/368	119	325	10	22	25%	9%	95	+0.8
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	243/318/320	77	276	7	9	14%	6%	85	+0.2	217/284/305	88	264	7	7	19%	7%	69	-0.9	193/256/279	86	239	6	6	21%	6%	51	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps