Maykel Minoso

C FCL Blue Jays
Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1466ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202318ROKTOR190.278/.374/.3150130—.173/.257/.190
202419A/ROKTOR152.179/.267/.246164—.144/.207/.202
202520ROKTOR128.162/.307/.200003—.115/.213/.142
2027PROJMLE22MLBTOR238.213/.279/.29923640.0
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBTOR32.218/.284/.31500690.0
2029PROJ46% MLB24MLBTOR77.222/.288/.32811740.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Whiff%96
K%86
Z-Con%84
BB%69
Chase%59
wRC+16
CompsAaron McKeithan (age 22) · Blake Hunt (age 22) · Francisco Acuna (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .276 / .296
PA56
HR1
K%25
BB%7
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.20.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL Blue Jays — 3931 5000 8130 00 161333161495 278 3321 259 4 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Blue Jays — 190162 45600 22163 11 278374315689 37302 812 319 30 — — — — — —
202419 ADunedin Blue Jays — 3533 4100 280 01 121171152323 30160 236 154 -27 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 117101 20311 13151 60 198296277573 79218 1311 264 13 — — — — — —
202520 ROKFCL Blue Jays — 128105 17400 21181 01 162307200507 38193 1416 252 3 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 3933 3000 6160 00 9123191322 191 4115 174 4 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 190168 29300 16193 11 173257190447 18190 108 213 30 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEDunedin Blue Jays — 3533 4100 2100 01 121171152323 30155 296 128 -27 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 117106 16211 8211 60 151217217434 66164 187 187 13 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 128113 13300 13261 01 115213142354 27144 2010 172 3 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 3933 3000 6160 00 9123191322 176 4115 174 4 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL Blue Jays — 3931 5000 8130 00 161333161495 278 3321 259 4 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 190168 29300 16193 11 173257190447 18191 108 213 30 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Blue Jays — 190162 45600 22163 11 278374315689 37302 812 319 30 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 152140 20311 9321 61 143200200400 57174 216 173 4 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAW2 teams — 152134 24411 15231 61 179267246513 67205 1510 239 4 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 128113 13300 13261 01 115213142354 27148 2010 172 3 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWFCL Blue Jays — 128105 17400 21181 01 162307200507 38193 1416 252 3 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 3933 3000 6160 00 9123191322 191 4115 174 4 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Blue Jays — 190169 29300 16193 11 172257189446 18190 108 213 30 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 152141 20311 9321 61 142200199399 57162 216 173 4 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 128113 13300 13261 01 115213142354 27144 2010 172 3 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLE2 teams — 152141 20311 9321 61 142200199399 57162 216 173 4 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Blue Jays — 128113 13300 13261 01 115213142354 27144 2010 172 3 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLETOR 0% 238216 46822 18602 31 213279299578 86281 258 263 64 -10 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLETOR 34% 9385 18311 7231 10 217283314597 96283 258 271 69 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.0
202924 MLB MLETOR 46% 167151 34613 13411 21 221287326614 105284 258 277 74 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
203025 MLB MLETOR 52% 235213 48824 18582 31 224290336626 112285 258 282 77 -6 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203126 MLB MLETOR 54% 292265 611126 23722 41 225292343635 118285 258 286 80 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.5
203227 MLB MLETOR 54% 324293 661226 25803 41 225293344636 118285 258 286 80 -8 +0 +0 +6 +7 0.6
203328 MLB MLETOR 54% 340308 681226 26843 31 223291339629 115284 258 284 78 -9 +0 -1 +6 +7 0.4
203429 MLB MLETOR 53% 341309 681226 26853 21 221288332620 112282 258 280 75 -10 +0 -1 +6 +7 0.2
203530 MLB MLETOR 52% 336305 671226 26852 11 218284325609 107280 258 275 72 -11 -0 -2 +6 +7 -0.0
202823 MLB CTXTOR 34% 3230 6100 280 00 218284315600 97284 256 272 69 -1 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
202924 MLB CTXTOR 46% 7770 16311 6191 10 222288328616 106285 258 278 74 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203025 MLB CTXTOR 52% 121110 24412 9301 20 225291337628 113286 257 283 77 -3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
203126 MLB CTXTOR 54% 158144 33613 12391 21 226293344637 118286 258 287 80 -4 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.2
203227 MLB CTXTOR 54% 176159 35613 14431 21 226294345638 119286 248 287 80 -4 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
203328 MLB CTXTOR 54% 184167 37713 14461 21 224292340632 116285 258 284 78 -5 +0 -0 +3 +4 0.2
203429 MLB CTXTOR 53% 181164 36613 14451 10 222289334622 112283 258 281 75 -5 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.1
203530 MLB CTXTOR 52% 176160 35613 13451 00 219285326611 107282 267 276 72 -6 +0 -1 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 11051004 22239718 842757 103 221286328614 107285 258 282 64 -31 +1 -2 +20 +24 1.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 13123411 491624 62 222286330616 108284 258 282 64 -18 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 26932435 506871540 21263522 2810 208277305582 97262 248 263 64 -62 +1 -4 +39 +47 2.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 12321410 511535 72 209278310587 100263 248 263 64 -19 +0 -1 +12 +14 0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 128 PAwOBA .249 → .172 (−77)K% 14.1% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.06%÷1.002×1.440——20.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.41%÷1.001×0.620—×0.99510.11%
HBP% /PA0.78%—×0.720—×0.9950.56%
Singles /BIP14.94%÷1.038×0.820×0.956×0.99511.23%
Doubles /BIP4.60%÷0.956×0.720×0.956×0.9953.29%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×0.956×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.077×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 108, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .249 → .172; ISO .038 → .028; BABIP .193 → .144. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 117 PAwOBA .263 → .187 (−76)K% 12.8% → 18.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.82%÷1.009×1.440——18.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷1.042×0.620—×1.0086.66%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.720—×1.0080.62%
Singles /BIP17.44%÷1.016×0.820×0.951×1.00813.49%
Doubles /BIP3.49%÷1.012×0.720×0.951×1.0082.38%
Triples /BIP1.16%÷1.150×0.720×0.951×1.0080.70%
Home runs /BIP1.16%÷0.925×0.780—×1.0080.99%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .263 → .187; ISO .079 → .058; BABIP .218 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADunedin Blue Jays · 35 PAwOBA .150 → .128 (−23)K% 22.9% → 29.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.86%÷1.041×1.360——29.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.71%÷0.959×0.690—×1.0454.30%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0450.00%
Singles /BIP12.00%÷0.962×0.920—×1.04511.99%
Doubles /BIP4.00%÷0.999×0.830—×1.0453.47%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.003×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 92, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 108, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .150 → .128; ISO .030 → .024; BABIP .160 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 190 PAwOBA .316 → .213 (−104)K% 8.4% → 10.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA8.42%÷1.014×1.220——10.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.58%÷0.979×0.700—×1.0088.34%
HBP% /PA1.58%—×0.700—×1.0081.11%
Singles /BIP26.71%÷1.016×0.680×0.952×1.00817.15%
Doubles /BIP4.11%÷1.059×0.600×0.952×1.0082.23%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.952×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.083×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.

Result: wOBA .316 → .213; ISO .037 → .021; BABIP .302 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 39 PAwOBA .254 → .174 (−80)K% 33.3% → 40.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷1.008×1.220——40.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.51%÷1.034×0.700—×1.02214.20%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.011×0.680—×1.02219.11%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.960×0.600—×1.0220.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.130×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .254 → .174; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .278 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).