Maykel Minoso
C FCL Blue Jays| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROKTOR | 190 | .278/.374/.315 | 0 | 1 | 30 | — | .173/.257/.190 |
| 2024 | 19 | A/ROKTOR | 152 | .179/.267/.246 | 1 | 6 | 4 | — | .144/.207/.202 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROKTOR | 128 | .162/.307/.200 | 0 | 0 | 3 | — | .115/.213/.142 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBTOR | 238 | .213/.279/.299 | 2 | 3 | 64 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 23 | MLBTOR | 32 | .218/.284/.315 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBTOR | 77 | .222/.288/.328 | 1 | 1 | 74 | 0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | — | 39 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 333 | 161 | 495 | 278 | 33 | 21 | 259 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | — | 190 | 162 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 374 | 315 | 689 | 37 | 302 | 8 | 12 | 319 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 35 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 121 | 171 | 152 | 323 | 30 | 160 | 23 | 6 | 154 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 117 | 101 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 198 | 296 | 277 | 573 | 79 | 218 | 13 | 11 | 264 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | — | 128 | 105 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 162 | 307 | 200 | 507 | 38 | 193 | 14 | 16 | 252 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 39 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 231 | 91 | 322 | 191 | 41 | 15 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 190 | 168 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 173 | 257 | 190 | 447 | 18 | 190 | 10 | 8 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 35 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 121 | 171 | 152 | 323 | 30 | 155 | 29 | 6 | 128 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 117 | 106 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 151 | 217 | 217 | 434 | 66 | 164 | 18 | 7 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 128 | 113 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 115 | 213 | 142 | 354 | 27 | 144 | 20 | 10 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 39 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 231 | 91 | 322 | 176 | 41 | 15 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Blue Jays | — | 39 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 333 | 161 | 495 | 278 | 33 | 21 | 259 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 190 | 168 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 173 | 257 | 190 | 447 | 18 | 191 | 10 | 8 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Blue Jays | — | 190 | 162 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 374 | 315 | 689 | 37 | 302 | 8 | 12 | 319 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 140 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 143 | 200 | 200 | 400 | 57 | 174 | 21 | 6 | 173 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 152 | 134 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 179 | 267 | 246 | 513 | 67 | 205 | 15 | 10 | 239 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 128 | 113 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 115 | 213 | 142 | 354 | 27 | 148 | 20 | 10 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Blue Jays | — | 128 | 105 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 162 | 307 | 200 | 507 | 38 | 193 | 14 | 16 | 252 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 39 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 231 | 91 | 322 | 191 | 41 | 15 | 174 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Blue Jays | — | 190 | 169 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 172 | 257 | 189 | 446 | 18 | 190 | 10 | 8 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 141 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 142 | 200 | 199 | 399 | 57 | 162 | 21 | 6 | 173 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 128 | 113 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 115 | 213 | 142 | 354 | 27 | 144 | 20 | 10 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 141 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 142 | 200 | 199 | 399 | 57 | 162 | 21 | 6 | 173 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Blue Jays | — | 128 | 113 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 115 | 213 | 142 | 354 | 27 | 144 | 20 | 10 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | TOR | 0% | 238 | 216 | 46 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 60 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 279 | 299 | 578 | 86 | 281 | 25 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | TOR | 34% | 93 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 283 | 314 | 597 | 96 | 283 | 25 | 8 | 271 | 69 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | TOR | 46% | 167 | 151 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 287 | 326 | 614 | 105 | 284 | 25 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | TOR | 52% | 235 | 213 | 48 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 58 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 290 | 336 | 626 | 112 | 285 | 25 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | TOR | 54% | 292 | 265 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 72 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 292 | 343 | 635 | 118 | 285 | 25 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | TOR | 54% | 324 | 293 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 80 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 293 | 344 | 636 | 118 | 285 | 25 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | TOR | 54% | 340 | 308 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 84 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 291 | 339 | 629 | 115 | 284 | 25 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | TOR | 53% | 341 | 309 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 85 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 288 | 332 | 620 | 112 | 282 | 25 | 8 | 280 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | TOR | 52% | 336 | 305 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 85 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 284 | 325 | 609 | 107 | 280 | 25 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -11 | -0 | -2 | +6 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | TOR | 34% | 32 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 284 | 315 | 600 | 97 | 284 | 25 | 6 | 272 | 69 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | TOR | 46% | 77 | 70 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 288 | 328 | 616 | 106 | 285 | 25 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | TOR | 52% | 121 | 110 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 225 | 291 | 337 | 628 | 113 | 286 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 77 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | TOR | 54% | 158 | 144 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 293 | 344 | 637 | 118 | 286 | 25 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | TOR | 54% | 176 | 159 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 226 | 294 | 345 | 638 | 119 | 286 | 24 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | TOR | 54% | 184 | 167 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 292 | 340 | 632 | 116 | 285 | 25 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | TOR | 53% | 181 | 164 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 289 | 334 | 622 | 112 | 283 | 25 | 8 | 281 | 75 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | TOR | 52% | 176 | 160 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 285 | 326 | 611 | 107 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 276 | 72 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1105 | 1004 | 222 | 39 | 7 | 18 | 84 | 275 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 221 | 286 | 328 | 614 | 107 | 285 | 25 | 8 | 282 | 64 | -31 | +1 | -2 | +20 | +24 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 131 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 49 | 162 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 222 | 286 | 330 | 616 | 108 | 284 | 25 | 8 | 282 | 64 | -18 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2693 | 2435 | 506 | 87 | 15 | 40 | 212 | 635 | 22 | 28 | 10 | 208 | 277 | 305 | 582 | 97 | 262 | 24 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -62 | +1 | -4 | +39 | +47 | 2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 153 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 209 | 278 | 310 | 587 | 100 | 263 | 24 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -19 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 128 PAwOBA .249 → .172 (−77)K% 14.1% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.06% | ÷1.002 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.41% | ÷1.001 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 10.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.94% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×0.956 | ×0.995 | 11.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.60% | ÷0.956 | ×0.720 | ×0.956 | ×0.995 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.956 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.077 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 108, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .249 → .172; ISO .038 → .028; BABIP .193 → .144. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Blue Jays · 117 PAwOBA .263 → .187 (−76)K% 12.8% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.82% | ÷1.009 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.042 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.44% | ÷1.016 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 13.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.012 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 2.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×1.008 | 0.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.99% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .263 → .187; ISO .079 → .058; BABIP .218 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADunedin Blue Jays · 35 PAwOBA .150 → .128 (−23)K% 22.9% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.86% | ÷1.041 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷0.959 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 4.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 11.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 3.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 92, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 108, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .150 → .128; ISO .030 → .024; BABIP .160 → .155. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 190 PAwOBA .316 → .213 (−104)K% 8.4% → 10.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.42% | ÷1.014 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.58% | ÷0.979 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 8.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.58% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.71% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | ×0.952 | ×1.008 | 17.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.11% | ÷1.059 | ×0.600 | ×0.952 | ×1.008 | 2.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.952 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 103, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .316 → .213; ISO .037 → .021; BABIP .302 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Blue Jays · 39 PAwOBA .254 → .174 (−80)K% 33.3% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.51% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 14.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷1.011 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.022 | 19.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.130 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .254 → .174; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .278 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).