Darwin Rodriguez

Darwin Rodriguez P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 180 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 7 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%23.1%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%12.1%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	11	10	24	130	23	26	2	91%	2.2	12.0%	25.0%	-13.0%	1.7%	10.50	6.20	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	11	10	24	130	23	26	2	91%	2.2	17.7%	20.0%	-2.3%	1.5%	10.50	5.52	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	6	5	22	103	17	15	2	83%	3.6	11.2%	18.2%	-7.0%	2.1%	9.14	5.62	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	6	5	22	103	17	15	2	83%	3.6	16.5%	14.6%	1.9%	1.9%	9.14	4.81	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	12	0	12	69	16	10	2	0%	1.0	15.8%	18.1%	-2.3%	4.5%	8.25	6.54	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	12	0	12	69	16	10	2	0%	1.0	15.8%	18.1%	-2.3%	4.5%	8.25	6.54	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	12	0	12	69	16	10	2	0%	1.0	23.2%	14.5%	8.7%	2.9%	8.25	5.10	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	4	0	4	18	4	6	0	0%	0.9	22.2%	33.3%	-11.1%	0.0%	7.36	5.45	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	4	0	4	18	4	6	0	0%	0.9	22.2%	33.3%	-11.1%	0.0%	7.36	5.45	—
2025	20	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	4	0	4	18	4	6	0	0%	0.9	22.2%	33.3%	-11.1%	0.0%	7.36	5.83	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIA	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.9%	12.1%	3.0%	4.57	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	20	8	2	0%	1.1	23.8%	10.0%	13.8%	3.0%	4.44	4.36	+0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	23.8%	10.0%	13.8%	3.0%	4.44	4.36	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.1	23.8%	10.0%	13.8%	3.0%	4.44	3.98	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	81	20	0%	1.1	23.8%	10.0%	13.8%	3.0%	4.44	3.98	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		33	15	61	320	42	70	8	45%	1.9	13.2%	21.8%	-8.6%	2.4%	9.39	6.04	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	49	200	1043	137	227	25	45%	1.9	13.2%	21.8%	-8.6%	2.4%	9.39	6.04	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Darwin Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	23.1%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.36	23.8%	13.8%	20	-0.21	—	—	—
Carson Rudd R 2021 · 3.39 FIP	22	SP-	3.39	25.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.351	5.24	21.6%	5.6%	193	+1.85	3.39	242	84
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	81
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	76
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	75
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	75
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	75
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	74
Daniel Bies R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	22	SW	3.96	24.5%	6.8%	3.8%	.339	3.17	20.3%	11.0%	89	-0.79	3.17	115	74
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	74
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	74
Franco Aleman R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	22	SW	3.95	21.3%	8.2%	2.9%	.391	2.98	28.9%	18.9%	114	-0.97	2.28	226	73
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	73
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.9%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	73
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	73
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	73
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	73
Austin Hutchison R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	22	SW	4.05	19.7%	6.0%	3.4%	.340	4.55	18.7%	9.2%	213	+0.50	3.51	235	72
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	72
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	72
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	72