Ivan Sosa — OGILVIE

Ivan SosaSS Columbia Fireflies

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION162 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .200 / .143

PA15

HR0

K%40

BB%7

BABIP247

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	—	203	180	33	9	1	2	16	52	3	4	3	183	261	278	539	94	240	26	8	245	52	-12	-0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	—	100	89	14	4	0	3	8	41	2	3	2	157	242	303	546	146	239	41	8	248	54	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	81	74	18	3	0	2	6	28	1	2	3	243	309	365	674	122	364	35	7	305	93	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	107	100	24	4	3	2	4	36	1	3	1	240	274	400	674	160	355	34	4	292	84	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Stewart	—	203	186	22	5	1	1	10	76	3	4	3	118	176	172	348	54	183	37	5	160	-6	-25	-0	—	—	+4	-2.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	100	92	8	2	0	2	5	59	2	3	2	87	152	174	325	87	175	59	5	138	-20	-14	-0	—	—	+2	-1.3
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	81	76	11	2	0	1	4	39	1	2	3	145	198	211	408	66	283	48	5	191	15	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	107	102	14	2	2	1	3	53	1	3	1	137	170	225	395	88	263	50	3	172	3	-12	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Stewart	—	203	186	22	5	1	1	10	76	3	4	3	118	176	172	348	54	188	37	5	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL KC Stewart	—	203	180	33	9	1	2	16	52	3	4	3	183	261	278	539	94	240	26	8	245	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	100	92	8	2	0	2	5	59	2	3	2	87	152	174	325	87	188	59	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Gold	—	100	89	14	4	0	3	8	41	2	3	2	157	242	303	546	146	239	41	8	248	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	81	76	11	2	0	1	4	39	1	2	3	145	198	211	408	66	278	48	5	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	81	74	18	3	0	2	6	28	1	2	3	243	309	365	674	122	364	35	7	305	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	107	102	14	2	2	1	3	53	1	3	1	137	170	225	395	88	271	50	3	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	107	100	24	4	3	2	4	36	1	3	1	240	274	400	674	160	355	34	4	292	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Stewart	—	203	188	22	5	1	1	10	76	3	4	3	117	176	170	346	53	183	37	5	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	100	93	8	2	0	2	5	59	2	3	2	86	152	172	324	86	175	59	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	81	76	11	2	0	1	4	39	1	2	3	145	198	211	408	66	283	48	5	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	107	102	14	2	2	1	3	53	1	3	1	137	170	225	395	88	263	50	3	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Gold	—	100	93	8	2	0	2	5	59	2	3	2	86	152	172	324	86	175	59	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	81	76	11	2	0	1	4	39	1	2	3	145	198	211	408	66	283	48	5	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	107	102	14	2	2	1	3	53	1	3	1	137	170	225	395	88	263	50	3	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	KC	—	162	156	19	3	0	6	3	88	1	2	2	122	144	256	400	135	203	54	2	166	-1	-20	-0	+0	+2	+4	-1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	KC	—	162	152	27	5	0	8	5	62	1	2	2	178	206	368	575	191	226	38	3	247	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	KC	0%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	143	200	143	343		250	40	7	219	34	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	21	A MLE	KC	—	177	170	21	3	0	6	4	94	1	2	2	124	149	247	396	124	208	53	2	170	2	-21	-0	+0	+2	+4	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	34%	238	224	40	7	1	6	10	87	2	4	2	179	220	299	519	121	257	37	4	234	45	-16	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.8
2027	22	MLB CTX	KC	34%	82	78	13	2	0	2	3	30	1	1	1	167	207	269	477	103	253	37	4	222	45	-5	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	82	78	13	2	0	2	3	30	1	1	1	167	207	269	477	103	239	37	4	222	13	-5	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	618	103	16	0	16	24	238	8	8	8	167	208	270	478	104	239	37	4	222	13	-43	-2	+0	+7	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	744	694	97	18	4	11	33	320	9	16	11	140	189	225	414	85	234	43	4	187	13	-17	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	606	85	16	3	10	29	280	8	14	10	140	190	226	416	86	234	43	4	187	13	-43	+0	+0	+7	+14	-2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	207	5	3	187	227	304	+2	+3	-0.5	-0.3
/162	664	15	11	+7.1	+9.6	-1.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Sosa (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	44→49	46→51	37	168/205/283	115	250	3	2	39%	4%	34	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Osiris Johnson 2022 · A	21	34	44→40	51→50	37	180/234/289	108	263	12	7	36%	6%	47	-2.6	190/240/283	93	270	10	11	32%	6%	47	-2.5	180/229/259	79	249	9	15	31%	5%	35	-1.5
✕Sthervin Matos 2015 · A	21	36→34	45→50	51→50	35	191/228/308	117	251	13	11	30%	4%	48	-2.5	182/232/268	86	272	8	11	34%	5%	40	-3.0	162/217/233	71	247	6	13	35%	6%	25	-2.1
✕Jesus Feliz 2021 · A	21	39	42→50	47→45	36	197/239/305	109	262	9	8	28%	4%	52	-2.2	201/251/320	119	294	13	6	35%	4%	60	-1.6	177/226/311	134	247	19	5	37%	3%	45	-0.9
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	34→37	40→45	47→30	34	175/220/263	88	269	9	3	37%	5%	35	-3.4	180/223/291	111	261	12	3	35%	4%	42	-2.9	193/233/284	91	269	10	0	31%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Juan Carlos Negret 2019 · A	20	36→26	43→50	48→50	36	184/249/295	111	273	11	12	35%	5%	54	-2.0	167/238/285	118	279	14	6	43%	6%	49	-2.4	130/208/263	134	192	19	2	43%	7%	32	-2.0
✕Sammy Infante 2023 · A	22	33→25	46→50	48→55	34	170/235/295	125	285	15	10	44%	6%	49	-2.4	189/255/283	94	308	8	16	39%	6%	53	-2.1	180/249/253	73	294	5	20	38%	6%	42	-1.3
✕Junior Tilien 2023 · A	20	37	45	50→40	38	192/239/307	115	268	13	4	33%	6%	52	-2.2	194/251/293	99	264	9	4	28%	7%	53	-2.1	186/247/274	88	250	7	2	27%	7%	45	-1.5
✕Claudio Bautista 2015 · A	21	39→42	44→45	51→45	34	202/230/320	118	268	12	8	30%	3%	51	-2.2	201/242/306	105	278	10	7	30%	5%	53	-2.1	192/237/291	99	265	11	5	31%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2019 · A	21	39→30	43→50	49→50	33	189/236/305	115	308	9	10	40%	5%	50	-2.3	180/233/302	122	298	14	9	42%	6%	49	-2.4	149/208/262	112	253	14	9	45%	6%	29	-2.6
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Ericson Leonora 2014 · A	21	40→30	45	48→50	37	205/250/326	121	280	12	7	31%	5%	61	-1.5	196/232/328	132	294	15	4	37%	4%	55	-2.0	176/206/313	137	262	17	1	40%	3%	39	-1.5
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A	20	35	42→40	47→50	36	182/227/281	99	253	10	6	32%	5%	41	-3.0	211/251/341	130	301	15	8	34%	4%	65	-1.2	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	61	-0.3
✕Jarek Cunningham 2011 · A	21	41→38	44→50	46→45	35	204/245/330	126	282	11	7	31%	4%	59	-1.6	191/242/326	135	267	13	7	33%	4%	58	-1.7	186/237/323	137	252	15	7	32%	5%	53	-1.4
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕Ariel Sandoval 2017 · A	21	38→35	45	47→50	32	196/228/318	122	282	12	10	35%	3%	51	-2.3	183/227/298	115	301	13	10	42%	5%	46	-2.6	166/214/275	109	277	13	10	43%	5%	33	-2.2
✕Steve Brown 2009 · A	22	38	42→45	49→50	34	192/236/293	101	272	10	13	33%	4%	48	-2.5	200/241/318	118	291	11	9	34%	4%	55	-1.9	189/224/314	125	271	12	8	34%	3%	47	-1.5
✕Romulo Ruiz 2010 · A	20	32	42→40	47→30	36	169/217/266	97	253	11	5	37%	6%	34	-3.5	189/253/277	88	259	6	4	28%	8%	51	-2.3	185/257/272	88	244	5	1	25%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Miguel Rico 2014 · A	20	35	43→50	45→40	37	183/247/288	105	265	12	5	35%	6%	52	-2.2	199/267/298	99	241	10	4	21%	6%	61	-1.5	184/261/270	86	199	9	1	13%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Daniel Falcon 2010 · A	21	40	43→45	49→50	35	201/244/311	111	295	11	7	35%	5%	55	-2.0	200/236/303	103	281	10	9	31%	4%	49	-2.4	175/198/282	107	228	12	13	30%	2%	26	-1.4
✕Courtney Hawkins 2015 · A	21	32→34	47→50	48→50	32	172/225/302	129	283	16	9	44%	5%	47	-2.6	184/230/304	120	288	13	4	39%	5%	49	-2.4	172/216/313	141	242	20	2	38%	5%	43	-1.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps