Ivan Sosa — OGILVIE

Ivan SosaSS Columbia Fireflies

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION118 act + 78 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†24

AVG/OBP/SLG.161 / .203 / .268

PA78

HR2

K%39

BB%4

BABIP240

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	—	203	185	22	5	0	1	11	78	3	4	3	119	181	162	343	43	193	38	5	161	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	—	203	180	33	9	1	2	16	52	3	4	3	183	261	278	539	94	240	26	8	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	—	100	92	8	2	0	2	5	59	2	3	2	87	152	174	325	87	188	59	5	136	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	—	100	89	14	4	0	3	8	41	2	3	2	157	242	303	546	146	239	41	8	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	81	76	12	2	0	1	4	38	1	2	3	158	210	224	434	66	297	47	5	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	81	74	18	3	0	2	6	28	1	2	3	243	309	365	674	122	364	35	7	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	107	102	13	2	1	1	3	54	1	3	1	127	160	196	356	69	255	50	3	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	107	100	24	4	3	2	4	36	1	3	1	240	274	400	674	160	355	34	4	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	KC	—	118	113	11	1	0	5	2	67	1	1	2	97	121	239	360	142	140	57	2	163	-17	-16	-1	+0	+1	+3	-1.2
YTD	21	A	KC	—	118	112	18	2	0	8	3	47	1	1	2	161	190	393	583	232	169	40	3	248	48	-7	-1	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
ROS	21	A	KC	0%	78	74	12	2	0	2	3	31	1	1	1	161	203	268	471	107	243	39	4	216	24	-7	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
ROS	21	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		240	—	—	206	16	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	KC	—	118	114	11	1	0	5	2	67	1	1	2	96	121	237	358	140	136	57	2	163	-17	-16	-1	+0	+1	+3	-1.2
TOT	21	A	KC	—	196	187	23	3	0	7	5	98	2	2	3	123	154	250	405	128	189	50	3	184	-1	-22	-1	+0	+2	+6	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	KC	34%	247	232	41	7	1	7	11	91	2	4	2	177	220	306	526	129	253	37	4	235	38	-17	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.8
2027	22	MLB	KC	34%	85	80	13	2	0	2	4	31	1	1	1	163	212	263	474	100	250	36	5	224	30	-7	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	85	81	13	2	0	2	4	31	1	1	1	160	212	259	471	99	229	36	5	224	30	-7	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	619	99	15	0	15	31	237	8	8	8	160	212	257	469	97	229	36	5	224	30	-51	-2	+0	+7	+18	-2.8
Career	—			—	816	761	108	20	2	14	37	351	10	17	12	142	192	228	420	87	234	43	5	190	4	-89	-1	+0	+9	+23	-6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	606	86	16	2	11	29	279	8	14	10	142	191	229	420	87	234	43	4	190	4	-71	-1	+0	+7	+18	-4.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	—	203	180	33	9	1	2	16	52	3	4	3	183	261	278	539	94	240	26	8	245	46	-12	-0	—	—	+6	-0.7
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	—	100	89	14	4	0	3	8	41	2	3	2	157	242	303	546	146	239	41	8	248	48	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	81	74	18	3	0	2	6	28	1	2	3	243	309	365	674	122	364	35	7	305	92	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	107	100	24	4	3	2	4	36	1	3	1	240	274	400	674	160	355	34	4	292	82	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	215	5	3	183	226	301	+2	+3	-0.7	-0.3
	/162	664	15	11	183	226	301	+7.1	+9.3	-2.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Sosa (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	46→51	46→51	37	123/154/250	128	189	7	2	50%	3%	-1	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Osiris Johnson 2022 · A	21	35	44→45	51→50	38	182/236/292	110	262	13	7	35%	6%	41	-2.3	191/241/289	98	269	11	11	32%	6%	42	-2.3	180/229/266	86	246	11	15	31%	5%	29	-1.4
✕Sthervin Matos 2015 · A	21	36→34	45→50	51→50	35	191/228/308	117	251	13	11	30%	4%	41	-2.3	181/231/261	80	272	7	11	34%	5%	30	-3.1	160/215/223	63	245	5	13	35%	6%	12	-2.2
✕Jesus Feliz 2021 · A	21	39	42→50	47→45	36	197/239/305	109	262	9	8	28%	4%	46	-2.0	201/251/326	125	295	14	6	35%	4%	56	-1.3	175/224/319	145	243	21	5	37%	3%	40	-0.8
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	34→35	40→50	47→30	34	174/220/260	86	266	8	3	37%	5%	26	-3.4	180/221/294	114	261	12	3	35%	4%	35	-2.8	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Courtney Hawkins 2015 · A	21	32→33	46→50	48→50	31	168/221/288	120	286	15	9	45%	5%	34	-2.8	184/229/310	126	299	14	4	42%	5%	43	-2.2	170/216/319	150	242	22	2	40%	5%	37	-1.3
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	35→40	46→50	50→55	39	186/245/315	128	247	14	13	30%	6%	51	-1.7	189/251/309	120	275	12	18	34%	7%	52	-1.6	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Sammy Infante 2023 · A	22	33→25	45	48→55	34	167/234/287	119	291	13	10	45%	7%	40	-2.4	188/252/281	93	310	8	16	39%	6%	45	-2.1	179/245/253	75	293	6	20	38%	6%	32	-1.3
✕Junior Tilien 2023 · A	20	35→36	45→40	50→40	37	187/232/304	117	264	13	4	34%	5%	42	-2.3	188/247/284	96	259	8	4	29%	7%	43	-2.2	179/243/262	83	244	6	2	27%	7%	34	-1.6
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Juan Carlos Negret 2019 · A	20	36→26	43→45	48→50	36	184/249/295	111	273	11	12	35%	5%	48	-1.9	165/236/279	114	275	13	6	42%	6%	39	-2.5	127/201/251	124	190	17	2	43%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	37→34	42→45	47→45	40	188/245/295	107	268	10	8	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/253/315	112	302	12	9	35%	6%	54	-1.4	191/237/303	112	281	15	10	37%	5%	43	-1.2
✕Alexfri Planez 2023 · A	21	38→35	49→50	50→45	32	202/232/343	141	278	18	8	34%	3%	53	-1.5	200/234/336	136	291	17	7	36%	3%	52	-1.6	178/207/315	138	256	20	3	39%	3%	31	-2.1
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Angel Aguilar 2017 · A	22	36→37	44→45	51→50	34	187/224/299	112	263	12	11	34%	4%	37	-2.6	190/223/291	101	271	9	9	33%	3%	34	-2.8	181/211/277	97	260	8	8	33%	3%	23	-2.3
✕Ericson Leonora 2014 · A	21	41→29	45→50	48→50	37	207/253/331	124	282	12	7	31%	5%	58	-1.2	198/234/339	141	293	17	4	37%	4%	53	-1.5	177/208/330	153	256	20	1	39%	3%	36	-1.3
✕Ariel Sandoval 2017 · A	21	38→35	45	47→50	31	197/229/322	124	285	13	10	35%	3%	45	-2.1	183/226/300	117	303	13	10	42%	5%	39	-2.5	166/213/280	114	278	14	10	44%	5%	25	-2.2
✕Levi Carolus 2008 · A	20	35	42→50	47→40	35	181/227/285	104	256	10	7	33%	4%	35	-2.8	196/234/309	113	297	11	8	37%	4%	44	-2.1	182/216/305	124	270	14	5	38%	3%	32	-1.1
✕Daniel Falcon 2010 · A	21	40	43→45	49→50	35	201/244/311	111	295	11	7	35%	5%	49	-1.8	200/236/303	103	281	10	9	31%	4%	43	-2.2	175/198/282	107	228	12	13	30%	2%	17	-1.4
✕Stanley Consuegra 2023 · A	22	37→33	45→50	45	35	187/240/311	124	284	12	9	37%	5%	48	-1.9	184/240/311	127	278	14	8	38%	6%	48	-1.9	167/226/293	126	248	16	7	38%	6%	35	-2.0
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A	20	35	42→40	47→50	36	182/227/281	99	253	10	6	32%	5%	33	-2.9	211/251/341	130	301	15	8	34%	4%	60	-1.0	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3