Ivan Sosa — OGILVIE

Ivan SosaSS Columbia Fireflies

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A HR -5%BB +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.4 · 2031

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .261 / .297

PA108

HR2

K%33

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.4peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.4	$13M	+$12M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.4	$13M	+$12M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.3	$13M	+$12M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.1	$11M	+$9M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.9	$5M	+$2M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.2M
Totals		$11M		$58M	+$47M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	203	185	22	5	0	1	11	77	3	4	3	.119	.181	.162	.343	.043	.191	38	5	.160	-19	-27	-0	+0	+2	+6	-2.0
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	100	92	8	2	0	2	5	59	2	3	2	.087	.152	.174	.325	.087	.188	59	5	.137	-37	-15	-0	+0	+1	+3	-1.2
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	81	76	12	2	0	1	4	38	1	2	3	.158	.210	.224	.434	.066	.297	47	5	.195	7	-8	-1	+0	+1	+2	-0.6
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	107	102	13	2	1	1	3	53	1	3	1	.127	.160	.196	.356	.069	.250	50	3	.170	-12	-14	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	22	20	4	1	0	2	1	11	0	0	0	.200	.238	.550	.788	.350	.250	50	5	.310	95	-0	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
ROS	21	MLB	KC	86	79	16	3	1	1	6	28	1	1	0	.203	.267	.304	.571	.101	.287	33	7	.256	54	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
TOT	21	MLB	KC	108	99	20	4	1	3	7	39	1	1	0	.202	.262	.354	.615	.152	.293	36	6	.267	62	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	KC	206	186	38	7	1	4	16	64	2	4	1	.204	.275	.317	.592	.113	.289	31	8	.275	69	-7	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2028	23	MLB 28%	KC	318	286	62	11	2	8	26	95	3	6	1	.217	.289	.353	.642	.136	.290	30	8	.287	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2029	24	MLB 45%	KC	396	356	78	14	2	11	33	116	4	7	2	.219	.293	.362	.655	.143	.291	29	8	.295	84	-7	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.9
2030	25	MLB 60%	KC	441	395	89	16	3	13	38	128	5	8	2	.225	.301	.380	.681	.154	.292	29	9	.300	87	-6	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.2
2031	26	MLB 77%	KC	468	419	94	17	3	14	41	135	5	8	2	.224	.301	.379	.681	.155	.293	29	9	.302	89	-6	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.4
2032	27	MLB 92%	KC	479	428	96	17	3	14	43	139	5	8	2	.224	.303	.376	.679	.152	.293	29	9	.302	89	-6	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.4
2033	28	MLB	KC	482	431	96	17	3	14	43	141	5	8	1	.223	.301	.374	.674	.151	.292	29	9	.301	88	-6	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.3
2034	29	MLB	KC	477	426	94	17	3	13	43	141	5	7	1	.221	.300	.366	.666	.146	.292	30	9	.298	87	-7	+1	-1	+5	+14	1.1
2035	30	MLB	KC	469	419	90	16	2	13	42	140	5	6	1	.215	.294	.356	.650	.141	.290	30	9	.295	84	-8	+1	-2	+5	+13	0.9
2036	31	MLB	KC	457	408	87	16	2	12	41	138	5	3	0	.213	.293	.350	.643	.137	.289	30	9	.292	81	-10	+1	-3	+5	+13	0.6
2037	32	MLB	KC	440	393	83	15	2	11	40	136	4	1	0	.211	.291	.344	.634	.132	.287	31	9	.287	78	-11	+0	-4	+5	+12	0.3
2038	33	MLB	KC	411	367	76	13	2	10	37	129	4	0	0	.207	.287	.335	.622	.128	.285	31	9	.281	74	-12	+0	-4	+4	+12	-0.0
2039	34	MLB	KC	367	328	67	11	2	9	33	119	3	0	0	.204	.283	.332	.615	.128	.284	32	9	.275	69	-13	+0	-5	+4	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5988	5376	1121	201	32	152	505	1876	63	79	22	.209	.284	.343	.627	.134	.287	31	8	.282	74	-178	+7	-20	+64	+170	4.4
/ 162G	—			650	584	121	22	3	16	55	204	7	9	2	.207	.284	.337	.621	.130	.286	31	8	.282	74	-19	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Stewart	203	180	33	9	1	2	16	52	3	4	3	.183	.261	.278	.539	.094	.240	26	8	.245	46	-12	-0	—	—	+6	-0.7
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Gold	100	89	14	4	0	3	8	41	2	3	2	.157	.242	.303	.546	.146	.239	41	8	.248	48	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	81	74	18	3	0	2	6	28	1	2	3	.243	.309	.365	.674	.122	.364	35	7	.305	92	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.1
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	107	100	24	4	3	2	4	36	1	3	1	.240	.274	.400	.674	.160	.355	34	4	.292	82	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Sosa (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	.197/.261/.297	.101	.287	2	2	33%	7%	54	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	43	39→50	51→45	39	.202/.262/.293	.090	.301	6	7	33%	6%	52	-1.6	.193/.267/.305	.112	.296	13	8	37%	7%	59	-1.1	.178/.253/.291	.113	.253	15	7	34%	7%	47	-0.8
✕Keon Broxton 2011 · A	21	38→48	41→55	53→60	36	.184/.238/.293	.109	.299	7	10	39%	6%	41	-2.3	.196/.253/.296	.100	.314	9	15	38%	7%	49	-1.8	.225/.301/.390	.165	.341	17	38	36%	9%	92	+1.0
✕Michael Chavis 2017 · A	21	36→46	45→60	46→45	34	.189/.233/.308	.119	.271	13	6	35%	4%	44	-2.1	.224/.274/.401	.177	.296	23	4	32%	5%	86	+0.8	.235/.292/.438	.203	.304	29	3	32%	6%	100	+1.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2021 · A	21	43→49	42→55	48→55	39	.213/.259/.322	.109	.292	9	12	30%	5%	58	-1.2	.227/.286/.366	.139	.304	14	20	28%	7%	82	+0.5	.223/.285/.369	.146	.292	15	21	28%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	41→44	45→50	49→45	39	.206/.256/.333	.127	.283	12	8	31%	6%	60	-1.0	.202/.261/.347	.145	.281	16	8	33%	6%	66	-0.6	.213/.268/.374	.161	.271	20	6	29%	6%	75	-0.0
✕Chris Nelson 2007 · A	21	41→51	42→50	49→50	37	.204/.244/.308	.104	.272	9	9	28%	4%	48	-1.9	.223/.274/.359	.136	.280	13	12	24%	6%	75	-0.0	.257/.301/.387	.130	.311	13	7	21%	5%	87	+0.6
✕Ryan McKenna 2018 · A	21	43→53	42→50	52→55	39	.210/.265/.317	.107	.297	9	12	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.226/.289/.332	.106	.311	9	12	28%	7%	73	-0.1	.218/.295/.357	.140	.319	16	13	34%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
●Alonzo Harris 2010 · A	21	41→50	45→55	50→60	37	.209/.251/.325	.116	.281	14	12	31%	5%	56	-1.3	.210/.248/.305	.095	.275	8	15	26%	4%	48	-1.9	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
✕Ezequiel Duran 2021 · A	22	38→48	39→55	52→50	33	.186/.233/.270	.084	.294	7	8	38%	4%	33	-2.9	.226/.276/.390	.164	.313	19	14	33%	6%	84	+0.6	.235/.283/.404	.168	.313	19	14	30%	5%	88	+0.7
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→47	41→55	46→55	42	.197/.253/.288	.091	.267	9	9	29%	7%	47	-1.9	.203/.263/.335	.132	.270	14	12	29%	7%	64	-0.8	.225/.292/.400	.175	.278	20	21	26%	8%	91	+1.1
✕David Bote 2014 · A	21	40→48	39→55	47→45	47	.191/.269/.278	.087	.263	6	7	28%	9%	52	-1.6	.204/.273/.294	.090	.273	6	6	26%	7%	57	-1.2	.234/.308/.397	.164	.298	19	6	27%	8%	95	+1.0
●James McCann 2012 · A	22	41→51	42→50	49→45	39	.203/.260/.306	.103	.288	9	7	32%	6%	55	-1.4	.223/.261/.310	.087	.291	6	6	24%	4%	55	-1.4	.254/.315/.415	.161	.331	20	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
✕Max Stassi 2012 · A	21	40→43	44→55	43→40	41	.198/.260/.309	.111	.287	12	5	34%	7%	56	-1.3	.218/.270/.362	.144	.290	17	4	30%	5%	74	-0.1	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	.188/.259/.305	.117	.281	12	9	36%	7%	55	-1.4	.194/.278/.291	.097	.346	7	8	42%	9%	59	-1.1	.146/.273/.221	.075	.359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
●Felix Reyes 2022 · A	21	42→52	43→50	49→45	38	.205/.269/.316	.111	.287	11	12	31%	5%	62	-0.9	.203/.244/.316	.113	.258	13	7	26%	4%	50	-1.7	.241/.274/.386	.144	.275	17	8	19%	4%	81	+0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	43	41→45	50	43	.204/.273/.304	.100	.299	8	11	32%	8%	59	-1.1	.191/.262/.285	.094	.292	6	14	34%	8%	50	-1.7	.147/.226/.244	.097	.221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Dusty Ryan 2006 · A	21	38→47	40→50	44→40	39	.189/.242/.278	.089	.268	8	6	32%	6%	40	-2.4	.202/.268/.307	.105	.307	11	4	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.208/.285/.361	.154	.308	17	3	36%	9%	77	+0.1
●Chun-Hsiu Chen 2010 · A	21	43→53	41→50	48→45	40	.209/.263/.306	.097	.302	8	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	.250/.309/.388	.138	.334	12	4	27%	7%	96	+1.5	.256/.318/.393	.137	.347	12	4	28%	8%	99	+1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)