Alfonso Perez — OGILVIE

Alfonso Perez P DSL Giants Orange

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 104

ERA4.60

FIP4.60

K%21.7%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%11.3%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	14	0	17	86	11	9	0	0%	1.2	8.7%	13.1%	-4.4%	0.0%	7.56	4.02	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	14	0	17	86	11	9	0	0%	1.2	12.8%	10.5%	2.3%	0.0%	7.56	3.40	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	11	10	45	186	25	15	4	91%	4.1	9.1%	10.1%	-0.9%	3.2%	3.80	5.35	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	11	10	45	186	25	15	4	91%	4.1	13.4%	8.1%	5.4%	2.2%	3.80	4.14	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	11	8	39	173	29	18	2	73%	3.5	11.4%	13.0%	-1.6%	1.8%	4.42	4.76	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	11	8	39	173	29	18	2	73%	3.5	11.4%	13.0%	-1.6%	1.8%	4.42	4.76	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	11	8	39	173	29	18	2	73%	3.5	16.8%	10.4%	6.4%	1.2%	4.42	3.67	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	14	0	24	99	28	8	1	0%	1.7	19.2%	10.1%	9.1%	1.4%	3.42	3.51	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	14	0	24	99	28	8	1	0%	1.7	19.2%	10.1%	9.1%	1.4%	3.42	3.51	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	14	0	24	99	28	8	1	0%	1.7	28.3%	8.1%	20.2%	1.0%	3.42	2.30	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	3	2	4	17	2	4	0	67%	1.3	11.8%	23.5%	-11.8%	0.0%	2.25	5.09	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	3	2	4	17	2	4	0	67%	1.3	11.8%	23.5%	-11.8%	0.0%	2.25	5.09	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	3	2	4	17	2	4	0	67%	1.3	11.8%	23.5%	-11.8%	0.0%	2.25	5.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	SF	15	0	16	68	15	7	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.4%	11.3%	3.0%	4.60	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SF	21	0	22	95	22	9	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.6%	13.2%	2.9%	4.45	4.37	+0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	SF	10	0	11	46	11	4	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.6%	13.2%	2.9%	4.45	4.37	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	46	11	4	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.6%	13.2%	2.9%	4.45	3.99	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	200	73	18	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.6%	13.2%	2.9%	4.45	3.99	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		53	20	128	561	65	66	10	38%	2.4	11.6%	11.9%	-0.2%	1.8%	4.36	4.63	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	31	200	877	102	104	16	38%	2.4	11.6%	11.9%	-0.2%	1.8%	4.36	4.63	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alfonso Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.60	21.7%	10.4%	3.0%	—	4.37	22.8%	13.2%	22	-0.23	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	82
Inohan Paniagua R 2021 · 3.68 FIP	21	SW	3.68	23.3%	10.8%	2.1%	.298	4.28	18.8%	8.2%	297	+0.60	3.68	473	81
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	81
Simon Mathews R 2017 · 4.09 FIP	21	SW	4.09	17.7%	7.5%	2.8%	.326	4.42	16.0%	5.9%	167	+0.33	4.09	215	81
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	80
Wilmer Ortega R 2022 · 4.01 FIP	21	SP-	4.01	18.2%	7.9%	2.6%	.304	5.81	16.1%	1.8%	30	+1.80	3.62	158	80
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	80
Florencio Serrano R 2021 · 3.84 FIP	21	SP-	3.84	19.3%	8.5%	2.4%	.264	4.80	14.1%	3.4%	117	+0.96	3.84	206	80
Eiberson Castellano R 2022 · 3.94 FIP	21	SW	3.94	21.8%	10.3%	2.5%	.266	3.93	22.0%	12.3%	189	-0.01	3.67	386	79
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	79
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	79
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	78
Anthony Cruz R 2024 · 3.71 FIP	21	SW	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	2.0%	.192	5.58	16.2%	1.2%	175	+1.87	3.32	272	78
Nick Gallagher R 2018 · 4.26 FIP	22	SW	4.26	17.2%	7.1%	3.1%	.310	4.55	22.4%	7.1%	90	+0.29	4.10	196	78
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	17.4%	7.4%	3.7%	.360	5.64	16.1%	3.7%	88	+1.05	4.59	120	77
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	77
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	77
Franco Aleman R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	22	SW	3.95	21.3%	8.2%	2.9%	.391	2.98	28.9%	18.9%	114	-0.97	2.28	226	77
Austin Hutchison R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	22	SW	4.05	19.7%	6.0%	3.4%	.340	4.55	18.7%	9.2%	213	+0.50	3.51	235	77
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	77