Moises Palma

P FCL Rays

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKTB	17	0	27	3.71	2.65	19.8%	9.9%	—	K 13.5% · BB 12.4% · FIP 3.53
2025	20	MIX2 levels	22	0	28	4.45	3.35	16.9%	9.7%	—	K 13.1% · BB 9.6% · FIP 3.21
2026	21	ROKTB	16	1	17	3.63	3.97	22.7%	16.0%	—	K 15.4% · BB 20.0% · FIP 5.36
2027PROJ	22	MLBTB	10	0	11	5.16	5.16	20.3%	14.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBTB	12	0	13	4.93	4.83	21.4%	12.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsKasey Ford (age 23) · Ismael Cabrera (age 22) · Easton Sikorski (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%20.3%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%6.2%

Proj IP11

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	11	0	19	85	16	9	6	0%	1.8	12.8%	13.2%	-0.4%	7.8%	5.59	7.96	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	11	0	19	85	16	9	6	0%	1.8	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	7.1%	5.59	6.88	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	17	0	31	124	26	14	3	0%	1.8	14.3%	14.1%	0.1%	3.0%	4.40	5.34	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	17	0	31	124	26	14	3	0%	1.8	21.0%	11.3%	9.7%	2.4%	4.40	4.05	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	17	0	27	121	24	12	0	0%	1.6	13.5%	12.4%	1.1%	0.0%	3.71	3.53	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	17	0	27	121	24	12	0	0%	1.6	13.5%	12.4%	1.1%	0.0%	3.71	3.53	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	17	0	27	121	24	12	0	0%	1.6	19.8%	9.9%	9.9%	0.0%	3.71	2.65	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	28	124	21	12	1	0%	1.3	13.1%	9.6%	3.5%	0.0%	4.45	3.21	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	28	124	21	12	1	0%	1.3	13.1%	9.6%	3.5%	0.0%	4.45	3.21	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	28	124	21	12	1	0%	1.3	16.9%	9.7%	7.3%	0.8%	4.45	3.35	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	16	1	17	75	17	12	1	6%	1.1	15.4%	20.0%	-4.6%	1.9%	3.63	5.36	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	16	1	17	75	17	12	1	6%	1.1	15.4%	20.0%	-4.6%	1.9%	3.63	5.36	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	16	1	17	75	17	12	1	6%	1.1	22.7%	16.0%	6.7%	1.3%	3.63	3.97	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	TB	10	0	11	46	9	7	1	0%	1.1	20.3%	14.1%	6.2%	2.9%	5.16	5.16	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TB	25	0	26	112	24	14	3	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.4%	9.0%	2.9%	4.93	4.83	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	TB	12	0	13	55	12	7	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.4%	9.0%	2.9%	4.93	4.83	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	12	7	2	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.4%	9.0%	2.9%	4.93	4.45	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	107	31	0%	1.1	21.4%	12.4%	9.0%	2.9%	4.93	4.45	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		83	1	122	529	73	71	12	1%	1.5	13.7%	13.4%	0.4%	2.2%	4.34	4.85	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	2	200	865	119	116	19	1%	1.5	13.7%	13.4%	0.4%	2.2%	4.34	4.85	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Moises Palma (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	20.3%	14.1%	2.9%	—	4.83	21.4%	9.0%	26	-0.33	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	94
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	90
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	90
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	89
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	89
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	89
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	89
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	88
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	88
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	88
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	88
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	87
Hobie Harris R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	22	SU	4.28	18.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.239	3.36	21.2%	12.0%	144	-0.92	3.31	476	87
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	87
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	87
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	87
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	87
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	87
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	525	86
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	283	86