Juan Martínez — OGILVIE

Juan MartínezOF DSL Orioles Black

Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 175 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .269 / .294

PA4

HR0

K%31

BB%8

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	102	86	10	3	0	0	13	31	2	0	2	116	248	151	399	35	179	30	13	203	24	-9	-1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2023	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	146	122	26	3	2	4	24	41	0	1	2	213	342	369	711	156	286	28	16	326	106	+1	-1	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	19	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	57	45	4	3	0	0	11	10	1	2	0	89	281	156	436	67	114	18	19	231	42	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	102	91	7	2	0	0	8	46	2	0	2	77	168	99	267	22	137	45	8	128	-27	-15	-1	—	—	+2	-1.4
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	146	132	17	2	1	3	14	63	0	1	2	129	212	227	440	98	220	43	10	208	27	-13	-1	—	—	+3	-1.0
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	57	49	3	2	0	0	7	15	1	2	0	61	193	102	295	41	80	26	12	151	-12	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	102	91	7	2	0	0	8	46	2	0	2	77	168	99	267	22	152	45	8	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Black	—	102	86	10	3	0	0	13	31	2	0	2	116	248	151	399	35	179	30	13	203	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	146	132	17	2	1	3	14	63	0	1	2	129	212	227	440	98	212	43	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	146	122	26	3	2	4	24	41	0	1	2	213	342	369	711	156	286	28	16	326	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	57	49	3	2	0	0	7	15	1	2	0	61	193	102	295	41	88	26	12	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	57	45	4	3	0	0	11	10	1	2	0	89	281	156	436	67	114	18	19	231	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	102	91	7	2	0	0	8	46	2	0	2	77	168	99	267	22	137	45	8	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	146	131	17	2	1	3	14	63	0	1	2	130	212	229	441	99	220	43	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	57	49	3	2	0	0	7	15	1	2	0	61	193	102	295	41	80	26	12	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	146	131	17	2	1	3	14	63	0	1	2	130	212	229	441	99	220	43	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	57	49	3	2	0	0	7	15	1	2	0	61	193	102	295	41	80	26	12	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		286	25	0	258	61	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	113	102	22	4	1	2	9	34	1	1	0	216	286	333	619	118	287	30	8	269	68	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	194	256	306	562	111	291	31	8	267	68	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	194	256	306	562	111	261	31	8	267	20	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	117	17	0	17	50	200	0	0	0	195	257	308	565	113	261	31	8	267	20	-25	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	422	378	50	10	2	5	38	159	4	4	4	132	219	209	428	77	208	38	9	198	20	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	77	15	3	8	59	245	6	6	6	132	219	210	429	77	208	38	9	198	20	-25	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Martínez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	198/269/294	96	286	1	1	31%	8%	61	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	45→23	42→50	47→45	42	215/291/320	105	306	9	7	31%	7%	76	-0.4	183/279/347	164	286	19	5	40%	9%	78	-0.3	155/265/319	163	241	20	5	41%	10%	64	-0.8
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	52	-2.2	198/248/295	97	288	8	8	32%	6%	53	-2.1	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	32	-1.0
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	42→45	47→40	40	168/249/264	96	280	10	3	41%	8%	47	-2.5	199/279/320	121	325	12	6	39%	9%	72	-0.7	183/279/320	137	294	13	3	39%	10%	68	-0.4
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→40	41→45	48→50	41	200/267/299	99	282	9	10	31%	6%	61	-1.5	203/296/305	102	299	9	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	186/292/283	98	277	9	10	33%	11%	67	-0.7
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	41	40→45	47→60	42	200/264/290	90	290	8	9	32%	7%	58	-1.7	191/247/278	87	313	7	24	39%	6%	49	-2.4	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	44→55	39	190/253/289	99	277	10	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	206/263/300	94	283	6	11	28%	6%	59	-1.6	204/262/298	94	272	5	15	25%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	43→27	42→45	51→50	36	201/283/313	112	310	9	12	35%	5%	72	-0.7	171/244/297	126	334	15	12	50%	5%	54	-2.0	135/213/254	119	281	17	13	54%	6%	30	-1.6
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	39→38	40→45	47→55	43	187/274/280	93	280	7	10	33%	8%	61	-1.5	185/265/295	110	249	10	19	28%	7%	61	-1.5	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/338	130	278	13	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	207/287/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Ariel Baez 2012 · A	21	39	41→40	43→45	43	194/265/291	97	265	8	5	29%	7%	59	-1.7	199/257/281	82	285	5	6	30%	6%	53	-2.1	173/227/238	65	246	2	6	29%	5%	30	-1.2
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	51	-2.2	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	61	-1.5	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	40→45	48→30	38	195/255/282	87	294	7	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/262	84	256	7	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	40→37	42→50	47→55	44	197/267/302	105	280	9	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	191/271/310	119	332	11	13	42%	9%	65	-1.2	167/259/302	135	291	13	18	43%	10%	57	-1.1
✕Franklin Labour 2019 · A	21	42	39→45	50	43	202/271/295	93	278	6	11	28%	7%	62	-1.4	191/264/289	98	316	7	8	38%	8%	58	-1.7	152/241/272	120	265	13	9	44%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	37→43	43→45	45	38	188/239/301	113	261	9	5	31%	5%	51	-2.3	207/258/327	120	276	13	6	29%	6%	64	-1.3	199/256/318	119	244	14	9	24%	7%	58	-1.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	36→40	46→50	46→50	47	186/274/318	132	269	14	9	34%	10%	69	-0.9	187/270/320	133	275	13	8	34%	9%	68	-1.0	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7