Anderson Nova — OGILVIE

Anderson NovaOF FCL Twins

Age 21 L/L 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .266 / .288

PA5

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	149	124	44	8	2	1	21	26	3	1	3	355	459	476	935	121	439	17	14	418	169	+12	-1	—	—	+3	1.5
2023	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	103	85	17	5	0	1	16	32	2	0	1	200	340	294	634	94	308	31	16	302	90	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	80	71	15	2	2	1	8	15	1	0	1	211	300	338	638	127	255	19	10	291	83	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	149	133	37	6	1	1	12	38	3	1	3	278	351	361	712	83	375	26	8	314	99	-0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	103	91	12	3	0	1	10	45	2	0	1	132	233	198	431	66	242	44	10	199	21	-10	-0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	80	74	12	1	2	1	5	22	1	0	1	162	225	270	495	108	203	28	6	202	23	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	149	133	37	6	1	1	12	38	3	1	3	278	351	361	712	83	379	26	8	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	149	124	44	8	2	1	21	26	3	1	3	355	459	476	935	121	439	17	14	418	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	103	91	12	3	0	1	10	45	2	0	1	132	233	198	431	66	244	44	10	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	103	85	17	5	0	1	16	32	2	0	1	200	340	294	634	94	308	31	16	302	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	80	74	12	1	2	1	5	22	1	0	1	162	225	270	495	108	216	28	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	80	71	15	2	2	1	8	15	1	0	1	211	300	338	638	127	255	19	10	291	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	149	133	37	6	1	1	12	38	3	1	3	278	351	361	712	83	375	26	8	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	103	90	12	3	0	1	10	45	2	0	1	133	233	200	433	67	242	44	10	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	80	74	12	1	2	1	5	22	1	0	1	162	225	270	495	108	203	28	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	103	90	12	3	0	1	10	45	2	0	1	133	233	200	433	67	242	44	10	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	80	74	12	1	2	1	5	22	1	0	1	162	225	270	495	108	203	28	6	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		288	40	0	254	58	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	114	103	22	4	1	2	9	34	1	1	0	214	283	330	613	117	289	30	8	266	66	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	194	256	306	562	111	289	31	8	258	66	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	194	256	306	562	111	261	31	8	258	59	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	117	17	0	17	50	200	0	0	0	195	257	308	565	113	261	31	8	258	59	-26	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	451	406	84	14	4	5	36	141	7	2	5	207	283	298	581	91	302	31	8	255	59	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	121	20	6	7	52	203	10	3	7	207	283	297	580	91	302	31	8	255	59	-27	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anderson Nova (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	198/266/288	89	288	1	0	31%	7%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Je'Von Ward 2021 · A	21	42→35	37→45	47→50	42	196/257/268	73	297	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	200/249/293	93	324	8	10	38%	6%	52	-2.2	191/275/315	124	286	14	8	36%	10%	68	-0.5
✕Agustin Ruiz 2021 · A	21	40→35	37→50	46→40	39	189/250/267	78	298	4	4	36%	7%	47	-2.5	187/253/321	134	269	17	4	35%	7%	62	-1.4	166/244/295	129	230	15	2	34%	7%	52	-1.3
✕Rixon Wingrove 2021 · A	21	43→36	42→50	44→40	42	210/265/319	109	287	9	4	29%	7%	64	-1.3	184/249/309	125	299	15	4	41%	6%	57	-1.8	184/257/333	149	277	19	3	39%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→44	41→45	50→55	40	191/251/289	98	279	8	7	33%	6%	53	-2.1	209/274/308	99	298	9	15	31%	8%	65	-1.2	205/273/301	96	300	7	19	32%	8%	60	-1.0
✕Nathan Mikolas 2015 · A	21	40	40	48→45	40	192/263/284	91	288	8	7	34%	7%	57	-1.8	209/269/300	91	305	8	6	32%	6%	62	-1.4	198/259/282	84	287	9	4	32%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Jared Walker 2017 · A	21	37→32	40→55	44→45	37	178/239/268	89	302	8	7	41%	7%	44	-2.8	188/258/344	156	307	19	5	42%	7%	70	-0.9	173/255/337	164	274	21	5	42%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Andry Arias 2021 · A	21	40	40	52→40	41	192/259/281	89	288	7	8	34%	7%	54	-2.0	190/255/290	100	295	9	6	36%	7%	55	-2.0	163/231/263	100	247	9	3	36%	7%	38	-1.0
✕Brenden Webb 2011 · A	21	38→39	41→45	53→50	43	184/261/289	104	283	8	7	35%	8%	57	-1.8	183/271/281	98	311	8	10	39%	10%	59	-1.6	169/250/290	121	279	12	10	41%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A	21	34→44	39→45	49→40	36	170/224/255	85	264	7	6	37%	6%	34	-3.5	213/264/317	104	303	10	4	31%	6%	64	-1.3	217/269/325	108	297	11	3	29%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→32	43→45	51→50	42	190/258/298	108	281	10	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	205/269/314	109	303	11	12	34%	7%	65	-1.2	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Henrry Rosario 2014 · A	21	37	38→45	47→45	44	180/249/266	85	257	5	8	30%	8%	47	-2.6	199/253/304	105	256	8	7	24%	6%	56	-1.9	205/253/337	132	255	14	9	25%	5%	63	-0.5
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→46	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	94	272	5	6	36%	8%	48	-2.5	200/267/315	115	279	11	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	210/283/339	129	268	13	5	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Jacob Pearson 2019 · A	21	38→39	39→40	45→50	40	189/242/274	85	266	7	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	191/246/282	91	262	7	11	28%	7%	49	-2.4	168/237/260	92	235	8	19	30%	7%	39	-1.2
✕Francisco Del Valle 2021 · A	22	36→28	41→45	46→40	42	177/255/279	103	264	8	5	34%	8%	53	-2.1	189/253/299	110	272	12	5	33%	7%	56	-1.9	165/232/271	106	232	13	3	33%	7%	40	-1.2
✕Luis Toribio 2022 · A	21	42→39	40→45	44→40	43	197/272/293	96	319	8	4	38%	9%	61	-1.5	175/244/302	127	292	15	2	42%	8%	54	-2.0	155/227/286	131	250	17	0	43%	8%	42	-1.8
✕Edwin Moreno 2015 · A	21	42→41	39→50	51→45	35	204/238/292	88	294	5	7	32%	4%	47	-2.5	221/248/342	121	331	11	8	35%	3%	63	-1.4	215/241/351	135	329	13	6	38%	3%	59	-1.1
✕Izaac Pacheco 2023 · A	20	41→40	42→50	47→45	42	199/260/306	108	293	10	8	34%	8%	60	-1.6	180/243/297	117	298	12	5	41%	7%	52	-2.2	178/255/335	157	290	20	3	43%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Cody Morissette 2022 · A	22	41→30	39→45	43→55	44	195/263/281	86	285	6	5	32%	8%	55	-1.9	186/242/306	120	251	14	7	31%	6%	53	-2.1	182/237/299	117	239	14	19	29%	6%	48	-1.4
✕Allan Cerda 2021 · A	21	45→23	42→50	47→45	42	215/291/320	105	306	9	7	31%	7%	76	-0.4	183/279/347	164	286	19	5	40%	9%	78	-0.3	155/265/319	163	241	20	5	41%	10%	64	-0.8