Willian Colmenares

Willian Colmenares P FCL Red Sox

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 183 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 7 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%22.6%

BB%15.1%

K-BB%7.5%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	13	12	40	171	40	18	1	92%	3.1	15.9%	13.2%	2.7%	0.9%	3.79	3.93	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	13	12	40	171	40	18	1	92%	3.1	23.4%	10.5%	12.9%	0.6%	3.79	2.78	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	4	3	10	46	6	7	0	75%	2.5	13.0%	15.2%	-2.2%	0.0%	5.40	3.93	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	4	3	10	46	6	7	0	75%	2.5	13.0%	15.2%	-2.2%	0.0%	5.40	4.00	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	0	12	78	8	23	1	0%	1.0	7.0%	36.9%	-29.9%	1.9%	13.86	8.21	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	0	12	78	8	23	1	0%	1.0	7.0%	36.9%	-29.9%	1.9%	13.86	8.21	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	12	0	12	78	8	23	1	0%	1.0	10.3%	29.5%	-19.2%	1.3%	13.86	8.45	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	BOS	1	1	7	30	7	4	1	100%	7.0	22.6%	15.1%	7.5%	3.0%	5.13	5.13	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BOS	4	4	20	84	20	11	2	100%	5.0	23.4%	13.1%	10.3%	3.0%	4.89	4.79	+0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	BOS	2	2	10	42	10	6	1	100%	5.0	23.4%	13.1%	10.3%	3.0%	4.89	4.79	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	10	5	1	100%	4.9	23.4%	13.1%	10.3%	3.0%	4.89	4.41	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	37	200	844	203	102	20	100%	5.3	23.4%	13.1%	10.3%	3.0%	4.89	4.41	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		29	15	63	295	39	58	3	52%	2.2	13.1%	19.7%	-6.6%	1.0%	6.03	5.06	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	48	200	941	123	186	10	52%	2.2	13.1%	19.7%	-6.6%	1.0%	6.03	5.06	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Willian Colmenares (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	22.6%	15.1%	3.0%	—	4.79	23.4%	10.3%	20	-0.34	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	88
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	81
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	80
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	79
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	78
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	78
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	77
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	75
Kevin Abel R 2022 · 5.92 FIP	23	SW	5.92	25.2%	22.4%	3.9%	.441	4.63	18.6%	4.5%	308	-1.29	4.50	450	74
Rafael Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.11 FIP	20	SW	4.11	21.8%	16.3%	1.4%	.303	5.08	15.7%	-4.4%	82	+0.97	3.42	162	73
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	73
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.5%	13.9%	142	-2.14	2.93	177	73
Eiberson Castellano R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SW	4.25	18.3%	14.1%	1.7%	.359	4.06	20.9%	10.6%	251	-0.19	3.67	386	73
Michael Cederoth R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	22	SP-	4.10	16.8%	13.0%	1.4%	.292	4.95	21.6%	2.4%	83	+0.85	4.10	118	72
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	72
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	72
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	72
Ryan Vanderhei R 2024 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP-	3.95	16.4%	14.1%	0.8%	.284	4.45	17.9%	2.9%	114	+0.50	3.75	152	72
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	72