Willian Colmenares
P
FCL Red Sox
Age 21
RHP
6'0" / 183 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 7 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%23.0%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP7
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 7 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 13 | 12 | 40 | 171 | 40 | 18 | 1 | 92% | 3.1 | 15.9% | 13.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 3.79 | 3.99 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL BOS Blue | 13 | 12 | 40 | 171 | 40 | 18 | 1 | 92% | 3.1 | 23.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 0.6% | 3.79 | 2.78 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 4 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 75% | 2.5 | 13.0% | 15.2% | -2.2% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.93 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 4 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 75% | 2.5 | 13.0% | 15.2% | -2.2% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 4.00 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 12 | 0 | 12 | 78 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 7.0% | 36.9% | -29.9% | 2.0% | 13.86 | 8.27 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 12 | 0 | 12 | 78 | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.3% | 29.5% | -19.2% | 1.3% | 13.86 | 8.45 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | BOS | 2 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 3.6 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | BOS | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.9% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.24 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | BOS | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.9% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 4.24 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.9% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 3.86 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 39 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.9% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 4.31 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 29 | 15 | 63 | 295 | 39 | 58 | 3 | 52% | 2.2 | 13.1% | 19.7% | -6.6% | 1.1% | 6.03 | 5.11 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 48 | 200 | 941 | 123 | 186 | 11 | 52% | 2.2 | 13.1% | 19.7% | -6.6% | 1.1% | 6.03 | 5.11 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Willian Colmenares (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.24 | 23.9% | 14.7% | 20 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Carson Rudd R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 86 |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 80 |
| Wilmer Ortega R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .304 | 5.83 | 16.1% | 1.8% | 30 | +1.97 | 3.62 | 158 | 79 |
| Juan Mendez R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 78 |
| Jeronimo Castro R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.37 | 25.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .362 | 3.84 | 20.1% | 7.9% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.19 | 158 | 77 |
| Cole Stapler R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 77 |
| Grant Holman R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.18 | 18.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | .308 | 3.75 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 133 | -1.43 | 3.08 | 184 | 77 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 77 |
| Eiberson Castellano R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.94 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .266 | 3.93 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 189 | -0.01 | 3.69 | 348 | 77 |
| Casey Legumina R 2029 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 77 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 76 |
| Breidy Encarnación R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.48 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .222 | 3.47 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 67 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 164 | 76 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 76 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 75 |
| Simon Mathews R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 75 |
| Miguel Alfonseca R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.24 | 18.3% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .400 | 5.54 | 14.9% | -0.9% | 92 | +1.30 | 4.24 | 123 | 75 |
| Colin Fields R 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 75 |
| Jonathan Petit R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 3.4% | .272 | 5.09 | 15.6% | 2.4% | 113 | +0.35 | 2.80 | 189 | 74 |
| Franco Aleman R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 74 |
| Daniel Bies R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 74 |