Luis Suarez — OGILVIE

Luis SuarezSS DSL NYY Bombers

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 143 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .261 / .277

PA4

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	116	85	16	4	1	0	23	29	5	16	3	188	389	259	648	71	271	25	20	314	99	-0	+2	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	174	146	31	5	4	2	21	51	6	22	2	212	335	342	678	130	309	29	12	312	97	-1	+4	—	—	+4	0.7
2024	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	54	50	15	3	0	0	4	10	0	3	2	300	352	360	712	60	375	19	7	324	105	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	116	93	13	3	1	0	15	42	5	16	3	140	292	194	486	54	212	36	13	221	36	-9	+2	—	—	+3	-0.4
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	174	154	21	3	2	1	13	75	6	22	2	136	231	201	433	65	245	43	7	195	18	-17	+4	—	—	+4	-1.0
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	54	52	11	2	0	0	2	14	0	3	2	212	241	250	491	38	296	26	4	224	38	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	116	93	13	3	1	0	15	42	5	16	3	140	292	194	486	54	241	36	13	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	116	85	16	4	1	0	23	29	5	16	3	188	389	259	648	71	271	25	20	314	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	174	154	21	3	2	1	13	75	6	22	2	136	231	201	433	65	253	43	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	174	146	31	5	4	2	21	51	6	22	2	212	335	342	678	130	309	29	12	312	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	54	52	11	2	0	0	2	14	0	3	2	212	241	250	491	38	289	26	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	54	50	15	3	0	0	4	10	0	3	2	300	352	360	712	60	375	19	7	324	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	116	95	13	3	1	0	15	42	5	16	3	137	292	189	482	53	212	36	13	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	174	153	21	3	2	1	13	75	6	22	2	137	231	203	434	65	245	43	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	54	52	11	2	0	0	2	14	0	3	2	212	241	250	491	38	296	26	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	174	153	21	3	2	1	13	75	6	22	2	137	231	203	434	65	245	43	7	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	54	52	11	2	0	0	2	14	0	3	2	212	241	250	491	38	296	26	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		287	25	0	248	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	113	103	21	4	1	1	8	34	1	3	0	204	268	291	559	87	289	30	7	260	62	-5	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	248	225	47	8	2	4	18	73	3	6	1	209	276	316	592	107	290	29	7	269	68	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	347	315	68	12	3	6	25	101	4	9	1	216	282	330	612	114	291	29	7	275	72	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	407	369	80	14	3	8	30	118	5	10	2	217	285	336	621	119	291	29	7	278	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	444	402	88	15	4	9	33	128	6	11	2	219	288	343	631	124	291	29	7	280	76	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	463	419	90	15	4	9	35	134	6	11	2	215	285	334	619	119	291	29	8	280	76	-13	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	470	425	92	16	4	9	36	137	6	11	2	216	287	336	623	120	291	29	8	279	75	-14	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	468	423	90	15	4	9	36	137	6	10	2	213	284	331	615	118	290	29	8	278	74	-14	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	462	418	88	15	3	9	35	137	6	9	1	211	281	325	606	115	289	30	8	275	72	-15	+1	-2	+5	+10	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	290	31	8	254	62	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	120	109	23	4	1	2	9	36	1	3	0	211	277	321	598	110	291	30	8	263	68	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	183	166	35	6	1	3	13	53	2	5	1	211	276	313	589	102	293	29	7	269	72	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	223	202	45	8	2	5	16	65	3	5	1	223	290	356	646	134	293	29	7	273	75	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	247	224	48	8	2	5	18	71	3	6	1	214	282	335	616	121	293	29	7	274	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	255	231	50	9	2	5	19	74	3	6	1	216	285	338	622	121	293	29	7	275	76	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	257	232	50	9	2	5	20	75	3	6	1	216	286	336	622	121	292	29	8	274	75	-8	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	250	226	48	8	2	5	19	73	3	5	1	212	282	332	614	119	292	29	8	272	74	-8	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	243	219	47	8	2	5	19	72	3	5	1	215	286	338	624	123	291	30	8	269	72	-8	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1817	1645	353	61	14	36	136	531	21	42	7	215	283	334	617	120	292	29	7	271	69	-57	+6	-2	+19	+39	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	127	22	5	13	49	190	8	15	3	216	286	337	622	121	294	29	8	271	69	-20	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3770	3402	710	122	31	65	286	1131	54	121	20	209	281	320	601	111	290	30	8	270	69	-108	+11	-4	+37	+74	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	122	21	5	11	49	195	9	21	3	208	279	317	596	109	289	30	8	270	69	-21	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.8	1,862	35	44	215	280	331	+20	+18	1.7	1.8
/162	664	12	16	+7.1	+6.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Suarez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	196/261/277	81	287	0	1	31%	7%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→44	35→45	55→65	41	188/231/241	52	251	2	18	26%	5%	33	-3.6	199/255/288	89	264	8	18	26%	6%	54	-2.0	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
●Maikel Garcia 2021 · A	21	43→53	36→50	51→60	42	203/261/270	67	295	3	13	31%	7%	51	-2.2	244/303/338	94	314	6	24	22%	8%	82	+0.0	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	53→60	46	188/283/278	90	291	7	16	35%	10%	63	-1.3	193/292/274	81	290	6	18	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	42→52	39→45	50	41	204/263/293	89	285	6	11	29%	6%	58	-1.7	228/278/329	101	310	10	10	28%	6%	72	-0.7	235/295/316	82	324	8	12	28%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Jeudy Valdez 2010 · A	21	41→45	38→50	52→55	39	195/247/276	82	283	4	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	204/244/319	115	274	11	18	29%	4%	57	-1.8	211/247/343	132	277	13	17	28%	3%	61	-1.3
✕Monte Harrison 2017 · A	21	38→44	39→50	52→60	34	177/245/258	81	304	6	14	41%	6%	44	-2.8	207/262/331	124	336	14	19	40%	5%	67	-1.1	192/260/311	120	338	15	41	45%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	203/248/300	97	293	7	12	32%	5%	53	-2.1	194/247/296	102	286	9	6	34%	6%	53	-2.1	142/197/217	75	196	6	0	30%	5%	15	-1.1
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	43→51	40→45	59→55	40	207/258/309	101	292	7	20	30%	6%	59	-1.7	225/281/337	112	302	8	18	27%	6%	74	-0.5	227/288/340	113	297	9	18	25%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Justin Trapp 2012 · A	21	42→45	39→45	54→55	39	200/255/283	83	294	6	21	33%	6%	53	-2.1	214/269/314	100	296	9	16	29%	6%	65	-1.2	214/269/307	93	291	8	15	28%	5%	60	-1.3
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Lane Adams 2011 · A	21	44→46	37→45	57→60	40	206/257/280	74	300	4	14	31%	6%	52	-2.2	213/263/314	101	299	8	14	30%	6%	62	-1.4	227/280/350	123	310	14	36	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	40	37→50	50→45	41	186/263/256	70	295	4	13	35%	8%	50	-2.3	197/264/292	95	299	9	5	35%	6%	59	-1.6	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→50	54→55	35	184/245/283	99	282	10	12	37%	5%	50	-2.3	197/252/315	118	289	14	16	35%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	42	-2.9	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	45	-2.7	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	25	-0.8
✕Johnni Turbo 2009 · A	20	37→47	37→40	54→55	36	184/222/257	73	263	4	13	31%	4%	33	-3.6	211/247/290	79	307	4	16	31%	4%	50	-2.3	254/283/341	87	306	5	19	18%	3%	73	-0.4
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	47	-2.5	205/274/318	113	295	9	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	191/257/296	105	277	7	15	32%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	42→52	41→45	52→50	40	203/262/305	102	282	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	219/266/310	91	294	7	9	27%	5%	63	-1.4	243/282/332	89	297	7	6	20%	4%	70	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps