Luis Suarez — OGILVIE

Luis SuarezSS DSL NYY Bombers

Age 21 R/R 5'9" / 143 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .259 / .274

PA46

HR0

K%32

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	116	93	13	3	1	0	15	43	5	16	3	140	292	194	486	54	245	37	13	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	116	85	16	4	1	0	23	29	5	16	3	188	389	259	648	71	271	25	20	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	174	155	21	3	2	1	12	77	6	22	2	135	225	200	425	65	256	44	7	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	174	146	31	5	4	2	21	51	6	22	2	212	335	342	678	130	309	29	12	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	54	52	11	2	0	0	2	14	0	3	2	212	241	250	491	38	289	26	4	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	54	50	15	3	0	0	4	10	0	3	2	300	352	360	712	60	375	19	7	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	NYY	—	46	42	7	1	0	0	3	15	1	1	0	167	239	190	430	24	287	33	7	246	46	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	NYY	34%	113	103	21	4	1	1	8	35	1	3	0	204	268	291	559	87	289	31	7	259	56	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	NYY	48%	248	225	47	8	2	4	18	74	3	6	1	209	276	316	592	107	290	30	7	267	63	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2029	24	MLB	NYY	53%	347	315	67	11	3	6	25	102	4	9	1	213	279	324	603	111	291	29	7	274	68	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2030	25	MLB	NYY	55%	407	369	80	14	3	8	30	119	5	10	2	217	285	336	621	119	292	29	7	277	70	-14	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.3
2031	26	MLB	NYY	56%	444	402	87	15	3	9	33	130	6	11	2	216	286	336	622	119	292	29	7	279	71	-14	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2032	27	MLB	NYY	55%	463	419	90	15	4	9	35	136	6	11	2	215	285	334	619	119	292	29	8	279	72	-15	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2033	28	MLB	NYY	55%	470	425	91	15	4	9	36	138	6	11	2	214	285	332	617	118	291	29	8	278	71	-15	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.4
2027	22	MLB	NYY	34%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	290	31	8	251	50	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	NYY	48%	120	109	23	4	1	2	9	36	1	3	0	211	277	321	598	110	292	30	8	260	57	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	NYY	53%	183	166	35	6	1	3	13	54	2	5	1	211	276	313	589	102	293	30	7	267	62	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	NYY	55%	223	202	44	8	2	4	16	65	3	5	1	218	285	337	622	119	293	29	7	270	65	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2031	26	MLB	NYY	56%	247	224	48	8	2	5	18	72	3	6	1	214	282	335	616	121	293	29	7	272	66	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2032	27	MLB	NYY	55%	255	231	50	9	2	5	19	75	3	6	1	216	285	338	622	121	293	29	7	272	66	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2033	28	MLB	NYY	55%	257	233	50	9	2	5	19	76	3	6	1	215	282	335	617	120	293	30	7	271	66	-10	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1324	1201	257	45	10	25	97	390	15	32	5	214	281	331	612	117	293	29	7	269	64	-54	+4	-0	+14	+38	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	126	22	5	12	48	191	7	16	2	214	281	329	609	115	292	29	7	269	64	-26	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2882	2600	535	91	23	47	217	883	43	103	17	206	278	313	591	107	289	31	8	267	62	-123	+14	-1	+31	+82	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	121	21	5	11	49	199	10	23	4	206	279	316	595	109	289	31	8	267	62	-28	+3	-0	+7	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	116	85	16	4	1	0	23	29	5	16	3	188	389	259	648	71	271	25	20	314	98	-0	+2	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	174	146	31	5	4	2	21	51	6	22	2	212	335	342	678	130	309	29	12	312	97	-1	+4	—	—	+5	0.8
2024	19	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	54	50	15	3	0	0	4	10	0	3	2	300	352	360	712	60	375	19	7	324	106	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,369	25	33	214	279	329	+15	+15	1.0	1.0
	/162	664	12	16	214	279	329	+7.1	+7.3	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Suarez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	195/259/274	79	287	0	1	32%	7%	46	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Monte Harrison 2017 · A	21	37→44	38→50	52→60	35	176/245/255	79	302	6	14	41%	6%	36	-2.7	208/262/336	128	338	14	19	41%	5%	63	-0.8	206/263/349	143	355	18	31	44%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→46	35→45	55→60	41	188/231/243	55	251	3	18	26%	5%	25	-3.5	199/255/286	87	268	7	18	27%	6%	47	-1.9	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Jeudy Valdez 2010 · A	21	41→43	38→50	52→55	39	195/247/276	82	283	4	14	31%	6%	40	-2.4	201/241/323	122	273	12	18	30%	4%	50	-1.7	211/245/356	146	279	16	17	30%	3%	58	-1.0
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	202/247/299	97	291	7	12	32%	5%	46	-2.0	194/247/296	102	282	9	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	138/192/212	74	190	5	0	29%	5%	1	-1.2
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→50	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	40	-2.4	208/276/322	114	297	8	11	31%	7%	66	-0.6	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Luis De Los Santos 2019 · A	21	40→47	40→45	53→45	35	198/241/288	90	276	7	8	30%	4%	42	-2.3	203/247/309	106	292	9	7	32%	4%	50	-1.8	216/283/335	119	291	13	7	29%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Justin Trapp 2012 · A	21	42→45	39→45	54→55	39	200/255/283	83	294	6	21	33%	6%	46	-2.0	213/267/313	100	294	9	16	29%	6%	59	-1.1	214/267/306	93	290	9	15	28%	5%	54	-1.2
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	35	-2.8	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	37	-2.6	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	15	-0.8
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	37	-2.6	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	44	-2.1	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Lane Adams 2011 · A	21	44→46	37→50	57→60	40	206/257/280	74	300	4	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	213/262/320	107	298	9	14	30%	6%	58	-1.2	228/279/363	136	311	16	36	31%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	41→40	42→50	52→55	42	203/265/309	106	263	10	18	26%	6%	58	-1.2	207/272/357	150	272	17	18	30%	7%	74	-0.1	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4