Alexander Martinez

C FCL Braves

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	AATL	61	.121/.164/.138	0	0	-42	—	.102/.131/.119
2024	19	ROKATL	81	.147/.200/.173	0	1	-33	—	.104/.138/.117
2025	20	ROKATL	68	.138/.265/.172	0	0	-12	—	.098/.191/.115
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBATL	178	.202/.260/.282	2	2	53	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBATL	50	.207/.265/.296	1	1	59	-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBATL	123	.210/.270/.308	2	1	63	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

K%92

Whiff%79

Z-Con%59

BB%37

ISO11

Speed9

CompsAaron McKeithan (age 22) · Frank Rodriguez (age 22) · Steven Baron (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 68 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .258 / .280

PA68

HR1

K%29

BB%6

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	176	164	40	9	0	2	12	33	0	2	1	244	295	335	631	91	295	19	7	286	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	147	129	22	3	0	0	17	38	1	0	0	171	272	194	466	23	242	26	12	229	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	61	58	7	1	0	0	3	23	0	0	0	121	164	138	302	17	200	38	5	144	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	81	75	11	2	0	0	5	17	0	1	0	147	200	173	373	27	190	21	6	175	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	68	58	8	2	0	0	8	8	2	0	0	138	265	172	437	34	160	12	12	221	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	176	168	26	5	0	1	8	39	0	2	1	155	193	202	396	48	193	22	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	147	135	17	2	0	0	11	54	1	0	0	126	197	141	338	15	210	37	7	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	61	59	6	1	0	0	2	31	0	0	0	102	131	119	250	17	194	51	3	106	-42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	81	77	8	1	0	0	3	24	0	1	0	104	138	117	254	13	145	30	4	119	-33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	68	61	6	1	0	0	5	12	2	0	0	98	191	115	306	16	121	18	7	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	176	168	26	5	0	1	8	39	0	2	1	155	193	202	396	48	195	22	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	176	164	40	9	0	2	12	33	0	2	1	244	295	335	631	91	295	19	7	286	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	147	135	17	2	0	0	11	54	1	0	0	126	197	141	338	15	210	37	7	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	147	129	22	3	0	0	17	38	1	0	0	171	272	194	466	23	242	26	12	229	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	142	136	13	2	0	0	5	55	0	1	0	96	128	110	238	15	160	39	4	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	142	133	18	3	0	0	8	40	0	1	0	135	184	158	342	23	194	28	6	162	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	68	61	6	1	0	0	5	12	2	0	0	98	191	115	306	16	122	18	7	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	68	58	8	2	0	0	8	8	2	0	0	138	265	172	437	34	160	12	12	221	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	176	166	26	5	0	1	8	39	0	2	1	157	193	205	398	48	193	22	5	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	147	134	17	2	0	0	11	54	1	0	0	127	197	142	339	15	210	37	7	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	142	136	13	2	0	0	5	55	0	1	0	96	128	110	238	15	166	39	4	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	68	61	6	1	0	0	5	12	2	0	0	98	191	115	306	16	121	18	7	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	142	136	13	2	0	0	5	55	0	1	0	96	128	110	238	15	166	39	4	113	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	68	61	6	1	0	0	5	12	2	0	0	98	191	115	306	16	121	18	7	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	178	163	33	6	1	2	11	52	2	2	1	202	260	282	542	80	282	29	6	247	53	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	145	134	28	5	1	2	9	42	1	2	1	207	265	296	562	90	283	29	6	255	59	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	ATL	46%	266	244	52	9	2	4	18	76	2	3	1	210	270	308	578	98	285	29	7	262	63	-12	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	342	313	67	12	2	6	23	96	3	4	1	213	274	318	591	105	285	28	7	267	67	-14	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	393	360	77	14	2	7	27	109	3	4	1	215	276	325	601	110	285	28	7	271	69	-14	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	419	383	83	15	2	8	29	116	4	4	1	216	278	326	604	111	285	28	7	272	70	-15	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	432	395	85	15	2	8	30	120	4	3	1	214	275	322	597	108	284	28	7	269	68	-16	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	432	396	83	15	2	7	30	122	3	2	1	211	273	316	588	104	283	28	7	266	66	-18	+0	-1	+8	+9	-0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	429	394	82	14	2	7	29	122	3	0	1	208	269	308	577	99	281	28	7	261	63	-19	-0	-2	+8	+9	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	50	47	10	2	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	207	265	296	562	90	283	28	6	255	59	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	ATL	46%	123	113	24	4	1	2	8	35	1	1	0	210	270	308	578	98	285	28	7	262	63	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	177	161	35	6	1	3	12	50	2	2	1	213	274	318	591	105	285	28	7	267	67	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	213	194	42	7	1	4	15	59	2	2	1	215	276	325	601	110	285	28	7	271	69	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	227	207	44	8	1	4	16	63	2	2	1	216	278	326	604	111	285	28	7	272	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	234	214	45	8	1	4	16	65	2	2	1	214	275	322	597	108	284	28	7	269	68	-9	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	229	209	44	8	1	4	16	64	2	1	1	211	273	316	588	104	283	28	7	266	66	-9	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	225	206	43	7	1	4	15	64	2	0	0	208	269	308	577	99	281	28	7	261	63	-10	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1478	1351	287	50	7	26	101	414	13	11	5	212	274	318	591	105	284	28	7	267	54	-59	+0	-2	+26	+32	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	126	22	3	11	44	182	6	5	2	212	273	315	588	103	285	28	7	267	54	-26	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3459	3182	631	111	15	51	228	983	27	26	9	198	258	291	548	92	268	28	7	249	54	-118	+1	-4	+52	+63	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	119	21	3	10	43	185	5	5	2	199	259	294	553	95	268	28	7	249	54	-26	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.3	1,546	26	11	213	271	317	+28	+20	0.8	0.8
/162	664	11	5	+11.9	+8.6	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Martinez (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	200/258/280	80	282	1	1	29%	6%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	174/218/258	84	255	7	7	34%	5%	32	-3.6	190/226/284	94	268	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→50	49→40	44	206/262/301	95	270	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.6	193/252/308	115	279	11	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	180/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	214/267/316	102	297	9	3	29%	6%	65	-1.2	220/280/330	110	294	10	0	27%	7%	71	-0.5
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	45→30	36	195/236/271	76	279	4	8	31%	4%	42	-2.9	220/267/316	96	272	9	6	22%	6%	64	-1.3	226/273/320	94	265	9	4	18%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→34	39→50	49→30	40	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	196/250/365	169	289	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	176/230/331	155	250	22	1	39%	5%	53	-1.4
✕Alexis Wilson 2019 · A	22	40	38→40	48→30	45	194/260/273	78	263	5	4	27%	8%	53	-2.1	219/269/310	91	281	9	5	24%	6%	63	-1.3	222/267/302	80	270	10	1	21%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	290	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	200/254/277	77	265	5	3	25%	5%	51	-2.3	195/253/281	87	245	8	0	23%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	40	38→45	44→45	40	194/247/270	77	262	5	7	27%	5%	47	-2.6	210/262/301	91	296	8	6	30%	5%	59	-1.6	208/262/300	93	295	9	6	31%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Freuddy Batista 2021 · A	21	38	39→50	48→40	36	186/240/272	87	288	7	5	36%	6%	45	-2.7	203/268/343	140	296	15	6	35%	6%	72	-0.7	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	40	203/258/299	95	286	8	8	31%	6%	57	-1.8	200/263/285	85	289	7	9	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/254/258	73	266	7	8	31%	7%	46	-1.1
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	185/251/253	68	279	3	8	33%	7%	45	-2.7	179/238/249	70	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2008 · A	22	38	39→40	42→50	40	189/236/271	83	258	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	198/259/276	78	270	5	5	27%	7%	53	-2.1	219/256/297	79	272	10	12	23%	4%	52	-0.7
✕Aramis Garcia 2015 · A	22	44→42	38→50	49→45	45	207/268/289	81	284	4	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	212/264/332	120	287	14	3	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/253/349	135	283	17	0	31%	4%	65	-0.7
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41	36→45	47→50	40	196/255/263	68	278	4	7	30%	6%	48	-2.5	210/268/321	111	288	11	13	30%	6%	66	-1.1	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→40	45→40	34	175/221/253	78	272	7	4	37%	5%	32	-3.6	185/240/265	80	303	8	5	39%	6%	43	-2.8	138/183/216	78	244	10	0	46%	5%	8	-1.0
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	299	6	6	37%	6%	50	-2.3	213/274/306	93	302	8	13	30%	7%	65	-1.2	205/266/287	81	283	8	16	29%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	37→33	37→40	47→50	31	179/219/250	71	280	4	7	37%	3%	31	-3.7	213/252/298	85	304	6	10	30%	4%	54	-2.0	216/252/305	89	320	6	14	33%	3%	54	-1.1
✕Pedruin Bautista 2006 · A	22	39	38→40	50→60	33	191/224/270	79	281	4	10	33%	4%	36	-3.3	181/266/248	67	242	2	17	24%	9%	50	-2.3	158/266/216	57	204	1	25	20%	11%	42	-1.2

Alexander Martinez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps