Sabier Marte

P FCL Yankees

Age 23 RHP 6'5" / 167 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2030

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #433

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	19	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	11	8	41	2.43	1.99	24.9%	7.7%	—	K 16.9% · BB 9.6% · FIP 2.89
2024	20	ROKNYY	12	5	49	2.76	3.34	21.4%	7.8%	—	K 14.5% · BB 9.7% · FIP 4.41
2026	22	MIX2 levels	17	16	61	7.42	5.54	21.9%	10.6%	—	K 15.3% · BB 12.9% · FIP 7.05
2027PROJ	23	MLBNYY	12	12	62	5.59	5.59	15.9%	12.2%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBNYY	5	5	27	5.32	5.23	18.0%	11.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBNYY	7	7	42	5.11	5.01	19.2%	10.3%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command50FB velo45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsTanner Hall (age 22) · Levi Thomas (age 23) · Jacob Meador (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.59

FIP5.59

K%15.9%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%3.7%

Proj IP62

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4550

CMD3550

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	10	4	30	133	38	3	3	40%	3.0	19.4%	2.8%	16.6%	2.6%	4.15	3.27	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	10	4	30	133	38	3	3	40%	3.0	28.6%	2.3%	26.3%	2.3%	4.15	2.18	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	11	8	41	169	42	13	0	73%	3.7	16.9%	9.6%	7.3%	0.0%	2.43	2.89	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	11	8	41	169	42	13	0	73%	3.7	24.9%	7.7%	17.2%	0.0%	2.43	1.99	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	12	5	49	206	44	16	4	42%	4.1	14.5%	9.7%	4.8%	2.4%	2.76	4.41	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	12	5	49	206	44	16	4	42%	4.1	14.5%	9.7%	4.8%	2.4%	2.76	4.41	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	12	5	49	206	44	16	4	42%	4.1	21.4%	7.8%	13.6%	1.9%	2.76	3.34	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	16	61	283	62	30	14	94%	3.6	15.3%	12.9%	2.4%	6.6%	7.42	7.05	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	16	61	283	62	30	14	94%	3.6	15.3%	12.9%	2.4%	6.6%	7.42	7.05	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	16	61	283	62	30	14	94%	3.6	21.9%	10.6%	11.3%	4.9%	7.42	5.54	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	NYY	12	12	62	262	42	32	9	100%	5.2	15.9%	12.2%	3.7%	3.5%	5.59	5.59	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	63	266	48	29	9	100%	5.7	18.0%	11.1%	6.9%	3.4%	5.32	5.23	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	64	270	52	28	9	100%	5.8	19.2%	10.3%	8.9%	3.4%	5.11	5.01	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	NYY	11	11	64	270	54	28	9	100%	5.8	19.9%	10.2%	9.7%	3.3%	4.99	4.93	-0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	NYY	10	10	63	266	53	27	9	100%	6.3	20.0%	10.3%	9.7%	3.4%	4.96	4.95	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYY	5	5	27	114	20	13	4	100%	5.4	18.0%	11.1%	6.9%	3.4%	5.32	5.23	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	NYY	7	7	42	177	34	18	6	100%	6.0	19.2%	10.3%	8.9%	3.4%	5.11	5.01	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	NYY	8	8	51	215	43	22	7	100%	6.4	19.9%	10.2%	9.7%	3.3%	4.99	4.93	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	NYY	9	9	54	228	46	23	8	100%	6.0	20.0%	10.3%	9.7%	3.4%	4.96	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		29	29	174	733	143	76	25	100%	6.0	19.5%	10.4%	9.0%	3.4%	5.06	4.62	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	165	88	29	100%	5.9	19.5%	10.4%	9.0%	3.4%	5.06	4.62	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		50	33	181	791	128	77	27	66%	3.6	16.1%	9.7%	6.5%	3.4%	4.48	4.84	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	37	200	876	141	85	30	66%	3.6	16.1%	9.7%	6.5%	3.4%	4.48	4.84	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sabier Marte (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.59	15.9%	12.2%	3.5%	—	5.06	19.0%	8.5%	191	-0.53	—	—	—
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	88
Levi Thomas R 2021 · 5.22 FIP	23	SP-	5.22	18.1%	11.9%	3.9%	.328	5.16	20.8%	3.3%	31	-0.06	5.16	116	88
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	86
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	86
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	85
Tyler Schlaffer R 2024 · 5.08 FIP	23	SP-	5.08	14.5%	13.3%	2.8%	.298	4.13	20.3%	7.7%	190	-0.95	3.79	399	84
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	83
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	82
Noah Denoyer R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.10	25.7%	15.7%	121	-0.41	3.26	181	82
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	82
Bryce Conley R 2018 · 4.71 FIP	23	SP-	4.71	20.2%	12.2%	3.2%	.269	4.88	17.4%	3.3%	197	+0.17	4.22	560	82
Carlos Marmol R 2006 · 5.89 FIP	23	SP-	5.89	16.6%	16.0%	3.9%	.252	3.03	31.5%	18.0%	231	-2.86	1.59	608	82
John Maine R 2005 · 6.04 FIP	24	SP-	6.04	13.0%	13.0%	4.3%	.242	4.20	20.9%	11.4%	421	-1.84	3.91	582	82
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	82
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	82
Robbie Peto R 2021 · 5.81 FIP	23	SP	5.81	16.6%	10.7%	5.0%	.303	5.57	15.5%	-1.0%	161	-0.24	5.39	232	82
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	82
Nick Trogrlic-Iverson R 2021 · 4.98 FIP	23	SP-	4.98	12.7%	9.1%	3.3%	.348	3.92	16.5%	8.0%	135	-1.06	3.30	218	81
Tommy Mace R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	23	SP	5.47	16.0%	12.1%	4.0%	.261	5.04	14.7%	2.7%	376	-0.43	4.86	501	81
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	63	18.6%	10.8%	1.31	5.19
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*