Hung-Leng Chang
P
Greensboro Grasshoppers
Age 24
RHP
6'3" / 159 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.7 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.91
FIP4.91
K%15.3%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%7.3%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 123 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 8 | 3 | 23 | 97 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 38% | 2.8 | 18.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 0.0% | 4.76 | 2.81 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 8 | 3 | 23 | 97 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 38% | 2.8 | 27.8% | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.0% | 4.76 | 1.78 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 11 | 51 | 228 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 73% | 3.4 | 12.0% | 12.8% | -0.8% | 4.2% | 5.33 | 6.03 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 11 | 51 | 228 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 73% | 3.4 | 17.1% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 5.33 | 4.78 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 19 | 14 | 78 | 337 | 71 | 31 | 6 | 74% | 4.1 | 15.6% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 4.64 | 4.32 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 19 | 14 | 78 | 337 | 71 | 31 | 6 | 74% | 4.1 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 1.8% | 4.64 | 3.47 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 25 | 24 | 106 | 454 | 97 | 26 | 14 | 96% | 4.3 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 4.82 | 4.47 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 25 | 24 | 106 | 454 | 97 | 26 | 14 | 96% | 4.3 | 21.4% | 5.7% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 3.72 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 18 | 7 | 55 | 273 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 39% | 3.1 | 15.5% | 16.4% | -0.9% | 7.3% | 8.30 | 7.89 | -2.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 43 | 23 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 4.90 | 4.90 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 123 | 557 | 98 | 62 | 25 | — | — | 17.7% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.44 | 6.26 | -1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 4.90 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 48 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 51 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.70 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 51 | 23 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.71 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 33 | 15 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | PIT | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 39 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.70 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 21 | 127 | 534 | 94 | 43 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.33 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 68 | 25 | 99% | 5.9 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 85 | 59 | 313 | 1389 | 215 | 150 | 53 | 69% | 3.7 | 15.5% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.47 | 5.25 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 38 | 200 | 888 | 138 | 96 | 34 | 69% | 3.7 | 15.5% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.47 | 5.25 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hung-Leng Chang (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.91 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% | — | 4.73 | 17.4% | 9.4% | 203 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Nick Payero R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 88 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 88 |
| Matt Peacock R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.22 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.20 | 13.6% | 5.2% | 202 | -0.02 | 3.96 | 354 | 86 |
| Carlos Frías R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.16 | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | .320 | 4.70 | 13.0% | 2.6% | 74 | +0.54 | 3.64 | 204 | 86 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 84 |
| Angel Araiza R 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | .287 | 3.95 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.60 | 3.53 | 289 | 84 |
| Matt Ager R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.00 | 146 | 84 |
| Ricky Castro R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 84 |
| Justin Dillon R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.23 | 11.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | .265 | 4.34 | 15.6% | 9.1% | 124 | -0.89 | 3.63 | 239 | 83 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 83 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | .293 | 4.16 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 315 | -0.22 | 3.50 | 472 | 83 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2029 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 83 |
| Brooks Hall R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.94 | 14.0% | 7.0% | 153 | -0.09 | 3.46 | 274 | 83 |
| Deivi Villafana R 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.22 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 109 | 82 |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 82 |
| Tyler Uberstine R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.37 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .302 | 4.38 | 23.2% | 14.7% | 121 | +0.01 | 3.42 | 237 | 81 |
| Nick Belzer R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.23 | 14.5% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.55 | 12.8% | 4.2% | 63 | +0.32 | 4.23 | 112 | 81 |
| Ryan Etsell R 2025 · 3.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.79 | 14.7% | 6.4% | 2.0% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 110 | 81 |
| Ryan Long R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 15.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .239 | 4.63 | 17.0% | 6.5% | 132 | -0.27 | 4.13 | 405 | 81 |
| Cesar Gomez R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | .316 | 5.06 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 160 | +0.16 | 3.97 | 345 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 16.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 4.79 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |