Nixon Encarnacion

P Inland Empire 66ers

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 178 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKLAA	11	9	33	9.09	5.79	16.2%	25.7%	—	K 11.0% · BB 32.2% · FIP 6.76
2025	20	ASEA	22	2	37	6.38	5.61	24.7%	21.4%	—	K 18.3% · BB 25.3% · FIP 6.65
2027PROJ	22	MLBSEA	20	0	21	5.92	5.92	20.6%	20.0%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBSEA	16	0	17	5.54	5.40	21.6%	16.7%	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsRadhames Liz (age 23) · Wilian Bormie (age 22) · Keegan Zinn (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 129

ERA5.92

FIP5.92

K%20.6%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.6%

Proj IP21

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	9	9	36	156	43	21	1	100%	4.0	18.7%	16.8%	1.9%	1.1%	3.28	4.26	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	9	9	36	156	43	21	1	100%	4.0	27.6%	13.5%	14.1%	0.6%	3.28	2.82	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	11	9	33	167	27	43	1	82%	3.0	11.0%	32.2%	-21.2%	0.9%	9.09	6.76	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	11	9	33	167	27	43	1	82%	3.0	11.0%	32.2%	-21.2%	0.9%	9.09	6.76	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	11	9	33	167	27	43	1	82%	3.0	16.2%	25.7%	-9.6%	0.6%	9.09	5.79	—
2025	20	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	22	2	37	182	45	39	5	9%	1.7	18.3%	25.3%	-7.0%	3.4%	6.38	6.65	—
2025	20	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	22	2	37	182	45	39	5	9%	1.7	18.3%	25.3%	-7.0%	3.4%	6.38	6.65	—
2025	20	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	22	2	37	182	45	39	5	9%	1.7	24.7%	21.4%	3.3%	2.7%	6.38	5.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	SEA	20	0	21	89	18	18	3	0%	1.1	20.6%	20.0%	0.6%	3.0%	5.92	5.92	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SEA	33	0	34	144	31	24	4	0%	1.0	21.6%	16.7%	4.9%	3.0%	5.54	5.40	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	SEA	16	0	17	72	16	12	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	16.7%	4.9%	3.0%	5.54	5.40	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	71	15	12	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	16.7%	4.9%	3.0%	5.54	5.02	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	143	24	0%	1.1	21.6%	16.7%	4.9%	3.0%	5.54	5.02	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		42	20	105	505	81	126	10	48%	2.5	16.0%	25.0%	-8.9%	1.9%	6.17	5.95	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		80	38	200	962	154	240	18	48%	2.5	16.0%	25.0%	-8.9%	1.9%	6.17	5.95	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nixon Encarnacion (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.92	20.6%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.40	21.6%	4.9%	34	-0.52	—	—	—
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	90
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	88
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	81
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	81
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	80
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	80
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	80
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	79
Kevin Abel R 2022 · 5.92 FIP	23	SW	5.92	25.2%	22.4%	3.9%	.441	4.63	18.6%	4.5%	308	-1.29	4.50	450	79
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	78
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	78
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	78
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	78
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	77
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	77
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	77
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	76
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	76
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	76
Josh Gessner R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	22	SW	5.47	17.0%	15.0%	3.5%	.299	5.35	12.0%	-10.1%	34	-0.12	2.98	126	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	21.3%	18.0%	1.15	5.69
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*