Eligio Paredes prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Eligio Paredes P ACL Cubs

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%23.3%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%12.4%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	9	9	29	121	36	11	0	100%	3.2	20.2%	11.4%	8.9%	0.0%	3.45	2.83	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	9	9	29	121	36	11	0	100%	3.2	29.8%	9.1%	20.7%	0.0%	3.45	1.74	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	1	42	178	57	20	2	6%	2.3	22.6%	13.7%	8.9%	1.5%	3.43	3.78	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	1	42	178	57	20	2	6%	2.3	22.6%	13.7%	8.9%	1.5%	3.43	3.78	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	1	42	178	57	20	2	6%	2.3	32.0%	11.2%	20.8%	1.1%	3.43	2.43	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	5	0	6	27	9	3	0	0%	1.2	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%	9.00	1.69	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	5	0	6	27	9	3	0	0%	1.2	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%	9.00	1.69	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	5	0	6	27	9	3	0	0%	1.2	33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0.0%	9.00	1.60	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	CHC	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.3%	10.9%	12.4%	3.0%	4.53	4.53	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CHC	24	0	25	107	25	11	3	0%	1.1	23.7%	10.2%	13.5%	3.0%	4.45	4.40	+0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	CHC	10	0	11	46	11	5	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	10.2%	13.5%	3.0%	4.45	4.40	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	46	11	5	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	10.2%	13.5%	3.0%	4.45	4.02	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	92	18	0%	1.1	23.7%	10.2%	13.5%	3.0%	4.45	4.02	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		32	10	77	326	74	41	3	31%	2.4	22.6%	12.6%	10.0%	0.8%	3.87	3.26	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	26	200	850	192	107	7	31%	2.4	22.6%	12.6%	10.0%	0.8%	3.87	3.26	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eligio Paredes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	23.3%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.40	23.7%	13.5%	25	-0.13	—	—	—
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	86
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	83
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	82
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	81
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	81
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	80
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	80
Carlo Reyes R 2022 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.4%	8.6%	2.9%	.318	3.92	24.1%	12.9%	61	-0.14	2.60	229	79
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	78
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	77
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	77
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	77
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	76
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	76
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2022 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.74	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.13	3.65	492	76
Alex Valverde R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SW	3.62	23.2%	9.3%	2.4%	.321	5.65	18.0%	6.9%	166	+2.03	3.62	423	76
Ryan Zeferjahn R 2022 · 4.45 FIP	24	SW	4.45	21.0%	12.4%	2.8%	.325	4.36	27.3%	13.8%	163	-0.09	3.05	349	76
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	76
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	23.5%	10.6%	1.15	4.49
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10