Dakota Harris

SS Springfield Cardinals

Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 197 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AASTL	477	.264/.319/.372	10	23	74	—	.251/.294/.334
2026	24	AAASTL	62	.241/.317/.444	2	2	74	—	.214/.267/.393
2026	24	AASTL	394	.254/.344/.408	12	28	73	—	.219/.287/.346
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBSTL	6	.228/.283/.336	0	0	75	0.0
2028PROJ39% MLB	26	MLBSTL	141	.229/.285/.339	3	5	77	0.1
2029PROJ53% MLB	27	MLBSTL	204	.229/.286/.340	4	7	77	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV61

Speed57

K%49

Z-Con%38

Whiff%33

BB%18

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsAbiatal Avelino (age 26) · Kristopher Negrón (age 25) · Robert Andino (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .283 / .336

PA6

HR0

K%17

BB%6

BABIP285

ISO108

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	115	100	22	7	0	1	8	26	5	4	0	220	310	320	630	100	284	23	7	287	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	168	150	35	9	0	1	9	41	6	3	1	233	303	313	616	80	309	24	5	279	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	206	188	56	9	0	8	9	35	3	4	4	298	337	473	810	176	331	17	4	349	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	477	435	115	17	0	10	26	82	9	23	6	264	319	372	692	108	303	17	5	308	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	62	54	13	5	0	2	5	14	1	2	1	241	317	444	761	204	282	23	8	326	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	394	343	87	13	2	12	43	82	4	28	3	254	344	408	752	155	298	21	11	335	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	115	102	20	6	0	1	6	37	5	4	0	196	274	284	559	88	268	32	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	168	152	31	8	0	1	7	53	6	3	1	204	267	276	543	72	288	32	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	206	193	50	7	0	7	6	44	3	4	4	259	292	404	696	145	296	21	3	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	477	443	111	16	0	7	18	101	9	23	6	251	294	334	628	84	302	21	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	62	56	12	4	0	2	3	17	1	2	1	214	267	393	660	179	258	27	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	394	356	78	11	2	10	30	100	4	28	3	219	287	346	633	126	268	25	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	115	102	20	6	0	1	6	37	5	4	0	196	274	284	559	88	292	32	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	115	100	22	7	0	1	8	26	5	4	0	220	310	320	630	100	284	23	7	287	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	374	345	80	15	0	7	13	97	9	7	5	232	278	336	614	104	300	26	3	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	374	338	91	18	0	9	18	76	9	7	5	269	322	402	724	133	322	20	5	318	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	477	443	111	16	0	7	18	101	9	23	6	251	294	334	628	84	307	21	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Springfield Cardinals	—	477	435	115	17	0	10	26	82	9	23	6	264	319	372	692	108	303	17	5	308	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	456	412	89	15	2	11	33	117	5	30	4	216	282	342	624	126	271	26	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	456	397	100	18	2	14	48	96	5	30	4	252	340	413	753	161	296	21	11	334	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	115	103	20	6	0	1	6	37	5	4	0	194	274	282	556	87	268	32	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	374	349	80	15	0	7	13	97	9	7	5	229	278	332	610	103	292	26	3	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	477	447	111	16	0	7	18	101	9	23	6	248	294	331	625	83	302	21	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	456	415	89	15	2	11	33	117	5	30	4	214	282	340	622	125	267	26	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	374	349	80	15	0	7	13	97	9	7	5	229	278	332	610	103	292	26	3	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	477	447	111	16	0	7	18	101	9	23	6	248	294	331	625	83	302	21	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	456	415	89	15	2	11	33	117	5	30	4	214	282	340	622	125	267	26	7	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	2%	380	351	80	14	1	8	21	91	5	14	3	228	283	339	622	111	284	24	6	279	75	-11	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	228	283	336	619	108	285	17	0	278	75	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	39%	365	336	77	13	1	8	21	87	5	13	3	229	285	342	627	113	284	24	6	281	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	53%	388	357	81	14	1	8	23	93	5	14	3	229	285	343	629	114	284	24	6	282	77	-11	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	STL	60%	401	369	84	15	1	8	24	96	5	13	3	228	285	342	627	114	284	24	6	282	77	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	STL	62%	400	367	83	15	1	8	25	97	5	11	2	227	284	339	624	113	283	24	6	280	76	-11	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	STL	63%	398	365	82	14	1	8	25	97	5	9	2	225	283	336	618	111	282	24	6	278	74	-12	+1	-2	+4	+9	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	39%	141	130	29	5	0	3	8	34	2	5	1	229	285	339	624	110	286	24	6	280	77	-4	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	53%	204	187	44	8	1	4	12	49	3	7	1	229	286	340	626	111	286	24	6	281	77	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	STL	60%	240	220	51	9	1	5	15	58	3	8	2	228	286	339	625	111	285	24	6	281	77	-7	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	STL	62%	247	227	52	9	1	5	15	60	3	7	1	227	285	337	621	110	285	24	6	279	76	-7	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	STL	63%	250	229	53	10	1	5	16	61	3	5	1	225	283	333	616	108	284	24	6	277	74	-8	+1	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1082	993	229	41	4	22	66	262	14	32	6	231	288	346	634	116	290	24	6	280	73	-31	+4	-3	+12	+23	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	137	25	2	13	40	157	8	19	4	229	287	343	630	114	288	24	6	280	73	-19	+2	-2	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3694	3391	774	135	8	72	206	898	57	136	30	228	284	336	620	108	287	24	6	277	73	-65	+8	-4	+24	+49	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	136	24	1	13	36	158	10	24	5	228	283	337	620	109	286	24	6	277	73	-19	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.6	1,089	22	32	228	282	342	+12	+9	1.4	1.4
/162	664	14	20	+7.1	+5.5	0.9	pk7: 1
#6Jimmy Cooney'17-'28 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,722 PA	2.6	1,722	2	30	235*	281*	341*	+17	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	12	+6.7	+3.0	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dakota Harris (OGILVIE)	25	50	40	55	25	226/280/336	110	284	6	12	24%	6%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Abiatal Avelino 2021 · AAA	26	49→54	45	55	40	243/274/367	124	297	12	18	23%	4%	78	-0.3	229/282/336	107	278	10	17	21%	6%	75	-0.5	225/282/322	97	271	9	18	20%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Kristopher Negrón 2011 · AAA	25	48→49	41→45	56→55	44	233/295/335	102	295	8	22	23%	6%	80	-0.2	207/259/308	101	276	9	18	27%	5%	60	-1.6	217/277/337	120	309	13	14	32%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Robert Andino 2009 · MLB	25	48→54	44→45	50	42	236/279/360	124	298	11	15	25%	5%	78	-0.3	235/280/343	108	292	9	14	22%	6%	76	-0.4	238/285/330	92	291	7	13	20%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Orlando Calixte 2017 · AAA	25	46→50	43→45	52→55	40	228/265/335	107	291	10	18	25%	5%	68	-1.0	224/262/341	117	291	13	18	27%	5%	68	-1.0	225/267/312	87	298	9	20	27%	5%	61	-0.7
✕Gary Brown 2014 · AAA	25	46→56	42→45	50→55	41	224/277/334	110	280	9	19	23%	5%	72	-0.7	210/257/308	98	270	8	21	25%	4%	59	-1.6	207/253/298	92	264	7	25	24%	4%	53	-1.8
✕Corey Toups 2018 · AAA	25	45→50	43→45	55→50	41	217/278/335	118	306	10	16	31%	6%	74	-0.6	210/274/315	105	326	10	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	184/254/264	80	303	8	19	39%	8%	45	-1.2
✕Michael Russell 2018 · AA	25	46→50	42→45	53→55	43	224/277/334	110	278	8	19	22%	6%	73	-0.6	220/264/316	96	289	7	14	25%	5%	63	-1.3	216/253/295	79	287	4	13	25%	4%	51	-1.2
✕Charlie Culberson 2014 · MLB	25	48→54	45	51→50	36	238/263/366	128	301	12	15	26%	3%	74	-0.5	224/260/340	116	292	11	12	26%	4%	67	-1.1	253/299/420	167	321	18	9	26%	5%	101	+0.6
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB	26	47→51	42→45	52→50	43	229/281/334	105	298	9	16	26%	6%	74	-0.6	209/273/306	97	299	7	15	30%	8%	65	-1.2	217/283/314	97	316	7	9	31%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2021 · MLB	26	47→55	43→45	55→60	42	229/282/345	115	291	10	18	24%	6%	77	-0.3	211/279/307	96	284	6	26	26%	7%	68	-1.0	202/279/291	89	278	3	40	26%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Tito Polo 2019 · AA	24	48→54	43→45	58→60	40	233/287/346	113	307	10	29	27%	5%	79	-0.2	223/272/325	102	292	8	20	25%	5%	68	-1.0	220/248/307	87	284	3	25	23%	3%	51	-0.5
✕Tyler Goeddel 2018 · MLB	25	47→52	41→45	53→55	46	224/289/327	103	281	8	16	22%	7%	76	-0.4	202/266/290	88	282	6	9	29%	7%	59	-1.7	178/241/249	72	261	4	5	31%	6%	37	-1.3
✕Bryan Lavastida 2024 · MLB	25	44	44→45	50→55	47	218/287/332	114	274	12	14	24%	8%	76	-0.4	223/290/335	112	284	11	23	24%	7%	78	-0.3	223/288/328	105	282	10	27	23%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Noel Cuevas 2018 · AAA	26	52	41→45	54→55	37	249/281/353	104	317	8	16	24%	3%	78	-0.3	236/282/349	113	295	10	10	23%	5%	77	-0.3	231/280/340	109	282	9	7	21%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Mario Lisson 2009 · AA	25	43→49	43→50	54→55	41	214/265/327	113	271	11	21	25%	5%	67	-1.1	210/257/337	127	274	14	15	28%	5%	66	-1.1	222/292/345	123	288	15	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Erik González 2017 · MLB	25	52→58	42→45	48→50	38	254/281/364	110	320	9	14	24%	3%	80	-0.1	242/271/359	117	329	11	12	29%	4%	75	-0.5	235/262/344	110	329	10	12	31%	3%	67	-0.4
✕Jorge Mateo 2020 · AAA	25	43→50	44→50	58→65	35	210/249/338	128	302	10	24	33%	4%	62	-1.4	221/264/355	134	305	12	25	30%	5%	72	-0.7	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Nick Allen 2024 · MLB	25	49→59	41→40	52→50	48	234/287/328	94	274	8	16	18%	7%	74	-0.5	248/308/334	86	299	7	14	18%	8%	84	+0.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Chad Hinshaw 2016 · AA	25	48→42	42→45	57→55	43	228/304/339	111	319	9	28	29%	7%	84	+0.2	200/268/298	98	296	8	19	33%	6%	61	-1.5	168/236/258	91	253	8	18	35%	6%	38	-1.4
✕Jared Oliva 2021 · MLB	25	48→49	41→45	57→65	42	228/288/330	103	307	8	26	27%	6%	76	-0.4	216/268/323	107	299	7	23	29%	5%	66	-1.1	221/286/346	125	277	12	55	24%	6%	75	-0.3

Dakota Harris

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps