Seth Clausen — OGILVIE

Seth Clausen P Fresno Grizzlies

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%24.1%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP40

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	5	0	7	26	11	2	0	0%	1.4	42.3%	7.7%	34.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.50	—
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	5	0	7	26	11	2	0	0%	1.4	42.3%	7.7%	34.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.50	—
2025	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	5	0	7	26	11	2	0	0%	1.4	42.3%	7.7%	34.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.81	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	41	0	57	238	86	38	3	0%	1.4	26.9%	18.7%	8.3%	1.6%	3.16	4.06	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	41	0	57	238	86	38	3	0%	1.4	26.9%	18.7%	8.3%	1.6%	3.16	4.06	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	COL	30	0	46	175	71	23	1	0%	1.5	40.6%	13.1%	27.4%	0.6%	1.38	1.65	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	COL	11	0	11	63	15	15	2	0%	1.0	23.8%	23.8%	0.0%	3.2%	10.32	5.85	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	54	0	57	242	59	29	7	0%	1.1	24.6%	12.0%	12.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.55	0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	55	0	58	244	61	27	7	0%	1.1	24.8%	11.1%	13.8%	2.9%	4.48	4.40	+0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	55	0	58	244	61	27	7	0%	1.1	25.0%	11.0%	14.0%	2.9%	4.41	4.37	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	54	0	57	241	60	26	7	0%	1.1	24.9%	11.0%	13.9%	3.0%	4.41	4.41	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	COL	23	0	24	101	25	12	3	0%	1.0	24.6%	12.0%	12.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.55	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	36	0	38	160	40	18	5	0%	1.1	24.8%	11.1%	13.8%	2.9%	4.48	4.40	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	44	0	46	194	48	21	6	0%	1.0	25.0%	11.0%	14.0%	2.9%	4.41	4.37	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	47	0	49	207	52	23	6	0%	1.0	24.9%	11.0%	13.9%	3.0%	4.41	4.41	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		150	0	157	664	165	74	20	0%	1.0	24.9%	11.2%	13.7%	3.0%	4.46	4.04	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	210	94	25	0%	1.1	24.9%	11.2%	13.7%	3.0%	4.46	4.04	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		46	0	64	264	75	46	4	0%	1.4	28.4%	17.6%	10.9%	1.4%	2.81	3.71	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		144	0	200	825	235	145	12	0%	1.4	28.4%	17.6%	10.9%	1.4%	2.81	3.71	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Seth Clausen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	24.1%	13.5%	3.0%	—	4.44	24.8%	13.4%	173	-0.35	—	—	—
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	93
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	91
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	91
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	90
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	90
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	89
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	88
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	88
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	88
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	88
Tyler Vogel R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	22	SU	4.93	23.4%	14.3%	3.6%	.305	4.48	19.1%	6.1%	135	-0.45	3.84	200	88
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	88
Jesen Therrien R 2016 · 3.98 FIP	23	SU	3.98	25.0%	12.8%	2.5%	.310	3.40	21.3%	15.8%	76	-0.58	2.72	192	88
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	88
Bailey Dees R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.35	21.3%	9.7%	278	+0.09	3.41	330	88
Ryan Sublette R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	23	SU	3.74	27.3%	14.6%	2.0%	.301	5.29	19.7%	2.0%	149	+1.55	3.74	203	88
Cre Finfrock R 2019 · 4.63 FIP	23	SU	4.63	23.0%	11.7%	3.6%	.278	6.31	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.68	4.27	103	88
Jacob Dorris R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	26.9%	12.4%	3.2%	.295	4.58	19.2%	8.8%	88	+0.42	4.16	130	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	54	24.7%	11.6%	1.14	4.53
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58