Seth Clausen
P
Fresno Grizzlies
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 210 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%23.6%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 5 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 42.3% | 7.7% | 34.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.50 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 5 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 42.3% | 7.7% | 34.6% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.81 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 28 | 0 | 42 | 164 | 64 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.9% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 0.8% | 1.49 | 3.19 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | COL | 28 | 0 | 30 | 125 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | COL | — | — | 72 | 289 | 93 | 35 | 5 | — | — | 32.3% | 12.1% | 20.3% | 1.6% | 2.65 | 3.66 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | COL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 31 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | COL | 29 | 0 | 31 | 130 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 4.14 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | COL | 29 | 0 | 31 | 130 | 32 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 2.9% | 4.16 | 4.13 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | COL | 29 | 0 | 30 | 128 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | COL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 124 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 4.22 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | COL | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.25 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 4.14 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | COL | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 2.9% | 4.16 | 4.13 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | COL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 8.9% | 15.7% | 3.0% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | COL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 4.22 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 104 | 0 | 109 | 462 | 113 | 41 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 3.80 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 207 | 75 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 33 | 0 | 49 | 190 | 58 | 29 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.7% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 0.7% | 1.28 | 2.82 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 134 | 0 | 200 | 770 | 237 | 118 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.7% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 0.7% | 1.28 | 2.82 | +6.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Seth Clausen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 23.6% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.16 | 24.4% | 15.5% | 92 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 91 |
| Austin Smith R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 91 |
| Tyler Bray R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 90 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 89 |
| Reilly Hovis R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.03 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | .250 | 4.41 | 19.8% | 6.4% | 50 | +0.38 | 4.03 | 130 | 89 |
| Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 89 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 89 |
| Michael Gomez R 2025 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 88 |
| Carlos Navas R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.59 | 22.0% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.63 | 22.0% | 16.1% | 229 | +0.04 | 2.94 | 385 | 88 |
| Luke Bell R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 88 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 88 |
| Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2027 · 3.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.31 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .262 | 6.15 | 20.6% | 11.1% | 128 | +2.84 | 3.31 | 207 | 87 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 87 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 87 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 87 |
| Owen Holt R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 87 |
| Breckin Williams R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.74 | 22.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .282 | 2.79 | 23.4% | 15.8% | 48 | -0.95 | 2.72 | 107 | 87 |
| Zach Franklin R 2028 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 86 |
| Kyle Martin R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 86 |
| Ronnie Muck R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.36 | 22.1% | 8.7% | 1.9% | .316 | 4.77 | 15.0% | 0.3% | 75 | +1.41 | 3.36 | 137 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 30 | 24.3% | 9.0% | 1.15 | 4.22 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |