Alexis Hernandez

SS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 155 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ACHC	93	.173/.264/.222	0	4	9	—	.143/.209/.179
2025	20	ROKCHC	136	.262/.333/.377	1	12	34	—	.181/.230/.260
2026	21	ACHC	486	.238/.359/.339	4	27	53	—	.185/.276/.257
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBCHC	579	.180/.264/.251	4	16	48	-0.7
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBCHC	180	.190/.273/.278	2	5	57	-0.3
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBCHC	260	.196/.279/.295	4	7	63	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%85

BB%76

Z-Con%76

Speed66

Whiff%58

wRC+51

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsNelson Medina (age 21) · Jose Curpa (age 22) · Christian Cairo (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .261 / .248

PA320

HR2

SB9

K%32

BB%10

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	141	123	30	6	0	2	16	27	1	10	4	244	336	341	677	98	295	19	11	310	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	150	130	41	9	4	3	18	50	2	9	2	315	407	515	922	200	494	33	12	406	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	174	25	1	0	2	28	76	1	10	0	144	266	184	450	40	240	37	14	224	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	52	42	11	2	0	1	10	10	0	1	0	262	404	381	785	119	323	19	19	363	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	93	81	14	4	0	0	7	22	3	4	2	173	264	222	486	49	230	24	8	229	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	136	122	32	7	2	1	13	28	0	12	4	262	333	377	710	115	330	21	10	318	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	486	404	96	21	4	4	75	125	2	27	9	238	359	339	698	101	330	26	15	321	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	141	128	20	4	0	1	11	35	1	10	4	156	229	211	440	55	197	25	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	150	137	26	5	2	2	11	72	2	9	2	190	260	299	559	109	386	48	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	182	18	1	0	1	20	105	1	10	0	99	192	121	313	22	222	51	10	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	52	45	11	2	0	1	7	12	0	1	0	244	346	356	702	111	290	23	13	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	93	84	12	3	0	0	4	31	3	4	2	143	209	179	387	36	211	33	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	136	127	23	5	1	1	8	42	0	12	4	181	230	260	489	79	258	31	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	486	428	79	16	3	3	52	170	2	27	9	185	276	257	533	72	290	35	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	141	128	20	4	0	1	11	35	1	10	4	156	229	211	440	55	204	25	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	141	123	30	6	0	2	16	27	1	10	4	244	336	341	677	98	295	19	11	310	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	150	137	26	5	2	2	11	72	2	9	2	190	260	299	559	109	381	48	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	150	130	41	9	4	3	18	50	2	9	2	315	407	515	922	200	494	33	12	406	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	182	18	1	0	1	20	105	1	10	0	99	192	121	313	22	224	51	10	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	174	25	1	0	2	28	76	1	10	0	144	266	184	450	40	240	37	14	224	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	281	255	46	10	1	2	20	85	3	17	6	180	248	251	499	71	257	30	7	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	281	245	57	13	2	2	30	60	3	17	6	233	324	327	650	94	296	21	11	297	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	486	428	79	16	3	3	52	170	2	27	9	185	276	257	533	72	293	35	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	486	404	96	21	4	4	75	125	2	27	9	238	359	339	698	101	330	26	15	321	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	141	128	20	4	0	1	11	35	1	10	4	156	229	211	440	55	197	25	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	150	136	26	5	2	2	11	72	2	9	2	191	260	301	561	110	386	48	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	181	18	1	0	1	20	105	1	10	0	99	192	122	314	22	222	51	10	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	281	256	46	10	1	2	20	85	3	17	6	180	248	250	498	70	248	30	7	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	486	429	79	16	3	3	52	170	2	27	9	184	276	256	532	72	290	35	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	181	18	1	0	1	20	105	1	10	0	99	192	122	314	22	222	51	10	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	281	256	46	10	1	2	20	85	3	17	6	180	248	250	498	70	248	30	7	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	486	429	79	16	3	3	52	170	2	27	9	184	276	256	532	72	290	35	11	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	579	516	93	19	3	4	55	184	3	16	5	180	264	251	514	70	268	32	9	240	48	-36	+1	+0	+6	+13	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	525	467	88	17	3	6	50	162	3	14	4	188	271	274	546	86	271	31	10	252	57	-27	+1	+0	+6	+11	-0.9
2029	24	MLB MLE	CHC	46%	564	502	97	19	3	8	54	171	3	15	4	194	277	292	569	98	273	30	10	261	63	-25	+1	+0	+6	+12	-0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	586	521	104	20	3	10	57	175	3	15	5	198	281	304	584	106	274	30	10	267	67	-23	+1	+0	+6	+13	-0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	597	530	107	21	3	11	58	176	4	15	5	201	283	311	594	110	275	29	10	271	69	-22	+1	+0	+6	+13	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	CHC	58%	599	532	108	21	3	11	58	175	4	14	5	202	284	313	597	111	275	29	10	272	70	-21	+1	+0	+6	+13	-0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	CHC	61%	596	531	107	21	3	10	57	176	3	13	4	200	282	309	591	108	275	30	10	270	69	-22	+1	-1	+6	+13	-0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	CHC	62%	587	523	104	20	3	10	56	175	3	11	4	198	280	303	583	105	273	30	10	266	66	-24	+1	-1	+6	+13	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	180	160	30	6	1	2	17	56	1	5	1	190	273	278	551	88	274	31	9	254	57	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	CHC	46%	260	232	46	9	2	4	25	79	1	7	2	196	279	295	574	99	276	30	10	263	63	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	303	269	55	11	2	5	29	90	2	8	2	200	282	306	589	107	278	30	10	269	67	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	324	288	58	11	2	6	31	95	2	8	2	202	285	313	598	111	278	29	10	272	69	-12	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	CHC	58%	349	310	63	12	2	6	34	102	2	8	3	204	286	316	601	112	279	29	10	274	70	-12	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	CHC	61%	363	323	65	13	2	6	35	107	2	8	3	202	284	311	595	109	278	29	10	271	69	-14	+0	-0	+4	+8	-0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	CHC	62%	365	325	65	13	2	6	35	109	2	7	2	200	281	305	586	106	277	30	10	268	66	-15	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2144	1907	382	75	13	35	206	638	12	51	15	200	282	308	591	108	278	30	10	268	58	-85	+4	-1	+23	+46	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	117	23	4	11	62	193	4	15	5	202	284	313	597	111	280	30	10	268	58	-26	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5636	5020	955	185	29	77	535	1779	34	179	55	190	273	285	557	94	275	32	9	254	58	-184	+8	-2	+47	+95	-3.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	110	21	3	9	62	205	4	21	6	190	273	283	557	93	274	32	10	254	58	-27	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.7	2,464	37	59	197	276	298	+26	+15	-0.6	-0.1
/162	664	10	16	+7.1	+4.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexis Hernandez (OGILVIE)	22	28→33	32→37	54→59	59	179/261/248	70	268	2	9	32%	10%	48	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	38	38→45	53→50	51	181/272/260	79	252	4	15	28%	10%	55	-2.0	185/255/278	93	317	6	13	40%	8%	52	-2.2	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	47	185/274/255	70	288	2	24	33%	10%	55	-2.0	207/297/291	84	313	5	17	32%	9%	71	-0.8	199/309/261	62	300	4	23	31%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	40→49	39→40	53→60	50	187/295/270	83	292	6	16	34%	11%	67	-1.1	210/302/291	81	303	5	23	29%	10%	73	-0.6	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2024 · A	22	39	37→30	58→70	39	190/246/264	74	268	4	27	30%	5%	45	-2.7	209/257/270	61	275	2	42	23%	6%	49	-2.4	208/255/258	50	270	1	58	22%	6%	44	-1.6
✕Alex Mooney 2024 · A	22	41→39	39→40	53→55	44	196/263/283	87	261	6	12	26%	6%	56	-1.9	190/263/289	99	265	8	27	30%	7%	58	-1.7	182/255/278	96	255	8	30	30%	7%	51	-1.8
✕Isaiah Greene 2024 · A	22	41→42	38→40	56→55	50	187/286/268	81	306	5	19	36%	12%	62	-1.4	198/272/294	96	312	7	14	35%	9%	62	-1.4	155/236/258	102	239	4	15	34%	10%	37	-0.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	41	182/272/238	56	294	3	13	36%	8%	51	-2.3	219/275/280	61	286	3	17	23%	6%	59	-1.7	236/283/288	52	293	2	23	19%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	43	38→40	52→55	50	203/279/280	77	258	5	18	22%	8%	61	-1.5	191/249/259	68	294	4	11	34%	5%	45	-2.7	132/178/179	47	218	4	5	40%	2%	-1	-1.1
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	41→40	37→40	60	50	192/272/272	80	251	2	20	23%	9%	57	-1.8	203/271/276	73	310	2	18	32%	8%	57	-1.8	211/282/288	76	323	2	26	32%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Tyler Tolbert 2021 · A	23	42→48	35→45	58→65	42	193/269/251	58	298	3	21	34%	7%	51	-2.2	192/262/286	94	291	6	38	33%	8%	56	-1.9	222/284/299	77	304	6	60	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→44	38→45	50→65	42	199/251/269	70	259	6	15	25%	5%	47	-2.5	210/270/306	96	280	7	19	26%	7%	63	-1.3	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Jarryd Dale 2023 · AAA	22	40→43	38→40	52→55	44	190/261/266	76	284	5	19	33%	8%	51	-2.2	189/255/281	92	288	8	15	35%	7%	53	-2.1	136/178/225	89	202	12	7	39%	3%	9	-1.1
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→44	38→45	52→50	47	212/285/292	80	289	6	13	27%	8%	66	-1.1	206/276/316	110	270	11	10	26%	8%	68	-1.0	198/271/309	111	256	12	10	26%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Jake Vogel 2024 · A	22	41→40	36→40	55	39	192/256/265	73	293	3	17	34%	6%	49	-2.4	185/257/258	73	290	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	138/225/185	48	226	4	22	38%	8%	19	-2.5
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→47	39→45	48→50	45	184/277/270	87	267	6	10	31%	8%	60	-1.6	204/274/301	97	277	7	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3

Alexis Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps