Antonio AndersonSS Greenville Drive
Age 21 S/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A+ H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION186 act + 134 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .248 / .262
PA134
HR2
K%35
BB%7
BABIP270
ISO82
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -16.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-16BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.0-$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 A2 teams 4644 5100 2220 11 114152136289 23227 484 138 -36
202318 A2 teams 4642 7200 4150 11 167239214453 48259 339 215 23
202419 ASalem Red Sox 482431 601114 421936 34 139225197423 58236 409 199 11
202419 ASalem Red Sox 482404 751715 691226 34 186313270583 84250 2514 277 70
202520 A+2 teams 359328 611113 211704 12 186244253497 67360 476 220 26
202520 A+2 teams 359315 781614 341114 12 248329343671 95359 319 303 90
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 A+BOS 186167 36714 15562 11 216288341629 126294 308 272 66 -7 -0 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
YTD21 A+BOS 186159 40815 23422 11 252353409762 157307 2312 341 119 +4 -0 +0 +2 +5 1.1
ROS21 A+BOS 0% 134122 22402 10471 11 180248262510 82274 357 237 39 -9 -0 +0 +1 +4 -0.4
ROS21 MLBBOS 0% 11 0000 000 00 280 00 233 36 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL21 A+BOS 187168 36714 15562 11 214286339626 125291 308 272 66 -7 -0 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
TOT21 A+BOS 320289 581116 251033 22 201271308579 107284 328 257 55 -16 -0 +0 +3 +9 -0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBBOS 35% 471428 811528 361604 43 189259290548 100275 348 249 49 -27 -0 +0 +5 +13 -1.0
202823 MLBBOS 49% 507457 9017210 401665 54 197269309577 112277 338 260 57 -24 -1 +0 +5 +14 -0.5
202924 MLBBOS 53% 526474 9417211 421675 54 198271312583 114279 328 268 63 -22 -1 +0 +6 +15 -0.2
203025 MLBBOS 55% 536482 9818212 441685 65 203277324600 120280 318 271 66 -21 -1 +0 +6 +15 -0.1
203126 MLBBOS 56% 548493 10018213 451725 65 203276327603 124279 318 273 67 -21 -1 +0 +6 +16 0.0
203227 MLBBOS 55% 551495 10018213 461735 75 202277325602 123279 318 273 67 -21 -1 +0 +6 +16 0.0
202722 MLBBOS 35% 163147 28503 13552 11 190265286551 95281 348 246 46 -10 -0 +0 +2 +5 -0.4
202823 MLBBOS 49% 246223 44815 19802 22 197266309576 112284 338 257 55 -12 -0 +0 +3 +7 -0.3
202924 MLBBOS 53% 278251 511016 22893 32 203275323598 120285 328 264 61 -12 -0 +0 +3 +8 -0.2
203025 MLBBOS 55% 293264 541017 24923 33 205278330608 125286 318 268 63 -12 -1 +0 +3 +8 -0.1
203126 MLBBOS 56% 305274 571117 25963 33 208281332614 124286 318 269 64 -12 -1 +0 +3 +9 -0.1
203227 MLBBOS 55% 303272 571117 25953 43 210283335618 125286 318 269 64 -12 -0 +0 +3 +9 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 15891432 29155535 12850716 1614 203276322598 119285 328 264 60 -72 -2 +0 +17 +45 -1.2
/ 162G 650586 11822214 522077 76 201274317592 116283 328 264 60 -29 -1 +0 +7 +18 -0.5
Career 41603754 7111301476 328143840 3934 189262292554 103280 358 252 51 -231 -6 +0 +45 +118 -7.6
/ 162G 650587 11120212 512256 65 189261291552 102280 358 252 51 -36 -1 +0 +7 +18 -1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 ASalem Red Sox 2827 5100 190 01 185214222437 37278 324 200 11 -3 -0 +1 -0.2
202318 ROKFCL Red Sox 1815 2100 360 10 133278200478 67222 3317 238 40 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
202419 ASalem Red Sox 482404 751715 691226 34 186313270583 84250 2514 277 70 -16 -1 +14 -0.4
202520 A+Greenville Drive 258231 491012 19894 00 212283290574 78326 347 261 58 -12 +0 +7 -0.5
202520 ASalem Red Sox 10184 29602 15220 12 345444488933 143435 2215 409 171 +8 -1 +3 1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,5903417200271318+17+9-0.7-0.4
/162664147+7.1+3.8-0.3pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Antonio Anderson (OGILVIE) 21 25 25 40 30 201/271/308 107284 62 32% 8% 55 -0.4
Julio Garcia
2019 · A
22 39→34 37→40 40 31 188/219/262 74291 54 36% 3% 24 -3.5 176/214/244 68313 55 43% 4% 18 -3.9 88/122/101141960053%2%-61-2.6
Nolan Perez
2019 · A
20 36 38→40 45→40 36 178/228/253 74267 54 34% 5% 27 -3.3 191/230/273 82324 65 41% 4% 33 -2.9 174/195/256813036144%2%11-1.4
Jan Vázquez
2012 · A
21 41 36→40 45 39 191/252/258 67290 35 33% 6% 39 -2.5 200/254/278 78287 87 31% 5% 45 -2.1 211/289/296862827726%7%61-0.3
Ricardo Balogh
2022 · A
20 36 36→40 44→40 30 169/218/232 63310 56 45% 5% 17 -4.0 197/242/268 71325 55 38% 5% 36 -2.7 198/242/268703186338%5%34-1.3
Anthony Rodriguez
2017 · A
21 32 38→40 38→45 37 162/223/241 78240 64 34% 6% 23 -3.6 184/278/257 73287 56 34% 10% 51 -1.7 159/289/213542494532%12%43-0.9
Steven Baron
2012 · A
21 33 40→45 45→50 36 171/214/256 85249 77 34% 5% 21 -3.7 187/224/281 94269 69 32% 4% 32 -3.0 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
Alvaro Gonzalez
2022 · A
21 39 37→30 42→40 42 185/265/254 70276 56 33% 8% 45 -2.1 172/258/250 78292 65 40% 8% 41 -2.3 121/217/186652134241%8%6-1.2
Marcos Brito
2021 · A
21 38 38→30 44→50 39 184/241/262 78291 67 37% 7% 35 -2.8 183/258/258 75411 611 51% 9% 42 -2.3 146/236/1944837741356%10%14-1.1
Willy Diaz
2015 · A
21 36 36→40 45→40 46 170/263/235 65253 45 32% 9% 40 -2.4 187/263/267 80309 54 37% 8% 46 -2.0 184/258/270863085239%8%42-0.8
Luis Reynoso
2016 · A
21 41 36→30 43→50 36 193/244/249 56313 45 38% 6% 32 -3.0 198/254/263 65351 46 41% 6% 40 -2.4 156/216/182263140347%6%1-1.1
Alan Schoenberger
2010 · A
21 39 37→45 49→45 41 186/247/260 75289 38 35% 7% 37 -2.7 200/248/293 93296 76 33% 6% 46 -2.0 188/236/280922757533%5%34-1.4
Yohan Silva
2006 · A
21 38→40 36→45 40→45 40 184/236/252 69266 24 30% 6% 30 -3.1 198/263/292 94270 77 27% 8% 52 -1.6 188/270/29811023811925%10%54-0.7
Arturo De Freitas
2023 · A
22 35 39→45 45→40 34 173/222/254 81276 74 39% 5% 24 -3.5 183/241/264 81308 85 40% 6% 36 -2.7 115/169/126122240046%5%-33-1.4
Milkar Perez
2023 · A
21 40 34→40 44→40 52 181/283/230 49284 24 33% 12% 46 -2.0 212/292/292 80316 53 31% 9% 65 -0.7 211/289/292823095231%9%61-0.6
Luis Rubio
2023 · A
21 40 35→30 46→45 39 185/248/243 57296 27 36% 7% 33 -2.9 189/260/250 61284 38 31% 8% 40 -2.4 127/221/148211940831%10%-2-1.3
Victor Moscote
2014 · A
20 40 37→30 40→45 37 194/243/263 69285 45 32% 5% 36 -2.7 209/262/265 56278 25 24% 6% 44 -2.1 209/266/252432682321%6%40-0.8
Javier Santana
2008 · A
21 37 34→30 38→45 47 169/268/212 43284 27 37% 11% 36 -2.7 186/254/239 53298 37 35% 7% 35 -2.8 177/227/213362992739%4%14-1.3
Juan Beltre
2007 · A
21 36 34→30 47→60 34 173/221/220 48266 210 34% 4% 15 -4.1 209/274/272 63297 319 29% 6% 52 -1.6 243/319/2914931423221%7%73-0.0
Justin Twine
2017 · A
21 36→31 36→45 45→50 28 175/214/240 65291 37 40% 3% 17 -4.0 197/236/278 81295 69 34% 3% 37 -2.7 216/252/3139732181434%3%50-1.0
Leandro Pineda
2023 · A
21 36→39 39→45 47→45 42 172/250/266 95272 56 36% 8% 41 -2.3 201/268/322 121279 126 31% 7% 63 -0.9 202/271/32212026112626%7%62-0.5