Antonio Anderson
SS Greenville Drive| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ASalem Red Sox | 482 | .186/.313/.270 | 5 | 3 | 33 | — | .153/.251/.217 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+/A2 orgs | 359 | .248/.329/.343 | 4 | 1 | 44 | — | .198/.255/.266 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 399 | .282/.388/.478 | 12 | 2 | 102 | — | .228/.297/.378 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBBOS | 1 | .194/.264/.295 | 0 | 0 | 55 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBBOS | 92 | .200/.271/.312 | 2 | 1 | 61 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBBOS | 159 | .205/.276/.323 | 3 | 2 | 66 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A | Salem Red Sox | — | 28 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 214 | 222 | 437 | 37 | 278 | 32 | 4 | 200 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | — | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 278 | 200 | 478 | 67 | 222 | 33 | 17 | 238 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Salem Red Sox | — | 482 | 404 | 75 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 69 | 122 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 186 | 313 | 270 | 583 | 84 | 250 | 25 | 14 | 277 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 258 | 231 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 89 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 283 | 290 | 574 | 78 | 326 | 34 | 7 | 261 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Salem Red Sox | — | 101 | 84 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 345 | 444 | 488 | 933 | 143 | 435 | 22 | 15 | 409 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Greenville Drive | — | 339 | 289 | 79 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 78 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 273 | 374 | 453 | 827 | 180 | 343 | 23 | 13 | 367 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 60 | 48 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 467 | 625 | 1.092 | 292 | 481 | 30 | 20 | 470 | 204 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 28 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 148 | 179 | 185 | 364 | 37 | 261 | 43 | 4 | 149 | -13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Red Sox | — | 18 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 188 | 410 | 62 | 171 | 50 | 11 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 482 | 424 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 175 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 153 | 251 | 217 | 468 | 64 | 239 | 36 | 10 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 258 | 239 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 125 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 205 | 201 | 406 | 46 | 299 | 48 | 4 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 101 | 88 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 307 | 384 | 432 | 816 | 125 | 416 | 31 | 11 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greenville Drive | — | 339 | 307 | 70 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 102 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 228 | 297 | 378 | 675 | 150 | 308 | 30 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 46 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 116 | 174 | 140 | 313 | 23 | 227 | 46 | 7 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 46 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 239 | 214 | 453 | 48 | 259 | 33 | 9 | 215 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 482 | 424 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 175 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 153 | 251 | 217 | 468 | 64 | 246 | 36 | 10 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | Salem Red Sox | — | 482 | 404 | 75 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 69 | 122 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 186 | 313 | 270 | 583 | 84 | 250 | 25 | 14 | 277 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 327 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 155 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 199 | 258 | 269 | 527 | 70 | 354 | 43 | 6 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 359 | 315 | 78 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 111 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 329 | 343 | 671 | 95 | 359 | 31 | 9 | 303 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 362 | 81 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 120 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 224 | 292 | 365 | 657 | 141 | 306 | 30 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 399 | 337 | 95 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 55 | 96 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 282 | 388 | 478 | 866 | 196 | 359 | 24 | 14 | 382 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 46 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 116 | 174 | 140 | 313 | 23 | 226 | 46 | 7 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 482 | 424 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 175 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 153 | 251 | 217 | 468 | 64 | 239 | 36 | 10 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 330 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 155 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 197 | 258 | 267 | 524 | 70 | 332 | 43 | 6 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 361 | 81 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 120 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 224 | 292 | 366 | 658 | 141 | 308 | 30 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 482 | 424 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 49 | 175 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 153 | 251 | 217 | 468 | 64 | 239 | 36 | 10 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 330 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 155 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 197 | 258 | 267 | 524 | 70 | 332 | 43 | 6 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 361 | 81 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 120 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 224 | 292 | 366 | 658 | 141 | 308 | 30 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | BOS | 0% | 449 | 407 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 144 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 188 | 259 | 287 | 546 | 99 | 269 | 32 | 8 | 249 | 55 | -24 | -0 | +0 | +5 | +10 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | BOS | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 264 | 295 | 559 | 101 | 279 | 0 | 0 | 255 | 55 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | BOS | 35% | 265 | 240 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 83 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 195 | 266 | 304 | 570 | 109 | 271 | 31 | 8 | 259 | 61 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | BOS | 46% | 344 | 310 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 105 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 199 | 271 | 315 | 586 | 116 | 273 | 31 | 8 | 266 | 66 | -14 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | BOS | 52% | 386 | 348 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 116 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 202 | 275 | 322 | 597 | 120 | 274 | 30 | 8 | 270 | 69 | -14 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | BOS | 54% | 411 | 370 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 122 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 204 | 277 | 326 | 603 | 122 | 275 | 30 | 8 | 273 | 71 | -14 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | BOS | 54% | 419 | 378 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 123 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 205 | 278 | 328 | 606 | 123 | 276 | 29 | 8 | 274 | 71 | -14 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | BOS | 54% | 419 | 378 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 124 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 204 | 276 | 323 | 600 | 120 | 275 | 30 | 8 | 271 | 70 | -15 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | BOS | 53% | 412 | 371 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 123 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 201 | 274 | 318 | 591 | 116 | 273 | 30 | 8 | 268 | 67 | -16 | -1 | -1 | +4 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | BOS | 35% | 92 | 84 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 271 | 312 | 583 | 112 | 281 | 32 | 8 | 264 | 61 | -4 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | BOS | 46% | 159 | 144 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 276 | 323 | 599 | 118 | 283 | 31 | 8 | 271 | 66 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | BOS | 52% | 200 | 180 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 60 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 280 | 330 | 610 | 122 | 284 | 30 | 8 | 275 | 69 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | BOS | 54% | 223 | 201 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 66 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 210 | 282 | 334 | 616 | 124 | 285 | 30 | 8 | 278 | 71 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | BOS | 54% | 227 | 204 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 67 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 211 | 284 | 336 | 619 | 125 | 285 | 30 | 8 | 279 | 71 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | BOS | 54% | 227 | 204 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 67 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 209 | 282 | 331 | 613 | 122 | 284 | 30 | 8 | 277 | 70 | -8 | -0 | -0 | +2 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | BOS | 53% | 219 | 197 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 66 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 207 | 279 | 326 | 605 | 118 | 283 | 30 | 8 | 273 | 67 | -9 | -1 | -1 | +2 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1347 | 1214 | 254 | 54 | 6 | 28 | 110 | 404 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 209 | 281 | 333 | 614 | 124 | 287 | 30 | 8 | 275 | 62 | -50 | -2 | -1 | +14 | +29 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 586 | 123 | 26 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 195 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 210 | 282 | 336 | 618 | 126 | 287 | 30 | 8 | 275 | 62 | -24 | -1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4152 | 3741 | 735 | 143 | 20 | 74 | 337 | 1335 | 41 | 33 | 29 | 196 | 270 | 305 | 575 | 108 | 280 | 32 | 8 | 260 | 62 | -112 | -3 | -2 | +31 | +62 | -2.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 115 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 53 | 209 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 196 | 270 | 305 | 575 | 109 | 279 | 32 | 8 | 260 | 62 | -25 | -1 | -0 | +7 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Greenville Drive · 339 PAwOBA .360 → .292 (−67)K% 23.0% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.01% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 30.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 7.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 21.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 6.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.035 | ×1.027 | 1.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 3.85% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .360 → .292; ISO .180 → .155; BABIP .343 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Greenville Drive · 258 PAwOBA .259 → .188 (−71)K% 34.5% → 48.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.50% | ÷0.936 | ×1.310 | — | — | 48.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.36% | ÷1.050 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.35% | ÷0.974 | ×0.870 | ×1.037 | ×1.042 | 24.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷1.099 | ×0.780 | ×1.037 | ×1.042 | 5.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.011 | ×0.850 | ×1.037 | ×1.042 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.117 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 1.16% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 95, 2B 120, 3B 102, K 87, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .259 → .188; ISO .078 → .052; BABIP .326 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ASalem Red Sox · 101 PAwOBA .407 → .351 (−56)K% 21.8% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.78% | ÷0.974 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.85% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 10.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.87% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 32.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.891 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.98% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .407 → .351; ISO .143 → .128; BABIP .435 → .416. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ASalem Red Sox · 482 PAwOBA .272 → .217 (−56)K% 25.3% → 36.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.31% | ÷0.948 | ×1.360 | — | — | 36.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.32% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 10.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.44% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×1.045 | 18.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.03% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×1.045 | 5.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×1.045 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.77% | ÷0.933 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 1.59% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .272 → .217; ISO .084 → .066; BABIP .250 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ASalem Red Sox · 28 PAwOBA .195 → .149 (−46)K% 32.1% → 44.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.14% | ÷0.982 | ×1.360 | — | — | 44.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.57% | ÷1.052 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 2.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 20.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.942 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 105, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .195 → .149; ISO .037 → .028; BABIP .278 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Red Sox · 18 PAwOBA .233 → .146 (−87)K% 33.3% → 48.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.995 | ×1.440 | — | — | 48.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 10.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 9.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.079 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 7.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.974 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 95, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 99, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .233 → .146; ISO .067 → .037; BABIP .222 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .