Vitico Valdez

P ACL D-backs

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKARI	12	7	43	4.81	3.01	21.7%	13.8%	—	K 14.7% · BB 17.2% · FIP 4.04
2026	22	ROKARI	4	0	8	6.48	2.74	24.3%	13.5%	—	K 24.3% · BB 13.5% · FIP 2.76
2027PROJ	23	MLBARI	25	0	26	4.81	4.81	22.4%	12.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBARI	10	0	11	4.66	4.59	23.0%	11.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRay Gaither (age 24) · Noah Skirrow (age 23) · Colin Fields (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 108

ERA4.81

FIP4.81

K%22.4%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%9.8%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	9	6	22	98	18	19	0	67%	2.4	12.5%	24.2%	-11.7%	0.0%	4.15	5.12	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	9	6	22	98	18	19	0	67%	2.4	18.4%	19.4%	-1.0%	0.0%	4.15	4.07	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	10	5	36	154	26	20	1	50%	3.6	11.5%	16.2%	-4.8%	1.0%	2.48	4.74	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Black	10	5	36	154	26	20	1	50%	3.6	16.9%	13.0%	3.9%	0.6%	2.48	3.68	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	11	5	31	145	24	23	2	45%	2.8	11.3%	19.8%	-8.6%	1.9%	5.17	5.68	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	11	5	31	145	24	23	2	45%	2.8	16.6%	15.9%	0.7%	1.4%	5.17	4.60	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	12	7	43	203	44	28	0	58%	3.6	14.7%	17.2%	-2.5%	0.0%	4.81	4.04	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	12	7	43	203	44	28	0	58%	3.6	14.7%	17.2%	-2.5%	0.0%	4.81	4.04	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	12	7	43	203	44	28	0	58%	3.6	21.7%	13.8%	7.9%	0.0%	4.81	3.01	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	4	0	8	37	9	5	0	0%	2.1	24.3%	13.5%	10.8%	0.0%	6.48	2.76	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	4	0	8	37	9	5	0	0%	2.1	24.3%	13.5%	10.8%	0.0%	6.48	2.76	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	4	0	8	37	9	5	0	0%	2.1	24.3%	13.5%	10.8%	0.0%	6.48	2.74	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	ARI	25	0	26	110	25	14	3	0%	1.0	22.4%	12.5%	9.8%	3.0%	4.81	4.81	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	25	0	26	111	25	13	3	0%	1.0	23.0%	11.3%	11.7%	2.9%	4.66	4.59	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	10	0	11	46	11	5	1	0%	1.1	23.0%	11.3%	11.7%	2.9%	4.66	4.59	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	47	11	5	1	0%	1.0	23.0%	11.3%	11.7%	2.9%	4.66	4.21	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	196	89	18	0%	1.1	23.0%	11.3%	11.7%	2.9%	4.66	4.21	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		46	23	141	637	85	118	4	50%	3.1	13.4%	18.4%	-5.1%	0.7%	4.29	4.67	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	33	200	906	121	167	6	50%	3.1	13.4%	18.4%	-5.1%	0.7%	4.29	4.67	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Vitico Valdez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	22.4%	12.5%	3.0%	—	4.59	23.0%	11.7%	26	-0.22	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	87
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	83
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	83
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	83
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	82
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.33	20.2%	11.3%	189	+0.25	3.54	355	82
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	80
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.9%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	80
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	79
Daniel Corcino R 2014 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	18.8%	12.5%	2.3%	.208	4.14	19.6%	10.0%	76	-0.23	3.84	318	79
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.51	17.7%	5.4%	170	-0.51	3.97	187	78
Yunior Montero R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	23	SW	3.65	21.9%	11.9%	1.6%	.239	5.21	21.3%	3.7%	54	+1.56	3.65	127	78
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.15	22.0%	9.5%	123	+0.85	4.30	181	78
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	77
Dustin McGowan R 2005 · 4.62 FIP	23	SP-	4.62	16.6%	8.3%	3.4%	.286	3.65	19.1%	10.3%	308	-0.97	3.36	690	77
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.71	21.6%	11.0%	188	-0.66	3.16	266	77
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	77
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	77
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	76
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.7%	11.9%	1.14	4.73
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43