Jose Aular — OGILVIE

Jose AularC FCL Mets

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .284 / .291

PA60

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$9M	+$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	1	6	3	0	0	200	368	267	635	67	300	30	5	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	200	368	267	635	67	250	20	5	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	98	91	19	1	1	0	3	21	4	1	2	209	265	242	507	33	271	21	3	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	98	89	23	1	1	0	5	15	4	1	2	258	327	292	619	34	311	15	5	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	81	14	5	0	1	6	23	3	0	0	173	256	272	527	99	228	26	7	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	77	18	6	0	1	10	15	3	0	0	234	344	351	695	117	279	17	11	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	55	43	9	2	1	0	8	9	4	1	0	209	382	302	684	93	265	16	15	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	55	36	10	2	1	0	15	6	4	1	0	278	527	389	916	111	333	11	27	435	191	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	FCL Mets	—	58	48	7	0	0	0	6	18	3	0	0	146	281	146	427		226	31	10	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	FCL Mets	—	58	44	8	0	0	0	10	13	3	0	0	182	368	182	550		250	22	17	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	NYM	—	60	54	11	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	204	283	296	580	93	287	28	8	266	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	NYM	34%	136	122	27	5	1	2	11	37	2	1	0	221	296	328	624	107	289	27	8	276	70	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	24	MLB	NYM	46%	259	232	50	9	2	4	21	69	4	3	1	216	292	323	615	108	290	27	8	283	75	-7	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2029	25	MLB	NYM	52%	337	300	66	12	2	6	28	89	6	3	1	220	299	333	633	113	290	26	8	287	78	-8	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.8
2030	26	MLB	NYM	54%	390	349	77	14	3	7	32	102	6	4	1	221	297	338	635	117	290	26	8	290	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.0
2031	27	MLB	NYM	54%	416	371	83	15	3	8	35	109	7	4	1	224	303	345	648	121	290	26	8	290	80	-9	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.0
2032	28	MLB	NYM	54%	429	383	84	15	3	8	36	113	7	4	1	219	298	337	635	117	290	26	8	289	79	-10	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.0
2033	29	MLB	NYM	53%	430	383	84	15	3	8	37	115	7	4	1	219	300	337	637	117	289	27	9	287	78	-11	+0	-1	+8	+12	0.8
2034	30	MLB	NYM	52%	427	381	83	15	3	7	36	115	7	3	1	218	297	328	625	110	287	27	8	284	76	-12	+0	-2	+8	+12	0.6
2035	31	MLB	NYM	52%	404	361	77	14	2	7	34	110	6	3	1	213	292	321	613	108	285	27	8	280	72	-13	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.4
2036	32	MLB	NYM	52%	378	337	71	13	2	6	32	104	6	2	1	211	291	315	605	104	282	28	8	275	68	-14	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.0
2037	33	MLB	NYM	52%	340	303	62	11	2	5	29	96	5	2	1	205	285	304	588	99	278	28	9	268	63	-14	+0	-4	+6	+10	-0.3
2027	23	MLB	NYM	34%	47	42	9	2	0	1	4	13	1	0	0	214	298	333	631	119	288	28	9	263	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	24	MLB	NYM	46%	119	106	23	4	1	2	10	32	2	1	0	217	297	330	627	113	290	27	8	271	65	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB	NYM	52%	174	155	34	6	1	3	14	46	3	2	1	219	297	329	626	110	290	26	8	275	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	26	MLB	NYM	54%	211	189	42	8	1	4	17	55	3	2	1	222	297	339	635	116	290	26	8	278	71	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2031	27	MLB	NYM	54%	226	201	45	8	2	4	19	59	4	2	1	224	304	343	647	119	290	26	8	278	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2032	28	MLB	NYM	54%	233	207	46	8	2	4	20	62	4	2	1	222	303	338	641	116	289	27	9	277	70	-8	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.2
2033	29	MLB	NYM	53%	228	203	44	8	1	4	19	61	4	2	1	217	296	325	622	108	289	27	8	275	68	-8	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.2
2034	30	MLB	NYM	52%	224	199	43	8	1	4	19	60	4	2	1	216	297	327	624	111	287	27	8	272	66	-9	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2035	31	MLB	NYM	52%	210	187	39	7	1	3	18	57	3	1	1	209	288	305	593	96	285	27	9	268	63	-9	-0	-1	+4	+6	-0.1
2036	32	MLB	NYM	52%	196	174	36	6	1	3	17	54	3	1	0	207	289	305	593	98	282	28	9	263	59	-9	+0	-2	+4	+6	-0.2
2037	33	MLB	NYM	52%	176	156	32	5	1	3	15	49	3	1	0	205	287	308	595	103	277	28	9	256	54	-9	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2044	1819	393	70	12	35	172	548	34	16	7	216	296	325	621	109	287	27	8	271	66	-79	+0	-8	+37	+58	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	125	22	4	11	55	174	11	5	2	216	297	325	622	109	288	27	8	271	66	-25	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	4327	3854	827	149	28	70	360	1153	81	36	12	215	295	322	617	108	285	27	8	279	72	-137	+2	-15	+77	+123	5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	124	22	4	11	54	173	12	5	2	214	295	323	618	109	284	27	8	279	72	-21	+0	-2	+12	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	200	368	267	635	67	250	20	5	300	88	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	98	89	23	1	1	0	5	15	4	1	2	258	327	292	619	34	311	15	5	289	79	-2	-1	—	—	+3	-0.0
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	77	18	6	0	1	10	15	3	0	0	234	344	351	695	117	279	17	11	321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	20	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	55	36	10	2	1	0	15	6	4	1	0	278	527	389	916	111	333	11	27	435	191	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2025	21	ROK	FCL Mets	—	58	44	8	0	0	0	10	13	3	0	0	182	368	182	550		250	22	17	283	75	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,104	35	18	218	294	328	+38	+28	3.5	3.3
	/162	664	11	6	218	294	328	+11.9	+8.8	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Aular (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	206/284/291	85	287	1	1	28%	8%	62	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→50	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	66	-0.6	193/280/309	116	304	13	5	37%	10%	66	-0.6	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/291/303	81	299	5	8	26%	8%	66	-0.6	220/287/340	120	289	12	13	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	42	40→55	50→40	43	203/279/294	91	279	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	209/281/354	145	278	18	4	31%	7%	78	+0.2	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→45	41→50	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	72	-0.2	200/283/336	136	266	14	9	29%	8%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Dustin Garneau 2010 · A	22	44→37	39→50	51→45	47	210/289/298	89	279	6	6	25%	8%	66	-0.6	198/266/315	117	251	10	5	24%	7%	59	-1.1	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A	23	44	40	46→40	46	211/286/303	92	280	7	5	26%	8%	66	-0.6	199/259/270	71	270	4	4	26%	6%	44	-2.1	244/302/337	93	298	7	3	19%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Riley Adams 2019 · A	23	44→42	38→50	49→40	44	203/281/292	90	310	4	5	33%	8%	61	-1.0	211/300/353	142	324	15	5	37%	9%	85	+0.7	211/299/379	167	302	17	0	33%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Aaron McKeithan 2023 · A	23	45	41→40	45→40	44	215/291/309	94	292	8	4	28%	7%	69	-0.4	213/291/294	81	270	8	4	23%	7%	66	-0.6	205/291/269	63	262	7	0	23%	8%	57	-0.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Sam Praytor 2022 · A	23	45	39→50	49→55	45	208/292/298	90	319	6	7	34%	9%	67	-0.5	204/279/314	110	289	10	5	31%	8%	66	-0.6	177/251/295	118	237	13	7	30%	8%	46	-0.6
✕Jacob Amaya 2021 · A	22	47→46	41→45	44→45	51	223/299/325	102	286	7	7	23%	9%	76	+0.1	209/276/333	124	269	14	6	26%	8%	69	-0.4	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Geoandry Montilla 2017 · A	21	44	41→45	45→50	46	214/281/315	101	286	8	9	27%	8%	66	-0.6	197/264/296	99	314	8	8	37%	7%	54	-1.4	131/203/233	101	238	8	7	45%	7%	11	-1.2
✕Roberto Pérez 2011 · A	22	45→42	39→55	43→30	50	209/295/300	91	291	5	3	28%	10%	69	-0.4	197/282/278	81	285	4	3	29%	10%	57	-1.2	224/314/364	140	294	15	1	27%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Marco Hernandez 2021 · A	23	46	39→40	49→45	47	220/285/308	87	282	6	8	23%	7%	66	-0.6	203/292/299	96	283	8	4	29%	9%	68	-0.5	162/268/244	82	214	10	0	27%	10%	41	-0.6
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	65	-0.7	186/228/266	80	283	6	4	35%	3%	30	-3.1	145/181/205	60	226	4	0	37%	2%	-9	-1.6
✕Ricardo Valencia 2015 · A	22	42	41→40	49→30	44	203/273/300	97	281	8	5	29%	8%	59	-1.1	211/274/307	96	302	8	4	31%	7%	61	-1.0	200/254/285	85	299	8	0	34%	6%	45	-0.7
✕Zachery Almond 2018 · A	22	46	36→55	47→40	45	211/281/281	70	318	3	7	32%	9%	57	-1.2	211/260/331	120	286	13	4	30%	6%	61	-1.0	197/245/319	122	264	14	2	30%	5%	51	-0.9
✕Ramon Santana 2008 · A	22	43→52	43→45	48→45	45	211/291/328	116	288	10	7	29%	8%	75	-0.0	211/275/320	109	321	9	8	35%	6%	65	-0.7	207/271/316	109	321	8	4	35%	6%	59	-0.5