Jose Aular — OGILVIE

Jose AularC FCL Mets

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .285 / .290

PA5

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	200	368	267	635	67	250	20	5	300	89	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	98	89	23	1	1	0	5	15	4	1	2	258	327	292	619	34	311	15	5	289	82	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	77	18	6	0	1	10	15	3	0	0	234	344	351	695	117	279	17	11	321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	20	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	55	36	10	2	1	0	15	6	4	1	0	278	527	389	916	111	333	11	27	435	180	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	21	ROK	FCL Mets	—	58	44	8	0	0	0	10	13	3	0	0	182	368	182	550		250	22	17	283	78	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	1	6	3	0	0	200	368	267	635	67	197	30	5	228	40	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	98	91	19	1	1	0	3	21	4	1	2	209	265	242	507	33	261	21	3	217	33	-8	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	81	13	4	0	1	6	22	3	0	0	160	244	247	491	86	218	24	7	225	38	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	55	42	9	2	1	0	9	9	4	1	0	214	400	310	710	95	259	16	16	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	58	48	7	0	0	0	6	19	3	0	0	146	281	146	427		208	33	10	206	26	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	1	6	3	0	0	200	368	267	635	67	300	30	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 1	—	20	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	3	0	0	200	368	267	635	67	250	20	5	300	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	98	91	19	1	1	0	3	21	4	1	2	209	265	242	507	33	271	21	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 1	—	98	89	23	1	1	0	5	15	4	1	2	258	327	292	619	34	311	15	5	289	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	81	13	4	0	1	6	22	3	0	0	160	244	247	491	86	207	24	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	77	18	6	0	1	10	15	3	0	0	234	344	351	695	117	279	17	11	321	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	55	42	9	2	1	0	9	9	4	1	0	214	400	310	710	95	273	16	16	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	55	36	10	2	1	0	15	6	4	1	0	278	527	389	916	111	333	11	27	435	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	58	48	7	0	0	0	6	19	3	0	0	146	281	146	427		233	33	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	58	44	8	0	0	0	10	13	3	0	0	182	368	182	550		250	22	17	283	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	20	16	3	1	0	0	1	6	3	0	0	188	368	250	618	62	197	30	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	98	91	19	1	1	0	3	21	4	1	2	209	265	242	507	33	261	21	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	81	13	4	0	1	6	22	3	0	0	160	244	247	491	86	218	24	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	55	42	9	2	1	0	9	9	4	1	0	214	400	310	710	95	259	16	16	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	58	49	7	0	0	0	6	19	3	0	0	143	281	143	424		208	33	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	90	81	13	4	0	1	6	22	3	0	0	160	244	247	491	86	218	24	7	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	55	42	9	2	1	0	9	9	4	1	0	214	400	310	710	95	259	16	16	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	58	49	7	0	0	0	6	19	3	0	0	143	281	143	424		208	33	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		287	20	0	267	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	136	122	27	5	1	2	11	36	2	1	0	221	296	328	624	107	288	26	8	276	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYM	46%	259	232	51	9	2	4	21	68	4	3	1	220	296	328	623	108	290	26	8	283	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	337	300	66	12	2	6	28	88	6	3	1	220	299	333	633	113	290	26	8	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	390	349	78	14	3	7	32	102	6	4	1	223	300	341	641	117	290	26	8	290	82	-8	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.8
2031	27	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	416	371	83	15	3	8	35	109	7	4	1	224	303	345	648	121	290	26	8	290	83	-9	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2032	28	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	429	382	85	15	3	8	37	113	7	4	1	223	303	340	643	118	289	26	9	289	82	-9	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.8
2033	29	MLB MLE	NYM	58%	430	383	85	15	3	8	37	114	7	4	1	222	302	339	642	117	288	27	9	287	81	-10	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	NYM	60%	427	380	83	15	3	7	37	114	7	3	1	218	300	329	628	111	287	27	9	284	79	-11	+0	-2	+8	+9	0.4
2035	31	MLB MLE	NYM	62%	404	359	77	14	2	7	35	109	7	3	1	214	297	323	620	109	285	27	9	280	76	-12	+0	-3	+7	+9	0.2
2036	32	MLB MLE	NYM	63%	378	337	70	12	2	6	32	104	6	2	1	208	288	309	597	101	281	28	8	275	72	-13	+0	-4	+7	+8	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	47	42	9	2	0	1	4	13	1	0	0	214	298	333	631	119	281	28	9	259	73	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYM	46%	119	106	23	4	1	2	10	31	2	1	0	217	297	330	627	113	282	26	8	266	78	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	174	155	33	6	1	3	14	45	3	2	1	213	291	323	613	110	282	26	8	271	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	211	188	40	7	1	4	18	55	3	2	1	213	292	324	616	112	282	26	9	273	82	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	226	201	43	8	1	4	19	59	4	2	1	214	295	323	618	109	282	26	8	273	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	233	207	44	8	1	4	20	61	4	2	1	213	294	319	613	106	282	26	9	272	82	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	NYM	58%	248	221	47	8	2	4	21	66	4	2	1	213	293	321	614	109	281	27	8	270	81	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	NYM	60%	256	228	49	9	2	4	22	68	4	2	1	215	295	325	620	110	280	27	9	268	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	NYM	62%	249	222	46	8	1	4	21	67	4	2	1	207	287	306	594	99	277	27	8	264	76	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	NYM	63%	237	211	44	8	1	4	20	65	4	1	0	209	289	313	602	104	274	27	8	259	72	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2000	1781	378	68	11	34	169	530	33	16	7	212	292	320	613	108	281	26	8	268	76	-50	+0	-6	+36	+43	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	123	22	4	11	55	172	11	5	2	212	293	321	615	109	281	26	8	268	76	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3932	3497	757	134	26	64	330	1035	76	33	11	216	298	325	623	108	287	26	8	281	76	-90	+3	-10	+64	+78	4.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	125	22	4	11	55	171	13	5	2	216	299	325	624	109	286	26	8	281	76	-16	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,060	35	18	219	295	330	+37	+24	4.0	3.8
/162	664	11	6	+11.9	+7.7	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Aular (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	207/285/290	84	287	1	1	27%	8%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/258/283	79	271	6	3	26%	5%	54	-2.0	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A	22	40	37→50	50→30	45	190/266/263	73	266	4	7	28%	8%	53	-2.1	211/295/322	111	281	11	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	208/306/343	135	260	16	3	25%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→49	37→45	48→45	44	187/265/261	75	278	4	7	32%	8%	52	-2.2	212/285/310	98	296	8	5	29%	8%	70	-0.8	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→45	49→40	43	204/260/298	94	268	7	6	26%	6%	58	-1.7	192/251/306	114	277	11	4	33%	6%	57	-1.8	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→45	49→55	47	200/278/275	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	60	-1.6	192/289/299	107	272	9	9	30%	11%	70	-0.8	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→48	39→45	48→50	45	182/274/268	86	264	6	10	31%	8%	58	-1.7	206/278/301	95	283	7	11	28%	7%	66	-1.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Juan Aponte 2010 · A	22	43	39→45	47→40	42	205/270/296	91	272	6	5	26%	6%	61	-1.5	208/257/272	64	306	3	5	31%	5%	50	-2.3	199/234/217	18	292	0	0	30%	3%	29	-0.8
✕Aramis Garcia 2015 · A	22	44→41	38→50	49→45	45	208/269/290	82	284	4	6	27%	7%	59	-1.6	212/265/333	121	287	14	3	30%	6%	68	-1.0	213/254/350	137	283	17	0	31%	4%	65	-0.7
✕Dustin Garneau 2010 · A	22	44→39	39→50	51→45	47	210/289/298	89	279	6	6	25%	8%	70	-0.9	204/272/328	124	256	11	5	24%	8%	70	-0.9	171/262/344	173	215	21	1	31%	8%	70	-0.3
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	186/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	44	-2.8	217/271/283	66	297	4	6	26%	7%	58	-1.7	246/291/294	49	312	2	7	21%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Devin Mann 2019 · A	22	44	38→50	46→45	48	208/284/291	83	279	5	9	26%	9%	65	-1.2	218/288/366	148	285	17	7	28%	8%	84	+0.2	210/294/364	154	277	16	4	29%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Robert Mullen 2018 · A	22	43	38→50	51→45	46	203/268/288	85	277	4	6	27%	8%	59	-1.7	214/263/325	111	299	11	4	31%	5%	65	-1.2	212/252/342	130	286	17	0	32%	3%	64	-0.6
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→45	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	70	-0.8	192/280/305	113	303	13	5	37%	10%	68	-1.0	212/295/344	132	286	15	6	29%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Riley Adams 2019 · A	23	44→42	39→50	49→40	44	205/284/297	92	310	5	5	33%	8%	68	-1.0	211/300/341	130	322	13	5	35%	8%	84	+0.2	209/297/371	162	301	16	0	33%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→43	38→45	46→55	46	221/291/303	81	299	5	8	26%	8%	70	-0.8	220/287/334	114	288	11	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	217/289/327	110	277	11	27	24%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	42	206/280/300	94	283	7	6	28%	6%	67	-1.1	205/276/339	134	277	16	4	31%	6%	74	-0.5	180/260/332	152	234	22	0	33%	7%	72	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps