Parker Brosius

CF Augusta GreenJackets

Age 23 R/L A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1771ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	AATL	112	.195/.360/.379	3	13	59	—	.149/.279/.277
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBATL	222	.212/.291/.338	4	7	79	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBATL	36	.215/.294/.345	1	1	81	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBATL	79	.217/.296/.350	2	3	83	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Chase%92

Speed91

BB%80

Whiff%78

ISO74

Z-Con%67

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsTim Tawa (age 23) · Mario Lisson (age 23) · Brice Matthews (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .289 / .335

PA69

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO126

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	112	87	17	5	1	3	18	25	5	13	3	195	360	379	740	184	233	22	16	337	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	112	94	14	4	1	2	12	34	5	13	3	149	279	277	556	128	194	30	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	112	94	14	4	1	2	12	34	5	13	3	149	279	277	556	128	203	30	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	—	112	87	17	5	1	3	18	25	5	13	3	195	360	379	740	184	233	22	16	337	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	112	94	14	4	1	2	12	34	5	13	3	149	279	277	556	128	194	30	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	112	94	14	4	1	2	12	34	5	13	3	149	279	277	556	128	194	30	11	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	222	198	42	8	2	4	18	65	4	7	1	212	291	338	629	126	289	29	8	284	79	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ATL	30%	120	107	23	5	1	2	10	34	2	4	1	215	294	345	639	129	290	28	8	288	81	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	ATL	44%	178	158	34	7	1	4	15	50	3	6	1	217	296	350	645	132	290	28	8	291	83	-4	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	ATL	51%	237	211	46	9	2	5	20	67	4	8	1	219	297	354	651	135	290	28	8	293	84	-4	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	274	245	54	11	2	6	23	76	4	9	1	219	297	354	651	135	289	28	8	293	84	-5	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	296	265	58	11	2	7	25	82	4	10	1	219	296	352	649	133	289	28	8	292	84	-6	+2	-1	+1	+6	0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	301	269	57	11	2	6	25	85	4	10	1	217	294	346	640	130	288	28	8	288	81	-7	+2	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	ATL	52%	301	269	57	11	2	6	25	86	4	10	2	214	290	339	629	125	286	29	8	284	78	-8	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	ATL	30%	36	32	7	1	0	1	3	10	1	1	0	215	294	345	639	129	290	28	8	288	81	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	ATL	44%	79	71	16	3	1	2	7	22	1	3	0	217	296	350	645	132	290	28	9	291	83	-2	+1	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	ATL	51%	120	107	24	5	1	3	10	34	2	4	1	219	297	354	651	135	290	28	8	293	84	-2	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	144	129	28	6	1	3	12	40	2	5	1	219	297	354	651	135	289	28	8	293	84	-3	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	158	142	30	6	1	3	13	44	2	5	1	219	296	352	649	133	289	28	8	292	84	-3	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	158	142	30	6	1	3	13	44	2	5	1	217	294	346	640	130	288	28	8	288	81	-4	+1	-1	+1	+3	0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	ATL	52%	157	141	30	6	1	3	13	45	2	5	1	214	290	339	629	125	286	29	8	284	78	-4	+1	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	852	764	165	33	6	18	71	239	12	28	5	216	293	346	638	130	287	28	8	290	81	-18	+4	-2	+3	+18	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	126	25	5	14	54	182	9	21	4	216	293	348	641	132	286	28	8	290	81	-14	+3	-2	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1888	1680	357	72	14	39	161	534	31	72	11	212	293	342	635	129	285	28	9	288	81	-38	+9	-4	+6	+38	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	123	25	5	13	55	184	11	25	4	213	293	341	634	128	286	28	8	288	81	-14	+3	-2	+2	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAugusta GreenJackets · 112 PAwOBA .332 → .255 (−77)K% 22.3% → 30.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.32%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	30.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.07%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	10.98%
HBP% /PA	4.46%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	3.45%
Singles /BIP	12.90%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.954	×0.990	11.21%
Doubles /BIP	8.06%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.954	×0.990	6.32%
Triples /BIP	1.61%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.954	×0.990	1.39%
Home runs /BIP	4.84%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	3.83%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .332 → .255; ISO .184 → .146; BABIP .233 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.4	920	20	31	218	292	349	+3	+10	1.3	1.3
/162	664	14	22	+2.4	+7.2	1.0	pk7: 1
#5Damon Buford'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,072 PA	3.1	2,072	54	56	230*	296*	371*	-1	-2	0.2	0.8
/162	664	17	18	-0.4	-0.5	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Rick Bosetti'76-'82 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,656 PA	2.5	1,656	17	30	243*	286*	358*	+3	+16	0.6	0.6
/162	664	7	12	+1.4	+6.5	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Parker Brosius (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	211/289/335	124	289	1	2	29%	8%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Mario Lisson 2007 · A	23	45→49	44→50	55	47	220/297/341	122	293	11	22	27%	8%	82	+0.0	215/267/326	111	279	11	19	26%	5%	67	-1.1	222/292/345	123	288	15	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Brice Matthews 2024 · A	22	45	44→50	54→60	46	211/306/329	118	322	12	22	35%	10%	84	+0.1	217/298/371	154	326	18	30	36%	9%	90	+0.6	208/288/365	156	305	19	33	36%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44	45	56→60	41	214/289/346	132	303	12	19	32%	7%	81	-0.1	204/281/321	117	287	12	34	31%	8%	72	-0.7	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42	47→50	53→55	40	214/271/352	138	294	15	21	32%	6%	75	-0.5	206/270/322	116	285	12	24	30%	7%	68	-1.0	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	44	222/290/341	119	280	12	16	24%	7%	80	-0.2	214/272/298	84	283	6	12	25%	6%	62	-1.4	205/259/264	60	274	3	10	25%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Jason Taylor 2010 · A	22	45→40	45→50	52→55	50	222/296/347	125	272	12	21	23%	9%	83	+0.1	209/261/319	110	272	10	13	26%	6%	63	-1.4	145/173/232	87	187	9	6	28%	3%	9	-1.1
✕Clay Fuller 2010 · A	23	43→46	42→45	56→55	46	208/288/316	108	299	9	20	31%	9%	73	-0.6	213/273/328	115	291	12	16	30%	7%	70	-0.8	210/264/327	117	279	14	16	29%	5%	63	-0.8
✕Chad Hinshaw 2015 · A	24	44→42	47→45	56→55	39	217/292/359	142	298	14	23	31%	6%	85	+0.2	211/284/312	101	305	8	24	31%	7%	71	-0.8	197/271/276	80	293	6	25	32%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Troy Schreffler Jr. 2024 · A	23	46	43→50	53→60	46	217/298/327	110	322	11	22	34%	9%	80	-0.2	195/249/310	115	301	12	22	37%	6%	57	-1.8	166/211/280	114	254	12	26	39%	4%	33	-1.3
✕Lolo Sanchez 2022 · A	23	44→45	45	53→55	48	220/295/343	124	262	13	23	21%	8%	82	+0.0	208/283/298	90	252	9	13	20%	8%	68	-1.0	193/271/258	65	233	6	9	19%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Jared Oliva 2019 · A	23	46→49	42→45	55→65	42	221/288/333	112	305	9	24	29%	7%	77	-0.3	224/283/322	98	311	7	25	28%	6%	72	-0.7	221/286/346	125	277	12	55	24%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Jorel Ortega 2024 · A	23	43→41	45	53→50	44	208/284/335	128	304	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	183/254/294	111	266	12	14	34%	8%	56	-1.9	154/227/250	96	222	12	14	35%	8%	33	-1.8
✕Ryan Cordell 2015 · A	23	52→42	48→50	56→50	44	256/307/407	151	319	15	16	24%	6%	101	+1.4	227/273/376	149	291	17	14	27%	5%	81	-0.1	216/263/367	151	275	18	14	28%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Corey Toups 2016 · A	23	49→50	41→45	56→50	46	234/295/343	109	305	7	17	25%	7%	81	-0.1	217/279/332	115	309	9	16	31%	7%	73	-0.6	206/271/319	113	301	10	16	33%	7%	64	-0.9
✕Denzel Clarke 2023 · A	23	44	49→50	57→55	41	206/287/357	151	340	16	22	41%	9%	82	+0.0	216/291/362	146	337	15	23	37%	8%	85	+0.2	217/291/360	143	333	13	27	36%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Taylor Featherston 2013 · A	23	47→46	44→50	51→50	44	226/291/350	124	304	11	11	28%	7%	82	-0.0	221/268/359	138	289	14	12	28%	5%	75	-0.5	213/256/352	139	273	14	12	27%	4%	67	-0.8
✕Corey Julks 2019 · A	23	46→50	43→50	52→55	43	222/280/337	115	306	10	18	30%	7%	74	-0.5	214/275/320	106	297	9	13	29%	7%	68	-1.0	231/290/385	154	289	18	21	26%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1

Parker Brosius

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps