Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD
—
AMLE
ATL
—
112
95
15
4
1
3
11
36
5
13
3
158
279
316
595
158
211
32
10
256
59
-5
+1
+0
-2
+2
-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD
—
ARAW
ATL
—
112
87
17
5
1
3
18
25
5
13
3
195
360
379
740
184
233
22
16
337
59
—
—
—
—
—
—
ROS
—
AMLE
ATL
0%
15
14
3
1
0
0
1
4
0
1
0
214
267
286
552
71
274
27
7
285
79
-0
+0
+0
-0
+0
-0.0
TOT
—
AMLE
ATL
—
127
109
18
5
1
3
12
40
5
14
3
165
278
312
590
147
224
31
9
259
62
-6
+2
+0
-2
+3
-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027
25
MLBMLE
ATL
0%
294
260
54
11
2
7
26
85
6
11
2
208
295
346
641
138
274
29
9
287
80
-7
+1
+0
-5
+6
-0.4
2028
25
MLBMLE
ATL
0%
394
348
73
15
3
9
35
112
8
14
2
210
297
348
644
138
276
28
9
290
82
-8
+2
+0
-7
+9
-0.5
2029
25
MLBMLE
ATL
0%
461
408
86
18
3
11
41
129
9
16
3
211
297
350
647
140
276
28
9
292
84
-9
+2
+0
-8
+10
-0.5
2030
25
MLBMLE
ATL
0%
507
447
95
19
4
12
45
141
10
18
3
213
299
353
652
141
276
28
9
294
85
-9
+2
+0
-9
+11
-0.5
2031
25
MLBMLE
ATL
0%
539
475
101
21
4
13
48
150
11
19
3
213
300
356
655
143
276
28
9
294
85
-10
+3
+0
-10
+12
-0.5
2032
25
MLBMLE
ATL
0%
562
496
105
21
4
14
50
157
11
20
3
212
298
355
653
143
276
28
9
294
85
-10
+3
+0
-10
+12
-0.5
2033
25
MLBMLE
ATL
0%
578
510
109
22
4
15
51
161
12
20
3
214
300
361
661
147
275
28
9
295
86
-10
+3
+0
-10
+13
-0.5
2034
25
MLBMLE
ATL
0%
591
522
111
23
4
15
52
165
12
21
3
213
299
358
657
146
275
28
9
295
86
-10
+3
+0
-11
+13
-0.5
2027
25
MLBCTX
ATL
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
274
—
—
271
80
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2028
25
MLBCTX
ATL
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
276
—
—
275
82
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2029
25
MLBCTX
ATL
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
276
—
—
277
84
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2030
25
MLBCTX
ATL
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
276
—
—
279
85
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2031
25
MLBCTX
ATL
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
276
—
—
279
85
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2032
25
MLBCTX
ATL
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
276
—
—
279
85
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2033
25
MLBCTX
ATL
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
275
—
—
280
86
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
2034
25
MLBCTX
ATL
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
—
—
—
—
275
—
—
280
86
—
—
+0
-0
—
—
▸ Career Totals
Career
—
MLE
—
3941
3480
737
151
28
96
349
1104
79
140
22
212
298
354
652
142
279
28
9
293
84
-73
+19
+0
-70
+85
-3.9
/ 162G
—
MLE
—
650
574
122
25
5
16
58
182
13
23
4
213
299
357
656
145
280
28
9
293
84
-12
+3
+0
-12
+14
-0.6
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 493 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
6.4
4,217
102
147
212
295
353
-47
+0
1.5
1.5
/162
664
16
23
-7.4
+0.0
0.2
pk7: 2
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection