Jaison Chourio

OF Akron RubberDucks

Age 22 S/R 6'0" / 194 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #373MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP51ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%6%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A+CLE	353	.235/.381/.284	2	9	65	—	.209/.321/.252
2025	20	INTLAguilas del Z…	191	.323/.413/.421	2	9	139	—
2026	21	AACLE	420	.265/.364/.393	7	32	93	—	.256/.328/.368
2026	21	A+CLE	102	.317/.440/.476	2	10	118	—	.276/.370/.414
2027PROJ6% MLB	22	MLBCLE	19	.227/.317/.317	0	1	83	0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	23	MLBCLE	208	.232/.322/.336	3	8	89	0.1
2029PROJ47% MLB	24	MLBCLE	282	.235/.325/.348	5	11	93	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$3M2032Arb-2$4M2033Arb-3$5M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed87

Whiff%78

BB%76

Chase%76

K%68

Z-Con%67

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 11, comp-based) · star 4% · didn't stick 74%

CompsJakob Marsee (age 22) · Trevor Crowe (age 23) · Roman Quinn (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .317 / .317

PA19

HR0

K%26

BB%11

BABIP294

ISO59

MLB%6%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$6M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Red	—	175	132	37	7	3	1	40	22	1	14	4	280	451	402	852	121	324	13	23	389	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	42	35	7	1	0	0	6	15	0	1	0	200	317	229	546	29	333	36	14	260	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	189	149	52	12	1	1	38	37	0	19	2	349	481	463	944	114	451	20	20	423	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	17	11	3	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	273	529	273	802		300	6	35	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	432	334	90	24	2	5	86	69	3	44	11	269	423	398	821	129	316	16	20	370	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Lake County Captains	—	353	285	67	6	1	2	66	77	1	9	7	235	381	284	665	49	314	22	19	319	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	27	23	6	1	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	261	370	304	675	43	462	37	15	319	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	191	164	53	6	2	2	25	31	0	9	1	323	413	421	833	98	383	16	13	374	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	420	359	95	19	3	7	56	89	0	32	5	265	364	393	757	128	332	21	13	340	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Lake County Captains	—	102	82	26	7	0	2	18	18	0	10	4	317	440	476	916	159	375	18	18	403	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	—	175	143	27	5	2	0	29	26	1	14	4	189	329	252	581	63	224	15	17	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	42	37	6	1	0	0	4	21	0	1	0	162	244	189	433	27	319	50	10	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	189	164	43	9	1	1	23	53	0	19	2	262	353	348	701	85	374	28	12	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	432	361	89	24	2	5	59	95	3	44	11	247	357	366	723	119	299	22	14	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	353	302	63	5	1	2	49	96	1	9	7	209	321	252	573	43	293	27	14	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	27	25	4	1	0	0	2	14	0	1	0	160	222	200	422	40	375	52	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	420	375	96	18	3	6	40	109	0	32	5	256	328	368	696	112	337	26	10	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	102	87	24	6	0	2	13	23	0	10	4	276	370	414	784	138	336	23	13	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	—	175	143	27	5	2	0	29	26	1	14	4	189	329	252	581	63	227	15	17	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Red	—	175	132	37	7	3	1	40	22	1	14	4	280	451	402	852	121	324	13	23	389	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	248	215	53	11	1	1	30	79	0	20	2	247	339	321	660	74	377	32	12	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	248	195	62	13	1	1	50	53	0	20	2	318	457	410	867	92	424	21	20	394	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	432	361	89	24	2	5	59	95	3	44	11	247	357	366	723	119	311	22	14	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	432	334	90	24	2	5	86	69	3	44	11	269	423	398	821	129	316	16	20	370	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	571	489	99	8	1	2	78	165	1	19	8	202	313	235	549	33	298	29	14	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	571	472	126	13	3	4	95	118	1	19	8	267	391	333	723	66	346	21	17	338	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	522	462	120	24	3	7	53	132	0	42	9	260	336	370	706	110	346	25	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	522	441	121	26	3	9	74	107	0	42	9	274	379	408	787	134	340	20	14	352	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	—	175	143	27	5	2	0	29	26	1	14	4	189	329	252	581	63	224	15	17	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	248	216	53	11	1	1	30	79	0	20	2	245	339	319	658	74	364	32	12	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	432	367	89	24	2	5	59	95	3	44	11	243	357	360	717	117	299	22	14	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	571	487	99	8	1	2	78	165	1	19	8	203	313	236	550	33	299	29	14	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	522	464	120	24	3	7	53	132	0	42	9	259	336	369	704	110	337	25	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	432	367	89	24	2	5	59	95	3	44	11	243	357	360	717	117	299	22	14	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	571	487	99	8	1	2	78	165	1	19	8	203	313	236	550	33	299	29	14	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	522	464	120	24	3	7	53	132	0	42	9	259	336	369	704	110	337	25	10	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CLE	6%	621	544	123	22	3	7	71	147	1	25	7	227	317	318	634	91	294	24	11	291	83	-13	+2	-2	-4	+13	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	CLE	6%	19	17	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	227	317	317	634	90	294	26	11	291	83	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CLE	37%	564	494	115	20	3	9	64	131	1	22	6	232	321	337	658	105	295	23	11	300	89	-7	+2	-1	-3	+12	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	CLE	47%	597	523	124	22	3	11	67	137	2	23	6	235	324	349	673	113	296	23	11	305	93	-5	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.6
2030	25	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	615	539	128	23	3	12	69	141	2	23	6	237	325	355	681	119	296	23	11	308	95	-4	+2	-0	-4	+13	0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	627	550	130	23	3	12	70	143	2	23	6	237	325	358	683	121	295	23	11	309	95	-4	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	629	553	131	23	3	13	69	144	2	22	6	236	324	358	682	121	294	23	11	308	95	-4	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	626	550	129	23	3	12	69	145	2	19	5	234	322	353	675	118	293	23	11	306	93	-5	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	617	542	126	22	3	12	68	145	2	15	5	232	319	346	665	114	292	24	11	302	90	-7	+1	-2	-4	+13	0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	607	534	123	22	2	11	66	144	2	12	4	229	315	338	654	109	290	24	11	297	87	-9	+1	-2	-4	+13	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	CLE	37%	208	182	43	8	1	3	24	48	0	8	2	232	322	336	657	104	295	23	12	300	89	-3	+1	-0	-1	+5	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CLE	47%	282	247	58	10	1	5	32	65	1	11	3	235	325	348	672	112	296	23	11	305	93	-2	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	321	281	66	12	1	6	36	73	1	12	3	237	326	354	680	117	296	23	11	308	95	-2	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	342	300	71	13	1	7	38	78	1	12	3	237	325	357	682	120	295	23	11	309	95	-2	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	342	300	71	13	1	7	38	78	1	12	3	237	324	357	681	120	295	23	11	308	95	-2	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	340	299	71	13	1	7	37	79	1	10	3	235	322	352	674	117	294	23	11	305	93	-3	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	328	288	67	12	1	6	36	77	1	8	2	232	319	346	665	113	293	23	11	302	90	-4	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	318	279	65	12	1	6	35	76	1	6	2	229	316	338	653	109	291	24	11	297	87	-5	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2481	2176	512	93	8	47	276	574	7	79	21	235	323	350	673	115	296	23	11	305	90	-23	+7	-3	-15	+54	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	133	24	2	12	72	150	2	21	6	233	321	346	667	112	294	23	11	305	90	-6	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7150	6235	1457	261	33	111	827	1703	21	311	81	234	325	340	665	106	301	24	12	301	90	-52	+16	-8	-31	+113	3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	133	24	3	10	75	155	2	28	7	235	326	340	666	106	303	24	12	301	90	-6	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	5.2	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
/162	664	20	24	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
#2Jim Rivera'52-'61 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,008 PA	6.0	4,008	83	160	251*	315*	426*	-23	-0	9.1	9.5
/162	664	14	27	-3.8	-0.0	1.5	pk7: 10
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Johnny Barrett'42-'46 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,108 PA	3.2	2,108	23	69	244*	341*	419*	-12	-7	5.8	5.8
/162	664	7	22	-3.9	-2.3	1.8	pk7: 6
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.8	2,500	47	81	235	320	351	-15	-1	3.8	3.8
/162	664	12	21	-4.0	-0.2	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Bert Haas'37-'51 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,674 PA	4.0	2,674	22	51	258*	313*	395*	-19	-7	3.1	3.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.6	-1.8	0.8	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaison Chourio (OGILVIE)	22	35→54	33→41	56→58	52	224/314/315	91	294	4	13	24%	11%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Trevor Crowe 2007 · AA	23	52→56	39→45	57→55	51	246/313/339	92	307	5	29	21%	9%	86	+0.3	255/313/358	103	310	6	23	18%	8%	91	+0.7	259/318/364	105	312	6	23	18%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Roman Quinn 2015 · A	22	47→57	41→45	55→65	43	226/294/324	98	311	9	28	29%	7%	77	-0.3	254/309/356	102	342	7	35	26%	7%	88	+0.5	269/321/372	103	361	6	42	25%	6%	92	+0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	45→55	40→45	57→55	45	215/282/314	100	299	6	21	29%	8%	70	-0.9	257/316/365	108	333	7	26	23%	8%	93	+0.8	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Cole Tucker 2018 · AA	22	49→51	39→45	57→55	44	230/286/323	92	310	5	24	26%	7%	72	-0.7	229/287/333	104	299	7	20	24%	7%	76	-0.4	228/286/332	104	292	8	18	23%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Leody Taveras 2021 · MLB	22	48→55	40→50	55	43	227/277/319	92	307	7	20	28%	7%	68	-1.0	233/287/372	139	306	14	19	27%	7%	85	+0.2	251/301/382	131	311	12	20	23%	7%	92	+0.7
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	51→58	39→45	58→60	51	240/305/333	93	302	5	22	21%	9%	82	-0.0	250/306/350	100	317	7	27	22%	8%	86	+0.3	260/322/390	130	293	10	24	14%	8%	102	+1.4
✕Jorge Barrosa 2023 · AA	22	49→52	44→45	50→55	47	237/300/356	119	289	10	20	21%	7%	86	+0.3	235/304/357	122	293	10	16	22%	8%	88	+0.4	235/305/352	118	296	10	14	23%	9%	84	+0.2
✕Alejandro Ortiz 2013 · AAA	23	52→60	42→40	58→50	45	248/303/358	110	308	9	24	22%	6%	87	+0.4	235/289/346	111	325	8	17	28%	6%	79	-0.2	279/332/373	94	377	7	11	26%	6%	100	+0.6
✕Darnell Sweeney 2013 · A	22	49→51	41→50	58→55	46	236/292/339	103	298	8	21	23%	7%	79	-0.2	232/286/361	129	319	10	22	29%	7%	82	-0.0	230/286/363	133	314	11	23	29%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Vidal Bruján 2021 · AA	23	52→60	41→45	60→65	49	249/307/353	105	298	7	34	19%	7%	88	+0.4	226/286/340	114	274	10	36	20%	7%	78	-0.3	228/301/339	111	280	8	25	20%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Antoan Richardson 2006 · A	22	52→58	35→40	59→60	50	236/321/295	59	323	3	29	26%	10%	80	-0.1	242/317/308	66	321	3	34	23%	8%	82	-0.0	254/346/314	60	335	1	30	22%	11%	90	+0.4
✕Shawn O'Malley 2011 · AA	23	47→57	35→40	57→60	47	217/301/275	58	294	2	26	25%	8%	69	-0.9	233/296/303	70	299	3	24	21%	7%	72	-0.7	259/320/356	97	321	5	23	20%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Alex Freeland 2024 · A	22	44→48	42→45	54→55	43	207/282/308	101	319	10	22	36%	9%	69	-0.9	224/310/353	129	306	13	19	28%	10%	90	+0.6	226/317/359	132	301	13	18	27%	11%	92	+0.7
✕Cliff Pennington 2006 · A	22	48→54	38→45	52→55	50	226/290/304	78	278	6	20	20%	8%	70	-0.8	219/290/299	80	269	5	16	19%	9%	70	-0.9	247/310/354	107	294	7	24	18%	8%	89	+0.5
●Brett Bateman 2024 · A	22	51→61	37→30	54→55	55	238/324/309	70	307	4	18	22%	11%	84	+0.2	252/333/313	61	337	3	21	23%	11%	88	+0.5	267/352/328	61	355	3	23	23%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	48→58	38→30	56→70	48	226/293/312	85	299	4	17	24%	8%	73	-0.6	267/311/317	50	307	1	59	12%	6%	80	-0.2	302/334/348	46	335	0	63	9%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Everth Cabrera 2009 · A	22	51→60	39→40	61→65	43	238/293/326	89	318	5	34	26%	6%	76	-0.4	240/303/330	90	313	4	33	22%	8%	81	-0.1	266/331/350	84	338	3	54	21%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	44→52	39→45	58→55	46	208/280/301	93	279	6	17	26%	8%	66	-1.1	228/306/313	85	303	5	16	24%	9%	78	-0.3	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	227/302/334	107	261	9	17	17%	8%	82	+0.0	255/308/340	85	288	5	13	13%	7%	84	+0.2	264/325/346	82	304	4	14	13%	8%	92	+0.6

Jaison Chourio

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps