Dylan Dreiling

CF Frisco RoughRiders

Age 24 L/L 5'10" / 197 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #411MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP43ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+TEX	483	.226/.322/.381	12	15	41	—	.173/.232/.285
2025	22	INTLSurprise Sagu…	55	.271/.364/.438	1	2	128	—
2026	23	AATEX	538	.312/.384/.516	22	14	106	—	.268/.320/.432
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBTEX	6	.235/.291/.383	0	0	86	0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	25	MLBTEX	115	.237/.294/.389	3	2	89	0.1
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBTEX	246	.237/.296/.390	8	5	90	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$1.0M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Whiff%92

Z-Con%92

wOBA86

wRC+81

ISO76

K%73

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 10, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 78%

CompsParker Meadows (age 23) · Trey Sweeney (age 24) · Drew Robinson (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .291 / .383

PA6

HR0

K%17

BB%7

BABIP286

ISO143

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	86	17	4	0	1	19	20	0	5	3	198	343	279	622	81	242	19	18	296	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	483	420	95	21	4	12	58	101	1	15	5	226	322	381	702	155	267	21	12	315	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	55	48	13	1	2	1	7	14	0	2	0	271	364	438	801	167	364	25	13	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	538	475	148	27	2	22	56	110	0	14	4	312	384	516	900	204	361	20	10	391	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	94	14	3	0	1	11	26	0	5	3	149	238	213	451	64	199	25	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	483	445	77	17	3	9	33	129	1	15	5	173	232	285	517	112	217	27	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	538	493	132	23	2	18	38	134	0	14	4	268	320	432	752	164	321	25	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	94	14	3	0	1	11	26	0	5	3	149	238	213	451	64	191	25	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	86	17	4	0	1	19	20	0	5	3	198	343	279	622	81	242	19	18	296	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	538	496	85	19	3	10	37	144	1	17	5	171	230	282	513	111	217	27	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	538	468	108	22	6	13	65	115	1	17	5	231	326	387	713	156	276	21	12	319	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	538	493	132	23	2	18	38	134	0	14	4	268	320	432	752	164	329	25	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	538	475	148	27	2	22	56	110	0	14	4	312	384	516	900	204	361	20	10	391	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	94	14	3	0	1	11	26	0	5	3	149	238	213	451	64	199	25	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	538	495	85	19	3	10	37	144	1	17	5	172	230	283	513	111	217	27	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	538	495	132	23	2	18	38	134	0	14	4	267	320	430	750	164	321	25	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	94	14	3	0	1	11	26	0	5	3	149	238	213	451	64	199	25	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	538	495	85	19	3	10	37	144	1	17	5	172	230	283	513	111	217	27	7	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	538	495	132	23	2	18	38	134	0	14	4	267	320	430	750	164	321	25	7	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TEX	2%	380	349	82	16	2	10	27	93	1	8	2	234	290	377	667	143	286	24	7	296	86	-6	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	TEX	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	235	291	383	674	148	286	17	0	299	86	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	31%	370	339	80	15	2	10	27	90	1	7	2	235	293	382	675	147	287	24	7	299	89	-5	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	TEX	45%	553	506	119	23	2	16	41	134	1	11	4	236	294	384	678	148	287	24	7	301	90	-7	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	TEX	49%	558	510	120	23	2	16	42	135	1	11	4	235	295	382	677	147	286	24	8	301	90	-7	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	425	389	91	17	2	12	32	104	1	7	3	234	294	379	673	145	286	24	8	299	89	-6	+0	-2	+2	+9	0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	420	384	89	17	2	11	32	103	1	6	3	232	292	374	667	142	285	25	8	297	87	-7	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	414	379	87	16	2	11	31	103	1	5	3	229	289	366	655	138	283	25	7	292	84	-8	-0	-3	+1	+9	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	31%	115	106	25	5	1	3	8	28	0	2	1	237	294	389	683	152	286	24	7	302	89	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	TEX	45%	246	225	54	10	1	8	18	60	1	5	2	237	296	390	686	153	286	24	7	304	90	-3	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	TEX	49%	274	251	59	11	1	8	20	66	1	5	2	236	296	389	685	153	286	24	7	304	90	-3	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	219	200	48	9	1	7	16	53	1	4	1	235	295	386	681	150	285	24	7	302	89	-3	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	217	198	46	8	1	6	16	53	1	3	1	233	294	381	674	147	284	24	7	299	87	-3	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	213	195	45	8	1	6	16	53	0	3	1	230	290	372	662	142	282	25	8	295	84	-4	+0	-2	+1	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1284	1175	277	51	6	38	94	313	4	22	8	236	295	386	681	151	288	24	7	301	83	-18	+1	-6	+5	+28	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	140	26	3	19	48	158	2	11	4	235	295	385	680	150	287	24	7	301	83	-9	+1	-3	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4242	3884	885	169	18	114	314	1051	7	89	33	228	287	369	655	141	281	25	7	291	83	-44	+2	-12	+11	+66	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	135	26	3	17	48	161	1	14	5	227	286	366	652	139	280	25	7	291	83	-9	+0	-3	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Shelby'81-'91 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,326 PA	5.0	3,326	70	98	237*	281*	385*	+1	-4	1.7	3.8
/162	664	14	20	+0.1	-0.9	0.3	pk7: 6
#2Danny Santanalast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,834 PA	2.8	1,834	47	74	256	296	415	-6	-6	3.6	3.6
/162	664	17	27	-2.3	-2.2	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Luis Matos'00-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,773 PA	2.7	1,773	30	72	245*	304*	365*	+1	+10	3.2	3.2
/162	664	11	27	+0.3	+3.9	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.9	1,291	36	22	234	291	380	-8	-4	1.0	1.0
/162	664	18	12	-4.0	-1.9	0.5	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Paul Lehner'46-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,932 PA	2.9	1,932	22	6	247*	285*	387*	-4	+2	-0.4	-0.4
/162	664	8	2	-1.2	+0.8	-0.1	pk7: -0
#6George Wright'82-'86 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,322 PA	3.5	2,322	42	19	241*	288*	377*	-2	-7	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	12	5	-0.5	-2.1	-0.1	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan Dreiling (OGILVIE)	24	30→46	40→50	55→53	50	232/288/373	142	286	9	6	25%	7%	86	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	38→43	48→55	49→50	46	194/274/343	149	274	15	12	34%	9%	74	-0.5	212/288/380	168	308	18	12	35%	9%	88	+0.4	211/288/384	173	313	19	12	36%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Blake Tekotte 2011 · AA	24	45→47	48→50	50→55	47	228/290/372	144	279	15	18	24%	8%	86	+0.3	214/274/356	142	286	15	21	29%	7%	77	-0.3	194/258/314	120	261	9	10	28%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	45	46→50	53→50	49	225/307/354	128	288	14	18	26%	9%	89	+0.5	207/285/346	139	265	15	12	27%	9%	79	-0.2	185/264/323	139	233	15	10	27%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Jon Gaston 2011 · AA	24	41→42	52→55	53→50	42	216/276/389	172	281	19	10	30%	7%	85	+0.2	207/252/327	120	282	11	13	30%	5%	61	-1.5	193/225/294	101	262	7	14	28%	3%	40	-2.2
✕Daniel Johnson 2019 · AA	24	47→51	46→55	54→55	38	236/280/370	135	302	13	18	26%	4%	82	+0.0	235/288/394	159	313	16	13	29%	6%	91	+0.6	213/267/367	154	294	17	9	32%	6%	75	-0.3
●Ka'ai Tom 2019 · AA	25	45→49	45→55	49→50	45	223/286/353	130	282	12	13	25%	7%	80	-0.1	228/297/389	161	298	17	8	28%	7%	93	+0.8	211/288/370	160	280	17	6	29%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	43→45	45→55	49→50	47	215/282/334	119	268	14	12	25%	8%	75	-0.5	214/278/349	135	274	16	11	27%	8%	77	-0.3	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2021 · AA	24	43→45	47→50	52→50	37	220/262/355	135	294	15	9	30%	5%	72	-0.7	219/283/366	147	299	17	9	31%	7%	83	+0.1	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Jordan Patterson 2016 · AA	24	46→50	47→55	49→50	38	228/286/375	147	309	14	14	30%	5%	86	+0.3	223/287/370	147	312	15	9	32%	5%	85	+0.2	212/282/360	148	299	16	6	33%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Addison Barger 2024 · AAA	24	45→49	49→55	45	43	227/292/375	148	308	17	7	31%	8%	88	+0.4	226/292/393	167	281	19	7	26%	8%	93	+0.8	224/289/406	182	269	21	6	25%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Zach Kokoska 2023 · A	24	42	48→55	56→55	41	215/277/355	140	278	15	16	28%	6%	78	-0.3	198/266/359	161	275	20	17	34%	6%	76	-0.4	173/245/335	163	243	21	19	37%	6%	60	-0.9
✕DJ Stewart 2018 · AA	24	47→49	47→60	52→50	49	235/309/374	139	289	15	16	24%	8%	94	+0.9	228/305/390	162	277	19	11	24%	9%	97	+1.1	215/319/403	188	257	24	4	25%	12%	104	+0.8
✕Taylor Trammell 2022 · MLB	24	41→48	49→55	47→55	45	211/289/355	144	289	17	12	32%	9%	83	+0.1	221/305/392	171	297	20	18	31%	10%	97	+1.1	210/303/380	170	280	20	23	31%	11%	92	+0.4
✕John Raglani 2007 · AA	24	46→48	47→50	47→45	46	227/297/366	139	297	14	7	28%	8%	88	+0.4	218/295/368	150	297	16	8	30%	9%	88	+0.4	203/290/369	166	273	19	7	31%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Carlos Alvarez 2012 · AAA	24	49	46→45	49→45	51	241/313/372	132	298	14	14	24%	9%	95	+0.9	234/298/353	119	292	10	8	22%	8%	85	+0.2	247/325/329	81	299	5	6	17%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Mike Antico 2022 · A	24	43	49→45	55→60	41	219/272/369	150	281	16	13	28%	6%	79	-0.2	209/274/329	120	280	12	36	28%	7%	71	-0.8	215/279/331	115	289	12	35	28%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→46	44→50	51→40	43	211/270/330	119	277	11	9	28%	7%	69	-0.9	228/285/369	141	298	16	5	28%	6%	84	+0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Tyler Collins 2014 · AA	24	44→50	46→50	46→50	46	222/285/357	135	273	13	8	24%	7%	81	-0.1	228/282/358	130	286	15	10	25%	6%	80	-0.1	222/281/344	121	288	13	11	27%	7%	76	-0.3

Dylan Dreiling

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps