Patrick Galle — OGILVIE

Patrick Galle P Peoria Chiefs

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 215 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%21.3%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%7.3%

ROS IP29

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	3	0	5	27	3	7	1	0%	1.8	11.1%	25.9%	-14.8%	3.7%	5.06	7.48	—
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	3	0	5	27	3	7	1	0%	1.8	11.1%	25.9%	-14.8%	3.7%	5.06	7.48	—
2025	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	3	0	5	27	3	7	1	0%	1.8	11.1%	25.9%	-14.8%	3.7%	5.06	8.35	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	43	0	49	237	58	42	3	0%	1.1	16.1%	20.7%	-4.6%	1.8%	6.02	5.36	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	43	0	49	237	58	42	3	0%	1.1	16.1%	20.7%	-4.6%	1.8%	6.02	5.36	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	STL	6	0	8	31	15	5	0	0%	1.3	48.4%	16.1%	32.3%	0.0%	1.17	1.06	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	STL	37	0	42	206	43	37	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	18.0%	2.9%	1.5%	6.91	4.41	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	STL	48	0	50	212	47	26	6	0%	1.0	22.2%	12.3%	9.9%	2.9%	4.87	4.77	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	STL	49	0	51	217	50	24	6	0%	1.0	22.8%	11.2%	11.6%	2.9%	4.67	4.56	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	STL	50	0	52	220	51	23	6	0%	1.0	23.2%	10.5%	12.7%	2.9%	4.53	4.44	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	STL	50	0	52	220	51	23	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.4%	13.0%	2.9%	4.46	4.41	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	STL	24	0	25	106	23	13	3	0%	1.0	22.2%	12.3%	9.9%	2.9%	4.87	4.77	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	STL	34	0	36	152	35	17	4	0%	1.1	22.8%	11.2%	11.6%	2.9%	4.67	4.56	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	STL	40	0	42	177	41	19	5	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.5%	12.7%	2.9%	4.53	4.44	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	STL	43	0	45	190	45	20	5	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.4%	13.0%	2.9%	4.46	4.41	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		141	0	148	626	144	69	18	0%	1.1	23.0%	11.0%	12.1%	2.9%	4.60	4.14	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	93	24	0%	1.1	23.0%	11.0%	12.1%	2.9%	4.60	4.14	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		46	0	55	264	41	56	5	0%	1.2	15.6%	21.2%	-5.6%	2.0%	5.93	5.58	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		168	0	200	966	150	205	19	0%	1.2	15.6%	21.2%	-5.6%	2.0%	5.93	5.58	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Patrick Galle (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	21.3%	14.0%	3.0%	—	4.59	22.8%	11.4%	154	-0.50	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	92
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	91
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	90
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	90
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	88
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	88
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	88
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	88
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	88
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	87
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	87
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	5.02	18.8%	6.8%	174	+0.70	4.32	218	87
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	87
Bailey Dees R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.35	21.3%	9.7%	278	+0.09	3.41	330	87
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	87
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	87
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	87
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	47	22.7%	11.5%	1.13	4.69
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33