Luke Hanson

SS Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+TEX	25	.364/.440/.409	0	1	82	—	.304/.360/.348
2025	21	ATEX	52	.119/.275/.119	0	5	-9	—	.089/.196/.089
2026	22	AATEX	67	.121/.203/.172	1	0	-13	—	.119/.188/.169
2026	22	A+TEX	449	.266/.359/.424	14	14	74	—	.221/.284/.346
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBTEX	2	.233/.293/.369	0	0	84	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	24	MLBTEX	181	.236/.297/.378	5	4	88	0.4
2029PROJ55% MLB	25	MLBTEX	307	.238/.300/.383	9	6	90	0.7

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$2M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%88

K%78

Whiff%78

BB%20

Chase%19

ISO7

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsHenry Davis (age 23) · Agustín Ramírez (age 22) · Chris Nelson (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .293 / .369

PA2

HR0

K%22

BB%7

BABIP277

ISO130

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 51 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT51

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	25	22	8	1	0	0	2	8	1	1	1	364	440	409	849	45	571	32	8	390	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	52	42	5	0	0	0	8	16	1	5	1	119	275	119	394		185	31	15	208	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	67	58	7	0	0	1	5	13	1	0	0	121	203	172	376	52	136	19	7	175	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	449	387	103	19	0	14	50	76	6	14	7	266	359	424	783	158	296	17	11	348	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	25	23	7	1	0	0	1	10	1	1	1	304	360	348	708	43	494	40	4	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	52	45	4	0	0	0	5	22	1	5	1	89	196	89	285		169	42	10	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	67	59	7	0	0	1	4	16	1	0	0	119	188	169	357	51	128	24	6	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	449	407	90	15	0	12	30	100	6	14	7	221	284	346	631	125	256	22	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	77	68	11	1	0	0	6	32	2	6	2	162	250	176	426	15	297	42	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	77	64	13	1	0	0	10	24	2	6	2	203	329	219	548	16	317	31	13	267	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	466	97	15	0	13	34	116	7	14	7	208	272	324	596	116	246	22	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	516	445	110	19	0	15	55	89	7	14	7	247	339	391	730	144	275	17	11	325	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	77	69	11	1	0	0	6	32	2	6	2	159	250	174	424	14	275	42	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	470	97	15	0	13	34	116	7	14	7	206	272	321	593	115	239	22	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	77	69	11	1	0	0	6	32	2	6	2	159	250	174	424	14	275	42	8	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	470	97	15	0	13	34	116	7	14	7	206	272	321	593	115	239	22	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	521	475	111	20	2	13	35	116	6	10	4	232	292	364	656	131	277	22	7	293	84	-10	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	233	293	369	663	136	277	0	0	296	84	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TEX	38%	476	436	102	18	2	13	32	105	5	10	4	235	296	372	668	137	279	22	7	298	88	-7	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.9
2029	25	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	554	504	119	21	2	15	39	122	6	12	4	236	298	377	675	141	280	22	7	301	90	-7	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	TEX	64%	559	508	120	22	2	15	40	123	6	12	4	237	299	379	678	142	280	22	7	302	91	-6	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	TEX	66%	558	507	120	22	2	15	40	123	6	12	5	236	300	378	677	141	280	22	7	302	91	-6	+0	+0	+6	+12	1.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	TEX	67%	553	502	119	22	2	15	40	124	6	11	5	235	299	375	674	140	280	22	7	301	90	-7	+0	-1	+6	+12	1.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	TEX	66%	514	467	109	20	2	13	37	116	5	9	4	233	296	369	665	136	279	23	7	297	87	-8	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.8
2034	30	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	504	458	106	19	2	13	36	116	5	8	5	230	293	362	654	132	277	23	7	293	84	-9	-0	-2	+5	+11	0.4
2035	31	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	491	449	101	18	1	12	34	115	5	7	6	226	288	352	640	126	275	23	7	287	80	-11	-1	-3	+5	+11	0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	473	433	96	17	1	11	33	113	4	6	9	221	282	340	622	119	271	24	7	280	75	-14	-2	-4	+5	+10	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	TEX	38%	181	165	40	7	1	5	12	40	2	4	1	236	297	378	676	142	278	22	7	301	88	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2029	25	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	307	280	66	11	1	9	21	67	3	6	2	238	300	383	683	146	279	22	7	304	90	-4	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.7
2030	26	MLB CTX	TEX	64%	356	324	77	13	1	11	25	78	4	8	3	238	301	385	686	147	280	22	7	305	91	-4	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2031	27	MLB CTX	TEX	66%	367	334	79	14	1	11	26	81	4	8	3	238	301	384	685	147	280	22	7	305	91	-4	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2032	28	MLB CTX	TEX	67%	369	335	79	14	1	11	27	82	4	7	3	236	300	381	681	145	280	22	7	303	90	-5	+0	-0	+4	+8	0.7
2033	29	MLB CTX	TEX	66%	338	308	72	12	1	10	24	76	3	6	3	234	297	375	672	141	279	22	7	300	87	-5	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2034	30	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	328	299	69	12	1	9	23	75	3	5	3	231	294	367	661	136	277	23	7	295	84	-6	-0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2035	31	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	318	290	65	11	1	8	22	74	3	4	4	227	289	358	647	131	274	23	7	289	80	-7	-1	-2	+3	+7	0.0
2036	32	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	305	278	62	11	1	7	21	73	3	4	6	222	283	345	628	123	271	24	7	282	75	-9	-2	-2	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2869	2613	609	105	9	81	201	646	29	52	28	233	295	373	668	140	277	23	7	299	83	-47	-1	-7	+31	+62	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	138	24	2	18	46	146	7	12	6	233	297	372	668	139	278	22	7	299	83	-11	-0	-2	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5595	5090	1168	207	17	143	392	1276	61	113	57	229	292	361	654	132	277	23	7	291	83	-82	-1	-10	+54	+108	7.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	136	24	2	17	46	148	7	13	7	230	293	364	657	134	277	23	7	291	83	-11	-0	-1	+7	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Paul DeJonglast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,500 PA	5.3	3,500	146	29	229	294	416	+36	+35	16.1	16.0
/162	664	28	6	+6.8	+6.6	3.1	pk7: 16
#2Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#3Greg Gagne'83-'97 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,207 PA	9.3	6,207	111	108	249*	297*	394*	+65	+26	13.2	13.0
/162	664	12	12	+6.9	+2.8	1.4	pk7: 13
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.3	2,871	75	52	233	292	369	+31	+18	6.2	6.0
/162	664	17	12	+7.1	+4.2	1.4	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Hanson (OGILVIE)	23	46→51	44→49	51→56	51	230/290/360	130	277	8	6	22%	7%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Chris Nelson 2009 · AA	23	46→56	45→50	51→50	44	226/281/358	132	282	11	12	24%	6%	80	-0.2	239/289/371	132	291	13	11	22%	6%	85	+0.2	260/302/395	135	314	13	7	21%	5%	95	+0.7
✕German Duran 2008 · AA	23	49→51	50	49→45	43	248/289/407	159	286	17	10	20%	5%	94	+0.9	222/266/336	114	263	11	7	20%	5%	69	-0.9	206/249/284	78	245	7	3	19%	4%	49	-1.0
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2008 · A	23	43→53	49→50	52→50	47	223/283/376	152	269	17	14	24%	8%	84	+0.2	234/299/349	115	304	9	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	241/309/353	112	313	8	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	44→43	44→50	50→40	51	216/311/333	117	280	11	7	25%	10%	86	+0.3	226/312/365	139	299	15	5	28%	9%	94	+0.9	230/302/374	144	273	16	1	22%	7%	92	+0.3
✕Drew Gilbert 2024 · AA	23	49→50	49→50	49→45	47	248/313/399	151	299	17	12	23%	8%	101	+1.4	225/300/374	149	266	16	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Nick Yorke 2024 · AA	22	48→57	46→50	50→55	43	236/293/366	130	314	14	13	29%	7%	86	+0.3	248/304/358	110	328	11	17	26%	7%	88	+0.4	250/308/351	102	325	10	18	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Leo Jiménez 2024 · AAA	23	49→52	42→45	49→45	48	234/321/342	108	294	9	9	22%	8%	92	+0.7	231/325/340	109	290	10	6	23%	8%	93	+0.8	223/330/323	99	283	10	3	22%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Alan Espinoza 2015 · AAA	24	49	44→50	49→45	44	241/293/357	116	294	12	9	22%	6%	84	+0.1	232/280/379	147	274	17	6	22%	5%	84	+0.2	250/290/391	141	287	16	3	19%	4%	88	+0.2
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA	24	43→45	45→55	49→50	47	215/282/334	119	268	14	12	25%	8%	75	-0.5	214/278/349	135	274	16	11	27%	8%	77	-0.3	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2019 · AA	23	49→50	47→50	51→50	44	238/300/376	138	319	14	13	29%	7%	91	+0.7	230/290/373	143	310	15	10	29%	8%	86	+0.3	222/283/373	151	295	17	8	29%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Andy Burns 2014 · AA	23	47→57	46→50	53→55	44	234/288/377	143	295	12	19	25%	6%	86	+0.3	237/281/352	115	291	9	13	21%	5%	78	-0.3	235/285/340	105	281	10	9	20%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Craig Stansberry 2006 · AA	24	44→47	51→50	57→50	43	227/284/400	173	287	17	15	27%	6%	91	+0.6	221/292/360	139	275	13	13	23%	8%	84	+0.2	215/294/343	127	265	12	11	22%	9%	79	-0.2
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2020 · AAA	23	51→57	43→50	53→50	47	245/305/369	123	304	9	13	22%	7%	91	+0.6	254/314/393	139	316	13	14	22%	8%	100	+1.3	255/311/393	138	311	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	43	48→55	50→30	46	219/300/358	139	268	17	5	25%	7%	88	+0.5	217/301/360	143	265	16	5	24%	8%	88	+0.5	207/318/364	157	258	17	2	25%	11%	94	+0.4
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→47	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	206/282/335	129	268	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Yairo Muñoz 2018 · AAA	23	48→54	45→50	50→55	39	241/272/366	125	292	13	14	22%	4%	77	-0.3	257/298/384	127	317	13	15	22%	5%	92	+0.7	271/310/381	110	326	11	18	20%	5%	94	+0.5
✕Tyler Marlette 2016 · AA	23	47→43	47→50	47→45	41	236/278/372	136	297	14	7	26%	5%	82	-0.0	221/267/353	132	289	15	5	28%	6%	74	-0.6	214/264/341	127	279	15	4	28%	6%	66	-0.8

Luke Hanson

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps