David Mershon — OGILVIE

David MershonSS Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 23 S/R 5'7" / 175 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION180 act + 140 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†30

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .259 / .232

PA140

HR1

SB6

K%29

BB%9

BABIP250

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	AA	2 teams	—	184	165	35	5	0	0	13	60	2	9	3	212	278	242	520	30	324	33	7	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA	2 teams	—	184	152	39	6	2	0	26	40	2	9	3	257	372	322	695	66	339	22	14	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	4 teams	—	451	394	57	13	2	1	47	149	4	39	4	145	243	195	438	51	227	33	10	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	4 teams	—	451	363	69	13	2	2	77	110	4	39	4	190	337	253	591	63	264	24	17	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	LAA	—	180	159	24	1	0	1	14	58	3	13	2	151	233	176	409	25	225	32	8	193	6	-19	+2	+0	+2	+5	-1.1
YTD	23	A+	LAA	—	180	151	29	2	0	1	22	42	3	13	2	192	307	225	532	33	255	23	12	254	53	-10	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
ROS	23	A+	LAA	0%	140	125	22	4	0	1	13	41	1	6	1	176	259	232	491	56	248	29	9	225	30	-11	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
ROS	23	MLB	LAA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						248	0	0	217	25	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	LAA	—	181	160	24	1	0	1	14	58	3	13	2	150	232	175	407	25	223	32	8	193	6	-19	+2	+0	+2	+5	-1.1
TOT	23	A+	LAA	—	320	284	46	5	0	2	27	99	4	19	3	162	244	201	445	39	237	31	8	207	16	-30	+3	+0	+3	+9	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	LAA	30%	435	388	72	13	1	4	40	124	4	16	3	186	269	255	524	70	258	29	9	245	46	-27	+2	+0	+5	+12	-0.8
2028	25	MLB	LAA	44%	466	416	79	14	1	6	43	130	4	17	3	190	272	272	544	82	261	28	9	256	54	-24	+2	+0	+5	+13	-0.4
2029	26	MLB	LAA	51%	483	431	86	15	2	8	45	133	4	18	4	200	281	299	581	100	263	28	9	263	59	-22	+2	+0	+5	+14	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	LAA	52%	488	435	86	15	2	8	46	134	4	18	4	198	280	297	577	99	264	27	9	265	61	-22	+2	+0	+5	+14	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	LAA	53%	486	433	85	15	1	8	46	135	4	17	3	196	280	291	570	95	263	28	9	264	60	-22	+2	-1	+5	+14	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	LAA	30%	132	118	21	4	0	1	12	38	1	5	1	178	260	237	497	59	257	29	9	238	40	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	LAA	44%	206	183	36	6	1	3	19	57	2	8	2	197	279	290	569	93	260	28	9	249	49	-12	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
2029	26	MLB	LAA	51%	245	218	43	7	1	4	23	68	2	9	2	197	280	294	573	96	262	28	9	255	54	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	LAA	52%	256	228	45	8	1	4	24	71	2	9	2	197	280	294	573	96	263	28	9	257	55	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2031	28	MLB	LAA	53%	259	230	45	8	1	4	25	72	2	9	2	196	280	291	571	96	262	28	10	256	54	-13	+1	-0	+3	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1099	978	190	33	4	16	103	306	9	40	9	194	277	285	562	91	263	28	9	253	52	-60	+4	-0	+12	+31	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	112	20	2	9	61	181	5	24	5	194	276	282	558	88	263	28	9	253	52	-36	+3	-0	+7	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	3133	2787	522	94	9	36	293	906	27	140	25	187	271	266	537	79	261	29	9	247	47	-186	+18	-1	+34	+89	-4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	108	20	2	7	61	188	6	29	5	187	272	265	536	78	261	29	9	247	47	-39	+4	-0	+7	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	130	114	29	5	0	0	12	31	1	5	1	254	331	298	629	44	341	24	9	287	77	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	54	38	10	1	2	0	14	9	1	4	2	263	472	395	866	132	333	17	26	395	161	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	22	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	57	49	6	2	0	0	7	19	0	1	2	122	232	163	395	41	200	33	12	194	7	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	22	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	276	225	35	6	1	1	48	70	1	22	2	156	307	204	511	49	221	25	17	254	52	-15	+4	—	—	+8	-0.3
2025	22	ROK	ACL Angels	—	30	28	14	4	1	0	2	4	0	4	0	500	533	714	1.248	214	583	13	7	543	274	+6	+1	—	—	+1	0.8
2025	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	88	61	14	1	0	1	20	17	3	12	0	230	435	295	730	66	283	19	23	345	122	+2	+2	—	—	+2	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,100	16	40	196	276	288	+12	+6	-0.5	-0.3
	/162	664	10	24	196	276	288	+7.1	+3.6	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Mershon (OGILVIE)	23	25	25	60	60	162/244/201	39	237	2	19	31%	8%	16	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	38→44	36→40	51→50	45	179/255/247	68	273	4	15	33%	9%	37	-2.6	199/279/294	95	294	8	14	32%	10%	59	-1.1	198/284/290	92	298	8	15	33%	10%	58	-0.7
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	40→45	54→60	55	161/294/251	90	257	7	24	35%	14%	59	-1.1	189/306/294	105	299	8	20	35%	12%	73	-0.1	189/308/299	110	300	9	21	35%	12%	73	-0.1
✕Roberto Caro 2018 · AA	24	43→38	36→40	53→60	42	197/268/272	75	308	2	16	34%	8%	50	-1.8	213/282/294	81	311	4	27	30%	8%	60	-1.0	211/281/286	75	304	3	35	29%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Rubendy Jaquez 2022 · A	23	42→40	37→40	54→55	42	201/251/275	74	272	3	21	27%	6%	42	-2.3	208/249/293	85	277	5	15	26%	5%	46	-2.0	197/224/276	79	253	4	16	23%	3%	25	-1.1
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	195/254/270	74	274	4	12	29%	7%	42	-2.3	214/267/300	86	306	4	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	225/274/314	90	324	0	8	29%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	39	-2.5	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	61	-1.0	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	64	-0.4
✕B.J. Guinn 2012 · A	23	45→43	35→40	55	40	209/257/267	59	299	2	21	30%	6%	42	-2.3	209/260/283	74	297	4	13	29%	6%	47	-1.9	208/262/282	74	287	4	10	27%	6%	46	-0.8
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	42	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/250	55	290	2	14	32%	6%	35	-2.8	219/281/290	71	320	3	12	30%	7%	59	-1.1	227/294/286	60	334	2	11	30%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Raul Linares 2013 · A	22	40	36→45	59→55	42	187/248/257	70	259	2	22	27%	6%	37	-2.7	210/259/304	94	279	6	10	25%	6%	53	-1.5	217/260/323	106	275	7	7	23%	5%	55	-0.5
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	42	38→40	52→55	48	201/266/278	77	257	5	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	211/289/288	77	274	5	10	23%	9%	63	-0.9	204/298/261	57	263	3	4	21%	11%	58	-0.5
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Carlos Willoughby 2012 · A	23	45→42	36→40	57→60	48	210/280/284	74	264	2	21	20%	7%	57	-1.2	210/280/285	75	276	3	14	23%	8%	57	-1.2	206/287/267	61	274	0	13	22%	10%	53	-0.6
✕Lucius Fox 2021 · AAA	24	43→48	38→40	56→60	46	205/280/287	82	284	5	27	28%	8%	59	-1.1	203/269/300	97	292	8	24	31%	8%	57	-1.2	189/253/276	87	274	8	24	32%	7%	41	-0.9
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	44→36	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/277	74	287	3	12	28%	7%	57	-1.2	205/290/306	101	264	9	15	24%	8%	69	-0.4	199/291/294	95	251	9	15	23%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Reidy Mercado 2023 · A	22	40	35→30	54→60	38	186/241/238	52	298	2	17	36%	6%	28	-3.2	187/236/245	58	305	3	23	37%	6%	27	-3.3	164/209/207	43	271	1	36	38%	5%	3	-1.2
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	46	-2.0	217/272/277	60	282	3	17	23%	6%	51	-1.7	231/276/282	51	286	2	23	19%	5%	51	-0.6
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2022 · A	23	42	35→30	52→55	40	190/253/249	59	316	3	7	38%	8%	37	-2.7	216/273/285	69	320	4	9	31%	7%	54	-1.4	246/298/280	34	345	0	11	27%	7%	63	-0.2