David Mershon

SS Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 24 S/R 5'7" / 175 lbs A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421AA/INTL2 orgs184.257/.372/.3220985—.231/.291/.265
202522AAA/AA/ROK/INTL2 orgs451.190/.337/.25323946—.154/.250/.210
202623AA/A+LAA290.224/.324/.28622341—.197/.274/.252
2027PROJMLE24MLBLAA1.181/.263/.2330045-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBLAA71.188/.270/.2551352-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB26MLBLAA125.192/.274/.2711558-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed90
Chase%64
Whiff%63
K%61
Z-Con%56
BB%37
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
CompsJayce Easley (age 24) · Roberto Caro (age 24) · J.T. Arruda (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†45
AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .263 / .233
PA1
HR0
K%28
BB%9
BABIP257
ISO60
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -12.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +1.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.227283031
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.6M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 AARocket City Trash Pandas — 130114 29500 12311 51 254331298629 44341 249 287 57 — — — — — —
202421 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 5438 10120 1491 42 263472395866 132333 1726 395 154 — — — — — —
202522 AAASalt Lake Bees — 5749 6200 7190 12 122232163395 41200 3312 194 -10 — — — — — —
202522 AARocket City Trash Pandas — 276225 35611 48701 222 156307204511 49221 2517 254 25 — — — — — —
202522 ROKACL Angels — 3028 14410 240 40 5005337141.248 214583 137 543 135 — — — — — —
202522 INTLSalt River Rafters — 8861 14101 20173 120 230435295730 66283 1923 345 120 — — — — — —
202623 AARocket City Trash Pandas — 3629 3000 570 20 103235103339 125 1914 172 -12 — — — — — —
202623 A+Tri-City Dust Devils — 254216 52522 26565 212 241336310646 69312 2210 293 49 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 130117 27400 9391 51 231291265556 34325 307 252 57 — — — — — —
202522 AAA MLESalt Lake Bees — 5751 6200 5230 12 118196157353 39182 409 154 -10 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 276240 33611 33841 222 138245183428 46206 3012 205 25 — — — — — —
202522 ROK MLEACL Angels — 3029 11310 160 40 379400552952 172439 203 368 135 — — — — — —
202623 AA MLERocket City Trash Pandas — 3631 3000 390 20 9717697273 119 258 151 -12 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLETri-City Dust Devils — 254223 47422 19765 212 211287274561 63286 307 241 49 — — — — — —
202421 AA MLE2 teams — 184165 38600 13552 93 230294267561 36336 307 252 57 — — — — — —
202421 AA RAW2 teams — 184152 39620 26402 93 257372322695 66339 2214 318 57 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLE4 teams — 451392 601321 491414 394 153254204458 51233 3111 210 29 — — — — — —
202522 AA RAW4 teams — 451363 691322 771104 394 190337253591 63264 2417 283 29 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 290254 50422 22845 232 197274252526 55279 298 230 42 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAW2 teams — 290245 55522 31635 232 224324286610 61288 2211 278 42 — — — — — —
202421 AA MLE2 teams — 184167 38600 13552 93 228294263558 36325 307 252 57 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLE4 teams — 451395 601321 491414 394 152254203456 51221 3111 210 29 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 290261 50422 22845 232 192274245519 54265 298 230 42 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 AA MLE2 teams — 184167 38600 13552 93 228294263558 36325 307 252 57 — — — — — —
202522 AA MLE4 teams — 451395 601321 491414 394 152254203456 51221 3111 210 29 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 290261 50422 22845 232 192274245519 54265 298 230 42 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLELAA 0% 340303 55911 31963 152 182264235499 53259 289 235 45 -22 +2 +0 +4 +7 -0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXLAA 0% 11 0000 000 00 181263233496 52257 00 234 45 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLELAA 30% 234209 39612 21652 101 189270257528 68261 289 246 52 -13 +2 +0 +3 +5 -0.4
202926 MLB MLELAA 44% 283252 48813 26783 122 193275273547 79263 289 253 58 -14 +2 +0 +3 +6 -0.4
203027 MLB MLELAA 49% 301268 52814 27833 122 195276277553 82264 289 255 59 -15 +2 +0 +3 +7 -0.3
203128 MLB MLELAA 52% 312278 54914 28863 122 196276279555 83264 289 256 60 -15 +2 -1 +3 +7 -0.4
202825 MLB CTXLAA 30% 7164 12201 6201 30 188270255525 68259 288 245 52 -4 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202926 MLB CTXLAA 44% 125112 21311 11351 51 192274271545 79261 289 252 58 -6 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
203027 MLB CTXLAA 49% 148133 26412 13411 61 194275275550 81262 289 254 59 -7 +1 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
203128 MLB CTXLAA 52% 161144 28412 15441 61 195275277553 83263 279 255 60 -8 +1 -0 +2 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 505453 871336 451404 203 192271274545 82261 289 253 49 -25 +3 -0 +5 +11 -0.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650583 1131748 581805 264 194272278550 84263 289 253 49 -33 +4 -0 +7 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 22431985 37259917 20364524 12517 187271252523 64265 299 240 49 -70 +8 -1 +14 +29 -2.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 1081735 591877 365 188271254525 66265 299 240 49 -34 +4 -0 +7 +14 -1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 254 PAwOBA .289 → .241 (−47)K% 22.0% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.05%÷1.000×1.350——29.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.24%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9987.25%
HBP% /PA1.97%—×0.810—×0.9981.59%
Singles /BIP26.88%÷1.000×0.910×1.024×0.99824.98%
Doubles /BIP3.12%÷1.000×0.830×1.024×0.9982.65%
Triples /BIP1.25%÷1.000×0.820×1.024×0.9981.05%
Home runs /BIP1.25%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9981.04%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .289 → .241; ISO .069 → .057; BABIP .312 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 36 PAwOBA .179 → .151 (−28)K% 19.4% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.44%÷1.000×1.220——23.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.89%÷1.000×0.680—×1.0279.70%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.840—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP13.64%÷1.000×0.920—×1.02712.88%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0270.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .179 → .151; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .119. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 276 PAwOBA .249 → .205 (−44)K% 25.4% → 30.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.36%÷1.011×1.220——30.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.39%÷1.020×0.680—×1.04212.09%
HBP% /PA0.36%—×0.840—×1.0420.32%
Singles /BIP17.42%÷1.048×0.920×1.002×1.04215.96%
Doubles /BIP3.87%÷0.929×0.910×1.002×1.0423.96%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷1.028×0.880×1.002×1.0420.58%
Home runs /BIP0.65%÷1.028×0.800—×1.0420.52%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 110, 2B 86, 3B 106, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .249 → .205; ISO .049 → .047; BABIP .221 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASalt Lake Bees · 57 PAwOBA .190 → .154 (−36)K% 33.3% → 40.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷0.978×1.200——40.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.28%÷0.964×0.690—×1.0509.23%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP13.33%÷1.046×0.930—×1.05012.45%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷1.005×0.830—×1.0505.78%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.079×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.989×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 101, 3B 116, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .190 → .154; ISO .041 → .034; BABIP .200 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Angels · 30 PAwOBA .528 → .368 (−161)K% 13.3% → 19.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.33%÷0.969×1.440——19.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.67%÷1.082×0.620—×0.9753.73%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Singles /BIP37.50%÷1.015×0.820—×0.97529.54%
Doubles /BIP16.67%÷0.992×0.720—×0.97511.80%
Triples /BIP4.17%÷1.134×0.720—×0.9752.58%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.873×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 103, 2B 98, 3B 127, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .528 → .368; ISO .214 → .139; BABIP .583 → .439. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 130 PAwOBA .284 → .252 (−32)K% 23.8% → 29.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.85%÷0.974×1.220——29.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.23%÷0.966×0.680—×1.0506.82%
HBP% /PA0.77%—×0.840—×1.0500.68%
Singles /BIP28.92%÷1.016×0.920×1.013×1.05027.87%
Doubles /BIP6.02%÷1.072×0.910×1.013×1.0505.44%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.045×0.880×1.013×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.976×0.800—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 109, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .284 → .252; ISO .044 → .039; BABIP .341 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .