David Mershon — OGILVIE

David MershonSS Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 23 S/R 5'7" / 175 lbs A+ K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION290 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP260

ISO53

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	130	114	29	5	0	0	12	31	1	5	1	254	331	298	629	44	341	24	9	287	80	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	21	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	54	38	10	1	2	0	14	9	1	4	2	263	472	395	866	132	333	17	26	395	154	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2025	22	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	57	49	6	2	0	0	7	19	0	1	2	122	232	163	395	41	200	33	12	194	18	-6	-1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	22	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	276	225	35	6	1	1	48	70	1	22	2	156	307	204	511	49	221	25	17	254	58	-14	+4	—	—	+6	-0.4
2025	22	ROK	ACL Angels	—	30	28	14	4	1	0	2	4	0	4	0	500	533	714	1.248	214	583	13	7	543	254	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	88	61	14	1	0	1	20	17	3	12	0	230	435	295	730	66	283	19	23	345	120	+2	+2	—	—	+2	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	130	117	26	4	0	0	9	39	1	5	1	222	283	256	540	34	313	30	7	243	51	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2025	22	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	57	51	4	1	0	0	5	25	0	1	2	78	161	98	259	20	169	44	9	141	-18	-8	-1	—	—	+1	-0.8
2025	22	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	276	240	33	6	1	1	33	84	1	22	2	138	245	183	428	46	200	30	12	199	21	-26	+4	—	—	+6	-1.7
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	—	30	29	11	3	1	0	1	6	0	4	0	379	400	552	952	172	450	20	3	377	141	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	184	166	37	6	0	0	12	55	2	9	3	223	283	259	542	36	325	30	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	184	152	39	6	2	0	26	40	2	9	3	257	372	322	695	66	339	22	14	318	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	451	393	58	12	2	1	48	143	4	39	4	148	247	196	443	48	226	32	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	4 teams	—	451	363	69	13	2	2	77	110	4	39	4	190	337	253	591	63	264	24	17	283	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	184	168	37	6	0	0	12	55	2	9	3	220	283	256	539	36	313	30	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	451	396	58	12	2	1	48	143	4	39	4	146	247	194	442	48	216	32	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	184	168	37	6	0	0	12	55	2	9	3	220	283	256	539	36	313	30	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	451	396	58	12	2	1	48	143	4	39	4	146	247	194	442	48	216	32	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	LAA	—	290	256	48	4	2	2	20	87	5	23	2	188	260	242	502	55	269	30	7	217	33	-23	+4	+0	+3	+6	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	LAA	—	254	216	52	5	2	2	26	56	5	21	2	241	336	310	646	69	312	22	10	293	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	LAA	—	36	29	3	0	0	0	5	7	0	2	0	103	235	103	339		125	19	14	172	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	LAA	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	111	200	111	311		260	30	10	231	42	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	LAA	—	300	265	49	4	2	2	21	90	5	24	2	185	258	238	495	53	266	30	7	218	34	-24	+4	+0	+3	+6	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	LAA	30%	435	392	74	11	2	4	36	122	4	20	3	189	264	258	522	69	264	28	8	247	53	-24	+3	+0	+5	+9	-0.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAA	44%	466	420	84	13	2	7	39	128	4	22	3	200	274	290	565	90	267	27	8	258	61	-22	+3	+0	+5	+10	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAA	51%	483	434	87	13	2	8	41	132	5	22	3	200	277	295	572	94	268	27	8	264	65	-20	+3	+0	+5	+10	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAA	52%	488	438	89	14	2	8	42	133	5	23	3	203	280	299	579	96	269	27	9	266	66	-20	+3	+0	+5	+11	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	486	435	88	14	2	8	43	133	5	21	3	202	282	299	580	97	268	27	9	265	65	-20	+3	-1	+5	+11	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAA	57%	478	428	86	13	2	8	42	132	5	20	3	201	280	297	577	96	268	28	9	263	64	-20	+3	-1	+5	+10	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAA	60%	469	421	84	13	2	7	41	130	4	17	2	200	277	290	567	90	267	28	9	261	63	-21	+3	-2	+5	+10	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	LAA	30%	132	119	22	3	1	1	11	37	1	6	1	185	260	252	512	67	264	28	8	240	53	-7	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAA	44%	206	185	37	6	1	3	17	57	2	10	1	200	275	292	566	92	266	28	8	251	61	-10	+2	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAA	51%	245	220	44	7	1	4	21	67	2	11	1	200	276	295	571	95	268	27	9	257	65	-10	+2	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAA	52%	256	230	46	7	1	4	22	70	2	12	2	200	276	291	567	91	268	27	9	259	66	-10	+2	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	259	232	46	7	1	4	23	71	2	11	1	198	276	289	565	91	268	27	9	258	65	-11	+2	-0	+3	+6	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAA	57%	272	243	48	7	1	4	24	75	3	11	1	198	278	284	562	86	267	28	9	256	64	-12	+2	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAA	60%	279	249	49	7	1	4	25	78	3	10	1	197	278	281	559	84	266	28	9	254	63	-12	+2	-1	+3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1649	1478	292	44	7	24	143	455	15	71	8	198	275	286	561	88	266	28	9	255	58	-72	+11	-2	+18	+36	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	115	17	3	9	56	179	6	28	3	197	274	283	557	86	266	28	9	255	58	-29	+4	-1	+7	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3950	3536	688	109	16	51	345	1111	38	194	27	195	273	278	551	83	266	28	9	253	58	-148	+21	-4	+36	+72	-2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	113	18	3	8	57	183	6	32	4	194	273	277	550	82	266	28	9	253	58	-29	+4	-1	+7	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.5	1,651	25	72	201	276	294	+18	+9	0.2	0.3
/162	664	10	29	+7.1	+3.6	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Mershon (OGILVIE)	23	25	25	60	60	180/256/232	52	260	1	19	29%	8%	42	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2021 · AA	23	38→45	36→40	51→50	45	181/256/249	69	269	4	15	32%	9%	45	-2.7	201/280/295	94	290	8	14	30%	10%	65	-1.2	199/285/288	89	292	7	15	31%	10%	63	-0.8
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	41→40	54→60	55	164/295/260	96	258	8	24	35%	14%	66	-1.1	190/306/293	103	293	8	20	33%	12%	76	-0.4	190/308/293	103	292	8	21	33%	12%	74	-0.3
✕Rubendy Jaquez 2022 · A	23	42→40	37→40	54→55	42	202/254/277	74	276	4	21	27%	6%	50	-2.3	210/253/295	85	277	6	15	25%	5%	53	-2.1	203/231/280	77	257	5	16	23%	3%	37	-1.1
✕Roberto Caro 2018 · AA	24	43→41	36→40	53→60	42	199/269/273	74	308	2	16	34%	8%	55	-1.9	218/287/298	80	314	3	27	29%	8%	68	-1.0	220/291/294	75	311	3	35	28%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Raul Linares 2013 · A	22	40	36→45	59→55	42	187/248/257	70	259	2	22	27%	6%	44	-2.8	210/259/304	94	279	6	10	25%	6%	58	-1.7	217/260/323	106	275	7	7	23%	5%	60	-0.5
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	185/273/254	70	286	2	24	33%	10%	54	-2.0	204/289/287	83	310	5	17	32%	9%	68	-1.0	191/292/252	60	291	4	23	31%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Lucius Fox 2021 · AAA	24	44→49	38→40	57→60	46	207/280/288	81	282	4	27	27%	8%	63	-1.3	203/268/295	92	292	8	24	31%	8%	60	-1.6	189/252/269	80	275	7	24	32%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Terry Serrano 2009 · A	22	41	36→30	51→55	45	194/254/257	63	262	3	15	26%	7%	46	-2.6	209/290/282	73	320	3	15	32%	10%	65	-1.2	204/311/268	64	327	2	21	33%	13%	68	-0.5
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	41	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/249	55	288	2	14	32%	6%	42	-2.9	220/280/292	72	318	3	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	229/294/291	62	333	2	11	29%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	196/256/272	76	277	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	214/268/301	87	306	3	10	29%	7%	61	-1.5	225/275/316	91	323	0	8	28%	6%	64	-0.7
✕B.J. Guinn 2012 · A	23	46→44	35→40	55	40	212/261/271	59	305	2	21	30%	6%	51	-2.3	209/259/283	74	298	4	13	29%	6%	53	-2.1	205/257/281	76	285	4	10	28%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Gabriel Maciel 2022 · A	23	44→52	37→30	54→55	45	208/267/278	70	274	4	19	25%	7%	55	-1.9	220/279/301	81	282	5	13	22%	7%	65	-1.2	232/292/307	76	288	2	11	19%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Cole Tucker 2019 · AA	23	47	39→45	56→55	45	222/280/311	89	289	5	26	24%	7%	68	-1.0	217/277/324	107	284	8	15	25%	7%	70	-0.9	209/274/322	113	274	9	12	26%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	37→34	39→40	63→60	52	176/280/265	89	267	6	32	33%	12%	60	-1.6	181/266/271	90	273	8	28	33%	10%	55	-2.0	178/257/269	91	255	10	28	32%	9%	48	-1.6
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	44	185/253/266	81	273	5	13	32%	8%	48	-2.5	202/277/292	90	295	6	20	31%	9%	63	-1.3	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	52	-2.2	223/279/284	61	291	3	17	23%	6%	61	-1.5	242/289/295	53	301	2	23	19%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Carlos Willoughby 2012 · A	23	46→44	36→40	57→60	48	213/282/285	72	270	2	21	21%	7%	63	-1.4	209/277/282	73	278	3	14	24%	8%	61	-1.5	199/276/253	54	270	0	13	24%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→40	55→60	42	185/255/269	84	272	7	25	33%	8%	50	-2.3	206/277/304	98	273	9	30	26%	8%	65	-1.2	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40→41	38→45	58→60	36	191/246/266	75	303	5	24	37%	6%	45	-2.7	199/258/305	106	305	10	29	36%	7%	59	-1.7	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Oliver Dominguez 2012 · A	23	40	40	52→45	49	197/272/290	93	263	7	15	27%	9%	61	-1.5	198/260/296	98	289	8	8	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/242/277	95	271	7	3	34%	7%	44	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps