Hunter Hines

1B Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 24 L/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	A+/AWSH	373	.251/.330/.492	19	1	63	—	.190/.249/.366
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBWSH	380	.199/.256/.353	12	6	69	-0.5
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBWSH	67	.202/.260/.356	2	1	72	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO51

Whiff%19

Speed16

K%12

Z-Con%11

wRC+10

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsRixon Wingrove (age 24) · Agustin Ruiz (age 24) · Chris Epps (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 193 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .254 / .350

PA193

HR6

K%33

BB%6

ISO153

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT29

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	128	118	22	6	0	4	8	42	1	0	1	186	244	339	583	153	247	33	6	259	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	245	213	61	13	2	15	28	49	2	1	1	286	374	577	952	291	305	20	11	409	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	128	121	16	4	0	3	5	55	1	0	1	132	173	240	413	107	197	43	4	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	245	222	49	10	2	11	19	67	2	1	1	221	288	432	720	212	248	27	8	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	373	343	64	14	2	14	24	122	3	1	2	187	246	362	607	175	238	33	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	373	331	83	19	2	19	36	91	3	1	2	251	330	492	822	242	286	24	10	358	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	373	343	64	14	2	14	24	122	3	1	2	187	246	362	607	175	230	33	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	373	343	64	14	2	14	24	122	3	1	2	187	246	362	607	175	230	33	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	380	350	70	13	2	12	24	127	3	6	2	199	256	353	609	153	268	33	6	270	69	-14	+0	+0	-7	+8	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	30%	223	205	40	7	1	7	14	73	2	3	1	202	260	357	617	155	270	33	6	274	72	-8	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	30%	67	62	12	2	0	2	4	22	1	1	0	202	260	356	616	154	269	33	6	273	72	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	67	62	12	2	0	2	4	22	1	1	0	194	254	323	576	129	263	33	6	273	67	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	116	19	0	19	39	213	10	10	0	193	254	319	573	126	263	33	6	273	67	-22	+2	+0	-12	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	789	725	139	27	4	27	50	260	7	7	4	192	251	352	602	160	253	33	6	267	67	-15	+0	+0	-7	+9	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	114	22	3	22	41	214	6	6	3	191	250	348	598	157	252	33	6	267	67	-23	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFredericksburg Nationals · 245 PAwOBA .401 → .304 (−97)K% 20.0% → 27.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	27.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.43%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.980	7.73%
HBP% /PA	0.82%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	0.62%
Singles /BIP	18.90%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	×0.980	16.19%
Doubles /BIP	7.93%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.950	×0.980	6.13%
Triples /BIP	1.22%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.950	×0.980	1.03%
Home runs /BIP	9.15%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.980	7.17%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .401 → .304; ISO .291 → .220; BABIP .305 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 128 PAwOBA .254 → .179 (−75)K% 32.8% → 43.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.81%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	42.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.25%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.988	3.71%
HBP% /PA	0.78%	—	×0.770	—	×0.988	0.59%
Singles /BIP	15.79%	÷1.000	×0.870	×0.971	×0.988	13.17%
Doubles /BIP	7.89%	÷1.000	×0.780	×0.971	×0.988	5.91%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.971	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.26%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.988	4.58%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .254 → .179; ISO .153 → .112; BABIP .247 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#2Brian Hunter'91-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,742 PA	2.6	1,742	67	4	226*	288*	432*	-29	+4	0.1	0.8
/162	664	26	2	-11.1	+1.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#3Eric Anthony'89-'97 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,243 PA	3.4	2,243	78	24	225*	300*	410*	-22	-22	0.1	0.6
/162	664	23	7	-6.7	-6.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#5Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	260	9	4	201	255	355	-5	-2	-0.7	-0.3
/162	664	22	10	-11.9	-3.8	-1.7	pk7: 0
#6Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hunter Hines (OGILVIE)	24	29	54	43	44	197/254/350	152	268	6	3	33%	6%	69	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rixon Wingrove 2024 · AA	24	36→34	49→50	45→40	36	190/253/332	143	295	18	5	41%	6%	64	-1.3	206/272/352	146	285	17	5	32%	7%	76	-0.4	185/259/346	161	227	21	0	28%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Agustin Ruiz 2024 · AA	24	34→37	50	42→40	39	187/258/333	146	262	19	3	35%	7%	67	-1.1	192/262/309	117	267	12	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	159/235/250	91	217	8	3	29%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→36	48→50	48→45	42	208/271/349	142	295	16	9	34%	8%	74	-0.5	198/271/337	139	291	14	9	35%	9%	72	-0.7	187/267/334	148	273	15	7	35%	9%	69	-0.7
✕David Washington 2015 · A	24	39→38	52→55	44→45	38	201/263/365	164	310	20	5	40%	7%	76	-0.4	202/262/357	155	328	19	6	42%	7%	73	-0.6	198/259/360	162	317	21	5	42%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Mason Martin 2023 · AAA	24	36	50→55	48→45	34	187/243/346	159	302	17	8	43%	6%	63	-1.3	185/264/333	148	320	17	9	44%	8%	69	-0.9	152/253/292	140	261	19	8	46%	10%	54	-0.9
✕Nick Yarnall 2019 · A	24	38	47→50	46→45	41	198/261/329	132	288	16	6	36%	8%	66	-1.1	200/272/336	136	318	15	7	39%	9%	72	-0.7	156/251/306	150	251	16	4	42%	11%	56	-0.7
✕Tyler Horan 2016 · A	25	38→42	51→55	44→45	41	203/261/360	157	268	19	8	32%	7%	74	-0.6	215/267/348	133	298	14	7	31%	6%	72	-0.7	232/279/381	149	313	17	6	31%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Ruben Ibarra 2023 · A	24	40→36	47→50	47→30	41	206/278/335	129	284	16	6	32%	7%	74	-0.5	201/273/342	141	270	18	3	31%	7%	74	-0.5	190/263/343	153	244	21	1	31%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Drew Lugbauer 2022 · AA	25	35→34	52→60	42→30	34	183/245/343	160	303	21	3	45%	7%	64	-1.3	192/262/376	184	322	25	3	45%	8%	78	-0.3	177/249/361	184	289	26	1	46%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	40→36	47→50	48→30	48	201/284/341	140	287	14	4	33%	10%	78	-0.3	221/287/339	118	294	12	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	211/273/307	96	276	7	0	25%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Collin Ferguson 2017 · A	24	37→27	48→55	47→45	41	193/261/329	136	270	16	8	34%	7%	66	-1.1	216/276/340	124	307	12	9	32%	7%	74	-0.6	247/299/382	135	336	12	9	28%	6%	91	+0.2
✕Connor Panas 2017 · A	24	37→42	49→45	44→40	41	194/271/334	140	278	17	5	35%	8%	72	-0.7	207/271/333	126	276	14	5	29%	6%	71	-0.8	203/266/325	122	263	13	4	27%	5%	64	-0.7
✕Yazy Arbelo 2012 · A	24	36→31	56→60	47→30	40	196/273/382	185	293	25	3	40%	8%	84	+0.1	201/265/372	171	284	23	3	36%	7%	78	-0.3	183/246/356	173	240	26	0	35%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Tyler Dearden 2022 · A	24	38→33	54→50	47→30	41	204/278/379	175	295	24	3	38%	8%	84	+0.2	226/295/346	120	330	13	3	33%	8%	82	+0.0	229/296/323	95	336	8	0	32%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Nick Akins 2012 · A	24	37	51→55	42→45	40	198/262/357	158	268	19	3	33%	7%	73	-0.6	201/260/324	123	269	14	8	30%	6%	64	-1.3	182/240/292	111	233	13	11	28%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Chad Spanberger 2021 · AA	25	41→42	48→55	47→45	40	214/264/356	143	277	17	8	29%	6%	74	-0.6	196/253/328	132	305	15	7	39%	6%	63	-1.4	157/217/287	130	243	17	3	42%	6%	38	-1.7
✕Allan Cerda 2024 · AA	24	33→25	51→55	41→45	45	174/279/330	156	276	19	7	41%	11%	75	-0.5	187/266/327	140	306	16	8	41%	9%	68	-1.0	141/217/302	161	189	23	4	40%	8%	41	-0.6
✕Kyle Martin 2017 · A	24	41→37	48→50	44→40	39	209/261/350	140	284	15	5	32%	6%	71	-0.8	177/238/298	121	244	14	4	32%	6%	51	-2.3	154/220/276	123	207	15	1	33%	7%	39	-2.1
✕Justin Nelson 2007 · A	24	39→41	51→55	44→45	42	205/272/373	168	283	18	7	34%	8%	80	-0.1	218/290/393	175	310	21	5	34%	8%	92	+0.7	218/296/407	189	304	24	2	34%	9%	96	+0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2019 · AA	24	33	51→55	44→50	34	185/232/337	151	252	20	3	35%	5%	57	-1.8	199/259/350	151	252	20	6	30%	6%	71	-0.8	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4

Hunter Hines

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps