Hunter Hines — OGILVIE

Hunter Hines1B Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 23 L/R 6'3" / 210 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION373 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%38

BB%12

BABIP261

ISO164

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 61

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER61

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	23	A MLE	WSH	—	373	344	67	14	1	16	23	126	3	1	2	195	251	381	632	186	249	34	6	270	69	-14	-1	+0	-7	+8	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	WSH	—	245	213	61	13	2	15	28	49	2	1	1	286	374	577	952	291	305	20	11	409	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ RAW	WSH	—	128	118	22	6	0	4	8	42	1	0	1	186	244	339	583	153	247	33	6	259	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A MLE	WSH	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		263	38	12	281	77	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A MLE	WSH	—	381	351	68	14	1	16	24	129	3	1	2	194	251	376	627	182	249	34	6	270	69	-14	-1	+0	-7	+8	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	30%	454	417	86	16	2	18	30	143	4	6	2	206	266	384	650	177	266	31	7	288	81	-10	+0	+0	-8	+10	-0.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	44%	490	449	95	18	2	19	34	150	4	7	3	212	273	388	661	176	268	31	7	294	85	-9	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	WSH	51%	529	482	103	19	2	21	37	160	5	9	4	214	277	392	669	178	270	30	7	297	87	-8	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.6
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	30%	137	126	26	5	1	5	9	43	1	2	1	206	265	381	646	175	265	31	7	281	81	-3	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	44%	216	197	42	8	1	9	15	66	2	3	1	213	276	401	677	188	267	31	7	286	85	-4	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	WSH	51%	268	245	53	10	1	11	19	81	2	4	2	216	278	400	678	184	268	30	7	289	87	-4	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	621	568	121	23	3	25	43	190	5	9	4	213	274	396	670	183	270	31	7	286	84	-11	+0	+0	-11	+13	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	126	24	3	26	45	199	5	9	4	212	273	393	666	182	268	31	7	286	84	-12	+0	+0	-12	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1481	1355	285	53	6	58	102	456	13	22	9	210	272	387	659	176	268	31	7	293	84	-27	+1	+0	-26	+32	-2.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	125	23	3	25	45	200	6	10	4	210	273	385	658	175	268	31	7	293	84	-12	+0	+0	-12	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#2Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#4Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	2.7	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
/162	664	24	1	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.4	941	36	15	213	271	388	-17	-3	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	25	10	-11.9	-2.1	-0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hunter Hines (OGILVIE)	23	27→32	56→61	43→48	48	201/259/372	172	263	12	3	33%	6%	77	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Binelas 2023 · AA	23	35→43	53→50	51→50	42	193/260/363	170	265	22	7	36%	8%	74	-0.5	201/266/345	144	297	17	12	36%	8%	72	-0.7	219/299/362	143	313	18	8	34%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Daniel Palka 2015 · A	23	40→43	49→55	47→50	42	207/267/358	151	280	17	6	32%	7%	75	-0.5	210/262/376	166	301	21	10	36%	6%	77	-0.3	207/276/382	174	264	24	4	31%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Chad Spanberger 2019 · A	23	41→42	54→55	50→45	37	222/267/394	172	285	23	9	31%	5%	83	+0.1	203/254/343	140	278	16	6	32%	6%	67	-1.1	176/233/307	131	247	15	3	34%	6%	49	-1.6
✕Tyler Dearden 2022 · A	24	38→34	54→50	47→30	41	204/278/379	175	295	24	3	38%	8%	84	+0.2	224/292/344	120	327	13	3	33%	8%	81	-0.1	230/287/319	89	322	7	2	29%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Jesse Franklin V 2022 · A	23	36→28	57→60	52→55	35	201/259/399	198	288	26	16	39%	6%	82	+0.0	210/273/378	168	300	21	18	36%	6%	82	+0.0	199/267/366	167	276	22	24	35%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Justin Nelson 2006 · A	23	43→41	52→55	47→45	45	225/290/398	173	287	19	10	28%	8%	93	+0.8	214/284/388	174	304	20	6	34%	8%	88	+0.5	204/279/384	180	291	21	3	36%	8%	84	+0.1
✕J.J. Matijevic 2019 · A	23	43→41	54→55	43→50	37	219/270/402	182	318	22	11	38%	6%	86	+0.3	210/265/369	159	316	18	10	37%	7%	76	-0.4	209/274/386	177	285	21	10	33%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2022 · AA	23	36→46	52→55	45	41	201/254/364	163	248	21	7	29%	6%	72	-0.7	224/286/392	168	277	21	8	26%	8%	90	+0.6	220/286/384	164	268	21	8	26%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Brian Pellegrini 2009 · A	24	36→34	55→60	56→45	39	198/270/387	189	267	24	11	35%	6%	84	+0.1	214/285/415	201	277	28	7	33%	8%	96	+1.0	206/281/415	209	254	32	5	33%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	36→34	50→60	50	36	193/240/341	148	278	18	14	37%	6%	61	-1.5	207/269/387	180	291	23	14	36%	7%	83	+0.1	201/270/393	193	274	26	13	36%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Bobby Bradley 2019 · AAA	23	37→40	55→60	46→40	40	204/263/386	181	268	23	3	33%	7%	80	-0.1	208/268/403	195	290	26	3	37%	7%	86	+0.3	181/250/370	189	256	27	0	40%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Collin Ferguson 2017 · A	24	37→27	48→55	47→45	41	194/262/331	137	272	16	8	34%	7%	68	-1.0	216/275/339	123	307	12	9	32%	7%	73	-0.6	244/295/377	134	331	12	9	28%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Keegan McGovern 2019 · A	23	44	53→60	47→30	40	227/282/399	172	310	21	5	33%	6%	91	+0.6	199/274/353	154	316	19	5	41%	7%	78	-0.3	160/251/301	141	268	19	5	44%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Matt Clark 2010 · A	23	43→45	51→55	49→30	43	222/283/385	163	297	19	3	32%	7%	87	+0.4	229/285/392	163	305	21	2	31%	7%	90	+0.6	222/280/391	169	270	22	0	26%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Jared Walker 2019 · A	23	36→32	53→55	51→45	37	193/266/371	179	292	21	5	40%	7%	78	-0.3	183/267/318	135	320	16	7	44%	8%	67	-1.1	142/239/247	105	272	15	7	49%	8%	39	-1.4
✕Yazy Arbelo 2012 · A	24	37→31	56→60	47→30	40	198/276/385	187	296	25	3	40%	8%	86	+0.3	202/266/373	171	286	23	3	36%	7%	79	-0.2	184/247/357	173	242	26	0	35%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA	23	38→39	48→55	49→45	42	193/265/335	142	287	16	9	37%	8%	70	-0.9	197/270/360	163	275	21	7	35%	9%	77	-0.3	202/279/386	184	273	24	7	34%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Darick Hall 2019 · AA	24	40→38	54→55	48→40	37	216/273/390	174	271	23	3	30%	4%	85	+0.2	202/273/349	147	265	16	4	29%	6%	76	-0.4	212/274/375	163	259	21	2	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2023 · A	21	36→40	50→55	43→40	40	192/263/338	146	272	19	7	36%	7%	70	-0.9	212/273/389	177	283	23	4	33%	7%	85	+0.2	209/275/391	181	265	24	2	30%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→42	48→55	55→50	42	209/276/353	144	286	15	11	31%	7%	77	-0.3	217/263/366	149	281	15	11	28%	5%	75	-0.5	215/257/366	151	272	15	10	27%	5%	69	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps