Nate Dohm

P Peoria Chiefs

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 210 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #848

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2026MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	MIX2 levels	23	22	75	3.24	3.19	27.9%	9.9%	—	K 21.1% · BB 11.5% · FIP 4.51
2026	23	MIX2 levels	25	13	61	7.19	4.83	23.2%	14.2%	—	K 17.5% · BB 16.3% · FIP 5.88
2027PROJ	24	MLBSTL	12	12	67	5.44	5.44	19.2%	14.4%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSTL	5	5	29	5.22	5.15	20.0%	12.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBSTL	8	8	45	5.10	5.07	20.5%	12.4%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff47Control45Command50FB velo57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsZach Linginfelter (age 24) · Ray Gaither (age 24) · Tanner Hall (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136128vR 120

ERA5.44

FIP5.44

K%19.2%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%4.8%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4545

CTRL—45

CMD3050

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	75	323	90	32	7	96%	3.3	21.1%	11.5%	9.7%	3.2%	3.24	4.51	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	75	323	90	32	7	96%	3.3	21.1%	11.5%	9.7%	3.2%	3.24	4.51	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	75	323	90	32	7	96%	3.3	27.9%	9.9%	18.0%	2.2%	3.24	3.19	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	13	61	289	67	41	9	52%	2.5	17.5%	16.3%	1.2%	4.0%	7.19	5.88	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	13	61	289	67	41	9	52%	2.5	17.5%	16.3%	1.2%	4.0%	7.19	5.88	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	13	61	289	67	41	9	52%	2.5	23.2%	14.2%	9.0%	3.1%	7.19	4.83	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	STL	12	12	67	283	54	41	9	100%	5.6	19.2%	14.4%	4.8%	3.2%	5.44	5.44	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	12	12	68	288	58	37	9	100%	5.7	20.0%	12.8%	7.3%	3.2%	5.22	5.15	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	STL	11	11	68	288	59	36	9	100%	6.2	20.5%	12.4%	8.0%	3.2%	5.10	5.07	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	STL	11	11	67	284	59	35	9	100%	6.1	20.6%	12.3%	8.2%	3.2%	5.06	5.07	-0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	STL	11	11	65	276	57	34	9	100%	5.9	20.5%	12.4%	8.1%	3.3%	5.09	5.13	-0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	STL	10	10	62	263	53	33	9	100%	6.2	20.3%	12.7%	7.7%	3.5%	5.19	5.26	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	5	5	29	122	24	16	4	100%	5.8	20.0%	12.8%	7.3%	3.2%	5.22	5.15	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	STL	8	8	45	190	39	24	6	100%	5.6	20.5%	12.4%	8.0%	3.2%	5.10	5.07	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	STL	9	9	52	220	45	27	7	100%	5.8	20.6%	12.3%	8.2%	3.2%	5.06	5.07	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	STL	9	9	55	232	48	29	8	100%	6.1	20.5%	12.4%	8.1%	3.3%	5.09	5.13	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	STL	9	9	55	232	47	29	8	100%	6.1	20.3%	12.7%	7.7%	3.5%	5.19	5.26	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		40	40	236	998	204	125	33	100%	5.9	20.4%	12.5%	7.9%	3.3%	5.12	4.76	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	173	106	28	100%	6.0	20.4%	12.5%	7.9%	3.3%	5.12	4.76	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		48	35	136	612	119	84	22	73%	2.8	19.4%	13.8%	5.6%	3.6%	5.02	5.16	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	51	200	898	174	124	32	73%	2.8	19.4%	13.8%	5.6%	3.6%	5.02	5.16	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nate Dohm (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.44	19.2%	14.4%	3.2%	—	5.10	20.3%	7.8%	204	-0.34	—	—	—
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	91
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	85
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	82
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	80
Carson Rudd R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	21.0%	13.0%	4.7%	.274	4.61	17.5%	-0.1%	110	-0.92	3.39	242	80
J.P. Massey R 2024 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP	4.72	16.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.283	5.71	15.5%	-1.3%	46	+0.99	4.72	195	78
Angel Guzman R 2006 · 4.73 FIP	24	SP-	4.73	22.1%	13.2%	3.3%	.353	3.88	19.6%	12.0%	91	-0.85	3.13	147	78
Cole Percival R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.0%	14.3%	1.6%	.335	4.23	18.6%	8.6%	99	-0.10	3.58	327	77
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	76
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	76
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	76
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	76
R.J. Freure R 2021 · 6.10 FIP	24	SP-	6.10	21.7%	16.2%	5.1%	.298	5.89	20.3%	0.1%	26	-0.21	5.13	196	76
Matt Ball R 2019 · 4.72 FIP	24	SP-	4.72	21.3%	12.6%	3.3%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	312	76
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	76
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	76
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	76
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	75
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	75
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	66	20.2%	12.8%	1.26	5.18
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*