Cole Gabrielson
OF Somerset Patriots| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AA/A+NYY | 285 | .214/.352/.291 | 0 | 15 | 32 | — | .157/.261/.213 |
| 2025 | 25 | AANYY | 272 | .188/.307/.314 | 6 | 14 | 38 | — | .149/.241/.237 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA/AA/A+2 orgs | 272 | .275/.387/.419 | 7 | 21 | 78 | — | .226/.310/.342 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBNYY | 3 | .195/.280/.298 | 0 | 0 | 64 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBNYY | 52 | .196/.280/.299 | 1 | 2 | 65 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 39 | 34 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 265 | 359 | 412 | 771 | 147 | 381 | 31 | 5 | 351 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 56 | 51 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 176 | 250 | 275 | 525 | 98 | 273 | 32 | 7 | 241 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 500 | 867 | 1.367 | 533 | 375 | 25 | 5 | 561 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 52 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 256 | 385 | 349 | 733 | 93 | 393 | 29 | 15 | 341 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 233 | 191 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 56 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 204 | 345 | 277 | 622 | 73 | 287 | 24 | 12 | 299 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 272 | 229 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 96 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 188 | 307 | 314 | 622 | 127 | 287 | 35 | 14 | 287 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 39 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 306 | 359 | 333 | 692 | 28 | 367 | 15 | 8 | 319 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 133 | 115 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 278 | 371 | 496 | 867 | 217 | 321 | 22 | 10 | 381 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 100 | 78 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 256 | 420 | 346 | 766 | 90 | 306 | 15 | 19 | 363 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 39 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 200 | 282 | 314 | 596 | 114 | 315 | 41 | 3 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 56 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 135 | 196 | 212 | 408 | 77 | 247 | 45 | 5 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 400 | 533 | 933 | 333 | 265 | 40 | 5 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 52 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 327 | 311 | 638 | 89 | 373 | 35 | 12 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 233 | 204 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 78 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 142 | 246 | 191 | 437 | 49 | 219 | 33 | 7 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 272 | 241 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 121 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 149 | 241 | 237 | 477 | 87 | 272 | 44 | 10 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 39 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 308 | 297 | 605 | 27 | 344 | 18 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 133 | 119 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 235 | 311 | 412 | 722 | 176 | 279 | 26 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | A+ MLE | Hudson Valley Renegades | — | 100 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 198 | 310 | 267 | 577 | 70 | 240 | 20 | 11 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 115 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 165 | 252 | 291 | 543 | 126 | 283 | 42 | 3 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 115 | 100 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 230 | 330 | 410 | 740 | 180 | 323 | 30 | 6 | 334 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 250 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 96 | 13 | 15 | 4 | 156 | 257 | 212 | 469 | 56 | 252 | 34 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 285 | 234 | 50 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 37 | 71 | 13 | 15 | 4 | 214 | 352 | 291 | 643 | 77 | 305 | 25 | 13 | 306 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 272 | 241 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 121 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 149 | 241 | 237 | 477 | 87 | 271 | 44 | 10 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | Somerset Patriots | — | 272 | 229 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 96 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 188 | 307 | 314 | 622 | 127 | 287 | 35 | 14 | 287 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 272 | 242 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 62 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 223 | 306 | 326 | 633 | 103 | 278 | 23 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 272 | 229 | 63 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 50 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 275 | 387 | 419 | 807 | 144 | 324 | 18 | 13 | 365 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 115 | 102 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 48 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 167 | 252 | 294 | 546 | 127 | 273 | 42 | 3 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 249 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 96 | 13 | 15 | 4 | 157 | 257 | 213 | 470 | 56 | 247 | 34 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 272 | 241 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 121 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 149 | 241 | 237 | 477 | 87 | 272 | 44 | 10 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 272 | 241 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 62 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 224 | 306 | 328 | 634 | 104 | 274 | 23 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 285 | 249 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 96 | 13 | 15 | 4 | 157 | 257 | 213 | 470 | 56 | 247 | 34 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 272 | 241 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 121 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 149 | 241 | 237 | 477 | 87 | 272 | 44 | 10 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 272 | 241 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 62 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 224 | 306 | 328 | 634 | 104 | 274 | 23 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYY | 2% | 322 | 286 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 96 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 195 | 279 | 294 | 573 | 99 | 269 | 30 | 9 | 263 | 64 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYY | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 280 | 298 | 577 | 103 | 269 | 33 | 0 | 265 | 64 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYY | 27% | 194 | 172 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 57 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 195 | 279 | 295 | 574 | 100 | 269 | 29 | 9 | 264 | 65 | -8 | +1 | -1 | -1 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYY | 27% | 52 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 196 | 280 | 299 | 579 | 103 | 269 | 29 | 10 | 265 | 65 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 52 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 196 | 288 | 304 | 593 | 109 | 267 | 29 | 10 | 265 | 52 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 112 | 25 | 0 | 12 | 62 | 188 | 12 | 25 | 0 | 195 | 286 | 301 | 587 | 106 | 267 | 29 | 10 | 265 | 52 | -27 | +5 | -2 | -4 | +14 | -1.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1293 | 1145 | 206 | 41 | 6 | 17 | 104 | 430 | 37 | 66 | 19 | 180 | 270 | 271 | 541 | 91 | 268 | 33 | 8 | 246 | 52 | -15 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +8 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 104 | 21 | 3 | 9 | 52 | 216 | 19 | 33 | 10 | 181 | 271 | 274 | 545 | 94 | 268 | 33 | 8 | 246 | 52 | -27 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AASomerset Patriots · 133 PAwOBA .374 → .302 (−71)K% 21.8% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.80% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.01% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 6.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 5.38% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .374 → .302; ISO .217 → .168; BABIP .321 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 100 PAwOBA .355 → .261 (−93)K% 15.0% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 19.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.968 | 11.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.968 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.953 | ×0.968 | 19.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.953 | ×0.968 | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.953 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 1.35% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .355 → .261; ISO .090 → .074; BABIP .306 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 39 PAwOBA .311 → .275 (−35)K% 15.4% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 31.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 2.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .311 → .275; ISO .028 → .023; BABIP .367 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AASomerset Patriots · 272 PAwOBA .282 → .224 (−59)K% 35.3% → 44.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.29% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 44.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.60% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 9.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.30% | ÷0.969 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.77% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷1.056 | ×0.950 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.51% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.41% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 111, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .282 → .224; ISO .127 → .094; BABIP .287 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 233 PAwOBA .293 → .199 (−94)K% 24.0% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.03% | ÷0.946 | ×1.310 | — | — | 33.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.45% | ÷1.099 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.15% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 3.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.26% | ÷1.025 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 15.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.89% | ÷1.070 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 6.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 105, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 89, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .293 → .199; ISO .073 → .051; BABIP .287 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AASomerset Patriots · 52 PAwOBA .333 → .288 (−45)K% 28.8% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.85% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.972 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 11.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.050 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 26.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.902 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 6.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.934 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 3.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 80, 3B 87, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .333 → .288; ISO .093 → .091; BABIP .393 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ATampa Tarpons · 56 PAwOBA .235 → .172 (−63)K% 32.1% → 44.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.14% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 44.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.079 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 4.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.15% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 13.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 7.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 3.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.086 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .235 → .172; ISO .098 → .074; BABIP .273 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hudson Valley Renegades · 39 PAwOBA .342 → .252 (−90)K% 30.8% → 40.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.77% | ÷1.005 | ×1.310 | — | — | 40.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷1.092 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 2.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.69% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 5.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.004 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 23.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.060 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 6.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.006 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.97% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 101, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 101, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .342 → .252; ISO .147 → .109; BABIP .381 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).