Sam Stuhr — OGILVIE

Sam Stuhr P Stockton Ports

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A peak 0.8 · 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.69

FIP5.69

K%14.4%

BB%14.4%

K-BB%0.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL3535

CMD3535

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	25	16	96	440	92	47	10	64%	3.8	15.5%	12.6%	2.9%	2.7%	6.59	4.85	—
2025	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	25	16	96	440	92	47	10	64%	3.8	15.5%	12.6%	2.9%	2.7%	6.59	4.85	—
2025	22	A RAW	Stockton Ports	25	16	96	440	92	47	10	64%	3.8	20.9%	10.7%	10.2%	2.3%	6.59	4.01	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	9	3	39	161	40	7	8	33%	4.3	18.4%	5.1%	13.3%	6.5%	4.38	5.74	—
YTD	23	A MLE	Stockton Ports	9	3	39	161	40	7	8	33%	4.3	18.4%	5.1%	13.3%	6.5%	4.38	5.74	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	OAK	9	3	39	161	40	7	8	33%	4.3	24.8%	4.3%	20.5%	5.0%	4.38	4.28	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	OAK	5	0	6	24	3	3	1	0%	1.1	14.4%	14.4%	0.0%	2.9%	5.69	5.69	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	45	185	43	10	9	—	—	23.5%	5.6%	17.9%	4.7%	4.55	5.74	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	OAK	12	12	88	373	60	48	11	100%	7.4	16.2%	13.0%	3.3%	2.9%	5.43	5.35	-0.4
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	12	12	89	377	65	46	11	100%	7.5	17.3%	12.1%	5.2%	2.9%	5.23	5.15	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	OAK	12	12	89	377	67	45	11	100%	7.5	17.8%	11.8%	5.9%	2.9%	5.12	5.07	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	OAK	12	12	88	372	67	44	11	100%	7.3	17.9%	11.8%	6.1%	3.0%	5.09	5.09	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	OAK	11	11	86	361	64	43	11	100%	7.8	17.8%	12.0%	5.8%	3.1%	5.14	5.17	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	OAK	11	11	82	345	60	42	11	100%	7.4	17.5%	12.2%	5.3%	3.2%	5.24	5.30	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	OAK	10	10	77	324	62	38	11	100%	7.7	19.2%	11.7%	7.5%	3.4%	5.22	5.21	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	OAK	5	5	38	160	26	21	5	100%	7.6	16.2%	13.0%	3.3%	2.9%	5.43	5.35	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	8	8	59	249	43	30	7	100%	7.4	17.3%	12.1%	5.2%	2.9%	5.23	5.15	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	71	300	53	35	9	100%	7.1	17.8%	11.8%	5.9%	2.9%	5.12	5.07	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	75	317	57	37	9	100%	7.5	17.9%	11.8%	6.1%	3.0%	5.09	5.09	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	76	321	57	38	10	100%	7.6	17.8%	12.0%	5.8%	3.1%	5.14	5.17	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	74	312	55	38	10	100%	7.4	17.5%	12.2%	5.3%	3.2%	5.24	5.30	-0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	71	300	57	35	10	100%	7.1	19.2%	11.7%	7.5%	3.4%	5.22	5.21	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	62	464	1959	348	235	60	100%	7.5	17.8%	12.0%	5.8%	3.1%	5.19	4.80	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		27	27	200	844	150	101	26	100%	7.5	17.8%	12.0%	5.8%	3.1%	5.19	4.80	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		34	19	135	601	98	64	22	56%	4.0	16.3%	10.6%	5.7%	3.7%	5.95	5.09	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	28	200	893	145	95	33	56%	4.0	16.3%	10.6%	5.7%	3.7%	5.95	5.09	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sam Stuhr (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.69	14.4%	14.4%	2.9%	—	5.19	17.1%	4.8%	267	-0.50	—	—	—
Will Childers R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	22	SP-	5.41	11.8%	12.1%	3.2%	.305	4.45	19.3%	8.7%	150	-0.96	3.60	209	88
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	86
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	86
Boone Whiting R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	11.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.337	4.88	10.9%	4.8%	132	-0.45	4.88	227	83
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	82
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	82
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	82
Matt Ruppenthal R 2019 · 4.50 FIP	23	SP-	4.50	19.1%	14.3%	2.2%	.290	4.32	21.4%	6.5%	143	-0.18	3.74	283	82
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	81
James McArthur R 2019 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	18.8%	15.5%	2.9%	.304	4.41	20.0%	10.7%	131	-0.63	3.53	352	80
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	80
Chase Cohen R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	22	SP-	4.69	15.8%	13.0%	2.3%	.317	4.22	22.1%	9.2%	85	-0.47	3.52	263	80
Houston Roth R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	16.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.263	4.83	20.8%	8.3%	228	+0.20	3.79	406	79
Zach Willeman R 2019 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	10.8%	15.0%	2.7%	.296	4.98	21.3%	7.8%	108	-0.59	4.05	264	79
Nic Swanson R 2022 · 6.18 FIP	23	SP-	6.18	18.5%	15.9%	4.8%	.302	4.74	18.6%	7.7%	284	-1.44	4.29	438	79
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	79
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	79
Dane Myers R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	23	SW	5.32	12.2%	11.5%	3.3%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	125	79
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	79
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.3	83	17.3%	12.3%	1.17	5.26
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32