Sam Stuhr
P
Stockton Ports
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
A
peak 0.9 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145136vR 127
ERA5.62
FIP5.62
K%14.4%
BB%14.0%
K-BB%0.4%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 106 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Stockton Ports | 25 | 16 | 96 | 440 | 92 | 47 | 10 | 64% | 3.8 | 15.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 6.59 | 4.71 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Stockton Ports | 25 | 16 | 96 | 440 | 92 | 47 | 10 | 64% | 3.8 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 6.59 | 4.01 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Stockton Ports | 9 | 3 | 39 | 161 | 40 | 7 | 8 | 33% | 4.3 | 18.4% | 5.1% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 4.38 | 5.74 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | OAK | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 41 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.4% | 14.0% | 0.4% | 2.9% | 5.62 | 5.62 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.4% | 14.0% | 0.4% | 2.9% | 5.62 | 5.62 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 106 | 444 | 81 | 47 | 16 | — | — | 18.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 5.17 | 5.67 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 9 | 9 | 69 | 290 | 47 | 37 | 8 | 100% | 7.6 | 16.3% | 12.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.37 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 9 | 9 | 70 | 294 | 51 | 36 | 8 | 100% | 7.7 | 17.4% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.18 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 9 | 9 | 70 | 294 | 53 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 7.7 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.08 | 5.04 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 9 | 9 | 69 | 290 | 52 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 7.6 | 18.1% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 4 | 4 | 29 | 122 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 7.2 | 16.3% | 12.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.37 | 5.30 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 46 | 194 | 34 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 7.7 | 17.4% | 12.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.18 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 55 | 232 | 42 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 7.9 | 18.0% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 5.08 | 5.04 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 8 | 8 | 58 | 245 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 100% | 7.2 | 18.1% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 25 | 25 | 189 | 798 | 141 | 97 | 23 | 100% | 7.6 | 17.6% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.14 | 4.72 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 27 | 27 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 103 | 24 | 100% | 7.5 | 17.6% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.14 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 19 | 135 | 601 | 98 | 64 | 21 | 56% | 4.0 | 16.3% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.95 | 4.99 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 28 | 200 | 893 | 145 | 95 | 31 | 56% | 4.0 | 16.3% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.95 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sam Stuhr (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.62 | 14.4% | 14.0% | 2.9% | — | 5.15 | 17.3% | 5.0% | 208 | -0.47 | — | — | — |
| Jacob Meador R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.28 | 15.6% | 14.0% | 3.1% | .301 | 6.83 | 14.7% | -6.6% | 50 | +1.55 | 5.28 | 139 | 87 |
| Ike Buxton R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 2.4% | .241 | 4.68 | 14.8% | -0.6% | 123 | -0.25 | 4.52 | 196 | 87 |
| Dawson Netz R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 87 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 86 |
| Channing Austin R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.43 | 15.0% | 15.6% | 1.1% | .304 | 3.58 | 23.2% | 7.3% | 38 | -0.85 | 3.58 | 109 | 84 |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.85 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | .292 | 2.69 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -2.16 | 2.69 | 145 | 83 |
| Boone Whiting R 2028 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.21 | 11.3% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.78 | 10.9% | 4.8% | 132 | -0.43 | 4.78 | 227 | 83 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.59 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.81 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.78 | 3.50 | 219 | 82 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.55 | 19.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .290 | 4.24 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 143 | -0.31 | 3.72 | 283 | 82 |
| Tyler Schlaffer R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.25 | 14.5% | 13.3% | 3.1% | .298 | 4.24 | 20.0% | 6.8% | 154 | -1.01 | 4.01 | 363 | 82 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 82 |
| Jacob Cravey R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.13 | 15.7% | 12.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 7.57 | 11.0% | -7.2% | 28 | +2.44 | 5.13 | 204 | 82 |
| Holden Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 15.8% | 11.0% | 3.1% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 114 | 81 |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.58 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | .263 | 4.63 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 228 | +0.05 | 3.57 | 389 | 80 |
| Chase Cohen R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.67 | 15.8% | 13.0% | 2.3% | .317 | 4.66 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 85 | -0.01 | 3.68 | 263 | 80 |
| Wills Montgomerie R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.03 | 19.3% | 19.1% | 2.1% | .275 | 4.55 | 20.1% | 6.0% | 105 | -0.48 | 4.55 | 153 | 80 |
| Jose Guedez R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.43 | 15.4% | 13.4% | 1.7% | .283 | 5.94 | 15.2% | 4.2% | 38 | +1.51 | 2.31 | 248 | 80 |
| James McArthur R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.37 | 18.8% | 15.5% | 3.5% | .304 | 4.20 | 20.0% | 10.7% | 131 | -1.17 | 3.53 | 352 | 80 |
| Brooks Auger R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.00 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.81 | 26.3% | 14.4% | 46 | -1.19 | 3.81 | 138 | 80 |
| Carlos Sano R 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 69 | 16.9% | 12.5% | 1.11 | 5.26 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |