Gabe Emmett — OGILVIE

Gabe Emmett P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 175 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 123

ERA5.61

FIP5.61

K%18.0%

BB%15.9%

K-BB%2.0%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	3	0	4	16	4	4	2	0%	1.2	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%	7.36	11.02	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	3	0	4	16	4	4	2	0%	1.2	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%	7.36	11.28	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	36	180	35	25	1	10%	1.7	13.7%	18.2%	-4.5%	0.6%	8.00	4.60	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	2	36	180	35	25	1	10%	1.7	19.4%	13.9%	5.6%	0.6%	8.00	3.60	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	14	86	388	71	55	11	50%	3.1	13.5%	16.7%	-3.2%	3.6%	5.55	6.05	—
2023	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	14	86	388	71	55	11	50%	3.1	13.5%	16.7%	-3.2%	3.6%	5.55	6.05	—
2023	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	28	14	86	388	71	55	11	50%	3.1	18.3%	14.2%	4.1%	2.8%	5.55	5.03	—
2024	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	17	3	45	233	46	36	4	18%	2.6	14.6%	18.2%	-3.6%	2.1%	8.60	5.32	—
2024	23	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	17	3	45	233	46	36	4	18%	2.6	14.6%	18.2%	-3.6%	2.1%	8.60	5.32	—
2024	23	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	17	3	45	233	46	36	4	18%	2.6	19.7%	15.5%	4.3%	1.7%	8.60	4.61	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	LAA	3	0	3	13	2	2	0	0%	1.0	18.0%	15.9%	2.0%	3.0%	5.61	5.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	39	0	40	171	33	26	5	0%	1.0	19.2%	15.2%	3.9%	3.0%	5.44	5.42	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAA	16	0	17	72	14	11	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.2%	3.9%	3.0%	5.44	5.42	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	73	14	11	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.2%	3.9%	3.0%	5.44	5.04	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	127	23	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.2%	3.9%	3.0%	5.44	5.04	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		69	19	171	817	115	144	22	28%	2.5	14.1%	17.6%	-3.5%	2.7%	6.91	5.62	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	22	200	957	135	169	26	28%	2.5	14.1%	17.6%	-3.5%	2.7%	6.91	5.62	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gabe Emmett (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.61	18.0%	15.9%	3.0%	—	5.42	19.2%	3.9%	40	-0.19	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	81
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	80
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	79
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	79
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	79
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	77
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	77
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	77
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	77
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	76
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	25	SW	5.30	21.4%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	76
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	76
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	76
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	75
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	75
Adrian Chaidez R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	24	SW	4.96	19.4%	16.3%	2.6%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	4.96	144	75
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.69	23.2%	9.9%	100	-2.06	3.37	261	75
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	75
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	75
Heath Slatton R 2017 · 5.56 FIP	23	SW	5.56	17.9%	12.9%	4.3%	.382	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	120	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	18.6%	15.5%	1.15	5.52
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77