Wyatt Lunsford-Shenkman

P Everett AquaSox

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 228 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	AModesto Nuts	7	6	8.53	4.68	21.2%	24.2%	—	K 21.2% · BB 24.2% · FIP 4.38
2026	23	A+SEA	35	50	2.54	4.69	20.2%	15.6%	—	K 15.5% · BB 17.9% · FIP 5.63
2027PROJ	24	MLBSEA	29	30	5.69	5.69	17.7%	16.4%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSEA	18	19	5.40	5.29	19.1%	14.2%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBSEA	29	30	5.24	5.18	19.9%	13.8%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsCody Scroggins (age 24) · Michael Blazek (age 24) · Brett Lockwood (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.69

FIP5.69

K%17.7%

BB%16.4%

K-BB%1.3%

Proj IP30

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	7	0	6	33	7	8	0	0%	0.9	21.2%	24.2%	-3.0%	0.0%	8.53	4.38	—
2025	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	7	0	6	33	7	8	0	0%	0.9	21.2%	24.2%	-3.0%	0.0%	8.53	4.38	—
2025	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	7	0	6	33	7	8	0	0%	0.9	21.2%	24.2%	-3.0%	0.0%	8.53	4.68	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	35	0	50	218	44	34	5	0%	1.4	15.5%	17.9%	-2.4%	2.9%	2.54	5.63	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	35	0	50	218	44	34	5	0%	1.4	15.5%	17.9%	-2.4%	2.9%	2.54	5.63	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	35	0	50	218	44	34	5	0%	1.4	20.2%	15.6%	4.6%	2.3%	2.54	4.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SEA	29	0	30	127	22	21	4	0%	1.0	17.7%	16.4%	1.3%	3.0%	5.69	5.69	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	43	0	45	191	37	27	6	0%	1.1	19.1%	14.2%	4.9%	3.0%	5.40	5.29	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	43	0	45	191	38	26	6	0%	1.1	19.9%	13.8%	6.1%	3.0%	5.24	5.18	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	SEA	42	0	45	188	38	26	6	0%	1.1	20.1%	13.7%	6.4%	3.0%	5.18	5.17	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	18	0	19	80	15	11	2	0%	1.1	19.1%	14.2%	4.9%	3.0%	5.40	5.29	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	29	0	30	127	25	18	4	0%	1.0	19.9%	13.8%	6.1%	3.0%	5.24	5.18	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	SEA	32	0	34	144	29	20	4	0%	1.1	20.1%	13.7%	6.4%	3.0%	5.18	5.17	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		80	0	84	355	70	49	11	0%	1.1	19.8%	13.9%	6.0%	3.0%	5.25	4.82	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	117	26	0%	1.0	19.8%	13.9%	6.0%	3.0%	5.25	4.82	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		42	0	56	251	41	47	6	0%	1.3	16.3%	18.8%	-2.5%	2.5%	3.21	5.47	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	0	200	896	146	168	22	0%	1.3	16.3%	18.8%	-2.5%	2.5%	3.21	5.47	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wyatt Lunsford-Shenkman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.69	17.7%	16.4%	3.0%	—	5.21	19.7%	5.8%	135	-0.48	—	—	—
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	91
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	89
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	88
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	88
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	87
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	87
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	87
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	87
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	87
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	86
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	86
Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	18.3%	14.2%	2.2%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	102	86
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	86
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	85
Morgan McSweeney R 2022 · 5.16 FIP	24	SU	5.16	18.0%	13.9%	3.3%	.278	4.31	16.6%	6.6%	107	-0.85	3.20	213	85
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.54	19.0%	8.4%	155	-0.01	3.33	268	85
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	85
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	85
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	85
Bryce McGowan R 2024 · 5.11 FIP	24	SU	5.11	19.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.304	3.71	18.8%	6.7%	55	-1.40	3.71	178	85

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	41	19.4%	14.4%	1.15	5.35
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*