Josh Caron

C Everett AquaSox

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs A+ K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+SEA	331	.197/.271/.331	9	11	18	—	.144/.204/.232
2026	22	AASEA	151	.233/.338/.419	3	8	70	—	.193/.278/.333
2026	22	A+SEA	293	.272/.360/.579	19	20	82	—	.194/.266/.407
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBSEA	2	.184/.251/.334	0	0	65	-0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	24	MLBSEA	178	.189/.257/.343	5	5	69	0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	25	MLBSEA	275	.192/.261/.348	8	6	72	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.6M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed96

BB%71

ISO70

wRC+66

wOBA57

Chase%47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsSicnarf Loopstok (age 23) · Brett Auerbach (age 24) · Kendall Simmons (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .251 / .334

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%7

BABIP260

ISO158

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	20	A	Modesto Nuts	—	54	47	13	2	0	1	5	9	1	2	0	277	358	383	741	106	316	17	9	332	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	331	299	59	9	2	9	25	96	5	11	2	197	271	331	602	134	255	29	8	272	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	151	129	30	11	2	3	19	43	2	8	2	233	338	419	756	186	325	28	13	338	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	293	254	69	17	2	19	32	90	3	20	2	272	360	579	939	307	336	31	11	400	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	54	49	12	2	0	1	3	12	1	2	0	245	302	347	649	102	294	22	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	331	306	44	7	1	6	18	135	5	11	2	144	204	232	436	88	222	41	5	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	151	135	26	9	2	2	14	52	2	8	2	193	278	333	611	141	296	34	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	293	263	51	12	1	14	23	122	3	20	2	194	266	407	673	213	273	42	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	54	49	12	2	0	1	3	12	1	2	0	245	302	347	649	102	297	22	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	54	47	13	2	0	1	5	9	1	2	0	277	358	383	741	106	316	17	9	332	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	331	306	44	7	1	6	18	135	5	11	2	144	204	232	436	88	228	41	5	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	—	331	299	59	9	2	9	25	96	5	11	2	197	271	331	602	134	255	29	8	272	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	444	399	77	21	3	16	36	174	5	28	4	193	268	381	649	188	286	39	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	444	383	99	28	4	22	51	133	5	28	4	258	352	525	877	266	332	30	11	379	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	54	50	12	2	0	1	3	12	1	2	0	240	302	340	642	100	294	22	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	331	305	44	7	1	6	18	135	5	11	2	144	204	233	436	89	222	41	5	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	444	400	77	21	3	16	36	174	5	28	4	193	268	380	648	188	281	39	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	54	50	12	2	0	1	3	12	1	2	0	240	302	340	642	100	294	22	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	331	305	44	7	1	6	18	135	5	11	2	144	204	233	436	89	222	41	5	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	444	400	77	21	3	16	36	174	5	28	4	193	268	380	648	188	281	39	8	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	511	464	86	19	3	15	37	183	5	15	2	186	253	340	593	154	263	36	7	265	65	-21	+2	+0	+9	+11	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	SEA	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	184	251	334	586	150	260	50	0	262	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	38%	468	426	82	18	3	15	34	163	5	12	2	191	259	349	608	158	265	35	7	271	69	-17	+2	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	55%	496	451	88	19	3	16	37	170	5	12	2	194	263	354	617	160	267	34	7	275	72	-16	+2	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	SEA	64%	511	462	91	20	3	16	39	172	5	11	2	197	266	356	622	160	268	34	8	277	74	-16	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	SEA	66%	516	467	93	20	3	16	39	171	5	10	2	198	268	356	624	158	269	33	8	278	74	-16	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2032	28	MLB MLE	SEA	67%	514	465	93	20	3	16	39	169	5	9	2	199	268	354	623	156	269	33	8	278	74	-16	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	SEA	66%	507	458	89	19	2	15	39	168	5	8	1	196	265	348	613	152	267	33	8	274	72	-17	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	SEA	65%	497	452	87	19	2	14	37	166	5	7	1	193	262	340	602	147	265	33	7	269	68	-19	+1	-2	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	38%	178	161	30	7	1	5	13	62	2	5	1	189	257	343	600	154	263	35	7	268	69	-6	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	55%	275	250	46	10	1	8	20	94	3	6	1	192	261	348	609	156	264	34	7	272	72	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	SEA	64%	325	294	57	12	2	10	25	109	3	7	1	194	264	350	614	156	265	34	8	274	74	-10	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	SEA	66%	339	307	60	13	2	10	26	112	3	7	1	196	266	350	616	155	266	33	8	275	74	-10	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	SEA	67%	343	311	61	13	2	10	26	113	3	6	1	196	266	348	615	152	266	33	8	275	74	-11	+1	-0	+6	+7	0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	SEA	66%	333	302	60	13	2	10	25	110	3	5	1	194	263	342	606	148	265	33	8	271	72	-11	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	SEA	65%	324	294	56	12	1	9	24	108	3	4	1	191	260	335	595	144	262	33	7	266	68	-12	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2117	1919	370	80	11	62	159	708	20	40	7	193	262	343	605	150	265	33	8	272	68	-70	+5	-3	+38	+46	1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	114	25	3	19	49	217	6	12	2	194	262	343	605	149	266	33	8	272	68	-22	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4658	4226	811	177	25	141	344	1615	49	119	20	192	261	346	606	154	268	35	7	269	68	-130	+10	-4	+68	+83	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	113	25	3	20	48	225	7	17	3	192	261	346	607	154	266	35	7	269	68	-22	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#4John Bateman'63-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,585 PA	5.4	3,585	81	10	229*	274*	381*	+64	+0	8.2	8.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#6Billy Sullivan'01-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,652 PA	5.5	3,652	11	92	206*	257*	335*	+64	-1	2.9	3.4
/162	664	2	17	+11.7	-0.2	0.5	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.2	2,119	65	40	197	263	353	+38	+16	3.2	3.2
/162	664	20	13	+11.9	+5.0	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Caron (OGILVIE)	23	25	40	50	30	185/251/337	152	263	10	9	36%	7%	65	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	41→36	49→50	53→50	39	208/269/355	147	289	16	9	33%	6%	75	-0.5	208/272/340	132	295	14	10	33%	6%	73	-0.6	202/272/344	143	283	16	9	33%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Brett Auerbach 2023 · AA	24	40→34	50→45	50→55	40	208/271/356	148	302	19	17	36%	7%	76	-0.4	201/260/308	107	298	10	16	34%	7%	61	-1.5	192/254/283	91	282	7	17	33%	7%	49	-1.1
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Neyfy Castillo 2024 · AA	23	39→33	46→45	51→55	37	190/259/318	127	319	15	18	42%	7%	63	-1.3	191/250/302	111	320	12	13	41%	6%	55	-1.9	166/225/267	101	282	11	11	43%	6%	36	-2.8
✕Jase Bowen 2024 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	55	36	194/247/321	127	273	15	17	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/339	130	297	14	20	33%	5%	68	-1.0	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	38	49→50	54→50	37	197/258/345	148	285	17	14	36%	6%	69	-0.9	206/268/346	140	308	16	13	36%	7%	73	-0.6	188/254/312	124	285	15	12	37%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Brandon Hicks 2009 · AA	23	40→41	50	49→50	40	201/273/359	158	301	18	11	38%	8%	78	-0.3	200/260/325	125	290	13	13	34%	7%	65	-1.2	193/259/342	149	302	19	10	40%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Andy Yerzy 2022 · AA	24	32	50	49→40	42	178/266/325	146	259	19	7	38%	8%	69	-0.9	196/276/333	137	263	16	6	30%	9%	73	-0.6	162/237/266	105	230	13	1	34%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Pablo Aliendo 2024 · AA	23	42	46→50	49→45	39	210/276/342	132	302	14	6	34%	6%	75	-0.5	196/262/340	144	304	17	5	39%	6%	70	-0.9	171/240/309	138	271	18	1	42%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Ben Ross 2024 · AA	23	38→44	47→45	49→55	43	196/263/327	131	268	15	9	32%	8%	67	-1.1	189/255/313	124	267	14	16	33%	8%	60	-1.6	186/257/314	129	258	15	19	33%	8%	59	-1.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2011 · A	23	40→37	49→45	51→50	40	207/277/361	153	275	17	9	30%	6%	80	-0.2	209/284/321	112	285	10	10	29%	6%	74	-0.6	205/290/288	83	271	7	10	25%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Jesús Bastidas 2023 · AA	24	42	49→50	45→50	41	213/282/354	140	287	17	12	31%	7%	80	-0.1	210/279/347	137	276	16	12	29%	6%	77	-0.3	202/274/337	135	264	15	13	29%	6%	70	-0.8
✕Freuddy Batista 2023 · A	23	41	47→50	49→40	38	203/273/342	139	299	15	8	36%	6%	74	-0.5	208/263/337	129	300	13	4	33%	5%	68	-1.0	206/259/338	132	266	17	4	29%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	38→40	46→50	51→50	37	199/250/327	129	279	15	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/255/347	143	278	15	11	31%	5%	68	-1.0	196/250/340	143	260	16	11	30%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42	47→50	53→55	40	214/271/352	138	294	15	21	32%	6%	75	-0.5	206/270/322	116	285	12	24	30%	7%	68	-1.0	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	40	194/269/303	109	291	11	13	35%	7%	63	-1.3	205/275/304	99	311	8	12	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/264/251	75	285	3	11	36%	10%	48	-0.5
✕Jud Fabian 2024 · AA	23	39→31	50→45	52→50	45	196/283/350	154	303	18	20	39%	10%	80	-0.2	176/258/299	123	275	15	13	39%	9%	59	-1.7	158/245/267	109	241	14	10	38%	10%	46	-2.1
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2021 · A	23	37→30	47→50	49→50	36	192/243/327	135	288	16	10	38%	6%	59	-1.7	172/230/269	97	354	10	9	50%	6%	40	-3.0	117/179/189	72	264	8	7	56%	6%	3	-3.2

Josh Caron

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps