Kaelen Culpepper

SS St. Paul Saints

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs AAA Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANROOKIEFG #34Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	21	A+MIN	71	.210/.310/.306	1	2	36	—	.188/.268/.281
2025	22	AAMIN	270	.285/.367/.460	11	10	91	—	.248/.315/.390
2025	22	A+MIN	247	.293/.385/.479	9	15	99	—	.252/.328/.396
2026	23	MLBMIN	128	.274/.331/.393	3	1	105	0.9
2027PROJ49% MLB	24	MLBMIN	122	.235/.306/.378	4	4	93	0.4
2028PROJ65% MLB	25	MLBMIN	363	.236/.308/.382	11	11	95	1.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	26	MLBMIN	429	.236/.309/.383	13	13	95	1.5

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9 · Next 3 projected WAR 3.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$5M2030Arb-2$9M2031Arb-3$12M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed90

Z-Con%80

Max EV74

K%73

Whiff%69

BB%59

Form.232/.297/.364 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .234/.303/.377

Career WAR1 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 20, comp-based) · star 7% · didn't stick 61%

CompsLastings Milledge (age 24) · Josh Rutledge (age 24) · Ezequiel Duran (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .306 / .378

PA122

HR4

K%21

BB%7

BABIP274

ISO165

MLB%49%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 50 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT50

xAVG

310.236

POWER49

Barrel%

133.4

Avg EV

2887.4

EYE41

scouting grade only

SPEED52

Sprint

5827.8

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%21%▲21% over 73 PA (60d) · proj 22%

BB%6%▼5% over 73 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.131▼.104 over 67 AB (60d) · proj .143

HR/BB3.4%▼1.9% over 52 BBE (60d) · proj 4.1%

BABIP.274·.275 over 51 BIP (60d) · proj .274

SLASH.232/.297/.364▼proj .234/.303/.377

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$9M	+$8M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$10M	+$6M
2030	Arb-2	$9M	+1.4	$9M	+$3M
2031	Arb-3	$12M	+1.3	$8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$16M		$38M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	71	62	13	1	1	1	8	13	1	2	0	210	310	306	616	97	250	18	11	287	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	41	37	11	3	0	2	3	2	1	2	1	297	366	541	906	243	273	5	7	397	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	239	68	7	1	11	24	50	7	10	2	285	367	460	827	176	320	19	9	369	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	247	215	63	9	2	9	26	40	6	15	2	293	385	479	864	186	325	16	11	385	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	128	117	32	5	0	3	6	28	4	1	0	274	331	393	724	120	333	22	5	324	105	+1	+0	+0	+5	+3	0.9
2026	23	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	343	295	80	15	2	14	39	63	7	17	3	271	370	478	847	207	300	18	11	374	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	128	117	32	5	0	3	6	28	4	1	0	274	331	393	724	120	333	22	5	324	106	+1	+0	+0	+5	+3	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	71	64	12	1	1	1	6	17	1	2	0	188	268	281	549	94	223	24	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	41	38	9	2	0	2	2	3	1	2	1	237	293	447	740	211	224	7	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	—	270	246	61	6	1	9	17	65	7	10	2	248	315	390	705	142	297	24	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	247	222	56	7	2	7	19	52	6	15	2	252	328	396	724	144	297	21	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	128	117	32	5	0	3	6	28	4	1	0	274	331	393	724	120	333	22	5	324	105	+1	+0	+0	+5	+3	0.9
2026	23	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	343	306	72	13	2	10	28	75	7	17	3	235	314	389	703	154	277	22	8	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	112	102	20	3	1	2	8	20	2	4	1	196	268	304	572	108	225	18	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	112	99	24	4	1	3	11	15	2	4	1	242	330	394	724	152	259	13	10	327	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	517	468	117	13	3	16	36	117	13	25	4	250	321	393	714	143	301	23	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	517	454	131	16	3	20	50	90	13	25	4	289	375	469	844	181	323	17	10	377	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	471	423	104	18	2	13	34	103	11	18	3	246	318	390	708	144	294	22	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	471	412	112	20	2	17	45	91	11	18	3	272	359	454	813	182	309	19	10	361	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	112	101	20	3	1	2	8	20	2	4	1	198	268	307	575	109	223	18	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	517	463	117	13	3	16	36	117	13	25	4	253	321	397	718	145	297	23	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	471	423	104	18	2	13	34	103	11	18	3	246	318	390	708	144	292	22	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	112	101	20	3	1	2	8	20	2	4	1	198	268	307	575	109	223	18	7	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	517	463	117	13	3	16	36	117	13	25	4	253	321	397	718	145	297	23	7	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	471	423	104	18	2	13	34	103	11	18	3	246	318	390	708	144	292	22	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	380	342	81	13	2	11	27	82	8	12	3	234	306	377	683	143	274	22	7	306	93	-3	+1	+1	+4	+8	1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	122	109	27	4	1	4	9	26	3	4	1	235	306	378	684	143	274	21	7	306	93	-1	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	65%	558	500	118	19	3	16	41	120	12	17	4	236	308	381	689	146	275	22	7	308	95	-4	+2	+2	+6	+12	1.9
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIN	73%	590	530	125	20	3	17	43	127	12	18	4	236	308	382	691	146	276	22	7	309	95	-3	+2	+2	+6	+13	2.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIN	74%	578	519	123	20	3	17	43	125	11	17	4	236	308	381	689	146	276	22	7	308	95	-4	+2	+2	+6	+13	1.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	MIN	75%	567	509	119	20	2	16	42	124	11	15	4	234	307	378	685	144	276	22	7	307	94	-4	+1	+1	+6	+12	1.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	MIN	74%	555	498	116	19	2	16	42	123	10	12	3	233	305	374	679	141	276	22	8	304	92	-5	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	MIN	73%	420	379	87	14	2	11	31	95	7	7	2	230	301	366	668	137	275	23	7	300	89	-6	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.8
2034	31	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	405	365	82	14	1	10	30	93	7	4	2	226	297	357	654	131	272	23	7	294	85	-7	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.5
2035	32	MLB MLE	MIN	72%	386	348	76	12	1	9	28	90	7	1	1	221	291	345	636	124	268	23	7	287	80	-9	-0	-2	+4	+8	0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	65%	363	326	77	12	2	11	26	78	8	11	3	236	308	382	690	146	275	21	7	308	95	-2	+1	+1	+4	+8	1.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIN	73%	429	385	92	15	2	13	32	92	9	13	3	236	309	383	692	147	276	21	7	309	95	-2	+1	+1	+5	+9	1.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIN	74%	429	386	92	15	2	13	32	93	8	13	3	236	308	382	690	146	276	22	7	309	95	-3	+1	+1	+5	+9	1.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	MIN	75%	426	383	90	15	2	12	32	93	8	11	3	235	307	379	686	144	276	22	8	307	94	-3	+1	+1	+5	+9	1.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	MIN	74%	409	368	85	14	2	11	31	91	7	9	2	233	305	375	680	142	276	22	8	304	92	-4	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	MIN	73%	306	275	62	10	1	8	23	69	5	5	2	230	302	367	669	137	275	23	8	300	89	-4	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.6
2034	31	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	294	265	60	10	1	8	22	67	5	3	1	226	297	358	655	131	272	23	7	294	85	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2035	32	MLB CTX	MIN	72%	279	252	56	9	1	7	20	65	5	1	1	221	291	346	637	124	269	23	7	287	80	-7	-0	-2	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3063	2757	646	105	13	86	224	676	59	67	18	234	306	375	681	141	279	22	7	304	92	-30	+6	+2	+36	+66	8.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	137	22	3	18	48	143	13	14	4	234	307	374	681	140	279	22	7	304	92	-6	+1	+0	+8	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5409	4866	1139	180	24	150	396	1191	108	146	34	234	306	373	679	139	279	22	7	304	92	-43	+10	+4	+51	+96	12.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	137	22	3	18	48	143	13	18	4	234	307	374	681	140	279	22	7	304	92	-6	+1	+1	+8	+14	1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Greg Gagne'83-'97 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,207 PA	9.3	6,207	111	108	249*	297*	394*	+65	+26	13.2	13.0
/162	664	12	12	+6.9	+2.8	1.4	pk7: 13
#2Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.8	3,186	89	69	235	303	375	+34	+8	9.7	9.1
/162	664	18	14	+7.1	+1.6	2.0	pk7: 8
#5Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#6Ernie Johnson'12-'25 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,915 PA	4.4	2,915	19	114	245*	298*	380*	+28	-5	5.1	6.5
/162	664	4	26	+6.4	-1.1	1.2	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kaelen Culpepper (OGILVIE)	24	45→50	48→49	54→52	41	232/303/374	141	274	7	8	22%	7%	93	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lastings Milledge 2009 · MLB	24	52→61	48→50	51→55	47	260/324/404	144	300	15	20	19%	6%	107	+1.8	265/318/378	113	308	10	18	17%	6%	97	+1.1	266/317/367	102	308	8	19	16%	6%	94	+0.6
✕Josh Rutledge 2013 · MLB	24	53→61	49→50	55→50	40	265/302/422	157	322	15	14	22%	4%	102	+1.5	250/299/374	124	313	11	11	23%	5%	90	+0.6	244/299/349	105	313	9	9	24%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Ezequiel Duran 2023 · MLB	24	45→55	51→55	49→50	39	231/277/399	167	302	19	15	30%	5%	88	+0.4	250/293/392	142	322	15	14	26%	5%	92	+0.7	249/300/379	130	313	12	16	24%	6%	91	+0.4
✕Eguy Rosario 2024 · MLB	24	48→54	48→55	50→55	45	238/299/383	145	304	15	17	26%	7%	92	+0.7	209/272/359	150	281	16	17	30%	7%	77	-0.3	189/256/341	153	251	17	20	31%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Oswald Peraza 2024 · MLB	24	45→54	48→50	55→60	43	230/292/365	135	286	16	26	25%	6%	86	+0.3	213/280/329	116	277	14	23	27%	7%	73	-0.6	205/271/309	103	274	13	24	29%	6%	65	-0.7
✕Yairo Muñoz 2019 · MLB	24	51→54	47→50	47→55	42	254/295/388	135	307	15	13	22%	5%	92	+0.7	262/300/381	119	319	12	18	21%	5%	91	+0.7	270/297/369	99	322	9	23	19%	3%	85	+0.1
●Scott Kingery 2018 · AAA	24	50→52	46→55	56→55	42	245/289/377	132	297	12	20	22%	5%	86	+0.3	237/285/387	150	305	15	15	26%	6%	88	+0.4	229/281/383	154	299	15	14	28%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Anthony Volpe 2024 · MLB	23	42→50	52→55	58→55	48	218/296/393	175	269	19	27	26%	9%	94	+0.9	225/286/370	145	282	14	22	25%	7%	84	+0.2	226/286/365	138	282	13	24	24%	7%	83	+0.1
✕J.R. Towles 2009 · MLB	25	46→53	47→50	44→50	46	233/307/373	140	269	15	10	20%	6%	94	+0.9	218/299/349	131	257	13	8	20%	7%	86	+0.3	201/284/313	112	235	10	6	18%	7%	71	-0.3
✕Henry Davis 2024 · MLB	24	47	51→50	46→50	49	236/325/396	160	295	19	13	26%	9%	106	+1.8	209/290/352	143	263	18	10	27%	8%	83	+0.1	186/269/319	134	227	18	8	26%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Masyn Winn 2024 · MLB	22	47→53	46→50	59→55	46	231/290/362	131	284	12	21	23%	7%	84	+0.1	247/304/374	127	293	12	12	19%	7%	92	+0.7	248/309/365	117	296	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Michael Massey 2023 · MLB	25	47→54	51→55	52→50	42	240/294/405	165	292	19	12	25%	6%	96	+1.0	242/286/399	157	280	19	8	21%	5%	91	+0.7	256/290/404	148	283	18	3	17%	4%	94	+0.6
✕Ryan Kalish 2012 · MLB	24	49→53	47→50	56→55	48	246/305/387	142	295	14	24	22%	8%	95	+1.0	226/278/329	103	300	9	19	26%	7%	71	-0.8	217/264/312	94	293	8	20	27%	6%	59	-0.9
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	52→51	51→60	56→50	47	259/321/431	172	315	18	23	23%	7%	112	+2.2	258/315/457	199	302	27	14	24%	7%	116	+2.5	245/300/432	188	279	27	12	23%	7%	105	+1.0
✕Dustin Fowler 2019 · MLB	24	51→54	48→55	57→55	39	254/281/404	150	305	14	20	22%	4%	90	+0.6	226/270/367	141	306	16	13	31%	5%	78	-0.3	211/259/349	138	294	17	9	34%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Lewis Brinson 2018 · MLB	24	48→55	51→55	52→50	42	242/294/411	169	300	19	16	26%	6%	97	+1.1	209/262/345	136	284	14	12	31%	5%	70	-0.9	235/276/408	173	305	22	8	30%	5%	88	+0.2
✕Clint Frazier 2019 · MLB	24	48→49	51→55	52→50	44	242/303/413	172	314	17	11	28%	7%	101	+1.4	235/309/410	175	302	20	7	27%	9%	103	+1.5	224/307/397	173	286	20	5	28%	9%	99	+0.6
✕Victor Robles 2021 · MLB	24	49→54	47→50	53→60	43	243/312/385	142	300	14	22	23%	6%	98	+1.2	225/297/334	109	291	9	19	24%	6%	80	-0.1	282/353/387	104	351	6	51	19%	6%	113	+0.7
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	54→55	46	237/301/384	147	305	16	24	27%	8%	93	+0.8	233/299/358	125	300	12	15	25%	8%	86	+0.3	230/298/342	112	290	10	18	23%	8%	81	-0.0
●Miguel Vargas 2024 · MLB	24	48→54	49→55	52→50	53	240/320/398	158	282	16	12	21%	10%	103	+1.6	226/321/395	169	261	18	12	20%	11%	103	+1.6	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0

Kaelen Culpepper

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps