Bryce Martin-Grudzielanek

Bryce Martin-GrudzielanekSS Tampa Tarpons

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION350 act + 233 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .298 / .328

PA233

HR5

SB11

K%31

BB%9

BABIP291

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.8M
2035	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$21M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	85	78	16	2	4	1	5	23	0	6	1	205	253	372	625	167	268	27	6	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	85	77	19	2	4	1	6	16	0	6	1	247	301	416	717	169	290	19	7	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	NYY	—	350	299	62	13	1	7	35	119	10	27	7	207	311	328	639	120	307	34	10	287	78	-9	+3	+0	+4	+10	0.8
YTD	23	A	NYY	—	350	287	74	15	1	9	47	84	10	27	7	258	381	411	792	153	325	24	13	355	129	+12	+3	+0	+4	+10	2.8
ROS	23	A	NYY	0%	233	204	42	8	1	5	22	73	5	11	3	206	298	328	626	122	290	31	9	284	76	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
ROS	23	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		291	—	—	271	66	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	23	A	NYY	—	350	300	62	13	1	7	35	119	10	27	7	207	311	327	638	120	306	34	10	287	78	-9	+3	+0	+4	+10	0.8
TOT	23	A	NYY	—	583	503	104	21	2	12	57	192	15	38	10	207	306	328	634	121	300	33	10	286	77	-15	+4	+0	+6	+17	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	NYY	30%	581	511	108	21	3	13	54	179	11	19	5	211	300	341	641	129	291	31	9	288	79	-14	+2	+0	+6	+16	1.1
2028	25	MLB	NYY	44%	609	537	114	22	3	14	56	184	11	20	5	212	300	343	642	130	292	30	9	293	82	-12	+2	+0	+7	+17	1.4
2029	26	MLB	NYY	51%	627	552	119	23	3	15	58	187	12	20	5	216	304	350	653	134	292	30	9	295	84	-11	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.5
2030	27	MLB	NYY	52%	638	561	120	23	3	15	60	189	12	21	5	214	303	346	649	132	292	30	9	296	85	-11	+2	+0	+7	+18	1.6
2031	28	MLB	NYY	53%	637	560	120	23	3	15	60	190	12	20	5	214	304	346	650	132	291	30	9	295	84	-12	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.5
2032	29	MLB	NYY	57%	629	553	118	23	3	15	60	189	11	18	5	213	303	347	650	134	291	30	10	293	82	-12	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.3
2033	30	MLB	NYY	60%	619	544	115	22	3	14	59	187	11	16	4	211	301	340	641	129	290	30	10	291	81	-14	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.0
2034	31	MLB	NYY	61%	609	535	112	22	3	13	58	186	11	14	3	209	300	335	634	125	287	31	10	287	78	-15	+2	-3	+7	+17	0.7
2035	32	MLB	NYY	62%	598	526	106	20	2	12	57	185	10	11	3	202	292	316	607	114	284	31	10	282	74	-18	+1	-4	+6	+17	0.3
2036	33	MLB	NYY	63%	516	453	90	17	2	10	49	162	9	7	2	199	290	311	601	113	280	31	9	275	69	-18	+1	-4	+6	+15	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	NYY	30%	175	154	32	6	1	4	16	54	3	6	1	208	295	338	632	130	293	31	9	277	70	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2028	25	MLB	NYY	44%	269	237	50	10	1	6	25	81	5	9	2	211	300	338	637	127	293	30	9	282	74	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2029	26	MLB	NYY	51%	318	280	61	12	2	8	29	95	6	10	3	218	305	361	665	143	293	30	9	284	76	-9	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.5
2030	27	MLB	NYY	52%	334	294	64	13	2	8	31	99	6	11	3	218	305	357	662	139	293	30	9	285	76	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2031	28	MLB	NYY	53%	339	298	65	13	2	8	32	101	6	10	3	218	307	356	662	138	293	30	9	284	76	-9	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.4
2032	29	MLB	NYY	57%	358	315	68	13	2	9	34	107	6	10	3	216	304	356	660	140	292	30	9	283	74	-10	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.4
2033	30	MLB	NYY	60%	368	323	69	13	2	9	35	111	7	9	2	214	304	350	654	136	291	30	10	280	72	-11	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.3
2034	31	MLB	NYY	61%	373	328	68	13	2	8	35	114	7	8	2	207	297	332	630	125	289	31	9	276	70	-13	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.1
2035	32	MLB	NYY	62%	373	328	67	13	1	8	35	115	7	7	2	204	295	323	618	119	286	31	9	271	66	-14	+1	-2	+4	+11	-0.1
2036	33	MLB	NYY	63%	326	286	58	11	1	7	31	103	6	5	1	203	294	322	616	119	282	32	10	265	61	-14	+1	-3	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3233	2844	602	117	16	75	303	980	59	85	22	212	301	343	644	132	292	30	9	279	71	-104	+8	-9	+35	+92	2.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	121	24	3	15	61	197	12	17	4	212	301	343	644	131	291	30	9	279	71	-21	+2	-2	+7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	6381	5614	1180	226	33	142	598	1934	115	183	46	210	299	338	637	128	291	30	9	289	79	-149	+18	-15	+68	+181	10.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	119	23	3	14	61	197	12	19	5	208	298	332	630	124	288	30	9	289	79	-15	+2	-1	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	85	77	19	2	4	1	6	16	0	6	1	247	301	416	717	169	290	19	7	308	94	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,407	76	90	211	296	338	+36	+18	5.6	5.2
	/162	664	15	17	211	296	338	+7.1	+3.5	1.1	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryce Martin-Grudzielanek (OGILVIE)	23	29→34	41→46	59→64	58	207/306/328	121	300	12	38	33%	10%	77	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	44	47→50	58→50	45	221/288/362	141	302	14	18	31%	8%	81	+0.4	208/272/332	124	270	14	11	27%	8%	66	-0.6	216/281/385	169	263	20	13	26%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2016 · A	23	40→38	48→55	53→50	39	206/266/349	143	284	16	9	32%	6%	69	-0.4	214/278/357	143	300	16	10	33%	6%	76	+0.1	212/284/375	163	291	20	9	33%	7%	83	+0.3
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	45	223/293/342	119	282	12	16	24%	7%	79	+0.3	210/268/294	84	282	6	12	26%	6%	55	-1.4	194/247/254	61	264	3	10	27%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Cody Cipriano 2009 · A	24	40→48	45	55→45	46	199/274/329	130	265	11	12	28%	8%	67	-0.5	219/289/330	111	313	8	8	30%	8%	73	-0.1	224/298/330	106	321	7	7	30%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	47	44→45	55	46	225/302/347	122	301	11	14	27%	8%	83	+0.6	226/284/337	111	307	10	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Clay Fuller 2010 · A	23	43→45	42→45	56→55	45	206/285/313	107	296	9	20	31%	9%	68	-0.5	215/273/342	127	292	15	16	30%	6%	70	-0.3	213/264/350	136	280	18	16	30%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Austin Wells 2022 · A	23	43	48→55	56→50	47	211/301/358	147	306	15	12	34%	10%	86	+0.8	217/296/385	168	279	20	10	28%	9%	92	+1.2	213/294/385	172	258	21	8	26%	9%	88	+0.7
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44→39	45	56→60	41	213/288/344	131	301	12	19	32%	7%	77	+0.1	199/274/319	120	285	13	34	33%	8%	65	-0.7	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Sean Jamieson 2013 · A	24	41→43	44→45	53→50	47	202/276/321	119	252	11	15	24%	8%	66	-0.6	223/280/337	114	297	10	10	27%	6%	71	-0.3	229/285/338	109	310	9	9	28%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Jared Oliva 2019 · A	23	46→45	42→50	56→65	43	219/288/328	109	304	8	24	29%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/322	104	307	8	25	30%	6%	66	-0.6	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Phillip Ervin 2015 · A	23	44→50	43→50	57→55	44	214/268/338	124	268	9	16	23%	6%	66	-0.6	212/284/333	121	266	12	24	24%	8%	72	-0.2	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Mario Lisson 2007 · A	23	45→49	44→55	55	47	219/296/340	121	292	11	22	27%	8%	79	+0.3	215/266/328	113	281	11	19	26%	5%	63	-0.9	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Kaden Polcovich 2022 · AA	23	38→41	45	54→55	44	193/273/319	127	275	13	17	33%	8%	65	-0.7	202/283/330	128	276	13	17	30%	8%	72	-0.2	194/281/320	126	262	13	19	29%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A	23	43	43→45	54→60	45	205/286/312	107	309	10	15	34%	9%	68	-0.5	194/278/311	117	294	12	22	35%	9%	65	-0.7	176/267/290	113	262	13	29	35%	9%	53	-0.7
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	36→46	45	52→65	39	191/248/311	120	257	14	21	31%	6%	51	-1.7	219/287/347	128	293	11	39	27%	8%	77	+0.1	221/289/346	125	298	10	43	27%	7%	75	-0.0
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
✕Miguel Amaya 2022 · AA	23	44→42	44→50	50→40	49	214/303/331	117	278	11	7	26%	9%	81	+0.4	223/308/361	138	300	15	5	29%	8%	91	+1.1	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3