Vance Honeycutt — OGILVIE

Vance HoneycuttOF Frederick Keys

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION337 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP280

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

DEFENSE70

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	20	20	2	0	0	0	0	11	0	0	0	100	100	100	200		222	55	0	90	-53	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	36	31	7	1	0	0	4	13	1	4	2	226	333	258	591	32	389	36	11	284	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	374	64	12	6	5	56	178	3	32	7	171	283	275	559	104	309	41	13	261	63	-19	+4	—	—	+9	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	20	20	1	0	0	0	0	15	0	0	0	50	50	50	100		195	75	0	44	-84	-4	+0	—	—	+0	-0.4
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	36	32	6	1	0	0	3	18	1	4	2	188	278	219	497	31	355	50	8	200	22	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	392	44	8	4	3	39	235	3	32	7	112	198	176	374	64	261	54	9	173	3	-50	+4	—	—	+9	-3.8
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	56	52	7	1	0	0	3	33	1	4	2	135	196	154	350	19	368	59	5	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	56	51	9	1	0	0	4	24	1	4	2	176	250	196	446	20	333	43	7	215	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	392	44	8	4	3	39	235	3	32	7	112	198	176	374	64	266	54	9	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	374	64	12	6	5	56	178	3	32	7	171	283	275	559	104	309	41	13	261	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	56	52	7	1	0	0	3	33	1	4	2	135	196	154	350	19	298	59	5	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	391	44	8	4	3	39	235	3	32	7	113	198	176	375	64	261	54	9	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	56	52	7	1	0	0	3	33	1	4	2	135	196	154	350	19	298	59	5	144	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	436	391	44	8	4	3	39	235	3	32	7	113	198	176	375	64	261	54	9	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	BAL	—	337	302	45	12	1	10	26	171	5	38	5	149	228	295	523	146	282	51	8	229	41	-23	+6	+0	-2	+7	-1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	BAL	—	257	220	40	9	0	10	30	110	3	28	4	182	289	359	648	177	291	43	12	290	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	BAL	—	80	69	21	7	1	5	9	19	2	10	1	304	400	652	1.052	348	356	24	11	450	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	BAL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		276	44	11	216	32	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	BAL	—	346	310	46	12	1	10	27	175	5	39	5	148	228	290	518	142	281	51	8	229	41	-24	+6	+0	-2	+7	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	30%	447	403	62	13	2	10	37	207	4	21	3	154	232	270	502	117	276	46	8	233	44	-30	+3	+4	-3	+10	-1.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	476	428	70	15	2	12	40	211	5	20	3	164	243	292	535	129	278	44	8	244	51	-28	+3	+4	-3	+10	-1.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	51%	493	443	74	15	2	13	42	213	5	19	3	167	247	298	545	131	279	43	9	250	56	-26	+3	+4	-3	+11	-1.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	498	447	76	16	2	13	43	213	5	17	3	170	251	302	553	132	279	43	9	252	57	-26	+2	+4	-3	+11	-1.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	497	446	74	15	2	13	43	213	5	16	3	166	247	296	543	130	279	43	9	251	56	-26	+2	+3	-3	+11	-1.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	30%	135	122	19	4	1	3	11	62	1	6	1	156	231	279	510	123	281	46	8	229	44	-9	+1	+1	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	211	189	32	7	1	6	18	94	2	9	1	169	249	312	561	143	283	45	9	241	51	-12	+1	+2	-1	+5	-0.6
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	51%	250	225	38	8	1	7	21	108	2	9	2	169	246	307	553	138	284	43	8	248	56	-13	+1	+2	-2	+5	-0.6
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	261	233	40	8	1	7	23	112	3	9	1	172	255	305	560	133	284	43	9	249	57	-13	+1	+2	-2	+6	-0.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	265	237	40	8	1	7	23	114	3	8	1	169	251	300	551	131	283	43	9	248	56	-14	+1	+2	-2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1122	1006	169	35	5	30	96	490	11	41	6	168	248	302	550	134	283	44	9	245	44	-62	+6	+8	-7	+24	-3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	97	20	3	17	56	284	6	24	3	166	247	298	545	132	281	44	9	245	44	-36	+3	+5	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2912	2619	408	83	14	64	248	1329	28	130	24	156	236	271	508	116	278	46	9	233	44	-136	+13	+18	-15	+52	-6.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	91	19	3	14	55	297	6	29	5	156	235	270	505	115	279	46	8	233	44	-37	+3	+5	-4	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jake Marisnicklast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,213 PA	3.3	2,213	63	81	227	280	381	+5	+54	8.3	8.1
/162	664	19	24	+1.4	+16.2	2.5	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.7	1,124	29	42	167	245	300	-7	+16	-3.2	-1.6
/162	664	17	25	-4.0	+9.5	-1.9	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Vance Honeycutt (OGILVIE)	23	34	50	65	56	141/219/244	103	276	6	23	49%	8%	32	-1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40→41	38→45	58→60	36	191/246/266	75	303	5	24	37%	6%	45	-2.7	199/258/305	106	305	10	29	36%	7%	59	-1.7	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Jason Kanzler 2014 · A	23	38→47	40→45	58→55	34	185/234/283	98	302	7	14	40%	5%	45	-2.7	199/252/305	106	327	9	17	40%	5%	57	-1.8	193/248/302	108	317	10	20	40%	4%	52	-1.5
✕Todd Hankins 2014 · A	23	38→47	39→40	57→55	40	186/253/271	85	284	6	27	35%	7%	49	-2.4	203/254/295	92	295	7	21	32%	6%	55	-2.0	199/244/277	77	289	6	22	32%	5%	44	-1.7
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	39→45	42→45	56→55	36	192/241/297	105	294	10	21	37%	6%	51	-2.3	209/255/309	100	326	9	20	37%	5%	59	-1.7	212/259/309	96	332	9	22	37%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Willie Joe Garry Jr. 2023 · A	23	38	39→45	58→55	39	171/249/264	93	313	5	21	43%	8%	47	-2.6	187/248/296	109	316	9	21	40%	7%	53	-2.1	185/237/313	128	328	10	29	44%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Jordy Barley 2023 · A	23	36→34	38→40	60	34	174/225/250	77	295	6	33	41%	6%	34	-3.5	184/242/268	84	326	7	32	42%	7%	45	-2.7	164/229/240	75	299	8	45	45%	7%	31	-1.2
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2018 · A	23	39→42	38→50	53→55	31	189/222/263	75	294	6	20	37%	4%	34	-3.5	203/248/276	73	313	5	25	35%	5%	47	-2.5	198/240/336	138	265	15	22	31%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	38	39→45	61→55	35	185/232/279	94	288	5	18	36%	5%	42	-2.9	203/247/293	90	294	6	17	31%	5%	51	-2.3	211/234/280	69	277	5	26	26%	2%	39	-0.8
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→40	55→60	42	185/255/269	84	272	7	25	33%	8%	50	-2.3	206/277/304	98	273	9	30	26%	8%	65	-1.2	207/279/299	92	270	8	33	25%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	194/259/307	113	262	9	19	28%	7%	58	-1.3
✕Casio Grider 2011 · A	23	42→40	38→40	55	32	200/247/278	78	310	5	19	36%	4%	48	-2.5	199/258/282	83	296	3	20	32%	5%	53	-2.1	191/248/272	81	291	5	27	34%	5%	44	-1.2
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A	23	37	36→30	57→55	35	181/222/241	60	279	4	20	36%	5%	29	-3.8	200/252/266	66	327	4	24	37%	6%	47	-2.5	198/257/257	59	329	4	28	38%	7%	44	-1.4
✕Curtis Washington Jr. 2023 · A	23	42	37→40	51→60	41	196/255/271	75	298	4	15	34%	7%	50	-2.3	192/258/254	62	301	4	21	35%	7%	47	-2.5	179/239/282	103	263	10	30	34%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Junior Arias 2014 · A	22	40→43	43→45	57→60	32	201/231/308	108	290	11	29	34%	3%	49	-2.4	204/244/316	112	307	12	29	36%	4%	55	-1.9	195/239/312	117	296	15	30	38%	5%	50	-1.0
✕Maximo Mendez 2010 · A	23	41→39	38→40	57→55	36	184/251/268	85	332	5	19	43%	7%	48	-2.5	197/258/282	85	344	7	18	41%	7%	53	-2.1	163/219/204	41	300	6	28	45%	6%	20	-1.1
✕Viandel Pena 2023 · A	22	38→41	39→40	55	40	182/245/268	86	296	6	18	38%	8%	45	-2.7	201/264/277	76	304	4	18	32%	8%	55	-2.0	203/251/291	87	297	6	20	32%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Connor Lien 2018 · AA	24	37→46	43→45	53→55	31	182/234/290	108	310	10	19	43%	5%	47	-2.6	174/239/299	125	335	13	13	49%	6%	51	-2.2	138/217/260	122	283	14	10	52%	7%	33	-1.5
✕Aaron Whitefield 2021 · AA	24	36→46	37→40	53→60	33	175/223/245	70	294	4	24	40%	5%	32	-3.7	214/269/309	95	320	8	31	33%	7%	63	-1.3	211/269/308	97	313	8	38	33%	7%	62	-0.7
✕Tanner English 2018 · AAA	25	36→44	41→45	60→55	38	173/250/275	102	300	8	27	42%	8%	50	-2.3	176/231/273	97	295	7	19	40%	5%	41	-3.0	159/204/252	93	257	6	19	39%	4%	23	-1.8
✕Jeren Kendall 2019 · A	23	34→26	42→50	53→60	35	170/227/273	103	286	10	23	42%	7%	40	-3.0	172/243/312	140	311	16	22	46%	8%	56	-1.9	138/221/277	139	244	17	30	48%	9%	38	-1.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps