Vance HoneycuttOF
Frederick Keys
Age 23
R/R
6'3" / 205 lbs
A+
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
wRC+†28
AVG/OBP/SLG.161 / .239 / .273
PA320
HR7
SB17
K%46
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
34→34
PWR
50→50
SPD
65→65
FLD
70→70
EYE
49↗54
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.5peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $0.8M | $-15M | -$15M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 56 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 2 | .115 | .179 | .115 | .294 | .000 | .300 | 57 | 5 | .146 | -30 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 436 | 396 | 44 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 231 | 3 | 32 | 7 | .111 | .189 | .174 | .363 | .063 | .253 | 53 | 8 | .169 | -12 | -55 | +4 | +0 | -3 | +12 | -4.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Frederick Keys | 67 | 61 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .115 | .194 | .230 | .424 | .115 | .385 | 69 | 7 | .190 | 4 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BAL | 253 | 228 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 124 | 2 | 10 | 2 | .154 | .231 | .268 | .499 | .114 | .299 | 49 | 8 | .231 | 35 | -19 | +1 | +2 | -2 | +7 | -1.0 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | BAL | 320 | 289 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 170 | 3 | 17 | 2 | .145 | .223 | .260 | .483 | .114 | .304 | 53 | 8 | .222 | 28 | -26 | +3 | +2 | -2 | +9 | -1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | BAL | 440 | 393 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 164 | 4 | 16 | 2 | .178 | .261 | .313 | .574 | .135 | .261 | 37 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -21 | +2 | +3 | -3 | +12 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | BAL | 471 | 421 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 170 | 4 | 15 | 2 | .185 | .267 | .328 | .595 | .143 | .265 | 36 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -19 | +2 | +4 | -3 | +13 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 43% | BAL | 489 | 435 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 46 | 173 | 5 | 15 | 2 | .189 | .274 | .336 | .609 | .147 | .267 | 35 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -18 | +2 | +4 | -3 | +14 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | BAL | 495 | 440 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 47 | 174 | 5 | 14 | 2 | .189 | .274 | .334 | .608 | .145 | .268 | 35 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -18 | +2 | +4 | -3 | +14 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | BAL | 494 | 439 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 47 | 174 | 5 | 14 | 2 | .189 | .275 | .335 | .610 | .146 | .267 | 35 | 10 | .273 | 67 | -18 | +2 | +3 | -3 | +14 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | BAL | 486 | 432 | 80 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 46 | 173 | 5 | 13 | 1 | .185 | .271 | .324 | .595 | .139 | .266 | 36 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -19 | +2 | +2 | -3 | +14 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 94% | BAL | 477 | 424 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 46 | 171 | 4 | 12 | 1 | .184 | .270 | .325 | .596 | .142 | .264 | 36 | 10 | .268 | 63 | -20 | +2 | +2 | -3 | +14 | -0.6 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 464 | 413 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 169 | 4 | 11 | 0 | .179 | .265 | .315 | .579 | .136 | .263 | 36 | 9 | .264 | 60 | -21 | +2 | +1 | -3 | +13 | -0.7 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 446 | 397 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 164 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .176 | .262 | .307 | .569 | .131 | .261 | 37 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -22 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +13 | -1.0 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 417 | 370 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 157 | 4 | 9 | 0 | .173 | .261 | .297 | .558 | .124 | .259 | 38 | 10 | .254 | 53 | -22 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +12 | -1.2 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 371 | 330 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 142 | 3 | 8 | 0 | .170 | .255 | .288 | .543 | .118 | .256 | 38 | 9 | .248 | 48 | -22 | +2 | -2 | -2 | +11 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5795 | 5170 | 903 | 160 | 25 | 153 | 535 | 2218 | 53 | 183 | 23 | .175 | .259 | .304 | .563 | .129 | .266 | 38 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -302 | +27 | +22 | -35 | +164 | -12.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 17 | 60 | 249 | 6 | 21 | 3 | .174 | .259 | .303 | .562 | .129 | .265 | 38 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -34 | +3 | +2 | -4 | +18 | -1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 20 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .100 | .100 | .100 | .200 | .000 | .222 | 55 | 0 | .090 | -72 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 36 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 2 | .226 | .333 | .258 | .591 | .032 | .389 | 36 | 11 | .284 | 76 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 436 | 374 | 64 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 178 | 3 | 32 | 7 | .171 | .283 | .275 | .559 | .104 | .309 | 41 | 13 | .261 | 58 | -21 | +4 | — | — | +12 | -0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Vance Honeycutt (OGILVIE) | 23 | 34 | 50 | 65 | 54 | .161/.239/.273 | .112 | .291 | 7 | 9 | 46% | 8% | 39 | -1.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A |
24 | 36→42 | 48→50 | 56→55 | 32 | .184/.238/.325 | .140 | .293 | 16 | 19 | 41% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | .204/.262/.347 | .143 | .288 | 18 | 22 | 34% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .205/.267/.345 | .140 | .279 | 18 | 23 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.5 |
|
✕Joe Gray Jr. 2023 · A |
23 | 32→34 | 48→45 | 56→50 | 38 | .172/.245/.314 | .141 | .270 | 16 | 14 | 40% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .176/.233/.278 | .102 | .269 | 11 | 14 | 37% | 6% | 37 | -2.7 | .175/.218/.259 | .084 | .253 | 10 | 14 | 34% | 4% | 22 | -2.9 |
|
✕Bradlee Beesley 2022 · AA |
24 | 41 | 44→50 | 54→60 | 37 | .199/.259/.318 | .119 | .313 | 12 | 19 | 38% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .202/.269/.329 | .127 | .302 | 12 | 25 | 35% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .193/.269/.328 | .135 | .286 | 12 | 34 | 35% | 7% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Matt Gorski 2022 · A |
24 | 37→34 | 46→60 | 54→55 | 35 | .189/.242/.313 | .125 | .295 | 15 | 15 | 40% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .200/.251/.365 | .165 | .284 | 22 | 20 | 36% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .194/.245/.378 | .184 | .258 | 25 | 22 | 35% | 6% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A |
23 | 43 | 41→40 | 57→60 | 40 | .203/.269/.298 | .096 | .321 | 9 | 24 | 38% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .188/.271/.269 | .081 | .305 | 6 | 20 | 37% | 9% | 51 | -1.7 | .098/.228/.122 | .024 | .176 | 0 | 28 | 38% | 12% | -2 | -1.2 |
|
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA |
23 | 39 | 44→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .195/.268/.308 | .113 | .290 | 12 | 13 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.270/.300 | .100 | .307 | 9 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .166/.253/.240 | .073 | .276 | 4 | 11 | 37% | 10% | 33 | -0.6 |
|
✕Michael Crouse 2014 · A |
23 | 38→40 | 44→50 | 52→55 | 39 | .189/.259/.309 | .120 | .298 | 12 | 20 | 38% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .207/.268/.326 | .119 | .318 | 11 | 16 | 36% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .203/.267/.350 | .147 | .304 | 15 | 16 | 36% | 7% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A |
24 | 40 | 44→45 | 53→60 | 45 | .197/.277/.310 | .114 | .292 | 11 | 16 | 34% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .198/.281/.314 | .116 | .292 | 13 | 25 | 34% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .178/.270/.288 | .111 | .256 | 14 | 39 | 34% | 9% | 55 | -0.5 |
|
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A |
23 | 39→42 | 43→45 | 58→60 | 44 | .194/.275/.303 | .109 | .285 | 11 | 30 | 34% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .204/.277/.322 | .118 | .283 | 12 | 35 | 30% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .200/.273/.320 | .120 | .271 | 12 | 40 | 29% | 8% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Bubba Thompson 2021 · A |
23 | 40→50 | 42→50 | 56→65 | 33 | .191/.240/.295 | .104 | .318 | 9 | 20 | 41% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .233/.274/.364 | .131 | .331 | 13 | 34 | 32% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .241/.284/.369 | .129 | .334 | 12 | 46 | 30% | 4% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A |
22 | 39→40 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 35 | .194/.253/.305 | .111 | .299 | 13 | 14 | 38% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.252/.326 | .126 | .285 | 15 | 18 | 34% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .198/.249/.325 | .127 | .276 | 15 | 22 | 33% | 5% | 52 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jason Kanzler 2014 · A |
23 | 39→49 | 40→45 | 57→55 | 34 | .188/.238/.285 | .097 | .307 | 7 | 13 | 39% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .204/.256/.312 | .108 | .330 | 9 | 17 | 39% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .199/.254/.311 | .112 | .319 | 10 | 20 | 39% | 4% | 51 | -1.2 |
|
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A |
23 | 40 | 40 | 54→65 | 40 | .192/.269/.282 | .090 | .299 | 8 | 28 | 36% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.284/.315 | .099 | .302 | 7 | 27 | 29% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .225/.290/.320 | .095 | .304 | 4 | 32 | 25% | 7% | 66 | -0.3 |
|
✕Junior Perez 2023 · A |
22 | 40→38 | 45 | 54→55 | 41 | .188/.267/.310 | .122 | .325 | 13 | 19 | 43% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.252/.301 | .120 | .305 | 12 | 25 | 41% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .165/.239/.293 | .128 | .265 | 14 | 28 | 41% | 8% | 41 | -1.9 |
|
✕Shay Whitcomb 2023 · AA |
24 | 38→44 | 48→55 | 54→55 | 32 | .193/.241/.327 | .134 | .309 | 17 | 19 | 42% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .203/.258/.366 | .163 | .282 | 22 | 18 | 35% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.266/.379 | .174 | .263 | 25 | 19 | 32% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA |
23 | 40→41 | 38→45 | 57→60 | 36 | .188/.243/.264 | .076 | .303 | 6 | 23 | 38% | 6% | 36 | -2.7 | .199/.258/.305 | .106 | .306 | 10 | 30 | 36% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .194/.256/.310 | .116 | .294 | 12 | 32 | 36% | 7% | 52 | -1.3 |
|
✕Travis Witherspoon 2012 · A |
23 | 41→47 | 43→45 | 56→55 | 37 | .207/.252/.311 | .104 | .290 | 11 | 21 | 32% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .213/.268/.332 | .119 | .287 | 13 | 23 | 29% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .206/.266/.332 | .126 | .273 | 14 | 25 | 29% | 7% | 60 | -0.8 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A |
22 | 36 | 48→50 | 54→50 | 37 | .191/.251/.335 | .144 | .272 | 16 | 14 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .202/.261/.344 | .142 | .302 | 17 | 13 | 37% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .180/.244/.304 | .124 | .276 | 15 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 45 | -1.1 |
|
✕Michael O'Neill 2015 · A |
23 | 41→40 | 43→45 | 55 | 36 | .205/.257/.310 | .105 | .290 | 10 | 21 | 32% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .200/.246/.297 | .097 | .290 | 9 | 17 | 33% | 5% | 46 | -2.0 | .203/.255/.312 | .108 | .300 | 10 | 22 | 34% | 5% | 51 | -1.2 |
|
✕Jaylen Palmer 2023 · A |
23 | 39→43 | 41→45 | 56→55 | 37 | .173/.254/.272 | .099 | .335 | 9 | 20 | 47% | 8% | 44 | -2.1 | .169/.247/.282 | .113 | .328 | 13 | 21 | 48% | 8% | 45 | -2.1 | .163/.242/.273 | .111 | .311 | 14 | 24 | 48% | 8% | 37 | -1.8 |